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Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 134-129 (OT)
30-27 39-23 21-33 28-35 16-11
Position#7
Record30-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game111.6
Allowed / game107.9
vs
Position#24
Record14-28
FormWLLLW
Points / game114.3
Allowed / game119.8
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Miami Heat v Washington Wizards
03 Dec 2026
MIA v WAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
MIA152
WAS136
10 Mar 2026
MIA150
WAS129
13 Apr 2025
MIA118
WAS119
03 Mar 2025
MIA106
WAS90
10 Mar 2024
MIA108
WAS110
03 Nov 2023
MIA121
WAS114
25 Nov 2022
MIA110
WAS107
23 Nov 2022
MIA113
WAS105
28 Dec 2021
MIA119
WAS112
18 Nov 2021
MIA112
WAS97
05 Feb 2021
MIA122
WAS95
03 Feb 2021
MIA100
WAS103
22 Jan 2020
MIA134
WAS129
06 Dec 2019
MIA112
WAS103
04 Jan 2019
MIA115
WAS109
10 Nov 2018
MIA110
WAS116
10 Mar 2018
MIA129
WAS102
15 Nov 2017
MIA93
WAS102
12 Apr 2017
MIA110
WAS102
12 Dec 2016
MIA112
WAS101
20 Feb 2016
MIA114
WAS94
07 Dec 2015
MIA103
WAS114
19 Dec 2014
MIA103
WAS105
29 Oct 2014
MIA107
WAS95
10 Mar 2014
MIA99
WAS90
03 Nov 2013
MIA103
WAS93
06 Jan 2013
MIA99
WAS71
15 Dec 2012
MIA102
WAS72
21 Apr 2012
MIA84
WAS86
25 Feb 2011
MIA121
WAS113
29 Nov 2010
MIA105
WAS94
27 Nov 2009
MIA84
WAS94
10 Nov 2009
MIA90
WAS76
28 Jan 2009
MIA93
WAS71
14 Nov 2008
MIA97
WAS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
84-76
84
76
+8
80avg 104
H03/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
85-105
85
105
-20
75avg 104
A04/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
122-111
122
111
+11
123avg 104
H05/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
122-108
122
108
+14
121avg 104
A09/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
113-117
113
117
-4
108avg 104
A11/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
121-124
121
124
-3
118avg 104
A12/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
106-100
106
100
+6
101avg 104
H16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
115-108
115
108
+7
111avg 104
A18/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
L
102-107
102
107
-5
95avg 104
A19/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
118-113 OT
118
113
+5
114avg 104
H20/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
24-19
21-21
21-16
22-27
22-29
35-28
6-21
31-19
34-27
29-35
28-30
31-23
31-26
38-23
22-36
42-32
27-25
20-32
24-28
31-27
29-28
34-29
27-40
24-17
27-34
24-26
31-23
40-26
21-21
31-31
23-30
31-28
23-32
30-26
18-21
21-24
35-34
20-20
29-27
215.7Avg total
108.8Scored
106.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)111.6107.9219.4+3.770%
Season at home (20)115.7104.7220.3+11.095%
Season away (23)108.0110.7218.7-2.748%
Last 10 (10)108.8106.9215.7+1.960%
Last 5 (5)112.4110.4222.8+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)107.8108.5216.3-0.762%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)115.3111.1226.4+4.271%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
L
101-122
101
122
-21
87avg 106
H01/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
103-122
103
122
-19
85avg 106
H04/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
128-114
128
114
+14
121avg 106
H05/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
99-94
99
94
+5
88avg 106
H07/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
89-123
89
123
-34
78avg 106
A09/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
111-101
111
101
+10
92avg 106
H11/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
116-127
116
127
-11
107avg 106
H12/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
106-115
106
115
-9
100avg 106
A16/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
111-140
111
140
-29
97avg 106
A18/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
106-100
106
100
+6
102avg 106
H20/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-31
29-31
25-32
18-28
31-27
27-39
20-25
25-31
31-19
30-36
34-35
33-24
26-17
25-23
23-32
25-22
23-32
29-37
20-28
17-26
30-21
26-30
25-28
30-22
34-23
32-32
25-38
25-34
26-24
34-31
20-30
26-30
26-38
25-27
25-35
35-40
30-35
30-23
23-23
23-19
222.8Avg total
107.0Scored
115.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)114.3119.8234.1-5.433%
Season at home (20)115.2117.1232.3-1.845%
Season away (22)113.5122.2235.7-8.723%
Last 10 (10)107.0115.8222.8-8.840%
Last 5 (5)110.0116.6226.6-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)115.4122.2237.6-6.836%
vs Similar (16)109.4116.6226.0-7.231%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -1.9-1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -1.9-1.9
Miami HeatWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H03/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A04/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
65-46
65
46
+19
H05/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A09/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
69-57
69
57
+12
A11/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A12/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
61-47
61
47
+14
A18/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A19/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H20/01
NBA
108.2Avg total
56.4Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.555.1112.6+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.753.7112.4+5.064%-
