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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 23 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 111-108
28-29 34-29 22-26 27-24
Position#24
Record15-28
FormWWLLW
Points / game103.1
Allowed / game104.3
vs
Position#17
Record18-24
FormWWWLW
Points / game109.9
Allowed / game111.3
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
27 Jan 2027
MIN v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2026
MIN v DEN
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
MIN110
DEN98
25 Apr 2026
MIN112
DEN96
23 Apr 2026
MIN113
DEN96
15 Nov 2025
MIN112
DEN123
27 Oct 2025
MIN114
DEN127
25 Jan 2025
MIN133
DEN104
01 Nov 2024
MIN119
DEN116
16 May 2024
MIN115
DEN70
12 May 2024
MIN107
DEN115
10 May 2024
MIN90
DEN117
19 Mar 2024
MIN112
DEN115
01 Nov 2023
MIN110
DEN89
23 Apr 2023
MIN114
DEN108
21 Apr 2023
MIN111
DEN120
05 Feb 2023
MIN128
DEN98
02 Jan 2023
MIN124
DEN111
01 Feb 2022
MIN130
DEN115
30 Oct 2021
MIN91
DEN93
13 May 2021
MIN103
DEN114
03 Jan 2021
MIN109
DEN124
20 Jan 2020
MIN100
DEN107
10 Nov 2019
MIN98
DEN100
02 Feb 2019
MIN106
DEN107
21 Nov 2018
MIN101
DEN103
11 Apr 2018
MIN112
DEN106
27 Dec 2017
MIN128
DEN125
22 Jan 2017
MIN111
DEN108
03 Nov 2016
MIN99
DEN102
06 Jan 2016
MIN74
DEN78
15 Dec 2015
MIN100
DEN112
04 Mar 2015
MIN85
DEN100
05 Jan 2015
MIN101
DEN110
12 Feb 2014
MIN117
DEN90
27 Nov 2013
MIN110
DEN117
12 Dec 2012
MIN108
DEN105
21 Nov 2012
MIN94
DEN101
26 Apr 2012
MIN102
DEN131
25 Mar 2012
MIN117
DEN100
05 Feb 2011
MIN100
DEN113
29 Dec 2010
MIN113
DEN119
10 Mar 2010
MIN102
DEN110
25 Nov 2009
MIN111
DEN124
05 Apr 2009
MIN87
DEN110
29 Nov 2008
MIN97
DEN106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
89-95
89
95
-6
78avg 97
H02/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
91-93
91
93
-2
84avg 97
A04/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
105-112
105
112
-7
93avg 97
A07/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
92-94
92
94
-2
88avg 97
H08/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
101-92
101
92
+9
107avg 97
H10/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
119-105
119
105
+14
125avg 97
H12/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
96-86
96
86
+10
87avg 97
H14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
87-98
87
98
-11
79avg 97
A15/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
114-122
114
122
-8
113avg 97
A18/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
104-101
104
101
+3
98avg 97
A20/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
26-13
15-32
25-26
16-29
26-28
26-22
23-14
29-32
19-24
37-24
20-32
24-25
24-22
32-22
12-25
33-19
21-27
23-24
24-22
30-23
25-31
34-23
30-28
30-28
15-22
29-18
22-18
25-27
22-29
23-23
17-19
30-30
41-37
19-25
24-30
25-22
19-29
33-28
27-22
199.6Avg total
99.8Scored
99.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)103.1104.3207.4-1.135%
Season at home (22)104.5102.0206.5+2.441%
Season away (21)101.8106.6208.4-4.929%
Last 10 (10)99.899.8199.6+0.040%
Last 5 (5)104.0102.4206.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)105.2110.5215.7-5.320%
vs Similar ◀ (17)101.5103.2204.7-1.641%
vs Weaker (3)101.395.3196.7+6.067%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
122-124
122
124
-2
118avg 99
H31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
119-127
119
127
-8
113avg 99
A03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
113-120
113
120
-7
108avg 99
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
99-127
99
127
-28
90avg 99
H06/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
106-121
106
121
-15
89avg 99
A08/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
140-112
140
112
+28
146avg 99
H12/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
125-112
125
112
+13
125avg 99
H16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
127-121
127
121
+6
124avg 99
A18/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
104-118
104
118
-14
93avg 99
A20/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
123-98
123
98
+25
122avg 99
H22/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-30
32-30
27-31
35-33
33-35
31-33
21-26
34-33
28-29
23-31
37-34
25-26
33-29
20-29
24-32
22-37
22-24
38-36
20-28
26-33
30-29
37-27
39-20
34-36
39-36
30-25
31-22
25-29
40-26
26-28
35-30
26-37
23-28
35-31
23-33
23-26
27-18
32-27
36-26
28-27
235.8Avg total
117.8Scored
118.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)109.9111.3221.2-1.443%
Season at home (21)114.4113.0227.4+1.448%
Season away (21)105.3109.6215.0-4.338%
Last 10 (10)117.8118.0235.8-0.240%
Last 5 (5)123.8112.2236.0+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)108.0125.0233.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)108.2108.5216.6-0.347%
vs Weaker (9)119.1114.7233.8+4.467%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.9-3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.9-3.9
Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H02/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A04/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A07/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H08/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H10/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H12/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A15/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A18/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A20/01
