Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Mar 2024

Tip-off: 03:00

Final 103-97

36-20 20-31 27-19 20-27

Position#3

Record40-19

FormLWWWW

Points / game114.6

Allowed / game110.4

Denver Nuggets 🏆

Miami Heat

Position#18

Record33-25

FormWWWWW

Points / game110.6

Allowed / game109.9

NBA· Ball Arena (Denver)

NBA2023-24

Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Miami Heat winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver Nuggets USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNuggets

Date

Competition

Portland Trail Blazers

#27

120-108

120

108

+12

122avg 109

H03/02

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

#27

112-103

112

103

107avg 109

H05/02

NBA

Los Angeles Lakers

#16

114-106

114

106

113avg 109

A09/02

NBA

Sacramento Kings

#11

106-135

106

135

-29

96avg 109

A10/02

NBA

Milwaukee Bucks

95-112

112

-17

82avg 109

A13/02

NBA

Sacramento Kings

#11

98-102

102

-4

90avg 109

H15/02

NBA

Washington Wizards

#29

130-110

130

110

+20

139avg 109

H23/02

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

#27

127-112

127

112

+15

133avg 109

A24/02

NBA

Golden State Warriors

#15

119-103

119

103

+16

116avg 109

A26/02

NBA

Sacramento Kings

#11

117-96

117

+21

121avg 109

H29/02

NBA

33-20

26-35

33-29

28-24

25-37

35-26

26-21

26-19

29-23

30-26

24-30

31-27

35-32

22-35

29-39

20-29

23-28

21-32

19-31

32-21

27-16

26-25

21-30

24-31

38-25

34-24

29-34

29-27

25-20

38-28

32-29

32-35

30-36

31-25

30-26

28-16

28-35

37-20

35-17

17-24

222.5Avg total

113.8Scored

108.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (59)	114.6	110.4	225.0	+4.1	68%
Season at home (28)	119.0	109.1	228.1	+10.0	82%
Season away (31)	110.5	111.7	222.2	-1.1	55%
Last 10 (10)	113.8	108.7	222.5	+5.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	118.2	104.6	222.8	+13.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	102.0	100.0	202.0	+2.0	100%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	110.8	113.3	224.1	-2.5	53%
vs Weaker (12)	119.6	107.6	227.2	+12.0	92%

This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Miami Heat USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormHeat

Date

Competition

Washington Wizards

#29

110-102

110

102

107avg 104

A03/02

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

95-103

103

-8

85avg 104

H04/02

NBA

Orlando Magic

#14

121-95

121

+26

122avg 104

H07/02

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

#26

116-104

116

104

+12

113avg 104

H08/02

NBA

Boston Celtics

106-110

106

110

-4

91avg 104

H11/02

NBA

Milwaukee Bucks

123-97

123

+26

126avg 104

A14/02

NBA

Philadelphia 76ers

#13

109-104

109

104

104avg 104

A15/02

NBA

New Orleans Pelicans

#10

106-95

106

+11

98avg 104

A24/02

NBA

Sacramento Kings

#11

121-110

121

110

+11

114avg 104

A27/02

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

#27

106-96

106

+10

106avg 104

A28/02

NBA

31-33

25-26

31-15

23-28

22-19

21-24

24-26

28-34

26-19

30-30

40-26

25-20

32-31

21-20

25-26

38-27

22-26

28-33

29-27

27-24

40-28

29-24

25-21

33-33

27-29

23-20

26-22

31-24

27-34

26-22

22-15

32-33

33-29

36-19

20-29

15-28

31-28

34-20

26-20

212.9Avg total

111.3Scored

101.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (58)	110.6	109.9	220.5	+0.7	57%
Season at home (28)	113.1	113.0	226.1	+0.1	54%
Season away (30)	108.3	106.9	215.2	+1.4	60%
Last 10 (10)	111.3	101.6	212.9	+9.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	113.0	100.4	213.4	+12.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	112.0	127.0	239.0	-15.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	109.0	106.5	215.4	+2.5	65%
vs Weaker (7)	105.4	104.6	210.0	+0.9	57%

This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Denver NuggetsMiami Heat

