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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 110-122
29-42 28-29 38-22 15-29
Position#20
Record4-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game112.9
Allowed / game110.9
vs
Position#2
Record4-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game114.1
Allowed / game117.0
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets
30 Jan 2027
OKC v DEN
upcoming
22 Oct 2026
OKC96
DEN84
09 Mar 2026
OKC129
DEN126
27 Feb 2026
OKC127
DEN121
18 May 2025
OKC125
DEN93
13 May 2025
OKC112
DEN105
07 May 2025
OKC149
DEN106
05 May 2025
OKC119
DEN121
10 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN140
09 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN103
31 Jan 2024
OKC105
DEN100
29 Oct 2023
OKC95
DEN128
23 Nov 2022
OKC126
DEN131
03 Nov 2022
OKC110
DEN122
09 Jan 2022
OKC95
DEN99
22 Dec 2021
OKC108
DEN94
27 Feb 2021
OKC96
DEN126
03 Aug 2020
OKC113
DEN121
21 Feb 2020
OKC113
DEN101
29 Mar 2019
OKC105
DEN115
24 Nov 2018
OKC98
DEN105
30 Mar 2018
OKC125
DEN126
18 Dec 2017
OKC95
DEN94
12 Apr 2017
OKC105
DEN111
07 Jan 2017
OKC121
DEN106
27 Dec 2015
OKC122
DEN112
01 Nov 2015
OKC117
DEN93
22 Feb 2015
OKC119
DEN94
01 Nov 2014
OKC102
DEN91
24 Mar 2014
OKC117
DEN96
18 Nov 2013
OKC115
DEN113
19 Mar 2013
OKC104
DEN114
16 Jan 2013
OKC117
DEN97
25 Apr 2012
OKC101
DEN106
19 Feb 2012
OKC124
DEN118
27 Apr 2011
OKC100
DEN97
20 Apr 2011
OKC106
DEN89
17 Apr 2011
OKC107
DEN103
08 Apr 2011
OKC104
DEN89
25 Dec 2010
OKC114
DEN106
07 Apr 2010
OKC94
DEN98
29 Jan 2010
OKC101
DEN84
04 Feb 2009
OKC113
DEN114
02 Jan 2009
OKC120
DEN122
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#9
L
101-137
101
137
-36
85avg 95
A07/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
L
101-120
101
120
-19
90avg 95
A09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
88-138
88
138
-50
64avg 95
A11/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
108-115
108
115
-7
96avg 95
A20/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
117-122
117
122
-5
110avg 95
A23/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
106-116
106
116
-10
92avg 95
H24/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
108-94
108
94
+14
89avg 95
H26/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
118-110
118
110
+8
107avg 95
H28/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
110avg 95
A30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
116-108
116
108
+8
104avg 95
H02/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-41
27-30
27-35
16-31
28-27
24-29
30-34
19-30
18-39
33-27
16-29
21-43
22-35
30-30
35-22
21-28
29-28
26-27
30-33
32-34
18-31
26-22
30-29
32-34
23-18
26-25
35-25
24-26
34-24
19-36
36-27
29-23
27-25
19-26
26-20
27-28
33-32
30-34
22-22
31-20
225.1Avg total
108.0Scored
117.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)112.9110.9223.7+2.057%
Season at home (4)112.0107.0219.0+5.075%
Season away (3)114.0116.0230.0-2.033%
Last 10 (10)108.0117.1225.1-9.140%
Last 5 (5)113.0107.8220.8+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)110.9125.5236.4-14.518%
vs Similar ◀ (13)110.5110.3220.8+0.254%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
113-118
113
118
-5
110avg 109
H22/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
126-121
126
121
+5
125avg 109
H24/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
98-102
98
102
-4
95avg 109
A28/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
102-123
102
123
-21
92avg 109
A20/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
128-123
128
123
+5
126avg 109
A22/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
122-117
122
117
+5
120avg 109
H23/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
110-135
110
135
-25
100avg 109
A25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
110-99
110
99
+11
112avg 109
H27/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
117-101
117
101
+16
110avg 109
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
110-121
110
121
-11
98avg 109
A31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-34
27-35
30-18
24-31
26-21
37-31
35-37
28-32
25-30
23-18
30-22
20-32
30-37
23-38
27-19
22-29
40-34
30-18
28-36
30-35
28-29
27-26
33-30
34-32
31-23
30-32
25-44
24-36
26-22
28-32
32-17
24-28
35-25
28-25
26-28
28-23
31-26
20-29
34-38
25-28
229.6Avg total
113.6Scored
116.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)114.1117.0231.1-2.957%
Season at home (3)116.3105.7222.0+10.7100%
Season away (4)112.5125.5238.0-13.025%
Last 10 (10)113.6116.0229.6-2.450%
Last 5 (5)113.8114.6228.4-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)117.0132.0249.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)115.1117.3232.4-2.247%
vs Weaker (9)118.9117.4236.3+1.467%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -4.7-4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -4.7-4.7
Oklahoma City ThunderDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#9
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A07/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
51-66
51
66
-15
A11/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
52-65
52
65
-13
