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Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 106-90
32-24 23-12 26-32 25-22
Position#20
Record28-31
FormLLWWL
Points / game110.3
Allowed / game110.9
vs
Position#29
Record11-48
FormLLWLW
Points / game108.4
Allowed / game120.8
USANBA· Kaseya Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Miami Heat v Washington Wizards
03 Dec 2026
MIA v WAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
MIA152
WAS136
10 Mar 2026
MIA150
WAS129
13 Apr 2025
MIA118
WAS119
03 Mar 2025
MIA106
WAS90
10 Mar 2024
MIA108
WAS110
03 Nov 2023
MIA121
WAS114
25 Nov 2022
MIA110
WAS107
23 Nov 2022
MIA113
WAS105
28 Dec 2021
MIA119
WAS112
18 Nov 2021
MIA112
WAS97
05 Feb 2021
MIA122
WAS95
03 Feb 2021
MIA100
WAS103
22 Jan 2020
MIA134
WAS129
06 Dec 2019
MIA112
WAS103
04 Jan 2019
MIA115
WAS109
10 Nov 2018
MIA110
WAS116
10 Mar 2018
MIA129
WAS102
15 Nov 2017
MIA93
WAS102
12 Apr 2017
MIA110
WAS102
12 Dec 2016
MIA112
WAS101
20 Feb 2016
MIA114
WAS94
07 Dec 2015
MIA103
WAS114
19 Dec 2014
MIA103
WAS105
29 Oct 2014
MIA107
WAS95
10 Mar 2014
MIA99
WAS90
03 Nov 2013
MIA103
WAS93
06 Jan 2013
MIA99
WAS71
15 Dec 2012
MIA102
WAS72
21 Apr 2012
MIA84
WAS86
25 Feb 2011
MIA121
WAS113
29 Nov 2010
MIA105
WAS94
27 Nov 2009
MIA84
WAS94
10 Nov 2009
MIA90
WAS76
28 Jan 2009
MIA93
WAS71
14 Nov 2008
MIA97
WAS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
86-102
86
102
-16
71avg 104
A08/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
85-103
85
103
-18
73avg 104
H11/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
101-115
101
115
-14
97avg 104
A13/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
113-118
113
118
-5
100avg 104
A14/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
120-111 OT
120
111
+9
110avg 104
A22/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
113-120
113
120
-7
107avg 104
A23/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
86-98
86
98
-12
70avg 104
A25/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
131-109
131
109
+22
139avg 104
H27/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
125-120
125
120
+5
128avg 104
H01/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
112-116 OT
112
116
-4
106avg 104
H02/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
27-25
24-18
9-31
24-18
19-34
22-36
20-15
35-23
28-29
30-31
8-32
22-21
34-34
27-29
30-34
30-19
27-29
27-32
23-27
37-23
28-32
28-30
20-35
22-23
20-27
23-23
21-25
29-28
36-37
42-28
24-16
29-35
39-34
29-23
28-28
27-22
35-23
25-36
18-24
218.4Avg total
107.2Scored
111.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)110.3110.9221.2-0.647%
Season at home (26)113.0111.8224.7+1.254%
Season away (33)108.2110.2218.4-1.942%
Last 10 (10)107.2111.2218.4-4.030%
Last 5 (5)113.4112.6226.0+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)101.0111.5212.5-10.517%
vs Similar (18)114.4115.3229.8-0.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)102.7106.0208.7-3.367%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
119-102
119
102
+17
127avg 100
A06/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
124-134
124
134
-10
110avg 100
H08/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
111-125
111
125
-14
107avg 100
H09/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
121-131
121
131
-10
112avg 100
H11/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
130-134 OT
130
134
-4
123avg 100
H13/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
101-104
101
104
-3
89avg 100
H22/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
90-110
90
110
-20
79avg 100
A23/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
107-99
107
99
+8
108avg 100
H25/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
121-129
121
129
-8
114avg 100
H27/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
113-100
113
100
+13
114avg 100
A01/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-26
32-35
23-12
31-29
33-35
34-29
26-30
31-40
30-26
28-37
25-41
28-21
30-40
33-26
33-34
25-31
27-25
33-22
37-37
23-36
32-19
24-31
19-34
26-20
29-27
18-22
17-32
26-29
30-20
37-39
18-28
22-12
27-34
27-21
34-39
33-35
24-25
30-34
30-16
29-25
230.5Avg total
113.7Scored
116.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)108.4120.8229.2-12.519%
Season at home (32)110.1122.6232.7-12.419%
Season away (27)106.3118.8225.1-12.519%
Last 10 (10)113.7116.8230.5-3.130%
Last 5 (5)106.4108.4214.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)107.5120.3227.7-12.815%
vs Similar (4)113.8114.0227.8-0.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -6.6-6.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -6.6-6.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
Miami HeatWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#25
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A08/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H11/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A13/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A14/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A22/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A23/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A25/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
D
65-65
65
65
+0
H27/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H01/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
62-45
62
45
+17
H02/03
NBA
111.8Avg total
57.4Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.354.6109.9+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (12)53.158.1111.2-5.025%-