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.5	27.8	57.3	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	30.2	26.7	56.9	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	28.8	29.0	57.8	-0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.3	27.2	56.5	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.6	26.4	56.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	31.0	32.0	63.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	29.8	28.8	58.6	+0.9	53%	-
vs Weaker (12)	29.0	26.1	55.1	+2.9	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.3	26.8	54.1	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	27.6	25.8	53.4	+1.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	26.9	27.8	54.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.4	27.4	55.8	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.2	29.2	59.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	28.7	32.3	61.0	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	28.0	25.5	53.5	+2.5	60%	-
vs Weaker (7)	24.6	28.1	52.7	-3.6	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.2	29.0	58.3	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	29.9	27.0	56.9	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	28.5	31.1	59.6	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.0	27.6	57.6	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	24.4	57.6	+8.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	29.0	53.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	28.4	29.1	57.4	-0.7	47%	-
vs Weaker (12)	30.9	29.0	59.9	+1.9	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.2	29.0	56.2	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	27.9	28.9	56.9	-1.0	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	26.5	29.0	55.5	-2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.2	27.7	54.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.4	28.8	58.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	32.3	34.7	67.0	-2.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	27.4	29.2	56.5	-1.8	35%	-
vs Weaker (7)	24.7	25.9	50.6	-1.1	43%	-

Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Portland Trail Blazers

#27

59-55

H03/02

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

#27

60-63

-3

H05/02

NBA

Los Angeles Lakers

#16

59-49

+10

A09/02

NBA

Sacramento Kings

#11

57-67

-10

A10/02

NBA

Milwaukee Bucks

44-60

-16

A13/02

NBA

Sacramento Kings

#11

53-41

+12

H15/02

NBA

Washington Wizards

#29

72-49

+23

H23/02

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

#27

63-48

+15

A24/02

NBA

Golden State Warriors

#15

61-61

A26/02

NBA

Sacramento Kings

#11

65-55

+10

H29/02

NBA

114.1Avg total

59.3Scored

54.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	58.7	56.9	115.6	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	60.1	53.7	113.8	+6.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	57.3	60.1	117.4	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	59.3	54.8	114.1	+4.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	62.8	50.8	113.6	+12.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	55.0	61.0	116.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	58.1	57.9	116.0	+0.2	47%	-
vs Weaker (12)	59.9	55.1	115.0	+4.8	58%	-

This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Washington Wizards

#29

56-59

-3

A03/02

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

43-43

H04/02

NBA

Orlando Magic

#14

56-49

H07/02

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

#26

53-51

H08/02

NBA

Boston Celtics

50-59

-9

H11/02

NBA

Milwaukee Bucks

69-52

+17

A14/02

NBA

Philadelphia 76ers

#13

60-62

-2

A15/02

NBA

New Orleans Pelicans

#10

58-58

A24/02

NBA

Sacramento Kings

#11

65-62

A27/02

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

#27

46-56

-10

A28/02

NBA

110.7Avg total

55.6Scored

55.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	54.5	55.8	110.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	55.5	54.7	110.3	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	53.5	56.8	110.3	-3.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	55.6	55.1	110.7	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	59.6	58.0	117.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	61.0	67.0	128.0	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	55.4	54.7	110.1	+0.6	45%	-
vs Weaker (7)	49.3	54.0	103.3	-4.7	29%	-

