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San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 08 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 109-115
28-28 34-37 27-29 20-21
Position#29
Record5-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game113.3
Allowed / game121.2
vs
Position#2
Record6-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game116.3
Allowed / game114.4
USANBA· AT&T Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Denver Nuggets
28 Feb 2027
SAS v DEN
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
SAS118
DEN128
12 Mar 2026
SAS131
DEN136
04 Jan 2025
SAS111
DEN122
12 Apr 2024
SAS121
DEN120
15 Mar 2024
SAS106
DEN117
10 Mar 2023
SAS128
DEN120
07 Nov 2022
SAS109
DEN115
11 Dec 2021
SAS112
DEN127
09 Dec 2021
SAS123
DEN111
29 Jan 2021
SAS119
DEN109
05 Aug 2020
SAS126
DEN132
25 Apr 2019
SAS120
DEN103
20 Apr 2019
SAS103
DEN117
18 Apr 2019
SAS118
DEN108
04 Mar 2019
SAS104
DEN103
26 Dec 2018
SAS111
DEN103
30 Jan 2018
SAS106
DEN104
13 Jan 2018
SAS112
DEN80
04 Feb 2017
SAS121
DEN97
19 Jan 2017
SAS118
DEN104
26 Dec 2015
SAS101
DEN86
18 Nov 2015
SAS109
DEN98
03 Apr 2015
SAS123
DEN93
06 Mar 2015
SAS120
DEN111
26 Mar 2014
SAS108
DEN103
27 Mar 2013
SAS100
DEN99
17 Nov 2012
SAS126
DEN100
04 Mar 2012
SAS94
DEN99
07 Jan 2012
SAS121
DEN117
16 Jan 2011
SAS110
DEN97
22 Dec 2010
SAS109
DEN103
31 Jan 2010
SAS89
DEN103
05 Dec 2009
SAS99
DEN106
19 Nov 2008
SAS81
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
102-129
102
129
-27
84avg 106
H20/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
137-134
137
134
+3
135avg 106
A21/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
114-105
114
105
+9
108avg 106
A22/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
115-106
115
106
+9
109avg 106
A25/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
122-134
122
134
-12
116avg 106
A27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
129-124
129
124
+5
132avg 106
H29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
107-98
107
98
+9
104avg 106
H30/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
100-143
100
143
-43
92avg 106
H03/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
106-113
106
113
-7
92avg 106
H05/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
101-126
101
126
-25
91avg 106
A06/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-38
25-30
28-30
27-31
36-26
34-29
32-30
35-49
19-25
35-26
31-26
29-28
39-28
28-29
36-14
12-35
28-39
25-29
41-34
28-32
36-29
26-31
32-34
35-30
26-23
31-24
28-23
22-28
31-32
18-32
21-40
30-39
18-28
40-26
28-28
20-31
27-40
24-30
25-29
25-27
234.5Avg total
113.3Scored
121.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)113.3121.2234.5-7.950%
Season at home (5)108.8121.4230.2-12.640%
Season away (5)117.8121.0238.8-3.260%
Last 10 (10)113.3121.2234.5-7.950%
Last 5 (5)108.6120.8229.4-12.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)111.5115.8227.3-4.254%
vs Similar (12)112.1120.2232.3-8.225%
vs Weaker (5)124.2107.8232.0+16.4100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
98-102
98
102
-4
95avg 110
A28/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
102-123
102
123
-21
92avg 110
A20/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
128-123
128
123
+5
126avg 110
A22/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
122-117
122
117
+5
120avg 110
H23/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
110-135
110
135
-25
100avg 110
A25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
110-99
110
99
+11
112avg 110
H27/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
117-101
117
101
+16
110avg 110
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
110-121
110
121
-11
98avg 110
A31/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
122-110
122
110
+12
126avg 110
A04/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
126-101
126
101
+25
134avg 110
H06/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
23-18
30-22
20-32
30-37
23-38
27-19
22-29
40-34
30-18
28-36
30-35
28-29
27-26
33-30
34-32
31-23
30-32
25-44
24-36
26-22
28-32
32-17
24-28
35-25
28-25
26-28
28-23
31-26
20-29
34-38
25-28
42-29
29-28
22-38
29-15
40-27
30-24
29-25
27-25
227.7Avg total
114.5Scored
113.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)116.3114.4230.8+1.967%
Season at home (4)118.8104.5223.2+14.2100%
Season away (5)114.4122.4236.8-8.040%
Last 10 (10)114.5113.2227.7+1.360%
Last 5 (5)117.0106.4223.4+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)117.0132.0249.0-15.00%
vs Similar (19)114.6116.5231.2-1.947%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)121.1117.6238.7+3.667%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -6.7-6.7Q4: -2.0-2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -6.7-6.7Q4: -2.0-2.0
San Antonio SpursDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
47-68
47
68
-21
H20/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
70-55
70
55
+15
A21/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A22/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
67-57
67
57
+10
A25/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H30/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
49-64
49
64
-15
H03/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H05/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