Last 30 away (18)56.852.2109.1+4.678%-
Last 10 (10)57.454.4111.8+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)60.456.8117.2+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)51.750.2101.8+1.567%-
vs Similar (18)57.756.8114.6+0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)51.852.2104.0-0.367%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A06/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H08/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
58-63
58
63
-5
H09/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H11/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H13/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H22/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A23/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H25/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H27/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A01/03
NBA
116.4Avg total
59.1Scored
57.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.560.0114.5-5.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.159.6113.6-5.531%-
Last 30 away (14)54.960.5115.4-5.636%-
Last 10 (10)59.157.3116.4+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)55.654.4110.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)53.560.2113.7-6.731%-
vs Similar (4)61.058.8119.8+2.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 107.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.727.0
55.4%
54.3%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.112.4
33.4%
35.9%37.2
🏀 Free throws19.816.0
80.8%
77.8%16.0
They take 85.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 113.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.326.2
57.8%
54.3%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.914.6
35.7%
35.9%43.8
🏀 Free throws21.917.5
79.9%
77.8%17.5
They take 86.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWWLLWLLLL
Washington Wizards
WLWLLLLLLW
#20
League position
#29
-4.1
Net rating
-3.0
110.9
Offensive rating
110.5
115.0
Defensive rating
113.5
53.1%
Effective FG%
55.8%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
12.9%
Turnover %
16.1%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.4%
3-point %
35.7%
64.2%
Assist %
67.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 110.5Defence115.0 · 113.5Shooting53.1% · 55.8%3-point %33.4% · 35.7%Ball care12.9% · 16.1%Off. rebounds24.1% · 22.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Miami Heat wins
3
Washington Wizards wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HNew York Knicks112-116 OT
01/03/25HIndiana Pacers125-120
27/02/25HAtlanta Hawks131-109
25/02/25AAtlanta Hawks86-98
23/02/25AMilwaukee Bucks113-120
22/02/25AToronto Raptors120-111 OT
14/02/25ADallas Mavericks113-118
13/02/25AOklahoma City Thunder101-115
11/02/25HBoston Celtics85-103
08/02/25ABrooklyn Nets86-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25ACharlotte Hornets113-100
27/02/25HPortland Trail Blazers121-129
25/02/25HBrooklyn Nets107-99
23/02/25AOrlando Magic90-110
22/02/25HMilwaukee Bucks101-104
13/02/25HIndiana Pacers130-134 OT
11/02/25HSan Antonio Spurs121-131
09/02/25HAtlanta Hawks111-125
08/02/25HCleveland Cavaliers124-134
06/02/25ABrooklyn Nets119-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL47%
HomeLLWWL54%
AwayLLWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games592633
Win %47%54%42%
Points / game110.3113.0108.2
Allowed / game110.9111.8110.2
Point differential-0.6+1.2-1.9
Avg total221.2224.7218.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%35%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)40% (5)50% (12)
Overtime %12%12%12%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW19%
HomeLLLWL19%
AwayWWWLW19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593227
Win %19%19%19%
Points / game108.4110.1106.3
Allowed / game120.8122.6118.8
Point differential-12.5-12.4-12.5
Avg total229.2232.7225.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%6%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers60501083%123.1111.6+11.5
2 Oklahoma City Thunder58471181%119.5106.9+12.7
3 Boston Celtics61431870%116.8108.2+8.6
4 New York Knicks59401968%117.9113.0+4.9
5 Los Angeles Lakers59382164%112.7111.1+1.6
6 Denver Nuggets61392264%121.1116.0+5.1
7 Memphis Grizzlies60382263%123.2116.7+6.4
8 Houston Rockets58362262%113.3109.1+4.2
9 Indiana Pacers59342558%116.6115.3+1.3
10 Milwaukee Bucks57322556%114.4112.7+1.7
11 Detroit Pistons61342756%114.4113.0+1.3
12 Golden State Warriors60332755%113.5111.5+2.0
13 Los Angeles Clippers60322853%110.6108.6+2.0
14 Dallas Mavericks60322853%115.1113.4+1.8
15 Minnesota Timberwolves62332953%112.1109.0+3.0
16 Sacramento Kings59312853%116.8115.3+1.5
17 Orlando Magic61293248%104.0105.6-1.6
18 Miami Heat59283147%110.3110.9-0.6
19 Phoenix Suns61283346%113.8115.9-2.2
20 Portland Trail Blazers62283445%110.7114.2-3.6
21 Atlanta Hawks58263245%117.0119.9-2.9
22 San Antonio Spurs59253442%113.1115.3-2.2
23 Chicago Bulls61243739%116.5120.4-4.0
24 Philadelphia 76ers60213935%109.0113.6-4.6
25 Brooklyn Nets60213935%104.8111.3-6.5
26 Toronto Raptors61194231%110.3116.2-5.8
27 New Orleans Pelicans61174428%111.0118.7-7.8
28 Utah Jazz60154525%112.4119.5-7.0
29 Charlotte Hornets60144623%105.1112.9-7.8
30 Washington Wizards59114819%108.4120.8-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat32232625106
Washington Wizards2412322290
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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