A20/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A23/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H24/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H26/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H28/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H02/11
NBA
110.9Avg total
52.3Scored
58.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.161.4115.5-7.410%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.861.6116.4-6.812%-
Last 30 away (14)53.261.2114.4-8.07%-
Last 10 (10)52.358.6110.9-6.310%-
Last 5 (5)51.054.6105.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)55.366.1121.4-10.86%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)52.555.4107.8-2.915%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H22/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H24/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A28/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
53-75
53
75
-22
A20/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
70-52
70
52
+18
A22/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H23/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H27/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A31/10
NBA
114.2Avg total
57.7Scored
56.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.958.3118.2+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)61.160.3121.4+0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)58.656.0114.6+2.650%-
Last 10 (10)57.756.5114.2+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)56.853.8110.6+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.567.0122.5-11.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)58.757.9116.6+0.837%-
vs Weaker (9)63.457.2120.7+6.278%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 108.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.130.8
51.2%
54.5%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.110.5
29.9%
35.8%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.514.9
76.4%
78.1%14.9
They take 95.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.028.7
54.2%
54.5%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.212.5
38.8%
35.8%37.5
🏀 Free throws25.318.7
73.9%
78.1%18.7
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWWLLLLLL
Denver Nuggets
LWWLWWLLWL
#20
League position
#2
-8.8
Net rating
-2.4
104.6
Offensive rating
112.3
113.4
Defensive rating
114.7
48.9%
Effective FG%
55.7%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
11.0%
Turnover %
15.0%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.9%
3-point %
38.8%
57.9%
Assist %
64.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 112.3Defence113.4 · 114.7Shooting48.9% · 55.7%3-point %29.9% · 38.8%Ball care11.0% · 15.0%Off. rebounds23.5% · 25.3%Free throws0.20 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/22HOrlando Magic116-108
30/10/22ADallas Mavericks117-111 OT
28/10/22HLos Angeles Clippers118-110
26/10/22HLos Angeles Clippers108-94
24/10/22HMinnesota Timberwolves106-116
23/10/22ADenver Nuggets117-122
20/10/22AMinnesota Timberwolves108-115
11/04/22ALos Angeles Clippers88-138
09/04/22ALos Angeles Lakers101-120
07/04/22AUtah Jazz101-137
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/22ALos Angeles Lakers110-121
29/10/22HUtah Jazz117-101
27/10/22HLos Angeles Lakers110-99
25/10/22APortland Trail Blazers110-135
23/10/22HOklahoma City Thunder122-117
22/10/22AGolden State Warriors128-123
20/10/22AUtah Jazz102-123
28/04/22AGolden State Warriors98-102
24/04/22HGolden State Warriors126-121
22/04/22HGolden State Warriors113-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game112.9112.0114.0
Allowed / game110.9107.0116.0
Point differential+2.0+5.0-2.0
Avg total223.7219.0230.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game114.1116.3112.5
Allowed / game117.0105.7125.5
Point differential-2.9+10.7-13.0
Avg total231.1222.0238.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks770100%113.3102.0+11.3
2 Phoenix Suns76186%118.3106.4+11.9
3 Cleveland Cavaliers76186%117.1106.7+10.4
4 Portland Trail Blazers75271%114.0110.6+3.4
5 Utah Jazz96367%115.6112.4+3.1
6 Toronto Raptors85362%113.9105.8+8.1
7 Atlanta Hawks85362%115.5114.6+0.9
8 Memphis Grizzlies85362%117.2119.5-2.2
9 San Antonio Spurs85362%115.8121.6-5.9
10 Dallas Mavericks74357%115.7109.0+6.7
11 New Orleans Pelicans74357%118.3112.6+5.7
12 Oklahoma City Thunder74357%112.9110.9+2.0
13 Boston Celtics74357%116.1114.4+1.7
14 Denver Nuggets74357%114.1117.0-2.9
15 Chicago Bulls95456%111.4108.8+2.7
16 Minnesota Timberwolves84450%114.1113.5+0.6
17 Washington Wizards84450%110.8111.4-0.6
18 Los Angeles Clippers84450%101.0106.2-5.2
19 Philadelphia 76ers94544%110.4109.6+0.9
20 Miami Heat94544%109.1110.0-0.9
21 New York Knicks73443%115.1115.1+0.0
22 Charlotte Hornets83538%113.4114.5-1.1
23 Indiana Pacers83538%117.6119.9-2.2
24 Golden State Warriors93633%118.8122.2-3.4
25 Sacramento Kings72529%113.3116.0-2.7
26 Los Angeles Lakers72529%107.4111.4-4.0
27 Brooklyn Nets82625%112.0118.8-6.8
28 Orlando Magic92722%108.6113.0-4.4
29 Detroit Pistons92722%109.4119.7-10.2
30 Houston Rockets91811%107.0115.7-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder29283815110
Denver Nuggets42292229122
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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