PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 112-110
26-36 32-25 31-26 23-23
Position#2
Record51-26
FormWWWLL
Points / game116.1
Allowed / game112.4
vs
Position#11
Record41-37
FormWWLWW
Points / game118.3
Allowed / game117.6
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Golden State Warriors
12 Mar 2027
DEN v GSW
upcoming
26 Oct 2026
DEN114
GSW134
29 Mar 2026
DEN116
GSW93
07 Nov 2025
DEN129
GSW104
03 Dec 2024
DEN119
GSW115
25 Dec 2023
DEN120
GSW114
08 Nov 2023
DEN108
GSW105
02 Apr 2023
DEN112
GSW110
02 Feb 2023
DEN134
GSW117
24 Apr 2022
DEN126
GSW121
21 Apr 2022
DEN113
GSW118
10 Mar 2022
DEN102
GSW113
07 Mar 2022
DEN131
GSW124
14 Jan 2021
DEN114
GSW104
03 Mar 2020
DEN100
GSW116
15 Jan 2019
DEN111
GSW142
21 Oct 2018
DEN100
GSW98
03 Feb 2018
DEN115
GSW108
04 Nov 2017
DEN108
GSW127
13 Feb 2017
DEN132
GSW110
10 Nov 2016
DEN101
GSW125
13 Jan 2016
DEN112
GSW110
22 Nov 2015
DEN105
GSW118
13 Mar 2015
DEN114
GSW103
16 Apr 2014
DEN112
GSW116
23 Dec 2013
DEN81
GSW89
30 Apr 2013
DEN107
GSW100
23 Apr 2013
DEN117
GSW131
20 Apr 2013
DEN97
GSW95
13 Jan 2013
DEN116
GSW105
23 Nov 2012
DEN102
GSW91
09 Apr 2012
DEN123
GSW84
09 Feb 2012
DEN101
GSW109
11 Apr 2011
DEN134
GSW111
05 Jan 2010
DEN123
GSW122
01 Dec 2009
DEN135
GSW107
28 Mar 2009
DEN129
GSW116
13 Dec 2008
DEN123
GSW105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
120-122
120
122
-2
116avg 112
H12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
110-125
110
125
-15
108avg 112
A14/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
119-100
119
100
+19
116avg 112
A16/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
110-116
110
116
-6
105avg 112
A18/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
108-102
108
102
+6
110avg 112
A19/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
118-104
118
104
+14
116avg 112
A22/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
129-106
129
106
+23
126avg 112
H26/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
116-111
116
111
+5
117avg 112
H28/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
88-107
88
107
-19
75avg 112
H31/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
93-100
93
100
-7
77avg 112
A01/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-30
39-31
18-37
33-24
30-49
26-23
36-26
18-27
29-28
29-36
28-22
33-14
28-36
39-26
24-29
19-25
33-21
30-27
28-23
17-31
31-29
24-28
39-16
24-31
37-38
26-28
34-19
32-21
25-18
36-39
30-20
25-34
17-21
23-29
30-32
18-25
20-32
20-28
34-24
19-16
220.4Avg total
111.1Scored
109.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)116.1112.4228.5+3.766%
Season at home (39)119.8110.0229.8+9.982%
Season away (38)112.3114.9227.2-2.650%
Last 10 (10)111.1109.3220.4+1.850%
Last 5 (5)108.8105.6214.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)109.7110.9220.6-1.250%
vs Weaker (14)119.8112.6232.4+7.171%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
123-112
123
112
+11
119avg 112
H14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
126-134
126
134
-8
120avg 112
A16/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
119-127
119
127
-8
113avg 112
A17/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
119-133
119
133
-14
108avg 112
A19/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
121-108
121
108
+13
122avg 112
A21/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
127-125
127
125
+2
128avg 112
A22/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
120-112
120
112
+8
116avg 112
H25/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
96-99
96
99
-3
87avg 112
H27/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
120-109
120
109
+11
120avg 112
H29/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
130-115
130
115
+15
130avg 112
H01/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
43-21
32-37
23-30
25-24
23-28
35-33
35-38
33-35
31-39
35-32
30-33
23-23
23-33
36-38
41-33
19-29
26-21
29-29
29-30
37-28
30-33
35-30
31-30
31-32
23-27
32-26
24-35
41-24
29-29
26-24
18-24
23-22
25-36
21-27
39-26
35-20
23-26
31-25
33-37
43-27
237.5Avg total
120.1Scored
117.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)118.3117.6235.9+0.853%
Season at home (40)119.3111.4230.7+7.980%
Season away (38)117.3124.1241.4-6.724%
Last 10 (10)120.1117.4237.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)118.6112.0230.6+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (25)118.8118.1236.9+0.852%
vs Weaker (5)122.4110.8233.2+11.680%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +4.6+4.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +4.6+4.6
Denver NuggetsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
56-72
56
72
-16
A14/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A16/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
67-62
67
62
+5
A18/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
63-48
63
48
+15
A19/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A22/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H26/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H28/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H31/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A01/04
NBA
116.9Avg total
57.2Scored
59.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.458.5118.0+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (13)61.256.5117.8+4.762%-
Last 30 away (17)58.160.1118.1-2.035%-
