PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 100-103
34-31 31-24 17-22 18-26
Position#15
Record8-14
FormLLLWL
Points / game106.6
Allowed / game112.0
vs
Position#18
Record5-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game119.6
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Miami Heat v Washington Wizards
09 Apr 2027
MIA v WAS
upcoming
03 Dec 2026
MIA v WAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
MIA152
WAS136
10 Mar 2026
MIA150
WAS129
13 Apr 2025
MIA118
WAS119
03 Mar 2025
MIA106
WAS90
10 Mar 2024
MIA108
WAS110
03 Nov 2023
MIA121
WAS114
25 Nov 2022
MIA110
WAS107
23 Nov 2022
MIA113
WAS105
28 Dec 2021
MIA119
WAS112
18 Nov 2021
MIA112
WAS97
05 Feb 2021
MIA122
WAS95
03 Feb 2021
MIA100
WAS103
22 Jan 2020
MIA134
WAS129
06 Dec 2019
MIA112
WAS103
04 Jan 2019
MIA115
WAS109
10 Nov 2018
MIA110
WAS116
10 Mar 2018
MIA129
WAS102
15 Nov 2017
MIA93
WAS102
11 Oct 2017
MIA117
WAS115
12 Jul 2017
MIA89
WAS88
12 Apr 2017
MIA110
WAS102
12 Dec 2016
MIA112
WAS101
20 Feb 2016
MIA114
WAS94
07 Dec 2015
MIA103
WAS114
21 Oct 2015
MIA110
WAS105
19 Dec 2014
MIA103
WAS105
29 Oct 2014
MIA107
WAS95
10 Mar 2014
MIA99
WAS90
03 Nov 2013
MIA103
WAS93
06 Jan 2013
MIA99
WAS71
15 Dec 2012
MIA102
WAS72
24 Oct 2012
MIA94
WAS101
21 Apr 2012
MIA84
WAS86
25 Feb 2011
MIA121
WAS113
29 Nov 2010
MIA105
WAS94
27 Nov 2009
MIA84
WAS94
10 Nov 2009
MIA90
WAS76
28 Jan 2009
MIA93
WAS71
14 Nov 2008
MIA97
WAS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#29
L
100-120
100
120
-20
H17/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
113-107
113
107
+6
H19/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
111-102
111
102
+9
A21/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
81-101
81
101
-20
A23/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
124-128
124
128
-4
A24/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
85-98
85
98
-13
A26/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
82-109
82
109
-27
H28/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
105-109
105
109
-4
H29/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
105-104
105
104
+1
H31/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
121-129 OT
121
129
-8
H02/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
33-23
19-38
25-30
24-36
31-25
33-19
25-27
29-23
27-35
32-25
23-19
20-37
22-19
22-17
17-28
25-36
31-30
26-30
42-32
21-15
24-26
26-29
14-28
12-26
21-32
32-16
17-35
33-19
17-29
19-40
36-21
24-35
33-24
27-18
21-27
29-28
28-26
25-34
31-25
213.4Avg total
102.7Scored
110.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)106.6112.0218.7-5.436%
Season at home (12)105.7111.6217.2-5.942%
Season away (10)107.8112.6220.4-4.830%
Last 10 (10)102.7110.7213.4-8.030%
Last 5 (5)99.6109.8209.4-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)106.8119.8226.5-13.012%
vs Similar ◀ (20)106.3109.9216.2-3.645%
vs Weaker (2)112.5101.5214.0+11.050%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
136-141
136
141
-5
A07/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
107-116
107
116
-9
A09/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
124-128
124
128
-4
H10/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
128-107
128
107
+21
H12/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
101-121
101
121
-20
A25/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
88-107
88
107
-19
A27/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
106-124
106
124
-18
A28/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
100-116
100
116
-16
H30/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
149-146
149
146
+3
H01/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
121-132
121
132
-11
H03/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-33
43-49
39-34
30-25
28-33
19-33
34-30
26-20
44-47
27-28
15-28
38-25
29-15
39-27
36-36
24-29
26-23
21-25
30-37
24-36
29-26
23-30
18-19
18-32
18-35
27-29
35-30
26-30
22-31
28-30
21-28
29-27
28-38
37-33
36-37
48-38
23-40
40-35
27-31
31-26
239.8Avg total
116.0Scored
123.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)114.5119.6234.1-5.125%
Season at home (11)116.1120.0236.1-3.927%
Season away (9)112.4119.1231.6-6.722%
Last 10 (10)116.0123.8239.8-7.820%
Last 5 (5)112.8125.0237.8-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)113.5118.3231.7-4.827%
vs Similar ◀ (12)110.1117.1227.2-7.017%
vs Weaker (3)107.0119.0226.0-12.00%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.6+0.6
Miami HeatWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H17/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H19/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A21/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A23/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A24/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A26/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
33-58
33
58
-25
H28/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H29/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H31/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H02/02
NBA
106.0Avg total
50.7Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.257.7110.9-4.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.557.1109.6-4.644%-
Last 30 away (14)54.158.4112.5-4.443%-
Last 10 (10)50.755.3106.0-4.640%-