NBA
102.4Avg total
50.3Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.252.1103.3-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.749.1100.7+2.667%-
Last 30 away (15)50.755.1105.8-4.513%-
Last 10 (10)50.352.1102.4-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)52.455.6108.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)53.153.1106.2+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)50.251.1101.3-0.935%-
vs Weaker (3)50.354.3104.7-4.033%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H06/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A08/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H12/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A18/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A20/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H22/01
NBA
118.8Avg total
60.7Scored
58.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.656.2113.9+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.156.0115.1+3.156%-
Last 30 away (14)56.056.5112.5-0.536%-
Last 10 (10)60.758.1118.8+2.640%-
Last 5 (5)63.855.0118.8+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)59.564.5124.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)56.054.0110.0+2.053%-
vs Weaker (9)59.956.8116.7+3.156%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 99.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.2 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.031.6
51.0%
50.2%63.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.26.3
32.8%
35.7%18.9
🏀 Free throws22.017.7
80.5%
77.0%17.7
They take 81.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.833.5
55.1%
50.2%67.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.9
37.7%
35.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws22.918.1
79.0%
77.0%18.1
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLWWWLLLL
Denver Nuggets
WLWWWLLLLL
#24
League position
#17
+0.0
Net rating
-0.2
104.7
Offensive rating
115.7
104.7
Defensive rating
115.9
50.6%
Effective FG%
55.6%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
15.8%
Turnover %
13.1%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.8%
3-point %
37.7%
63.1%
Assist %
65.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 115.7Defence104.7 · 115.9Shooting50.6% · 55.6%3-point %32.8% · 37.7%Ball care15.8% · 13.1%Off. rebounds26.0% · 27.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/17ALos Angeles Clippers104-101
18/01/17ASan Antonio Spurs114-122
15/01/17ADallas Mavericks87-98
14/01/17HOklahoma City Thunder96-86
12/01/17HHouston Rockets119-105
10/01/17HDallas Mavericks101-92
08/01/17HUtah Jazz92-94
07/01/17AWashington Wizards105-112
04/01/17APhiladelphia 76ers91-93
02/01/17HPortland Trail Blazers89-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/17HLos Angeles Clippers123-98
20/01/17ASan Antonio Spurs104-118
18/01/17ALos Angeles Lakers127-121
16/01/17HOrlando Magic125-112
12/01/17HIndiana Pacers140-112
08/01/17AOklahoma City Thunder106-121
06/01/17HSan Antonio Spurs99-127
04/01/17HSacramento Kings113-120
03/01/17AGolden State Warriors119-127
31/12/16HPhiladelphia 76ers122-124

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW35%
HomeLLWWW41%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432221
Win %35%41%29%
Points / game103.1104.5101.8
Allowed / game104.3102.0106.6
Point differential-1.1+2.4-4.9
Avg total207.4206.5208.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%32%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won23% (13)0% (5)38% (8)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW43%
HomeLLWWW48%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %43%48%38%
Points / game109.9114.4105.3
Allowed / game111.3113.0109.6
Point differential-1.4+1.4-4.3
Avg total221.2227.4215.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%38%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)29% (7)50% (6)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4438686%118.0104.9+13.1
2 San Antonio Spurs4334979%107.698.9+8.7
3 Houston Rockets47341372%114.5107.4+7.1
4 Cleveland Cavaliers42301271%109.3104.4+4.9
5 Los Angeles Clippers45291664%107.8102.6+5.3
6 Utah Jazz45291664%99.795.3+4.4
7 Toronto Raptors44281664%110.0104.8+5.2
8 Boston Celtics43261760%107.3105.3+2.0
9 Atlanta Hawks44261859%102.9102.5+0.4
10 Oklahoma City Thunder44251957%106.3105.6+0.8
11 Memphis Grizzlies46262057%99.799.4+0.2
12 Washington Wizards43232053%106.1105.8+0.3
13 Charlotte Hornets44232152%105.4103.0+2.3
14 Indiana Pacers43222151%105.4106.7-1.3
15 Chicago Bulls45222349%101.2101.4-0.1
16 Detroit Pistons45212447%100.5101.2-0.7
17 Milwaukee Bucks43202347%104.4104.1+0.3
18 Denver Nuggets42182443%109.9111.3-1.4
19 New York Knicks45192642%105.5108.3-2.8
20 Portland Trail Blazers46192741%107.5110.5-3.0
21 Orlando Magic46182839%99.9105.0-5.1
22 New Orleans Pelicans44172739%102.8105.7-2.9
23 Sacramento Kings43162737%102.3105.5-3.1
24 Philadelphia 76ers42152736%99.0104.7-5.7
25 Minnesota Timberwolves43152835%103.1104.3-1.1
26 Dallas Mavericks44152934%96.6100.0-3.5
27 Phoenix Suns44152934%106.1111.5-5.4
28 Los Angeles Lakers48163233%104.1110.4-6.4
29 Miami Heat44143032%98.8102.5-3.7
30 Brooklyn Nets4393421%106.2114.9-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves28342227111
Denver Nuggets29292624108
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