Last 10 (10)57.259.7116.9-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)51.858.0109.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)56.359.5115.8-3.238%-
vs Weaker (14)63.057.4120.4+5.657%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A16/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A17/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A19/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A21/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A22/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H25/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H27/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
46-63
46
63
-17
H29/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H01/04
NBA
118.2Avg total
58.8Scored
59.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.959.3119.3+0.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.956.3114.2+1.675%-
Last 30 away (14)62.262.8125.0-0.643%-
Last 10 (10)58.859.4118.2-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)55.056.6111.6-1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (25)60.360.1120.4+0.256%-
vs Weaker (5)58.055.6113.6+2.480%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.132.0
57.0%
54.5%64.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.1
34.8%
35.8%30.3
🏀 Free throws22.516.8
74.7%
78.1%16.8
They take 85.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 120.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.727.9
59.7%
54.5%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.616.1
38.7%
35.8%48.3
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
78.1%16.0
They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLWWWWLWLL
Golden State Warriors
WWLWWWLLLW
#2
League position
#11
+1.9
Net rating
+2.7
115.0
Offensive rating
118.2
113.1
Defensive rating
115.6
55.4%
Effective FG%
58.9%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
12.3%
Turnover %
14.8%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.8%
3-point %
38.7%
65.6%
Assist %
67.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 118.2Defence113.1 · 115.6Shooting55.4% · 58.9%3-point %34.8% · 38.7%Ball care12.3% · 14.8%Off. rebounds24.7% · 27.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/23APhoenix Suns93-100
31/03/23HNew Orleans Pelicans88-107
28/03/23HPhiladelphia 76ers116-111
26/03/23HMilwaukee Bucks129-106
22/03/23AWashington Wizards118-104
19/03/23ABrooklyn Nets108-102
18/03/23ANew York Knicks110-116
16/03/23ADetroit Pistons119-100
14/03/23AToronto Raptors110-125
12/03/23HBrooklyn Nets120-122
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/23HSan Antonio Spurs130-115
29/03/23HNew Orleans Pelicans120-109
27/03/23HMinnesota Timberwolves96-99
25/03/23HPhiladelphia 76ers120-112
22/03/23ADallas Mavericks127-125
21/03/23AHouston Rockets121-108
19/03/23AMemphis Grizzlies119-133
17/03/23AAtlanta Hawks119-127
16/03/23ALos Angeles Clippers126-134
14/03/23HPhoenix Suns123-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL66%
HomeLLWWL82%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773938
Win %66%82%50%
Points / game116.1119.8112.3
Allowed / game112.4110.0114.9
Point differential+3.7+9.9-2.6
Avg total228.5229.8227.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%51%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (22)64% (14)88% (8)
Overtime %4%5%3%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW53%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLWW24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games784038
Win %53%80%24%
Points / game118.3119.3117.3
Allowed / game117.6111.4124.1
Point differential+0.8+7.9-6.7
Avg total235.9230.7241.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%42%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (19)67% (12)14% (7)
Overtime %6%5%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks78562272%117.0113.0+4.0
2 Boston Celtics78542469%118.4111.8+6.5
3 Denver Nuggets77512666%116.1112.4+3.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers78512765%115.1110.6+4.4
5 Memphis Grizzlies78492963%116.7112.7+4.0
6 Cleveland Cavaliers79493062%112.3107.0+5.4
7 Sacramento Kings78473160%121.4118.3+3.1
8 New York Knicks79463358%115.6112.5+3.1
9 Phoenix Suns78433555%113.6111.5+2.1
10 Brooklyn Nets78433555%113.6112.7+0.9
11 Golden State Warriors78413753%118.3117.6+0.8
12 Miami Heat78413753%109.0109.9-0.9
13 Los Angeles Clippers79413852%113.1112.9+0.2
14 New Orleans Pelicans78403851%114.3112.2+2.1
15 Los Angeles Lakers78403851%116.7116.4+0.3
16 Toronto Raptors78393950%113.1111.7+1.4
17 Atlanta Hawks78393950%118.1118.1-0.0
18 Minnesota Timberwolves79394049%115.5115.9-0.4
19 Chicago Bulls78384049%113.6112.2+1.4
20 Oklahoma City Thunder79384148%117.5116.6+0.9
21 Dallas Mavericks79374247%114.1113.8+0.3
22 Utah Jazz78364246%117.1117.8-0.7
23 Washington Wizards78344444%113.0113.9-0.9
24 Orlando Magic78344444%112.0113.9-1.9
25 Indiana Pacers79344543%115.8119.0-3.2
26 Portland Trail Blazers78334542%113.3116.5-3.2
27 Charlotte Hornets79265333%111.2117.5-6.3
28 San Antonio Spurs78205826%112.5122.8-10.3
29 Houston Rockets79196024%110.5119.0-8.5
30 Detroit Pistons78166221%110.6118.7-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets26323123112
Golden State Warriors36252623110
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.