Last 30 away (16)56.556.2112.8+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)56.451.8108.2+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)56.454.2110.6+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)53.853.8107.5+0.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)61.956.6118.4+5.357%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
L
58-62
58
62
-4
H01/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H04/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H05/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H07/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A09/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H11/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H12/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A16/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A18/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H20/01
NBA
114.9Avg total
57.3Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.061.9119.9-3.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.958.3118.2+1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)56.065.5121.5-9.527%-
Last 10 (10)57.357.6114.9-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)58.656.8115.4+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)59.062.6121.6-3.650%-
vs Similar (16)57.161.2118.3-4.231%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 108.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.426.9
58.0%
52.3%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.213.1
35.2%
35.7%39.3
🏀 Free throws20.315.7
77.3%
77.2%15.7
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 107.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.031.3
49.7%
52.3%62.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.1
34.9%
35.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.517.1
72.8%
77.2%17.1
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLWWLLWWLW
Washington Wizards
WLLLWLWWLL
#7
League position
#24
+1.9
Net rating
-8.5
111.0
Offensive rating
102.8
109.0
Defensive rating
111.2
55.7%
Effective FG%
50.4%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
12.6%
Turnover %
14.6%
18.2%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.2%
3-point %
34.9%
63.0%
Assist %
54.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 102.8Defence109.0 · 111.2Shooting55.7% · 50.4%3-point %35.2% · 34.9%Ball care12.6% · 14.6%Off. rebounds18.2% · 23.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Washington Wizards wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/20HSacramento Kings118-113 OT
19/01/20ASan Antonio Spurs102-107
18/01/20AOklahoma City Thunder115-108
16/01/20HSan Antonio Spurs106-100
12/01/20ANew York Knicks121-124
11/01/20ABrooklyn Nets113-117
09/01/20AIndiana Pacers122-108
05/01/20HPortland Trail Blazers122-111
04/01/20AOrlando Magic85-105
03/01/20HToronto Raptors84-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/20HDetroit Pistons106-100
18/01/20AToronto Raptors111-140
16/01/20AChicago Bulls106-115
12/01/20HUtah Jazz116-127
11/01/20HAtlanta Hawks111-101
09/01/20AOrlando Magic89-123
07/01/20HBoston Celtics99-94
05/01/20HDenver Nuggets128-114
04/01/20HPortland Trail Blazers103-122
01/01/20HOrlando Magic101-122

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW70%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayWLLWL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432023
Win %70%95%48%
Points / game111.6115.7108.0
Allowed / game107.9104.7110.7
Point differential+3.7+11.0-2.7
Avg total219.4220.3218.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)83% (6)57% (7)
Overtime %16%20%13%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeWWWLW45%
AwayWLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422022
Win %33%45%23%
Points / game114.3115.2113.5
Allowed / game119.8117.1122.2
Point differential-5.4-1.9-8.7
Avg total234.1232.3235.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %2%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks4539687%119.4106.7+12.6
2 Los Angeles Lakers4334979%114.0106.4+7.6
3 Los Angeles Clippers44311370%116.0109.5+6.5
4 Utah Jazz43301370%110.7106.0+4.7
5 Denver Nuggets43301370%109.3105.6+3.7
6 Miami Heat43301370%111.6107.9+3.7
7 Toronto Raptors44301468%111.9105.9+6.0
8 Boston Celtics42281467%112.3105.7+6.7
9 Indiana Pacers44281664%109.0106.5+2.5
10 Philadelphia 76ers46291763%108.4105.1+3.3
11 Dallas Mavericks43271663%116.4109.4+7.1
12 Houston Rockets42261662%118.3114.2+4.1
13 Oklahoma City Thunder45261958%109.9108.1+1.8
14 Orlando Magic45212447%104.0104.3-0.3
15 Memphis Grizzlies43202347%113.6116.0-2.4
16 San Antonio Spurs42192345%113.7114.7-1.0
17 Brooklyn Nets42182443%109.3111.6-2.3
18 Portland Trail Blazers45192642%111.9114.1-2.2
19 Phoenix Suns43182542%113.6114.1-0.5
20 New Orleans Pelicans44172739%114.4117.6-3.2
21 Detroit Pistons45172838%109.3110.6-1.4
22 Chicago Bulls45162936%105.7107.8-2.2
23 Minnesota Timberwolves43152835%111.1114.6-3.4
24 Sacramento Kings44152934%106.8110.5-3.7
25 Washington Wizards42142833%114.3119.8-5.4
26 Charlotte Hornets45153033%103.3110.5-7.2
27 New York Knicks44123227%104.3112.2-8.0
28 Cleveland Cavaliers44123227%104.8113.9-9.1
29 Atlanta Hawks44103423%107.8117.5-9.7
30 Golden State Warriors45103522%105.6113.6-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Miami Heat3039212816134
Washington Wizards2723333511129
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