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Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 126-101
40-27 30-24 29-25 27-25
Position#2
Record5-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game115.1
Allowed / game116.1
vs
Position#29
Record5-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game114.7
Allowed / game120.7
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v San Antonio Spurs
03 Mar 2027
DEN v SAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
DEN136
SAS134
28 Nov 2025
DEN136
SAS139
02 Apr 2025
DEN106
SAS113
03 Jan 2025
DEN110
SAS113
02 Apr 2024
DEN110
SAS105
26 Nov 2023
DEN132
SAS120
05 Nov 2022
DEN126
SAS101
05 Apr 2022
DEN97
SAS116
22 Oct 2021
DEN102
SAS96
09 Apr 2021
DEN121
SAS119
07 Apr 2021
DEN106
SAS96
27 Mar 2020
DEN v SAS
upcoming
10 Feb 2020
DEN127
SAS120
27 Apr 2019
DEN90
SAS86
23 Apr 2019
DEN108
SAS90
16 Apr 2019
DEN114
SAS105
13 Apr 2019
DEN96
SAS101
03 Apr 2019
DEN113
SAS85
28 Dec 2018
DEN102
SAS99
23 Feb 2018
DEN122
SAS119
13 Feb 2018
DEN117
SAS109
05 Jan 2017
DEN99
SAS127
08 Apr 2016
DEN102
SAS98
27 Nov 2015
DEN80
SAS91
20 Jan 2015
DEN99
SAS109
14 Dec 2014
DEN91
SAS99
28 Mar 2014
DEN102
SAS133
05 Nov 2013
DEN94
SAS102
10 Apr 2013
DEN96
SAS86
18 Dec 2012
DEN112
SAS106
23 Feb 2012
DEN99
SAS114
23 Mar 2011
DEN115
SAS112
16 Dec 2010
DEN112
SAS113
10 Apr 2010
DEN85
SAS104
11 Feb 2010
DEN92
SAS111
03 Feb 2009
DEN104
SAS96
04 Dec 2008
DEN91
SAS108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
126-121
126
121
+5
125avg 110
H24/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
98-102
98
102
-4
95avg 110
A28/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
102-123
102
123
-21
92avg 110
A20/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
128-123
128
123
+5
126avg 110
A22/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
122-117
122
117
+5
120avg 110
H23/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
110-135
110
135
-25
100avg 110
A25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
110-99
110
99
+11
112avg 110
H27/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
117-101
117
101
+16
110avg 110
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
110-121
110
121
-11
98avg 110
A31/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
122-110
122
110
+12
126avg 110
A04/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
37-31
35-37
28-32
25-30
23-18
30-22
20-32
30-37
23-38
27-19
22-29
40-34
30-18
28-36
30-35
28-29
27-26
33-30
34-32
31-23
30-32
25-44
24-36
26-22
28-32
32-17
24-28
35-25
28-25
26-28
28-23
31-26
20-29
34-38
25-28
42-29
29-28
22-38
29-15
229.7Avg total
114.5Scored
115.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)115.1116.1231.2-1.062%
Season at home (3)116.3105.7222.0+10.7100%
Season away (5)114.4122.4236.8-8.040%
Last 10 (10)114.5115.2229.7-0.760%
Last 5 (5)113.8113.2227.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)117.0132.0249.0-15.00%
vs Similar (19)114.6116.5231.2-1.947%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)118.9117.4236.3+1.467%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
103-113
103
113
-10
82avg 106
A14/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
102-129
102
129
-27
84avg 106
H20/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
137-134
137
134
+3
135avg 106
A21/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
114-105
114
105
+9
108avg 106
A22/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
115-106
115
106
+9
109avg 106
A25/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
122-134
122
134
-12
116avg 106
A27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
129-124
129
124
+5
132avg 106
H29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
107-98
107
98
+9
104avg 106
H30/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
100-143
100
143
-43
92avg 106
H03/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
106-113
106
113
-7
92avg 106
H05/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
28-35
25-31
28-21
22-38
25-30
28-30
27-31
36-26
34-29
32-30
35-49
19-25
35-26
31-26
29-28
39-28
28-29
36-14
12-35
28-39
25-29
41-34
28-32
36-29
26-31
32-34
35-30
26-23
31-24
28-23
22-28
31-32
18-32
21-40
30-39
18-28
40-26
28-28
20-31
233.4Avg total
113.5Scored
119.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)114.7120.7235.3-6.056%
Season at home (5)108.8121.4230.2-12.640%
Season away (4)122.0119.8241.8+2.275%
Last 10 (10)113.5119.9233.4-6.450%
Last 5 (5)112.8122.4235.2-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)112.4114.9227.3-2.558%
vs Similar (12)112.1120.2232.3-8.225%
vs Weaker (6)122.2109.0231.2+13.283%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -5.8-5.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -5.8-5.8
Denver NuggetsSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H24/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A28/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
53-75
53
75
-22
A20/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
70-52
70
52
+18
A22/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H23/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H27/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A31/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