51-70
51
70
-19
A06/11
NBA
116.2Avg total
56.8Scored
59.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.659.0117.6-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.659.8116.3-3.244%-
Last 30 away (14)61.058.1119.1+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)56.859.4116.2-2.660%-
Last 5 (5)55.459.0114.4-3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)56.258.5114.7-2.454%-
vs Similar (12)57.361.6118.9-4.233%-
vs Weaker (5)68.253.8122.0+14.480%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A28/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
53-75
53
75
-22
A20/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
70-52
70
52
+18
A22/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H23/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H27/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A31/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
71-57
71
57
+14
A04/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
70-51
70
51
+19
H06/11
NBA
114.8Avg total
59.6Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.157.9118.0+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)61.059.2120.2+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)59.156.4115.6+2.750%-
Last 10 (10)59.655.2114.8+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)61.853.4115.2+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.567.0122.5-11.550%-
vs Similar (19)58.757.3115.9+1.437%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)64.257.2121.4+7.078%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 113.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.528.0
51.4%
54.5%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.813.8
38.5%
35.8%41.4
🏀 Free throws21.715.9
73.3%
78.1%15.9
They take 90.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.529.7
54.5%
54.5%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.513.2
40.6%
35.8%39.6
🏀 Free throws21.615.5
71.8%
78.1%15.5
They take 87.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
LLLWWLWWWL
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWLWWLL
#29
League position
#2
-7.5
Net rating
+1.3
107.7
Offensive rating
113.7
115.3
Defensive rating
112.4
53.9%
Effective FG%
56.9%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
15.6%
Turnover %
14.7%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.5%
3-point %
40.6%
71.3%
Assist %
66.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 113.7Defence115.3 · 112.4Shooting53.9% · 56.9%3-point %38.5% · 40.6%Ball care15.6% · 14.7%Off. rebounds24.0% · 25.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/22ADenver Nuggets101-126
05/11/22HLos Angeles Clippers106-113
03/11/22HToronto Raptors100-143
30/10/22HMinnesota Timberwolves107-98
29/10/22HChicago Bulls129-124
27/10/22AMinnesota Timberwolves122-134
25/10/22AMinnesota Timberwolves115-106
22/10/22APhiladelphia 76ers114-105
21/10/22AIndiana Pacers137-134
20/10/22HCharlotte Hornets102-129
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/22HSan Antonio Spurs126-101
04/11/22AOklahoma City Thunder122-110
31/10/22ALos Angeles Lakers110-121
29/10/22HUtah Jazz117-101
27/10/22HLos Angeles Lakers110-99
25/10/22APortland Trail Blazers110-135
23/10/22HOklahoma City Thunder122-117
22/10/22AGolden State Warriors128-123
20/10/22AUtah Jazz102-123
28/04/22AGolden State Warriors98-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%40%60%
Points / game113.3108.8117.8
Allowed / game121.2121.4121.0
Point differential-7.9-12.6-3.2
Avg total234.5230.2238.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%100%40%
Points / game116.3118.8114.4
Allowed / game114.4104.5122.4
Point differential+1.9+14.2-8.0
Avg total230.8223.2236.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%75%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks109190%111.4102.7+8.7
2 Cleveland Cavaliers98189%116.2103.9+12.3
3 Utah Jazz118373%116.4111.8+4.5
4 Phoenix Suns107370%112.4103.5+8.9
5 Boston Celtics107370%117.8114.4+3.4
6 Atlanta Hawks107370%116.5113.6+2.9
7 Portland Trail Blazers107370%109.8108.9+0.9
8 Denver Nuggets96367%116.3114.4+1.9
9 Memphis Grizzlies117464%116.1114.6+1.5
10 Dallas Mavericks85362%115.1109.1+6.0
11 Toronto Raptors116555%111.9106.5+5.4
12 New Orleans Pelicans105550%118.5114.6+3.9
13 Chicago Bulls126650%111.4109.3+2.1
14 New York Knicks105550%115.0115.0+0.0
15 Indiana Pacers105550%117.1118.0-0.9
16 Los Angeles Clippers105550%102.3106.6-4.3
17 San Antonio Spurs105550%113.3121.2-7.9
18 Philadelphia 76ers115645%108.9107.3+1.6
19 Minnesota Timberwolves115645%113.7114.5-0.8
20 Washington Wizards115645%107.0111.1-4.1
21 Brooklyn Nets104640%112.2113.0-0.8
22 Oklahoma City Thunder104640%109.7111.8-2.1
23 Sacramento Kings83538%114.9116.9-2.0
24 Miami Heat114736%108.0109.2-1.2
25 Golden State Warriors103730%117.4121.4-4.0
26 Charlotte Hornets113827%109.1113.8-4.7
27 Detroit Pistons113827%107.7117.5-9.7
28 Los Angeles Lakers92722%107.6113.8-6.2
29 Orlando Magic112918%111.5116.1-4.5
30 Houston Rockets112918%110.4117.9-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs28342720109
Denver Nuggets28372921115
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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