This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.2	27.8	57.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	31.3	28.1	59.4	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	27.1	27.4	54.5	-0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.8	28.6	56.4	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.4	27.2	56.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	26.0	21.0	47.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	27.6	29.4	57.1	-1.8	47%	-
vs Weaker (12)	31.7	26.0	57.7	+5.7	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.1	26.8	54.9	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	27.0	28.9	55.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	29.2	24.7	53.9	+4.5	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.7	22.5	52.2	+7.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.6	21.0	50.6	+8.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	27.3	32.3	59.7	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	27.8	26.6	54.4	+1.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (7)	29.4	24.9	54.3	+4.6	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.1	25.9	52.0	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.9	26.2	52.1	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	26.2	25.7	51.9	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.7	25.3	52.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	26.6	52.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	25.0	26.0	51.0	-1.0	35%	-
vs Weaker (12)	28.0	26.5	54.5	+1.5	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.6	25.3	50.9	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	27.9	25.9	53.8	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.3	24.7	48.0	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.0	24.0	50.0	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.4	45.2	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.7	27.7	51.3	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	25.5	24.8	50.3	+0.7	60%	-
vs Weaker (7)	26.7	25.7	52.4	+1.0	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	55.3	53.7	109.0	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	57.2	54.3	111.5	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	53.3	53.1	106.4	+0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	54.5	53.9	108.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	55.4	53.8	109.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	47.0	39.0	86.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	52.6	55.4	108.1	-2.8	41%	-
vs Weaker (12)	59.7	52.5	112.2	+7.2	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	53.7	52.1	105.8	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	54.9	54.8	109.7	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	52.5	49.3	101.9	+3.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	55.7	46.5	102.2	+9.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	53.4	42.4	95.8	+11.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	51.0	60.0	111.0	-9.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	53.2	51.4	104.7	+1.9	60%	-
vs Weaker (7)	56.1	50.6	106.7	+5.6	57%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀57%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀13%

🏀🏀 2-pointers65.0 pts a game · 57% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 13% of the points

League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game

51%

34%

15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	57.6	32.5	56.4%	54.4%	65.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.3	11.4	35.3%	36.3%	34.2
🏀 Free throws	18.4	14.6	79.3%	78.2%	14.6

They take 89.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 111.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game

51%

34%

15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	52.9	29.3	55.4%	54.4%	58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.5	12.0	35.8%	36.3%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	21.2	16.7	78.8%	78.2%	16.7

They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	57.8	28.9	50.0%	54.4%	57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.7	11.9	37.5%	36.3%	35.7
🏀 Free throws	20.5	15.2	74.1%	78.2%	15.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	50.1	26.7	53.3%	54.4%	53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.1	11.8	32.7%	36.3%	35.4
🏀 Free throws	16.9	12.8	75.7%	78.2%	12.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	56.2	32.0	56.9%	54.4%	64.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.1	11.2	36.1%	36.3%	33.7
🏀 Free throws	20.7	16.3	78.7%	78.2%	16.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	52.0	27.1	52.1%	54.4%	54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.6	12.0	35.7%	36.3%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	22.7	18.3	80.4%	78.2%	18.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	55.9	29.2	52.3%	54.4%	58.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.8	11.8	37.1%	36.3%	35.4
🏀 Free throws	21.9	16.7	76.1%	78.2%	16.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	49.7	27.1	54.4%	54.4%	54.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	37.6	13.1	34.8%	36.3%	39.3
🏀 Free throws	19.1	14.6	76.5%	78.2%	14.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Denver Nuggets

WWWWLLLWWW

Miami Heat

WWWWWLWWLW

League position

#18

+5.2

Net rating

+9.9

115.0

Offensive rating

113.2

109.8

Defensive rating

103.4

55.2%

Effective FG%

54.7%

52.2%

Opp. effective FG%

51.5%

13.0%

Turnover %

12.4%

27.8%

Off. rebound %

22.6%

0.20

Free-throw rate

0.25

35.3%

3-point %

35.8%

71.3%

Assist %

64.4%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

80%

Profile

■ Denver Nuggets ■ Miami Heat

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Denver Nuggets wins

Miami Heat wins

Date	Game	Score
13/06/23	Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat	94-89
10/06/23	Miami Heat v Denver Nuggets	95-108
08/06/23	Miami Heat v Denver Nuggets	94-109
05/06/23	Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat	108-111
02/06/23	Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat	104-93
14/02/23	Miami Heat v Denver Nuggets	108-112
31/12/22	Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat	124-119
30/11/21	Miami Heat v Denver Nuggets	111-120
09/11/21	Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat	113-96
15/04/21	Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat	123-106

Denver Nuggetslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/02/24	H	Sacramento Kings	117-96
26/02/24	A	Golden State Warriors	119-103
24/02/24	A	Portland Trail Blazers	127-112
23/02/24	H	Washington Wizards	130-110
15/02/24	H	Sacramento Kings	98-102
13/02/24	A	Milwaukee Bucks	95-112
10/02/24	A	Sacramento Kings	106-135
09/02/24	A	Los Angeles Lakers	114-106
05/02/24	H	Portland Trail Blazers	112-103
03/02/24	H	Portland Trail Blazers	120-108