71-57
71
57
+14
A04/11
NBA
114.2Avg total
58.9Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.957.9117.8+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.459.7120.1+0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)59.456.1115.5+3.353%-
Last 10 (10)58.955.3114.2+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)60.054.2114.2+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.567.0122.5-11.550%-
vs Similar (19)58.757.3115.9+1.437%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)63.457.2120.7+6.278%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A14/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
47-68
47
68
-21
H20/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
70-55
70
55
+15
A21/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A22/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
67-57
67
57
+10
A25/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H30/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
49-64
49
64
-15
H03/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H05/11
NBA
115.2Avg total
56.7Scored
58.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.658.8117.4-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.260.0116.2-3.841%-
Last 30 away (13)61.857.2118.9+4.662%-
Last 10 (10)56.758.5115.2-1.860%-
Last 5 (5)55.858.6114.4-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)56.657.6114.2-1.058%-
vs Similar (12)57.361.6118.9-4.233%-
vs Weaker (6)65.355.5120.8+9.867%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.928.5
53.9%
54.5%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.713.2
40.4%
35.8%39.6
🏀 Free throws24.217.9
74.0%
78.1%17.9
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 113.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.227.7
50.2%
54.5%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.213.9
38.4%
35.8%41.7
🏀 Free throws22.016.4
74.5%
78.1%16.4
They take 91.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWWLWWLLW
San Antonio Spurs
LLWWLWWWLL
#2
League position
#29
-0.7
Net rating
-6.1
112.8
Offensive rating
107.9
113.5
Defensive rating
114.0
56.4%
Effective FG%
53.1%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
15.0%
Turnover %
14.7%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
40.4%
3-point %
38.4%
65.7%
Assist %
69.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 107.9Defence113.5 · 114.0Shooting56.4% · 53.1%3-point %40.4% · 38.4%Ball care15.0% · 14.7%Off. rebounds24.5% · 24.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/22AOklahoma City Thunder122-110
31/10/22ALos Angeles Lakers110-121
29/10/22HUtah Jazz117-101
27/10/22HLos Angeles Lakers110-99
25/10/22APortland Trail Blazers110-135
23/10/22HOklahoma City Thunder122-117
22/10/22AGolden State Warriors128-123
20/10/22AUtah Jazz102-123
28/04/22AGolden State Warriors98-102
24/04/22HGolden State Warriors126-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/22HLos Angeles Clippers106-113
03/11/22HToronto Raptors100-143
30/10/22HMinnesota Timberwolves107-98
29/10/22HChicago Bulls129-124
27/10/22AMinnesota Timberwolves122-134
25/10/22AMinnesota Timberwolves115-106
22/10/22APhiladelphia 76ers114-105
21/10/22AIndiana Pacers137-134
20/10/22HCharlotte Hornets102-129
14/04/22ANew Orleans Pelicans103-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%100%40%
Points / game115.1116.3114.4
Allowed / game116.1105.7122.4
Point differential-1.0+10.7-8.0
Avg total231.2222.0236.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL56%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%40%75%
Points / game114.7108.8122.0
Allowed / game120.7121.4119.8
Point differential-6.0-12.6+2.2
Avg total235.3230.2241.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks990100%112.9101.1+11.8
2 Cleveland Cavaliers87188%116.5104.4+12.1
3 Phoenix Suns86275%116.8106.6+10.1
4 Portland Trail Blazers86275%113.2110.0+3.2
5 Utah Jazz107370%117.0112.8+4.2
6 Boston Celtics96367%118.8115.3+3.4
7 Memphis Grizzlies96367%118.7117.2+1.4
8 Atlanta Hawks96367%116.4115.3+1.1
9 Dallas Mavericks85362%115.1109.1+6.0
10 Denver Nuggets85362%115.1116.1-1.0
11 Toronto Raptors95456%113.4106.3+7.1
12 New Orleans Pelicans95456%118.1113.0+5.1
13 Los Angeles Clippers95456%102.3106.2-3.9
14 San Antonio Spurs95456%114.7120.7-6.0
15 Chicago Bulls105550%112.2110.2+2.0
16 Minnesota Timberwolves105550%114.4114.0+0.4
17 Oklahoma City Thunder94544%110.4111.8-1.3
18 New York Knicks94544%114.4115.9-1.4
19 Indiana Pacers94544%115.8117.6-1.8
20 Washington Wizards94544%108.0113.2-5.2
21 Philadelphia 76ers104640%109.8109.2+0.6
22 Brooklyn Nets104640%112.2113.0-0.8
23 Miami Heat104640%108.1109.1-1.0
24 Sacramento Kings83538%114.9116.9-2.0
25 Golden State Warriors103730%117.4121.4-4.0
26 Charlotte Hornets103730%110.0114.4-4.4
27 Los Angeles Lakers82625%108.5113.8-5.2
28 Orlando Magic102820%110.0114.3-4.3
29 Detroit Pistons102820%107.3118.9-11.6
30 Houston Rockets101910%108.0117.0-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets40302927126
San Antonio Spurs27242525101
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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