PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 121-95
26-19 30-30 40-26 25-20
Position#18
Record26-24
FormLLWWL
Points / game110.1
Allowed / game111.2
vs
Position#14
Record27-23
FormWLWWW
Points / game111.6
Allowed / game110.6
USANBA· Kaseya Center (Miami)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Miami Heat v Orlando Magic
10 Mar 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
MIA117
ORL121
28 Jan 2026
MIA124
ORL133
27 Jan 2025
MIA125
ORL119
23 Oct 2024
MIA97
ORL116
06 Feb 2024
MIA121
ORL95
12 Jan 2024
MIA99
ORL96
09 Apr 2023
MIA123
ORL110
27 Jan 2023
MIA110
ORL105
26 Dec 2021
MIA93
ORL83
25 Oct 2021
MIA107
ORL90
11 Mar 2021
MIA111
ORL103
04 Mar 2020
MIA116
ORL113
27 Jan 2020
MIA113
ORL92
26 Mar 2019
MIA99
ORL104
04 Dec 2018
MIA90
ORL105
05 Feb 2018
MIA109
ORL111
26 Dec 2017
MIA107
ORL89
13 Feb 2017
MIA107
ORL116
20 Dec 2016
MIA130
ORL136
10 Apr 2016
MIA118
ORL96
25 Mar 2016
MIA108
ORL97
13 Apr 2015
MIA100
ORL93
29 Dec 2014
MIA101
ORL102
01 Mar 2014
MIA112
ORL98
23 Nov 2013
MIA101
ORL99
17 Apr 2013
MIA105
ORL93
06 Mar 2013
MIA97
ORL96
18 Mar 2012
MIA91
ORL81
19 Feb 2012
MIA90
ORL78
18 Dec 2011
MIA118
ORL85
03 Mar 2011
MIA96
ORL99
29 Oct 2010
MIA96
ORL70
18 Mar 2010
MIA102
ORL108
17 Dec 2009
MIA104
ORL86
30 Mar 2009
MIA95
ORL101
24 Jan 2009
MIA103
ORL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
97-121
97
121
-24
84avg 102
A18/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
108-109
108
109
-1
102avg 102
H20/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
87-105
87
105
-18
75avg 102
A21/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
96-105
96
105
-9
86avg 102
H25/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
110-143
110
143
-33
93avg 102
H26/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
109-125
109
125
-16
100avg 102
A27/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
105-118
105
118
-13
95avg 102
H30/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
115-106
115
106
+9
122avg 102
H01/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
110-102
110
102
+8
107avg 102
A03/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
95-103
95
103
-8
85avg 102
H04/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-41
25-37
30-16
24-27
24-32
32-25
27-24
25-28
19-22
27-26
23-33
18-24
22-21
20-28
26-33
28-23
29-42
35-35
26-36
20-30
30-27
21-34
35-28
23-36
25-33
24-29
25-38
31-18
28-22
31-33
31-29
25-22
31-33
25-26
31-15
23-28
22-19
21-24
24-26
28-34
216.9Avg total
103.2Scored
113.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)110.1111.2221.4-1.152%
Season at home (25)112.9114.2227.1-1.352%
Season away (25)107.4108.2215.6-0.952%
Last 10 (10)103.2113.7216.9-10.520%
Last 5 (5)106.8110.8217.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)112.7127.7240.3-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)107.8109.7217.5-1.953%
vs Weaker (8)107.4106.6214.0+0.862%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
104-106
104
106
-2
88avg 102
A18/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
109-124
109
124
-15
103avg 102
H20/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
105-87
105
87
+18
100avg 102
H21/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
99-126
99
126
-27
91avg 102
H23/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
106-107
106
107
-1
96avg 102
A27/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
113-98
113
98
+15
103avg 102
H28/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
129-131
129
131
-2
119avg 102
A30/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
108-98
108
98
+10
105avg 102
A01/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
108-106
108
106
+2
100avg 102
A03/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
111-99
111
99
+12
102avg 102
A04/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
25-23
25-29
28-28
34-32
26-36
16-21
33-35
22-19
26-27
33-23
24-18
19-38
28-34
27-35
25-19
31-31
28-37
25-22
22-17
26-37
25-19
31-29
31-13
35-26
42-35
12-35
40-35
27-30
30-21
34-21
17-26
26-38
28-21
26-29
28-18
24-29
26-18
28-28
33-24
217.4Avg total
109.2Scored
108.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)111.6110.6222.2+1.054%
Season at home (22)114.0108.3222.3+5.768%
Season away (28)109.6112.4222.0-2.843%
Last 10 (10)109.2108.2217.4+1.050%
Last 5 (5)113.8106.4220.2+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)102.7118.0220.7-15.30%
vs Similar ◀ (20)109.5112.3221.8-2.940%
vs Weaker (7)113.7104.3218.0+9.471%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +4.8+4.8
Miami HeatOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
43-78
43
78
-35
A18/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
56-57
56
57
-1
H20/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A21/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H25/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H26/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A27/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
49-62
49
62
-13
H30/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H01/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A03/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H04/02
NBA
109.8Avg total
50.9Scored
58.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.255.3110.5-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.654.8111.4+1.853%-
Last 30 away (13)53.556.0109.5-2.531%-
Last 10 (10)50.958.9109.8-8.010%-