Miami Heatlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/02/24	A	Portland Trail Blazers	106-96
27/02/24	A	Sacramento Kings	121-110
24/02/24	A	New Orleans Pelicans	106-95
15/02/24	A	Philadelphia 76ers	109-104
14/02/24	A	Milwaukee Bucks	123-97
11/02/24	H	Boston Celtics	106-110
08/02/24	H	San Antonio Spurs	116-104
07/02/24	H	Orlando Magic	121-95
04/02/24	H	Los Angeles Clippers	95-103
03/02/24	A	Washington Wizards	110-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets

NBA 2023-24

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	68%
Home	WWLWW	82%
Away	WLLWW	55%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	59	28	31
Win %	68%	82%	55%
Points / game	114.6	119.0	110.5
Allowed / game	110.4	109.1	111.7
Point differential	+4.1	+10.0	-1.1
Avg total	225.0	228.1	222.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	54%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (16)	40% (5)	55% (11)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Miami Heat

NBA 2023-24

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	57%
Home	WLWWL	54%
Away	WWWWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	58	28	30
Win %	57%	54%	60%
Points / game	110.6	113.1	108.3
Allowed / game	109.9	113.0	106.9
Point differential	+0.7	+0.1	+1.4
Avg total	220.5	226.1	215.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	18%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (14)	50% (8)	67% (6)
Overtime %	2%	0%	3%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Boston Celtics	57	46	11	81%	120.8	110.0	+10.8
2	Minnesota Timberwolves	59	42	17	71%	113.6	106.3	+7.2
3	Oklahoma City Thunder	59	41	18	69%	121.2	113.3	+7.9
4	Denver Nuggets	59	40	19	68%	114.6	110.4	+4.1
5	Cleveland Cavaliers	58	38	20	66%	114.7	109.7	+5.0
6	Milwaukee Bucks	58	38	20	66%	121.3	117.1	+4.1
7	Los Angeles Clippers	57	37	20	65%	117.5	112.9	+4.5
8	Phoenix Suns	58	35	23	60%	117.6	114.4	+3.2
9	New York Knicks	59	35	24	59%	113.4	109.3	+4.1
10	New Orleans Pelicans	58	34	24	59%	116.3	111.4	+4.9
11	Sacramento Kings	57	33	24	58%	118.1	117.7	+0.4
12	Dallas Mavericks	59	34	25	58%	118.9	117.6	+1.3
13	Philadelphia 76ers	58	33	25	57%	117.0	113.7	+3.3
14	Miami Heat	58	33	25	57%	110.6	109.9	+0.7
15	Orlando Magic	60	34	26	57%	111.5	110.2	+1.3
16	Indiana Pacers	58	32	26	55%	123.9	122.2	+1.7
17	Golden State Warriors	58	31	27	53%	119.1	117.0	+2.1
18	Los Angeles Lakers	58	30	28	52%	116.8	118.1	-1.3
19	Chicago Bulls	59	28	31	47%	111.9	113.1	-1.2
20	Utah Jazz	60	27	33	45%	117.5	120.4	-2.9
21	Atlanta Hawks	59	26	33	44%	120.7	122.9	-2.1
22	Houston Rockets	59	25	34	42%	112.7	113.1	-0.4
23	Brooklyn Nets	59	23	36	39%	112.1	114.5	-2.4
24	Toronto Raptors	59	22	37	37%	114.6	117.8	-3.2
25	Memphis Grizzlies	59	20	39	34%	106.4	112.7	-6.3
26	Portland Trail Blazers	57	15	42	26%	107.2	116.3	-9.0
27	Charlotte Hornets	59	15	44	25%	107.5	118.1	-10.5
28	San Antonio Spurs	60	12	48	20%	112.3	120.6	-8.3
29	Detroit Pistons	58	9	49	16%	112.7	121.3	-8.7
30	Washington Wizards	58	9	49	16%	114.3	124.2	-9.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Denver Nuggets	36	20	27	20	103
Miami Heat	20	31	19	27	97

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Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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