Last 5 (5)48.452.0100.4-3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)50.960.0110.9-9.138%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)53.757.3111.0-3.645%-
vs Weaker (2)58.052.5110.5+5.550%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A07/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
47-66
47
66
-19
A09/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H10/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
68-42
68
42
+26
H12/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A25/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A27/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
45-64
45
64
-19
A28/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H30/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H01/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H03/02
NBA
121.5Avg total
57.5Scored
64.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.261.4117.6-5.223%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.961.2118.2-4.319%-
Last 30 away (14)55.461.6117.0-6.129%-
Last 10 (10)57.564.0121.5-6.510%-
Last 5 (5)55.065.4120.4-10.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)57.862.1119.9-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)54.160.8114.9-6.817%-
vs Weaker (3)57.060.3117.3-3.30%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 102.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.524.0
55.2%
52.8%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.512.9
34.4%
36.6%38.7
🏀 Free throws19.916.0
80.4%
77.7%16.0
They take 81.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 116.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.429.8
52.8%
52.8%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.312.4
35.1%
36.6%37.2
🏀 Free throws25.219.2
76.2%
77.7%19.2
They take 91.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWLLLLLWWL
Washington Wizards
LWLLLLWLLL
#15
League position
#18
-8.1
Net rating
-7.4
104.3
Offensive rating
110.4
112.5
Defensive rating
117.8
53.5%
Effective FG%
52.8%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
15.8%
Turnover %
11.5%
16.3%
Off. rebound %
21.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.4%
3-point %
35.1%
66.7%
Assist %
57.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 110.4Defence112.5 · 117.8Shooting53.5% · 52.8%3-point %34.4% · 35.1%Ball care15.8% · 11.5%Off. rebounds16.3% · 21.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Miami Heat wins
3
Washington Wizards wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/21HCharlotte Hornets121-129 OT
31/01/21HSacramento Kings105-104
29/01/21HLos Angeles Clippers105-109
28/01/21HDenver Nuggets82-109
26/01/21ABrooklyn Nets85-98
24/01/21ABrooklyn Nets124-128
23/01/21AToronto Raptors81-101
21/01/21AToronto Raptors111-102
19/01/21HDetroit Pistons113-107
17/01/21HDetroit Pistons100-120
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/21HPortland Trail Blazers121-132
01/02/21HBrooklyn Nets149-146
30/01/21HAtlanta Hawks100-116
28/01/21ANew Orleans Pelicans106-124
27/01/21AHouston Rockets88-107
25/01/21ASan Antonio Spurs101-121
12/01/21HPhoenix Suns128-107
10/01/21HMiami Heat124-128
09/01/21ABoston Celtics107-116
07/01/21APhiladelphia 76ers136-141

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL36%
HomeWLLWL42%
AwayLWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %36%42%30%
Points / game106.6105.7107.8
Allowed / game112.0111.6112.6
Point differential-5.4-5.9-4.8
Avg total218.7217.2220.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %9%8%10%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeLWLWL27%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %25%27%22%
Points / game114.5116.1112.4
Allowed / game119.6120.0119.1
Point differential-5.2-3.9-6.7
Avg total234.1236.1231.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%9%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz2419579%114.3105.5+8.8
2 Los Angeles Lakers2620677%111.7103.7+8.0
3 Philadelphia 76ers2418675%113.8109.2+4.6
4 Brooklyn Nets2516964%121.8116.5+5.3
5 Los Angeles Clippers2516964%112.6108.3+4.3
6 Denver Nuggets2314961%117.0110.0+7.0
7 Memphis Grizzlies2012860%111.9108.8+3.1
8 Houston Rockets23131057%112.6108.3+4.3
9 Milwaukee Bucks24131154%119.5113.5+6.0
10 Golden State Warriors24131154%112.0112.5-0.5
11 Boston Celtics21111052%109.9109.2+0.7
12 Portland Trail Blazers24121250%113.8117.5-3.6
13 Atlanta Hawks25121348%112.7111.6+1.1
14 Indiana Pacers25121348%112.9112.2+0.7
15 Cleveland Cavaliers25121348%103.3108.0-4.7
16 Phoenix Suns23111248%109.3108.7+0.7
17 Chicago Bulls23111248%114.3115.5-1.2
18 New York Knicks26121446%101.8102.0-0.1
19 Toronto Raptors24111346%111.5110.0+1.5
20 San Antonio Spurs24111346%110.3113.3-3.0
21 Sacramento Kings24111346%112.9118.5-5.5
22 Dallas Mavericks25111444%110.8111.3-0.5
23 New Orleans Pelicans2191243%111.4112.0-0.6
24 Charlotte Hornets26111542%110.0111.2-1.1
25 Oklahoma City Thunder2291341%107.5115.0-7.6
26 Orlando Magic26101638%106.3112.5-6.2
27 Miami Heat2281436%106.6112.0-5.4
28 Detroit Pistons2571828%105.9109.4-3.5
29 Minnesota Timberwolves2361726%107.1116.0-8.9
30 Washington Wizards2051525%114.5119.6-5.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat34311718100
Washington Wizards31242226103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.