Last 5 (5)51.656.0107.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.365.3131.7+1.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)54.454.3108.6+0.142%-
vs Weaker (8)53.154.0107.1-0.938%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A18/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H20/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H21/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
47-72
47
72
-25
H23/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A27/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H28/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
77-61
77
61
+16
A30/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A01/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A03/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A04/02
NBA
113.1Avg total
55.4Scored
57.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.858.2112.0-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (11)50.457.4107.7-7.027%-
Last 30 away (19)55.858.7114.5-2.932%-
Last 10 (10)55.457.7113.1-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)57.854.8112.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)47.058.0105.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)54.259.7113.9-5.520%-
vs Weaker (7)55.654.1109.7+1.471%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 103.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.926.3
49.7%
54.4%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.3
33.8%
36.3%33.9
🏀 Free throws20.116.7
83.1%
78.2%16.7
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 109.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.229.1
53.7%
54.4%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.5
36.0%
36.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws25.419.5
76.8%
78.2%19.5
They take 83.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWWLLLLLLL
Orlando Magic
WWWLWLLWLL
#18
League position
#14
-10.9
Net rating
+1.0
107.6
Offensive rating
113.3
118.5
Defensive rating
112.3
50.1%
Effective FG%
53.8%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
11.9%
Turnover %
13.0%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.8%
3-point %
36.0%
65.2%
Assist %
60.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 113.3Defence118.5 · 112.3Shooting50.1% · 53.8%3-point %33.8% · 36.0%Ball care11.9% · 13.0%Off. rebounds23.5% · 26.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Miami Heat wins
3
Orlando Magic wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24HLos Angeles Clippers95-103
03/02/24AWashington Wizards110-102
01/02/24HSacramento Kings115-106
30/01/24HPhoenix Suns105-118
27/01/24ANew York Knicks109-125
26/01/24HBoston Celtics110-143
25/01/24HMemphis Grizzlies96-105
21/01/24AOrlando Magic87-105
20/01/24HAtlanta Hawks108-109
18/01/24AToronto Raptors97-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24ADetroit Pistons111-99
03/02/24AMinnesota Timberwolves108-106
01/02/24ASan Antonio Spurs108-98
30/01/24ADallas Mavericks129-131
28/01/24HPhoenix Suns113-98
27/01/24AMemphis Grizzlies106-107
23/01/24HCleveland Cavaliers99-126
21/01/24HMiami Heat105-87
20/01/24HPhiladelphia 76ers109-124
18/01/24AAtlanta Hawks104-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL52%
HomeLLLWL52%
AwayWLLLW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502525
Win %52%52%52%
Points / game110.1112.9107.4
Allowed / game111.2114.2108.2
Point differential-1.1-1.3-0.9
Avg total221.4227.1215.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%12%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)57% (7)60% (5)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW54%
HomeLLWLW68%
AwayLLWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502228
Win %54%68%43%
Points / game111.6114.0109.6
Allowed / game110.6108.3112.4
Point differential+1.0+5.7-2.8
Avg total222.2222.3222.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)67% (3)43% (14)
Overtime %4%5%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics49381178%120.5110.4+10.0
2 Oklahoma City Thunder50351570%120.8112.8+8.0
3 Minnesota Timberwolves50351570%112.9106.7+6.2
4 Los Angeles Clippers49341569%118.8112.3+6.4
5 Denver Nuggets51351669%114.8110.6+4.2
6 Cleveland Cavaliers48321667%114.8109.7+5.1
7 Milwaukee Bucks48321667%123.3119.7+3.6
8 New York Knicks49321765%114.9108.5+6.4
9 Philadelphia 76ers49301961%118.8113.4+5.4
10 Sacramento Kings48291960%118.4117.6+0.7
11 Phoenix Suns49292059%117.6114.8+2.9
12 New Orleans Pelicans48282058%117.2112.1+5.2
13 Indiana Pacers50272354%124.3122.8+1.5
14 Orlando Magic50272354%111.6110.6+1.0
15 Dallas Mavericks50272354%118.2118.5-0.3
16 Miami Heat50262452%110.1111.2-1.1
17 Los Angeles Lakers50252550%116.1118.0-1.9
18 Utah Jazz51252649%117.7119.7-2.0
19 Golden State Warriors47222547%118.7118.4+0.3
20 Houston Rockets50232746%113.7112.7+1.0
21 Chicago Bulls50232746%111.1112.6-1.6
22 Atlanta Hawks50222844%121.6123.9-2.3
23 Brooklyn Nets49202941%114.3115.3-1.0
24 Memphis Grizzlies50183236%106.9113.1-6.1
25 Toronto Raptors50173334%114.3117.8-3.5
26 Portland Trail Blazers50153530%108.4116.6-8.3
27 Charlotte Hornets49103920%108.5120.3-11.8
28 San Antonio Spurs50104020%112.3120.9-8.5
29 Washington Wizards4994018%114.7124.0-9.3
30 Detroit Pistons4964312%112.6122.3-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat26304025121
Orlando Magic1930262095
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.