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Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 108-110
27-25 27-23 28-33 26-29
Position#18
Record35-28
FormLWWLL
Points / game110.5
Allowed / game109.9
Miami Heat
USA
vs
Washington Wizards 🏆
USA
Position#29
Record10-53
FormLLLLW
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game124.2
USANBA· Kaseya Center (Miami)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Miami Heat v Washington Wizards
03 Dec 2026
MIA v WAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
MIA152
WAS136
10 Mar 2026
MIA150
WAS129
13 Apr 2025
MIA118
WAS119
03 Mar 2025
MIA106
WAS90
10 Mar 2024
MIA108
WAS110
03 Nov 2023
MIA121
WAS114
25 Nov 2022
MIA110
WAS107
23 Nov 2022
MIA113
WAS105
28 Dec 2021
MIA119
WAS112
18 Nov 2021
MIA112
WAS97
05 Feb 2021
MIA122
WAS95
03 Feb 2021
MIA100
WAS103
22 Jan 2020
MIA134
WAS129
06 Dec 2019
MIA112
WAS103
04 Jan 2019
MIA115
WAS109
10 Nov 2018
MIA110
WAS116
10 Mar 2018
MIA129
WAS102
15 Nov 2017
MIA93
WAS102
12 Apr 2017
MIA110
WAS102
12 Dec 2016
MIA112
WAS101
20 Feb 2016
MIA114
WAS94
07 Dec 2015
MIA103
WAS114
19 Dec 2014
MIA103
WAS105
29 Oct 2014
MIA107
WAS95
10 Mar 2014
MIA99
WAS90
03 Nov 2013
MIA103
WAS93
06 Jan 2013
MIA99
WAS71
15 Dec 2012
MIA102
WAS72
21 Apr 2012
MIA84
WAS86
25 Feb 2011
MIA121
WAS113
29 Nov 2010
MIA105
WAS94
27 Nov 2009
MIA84
WAS94
10 Nov 2009
MIA90
WAS76
28 Jan 2009
MIA93
WAS71
14 Nov 2008
MIA97
WAS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
123-97
123
97
+26
126avg 103
A14/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
109-104
109
104
+5
104avg 103
A15/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
106-95
106
95
+11
98avg 103
A24/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
121-110
121
110
+11
114avg 103
A27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
106-96
106
96
+10
106avg 103
A28/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
97-103
97
103
-6
88avg 103
A01/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
126-120
126
120
+6
121avg 103
H02/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
118-110
118
110
+8
114avg 103
H06/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
108-114
108
114
-6
104avg 103
A08/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
100-107
100
107
-7
94avg 103
A09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-28
29-24
29-24
25-21
33-33
27-29
23-20
26-22
31-24
27-34
26-22
22-15
32-33
33-29
36-19
20-29
15-28
31-28
34-20
26-20
20-36
31-20
19-27
27-20
30-34
28-28
32-28
36-30
36-26
25-34
32-28
25-22
36-28
22-26
25-37
25-23
29-27
28-20
16-30
27-30
217.0Avg total
111.4Scored
105.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)110.5109.9220.5+0.656%
Season at home (30)113.7113.1226.8+0.557%
Season away (33)107.7107.0214.7+0.755%
Last 10 (10)111.4105.6217.0+5.870%
Last 5 (5)109.8110.8220.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)109.0122.0231.0-13.00%
vs Similar (18)107.0105.4212.4+1.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)109.1105.6214.8+3.575%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
126-133
126
133
-7
124avg 105
A15/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
110-130
110
130
-20
90avg 105
A23/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
106-147
106
147
-41
83avg 105
A24/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
105-114
105
114
-9
96avg 105
H25/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
112-123
112
123
-11
109avg 105
H28/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
131-134 OT
131
134
-3
127avg 105
A01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
115-140
115
140
-25
103avg 105
A02/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
115-127
115
127
-12
103avg 105
A05/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
109-119
109
119
-10
98avg 105
H07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
112-100
112
100
+12
112avg 105
H09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-31
34-37
38-31
28-34
25-38
24-34
34-29
27-29
28-41
29-39
24-37
25-30
31-27
23-28
26-32
25-27
25-23
33-37
17-38
37-25
34-31
35-39
26-29
31-27
30-33
34-46
21-31
30-30
41-35
34-39
26-28
14-25
34-23
31-30
18-31
26-35
24-16
24-29
20-31
44-24
240.8Avg total
114.1Scored
126.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)114.5124.2238.7-9.716%
Season at home (30)113.6123.6237.2-10.013%
Season away (33)115.3124.7240.0-9.418%
Last 10 (10)114.1126.7240.8-12.610%
Last 5 (5)116.4124.0240.4-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)111.4122.8234.2-11.34%
vs Similar (5)118.4115.4233.8+3.060%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -6.7-6.7Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.1+0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -6.7-6.7Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.1+0.1
Miami HeatWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
69-52
69
52
+17
A14/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A15/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A24/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A28/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A01/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
58-62
58
62
-4
H02/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H06/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A08/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A09/03
NBA
115.2Avg total
58.3Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.256.0110.2-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.155.6110.7-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)53.356.3109.6-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)58.356.9115.2+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)57.055.8112.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)60.062.0122.0-2.050%-
vs Similar (18)54.254.7108.9-0.639%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)51.455.8107.1-4.438%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A15/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
49-72
49
72
-23
A23/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
57-80
57
80
-23
A24/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H25/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H28/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
69-70
69
70
-1
A01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
64-79
64
79
-15
A02/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A05/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H09/03
NBA
125.5Avg total
59.9Scored
65.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.761.9119.5-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.161.1118.2-4.025%-
Last 30 away (14)58.362.7121.0-4.436%-
Last 10 (10)59.965.6125.5-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)64.264.2128.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)57.662.2119.8-4.632%-
vs Similar (5)58.260.2118.4-2.020%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 111.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.627.8
53.9%
54.4%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.813.0
40.9%
36.3%39.0
🏀 Free throws21.616.8
77.8%
78.2%16.8
They take 83.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 114.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.229.8
52.1%
54.4%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.013.4
35.3%
36.3%40.2
🏀 Free throws18.514.3
77.3%
78.2%14.3
They take 95.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LLWWLWWWWW
Washington Wizards
WLLLLLLLLL
#18
League position
#29
+5.9
Net rating
-11.9
114.2
Offensive rating
108.0
108.2
Defensive rating
119.9
56.7%
Effective FG%
52.4%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
59.1%
12.3%
Turnover %
12.7%
19.3%
Off. rebound %
21.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.19
40.9%
3-point %
35.3%
66.7%
Assist %
66.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 108.0Defence108.2 · 119.9Shooting56.7% · 52.4%3-point %40.9% · 35.3%Ball care12.3% · 12.7%Off. rebounds19.3% · 21.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Miami Heat wins
3
Washington Wizards wins
DateGameScore
03/02/24Washington Wizards v Miami Heat102-110
04/11/23Miami Heat v Washington Wizards121-114
07/04/23Washington Wizards v Miami Heat114-108
26/11/22Miami Heat v Washington Wizards110-107
24/11/22Miami Heat v Washington Wizards113-105
19/11/22Washington Wizards v Miami Heat107-106 OT
08/02/22Washington Wizards v Miami Heat100-121
29/12/21Miami Heat v Washington Wizards119-112
21/11/21Washington Wizards v Miami Heat103-100
19/11/21Miami Heat v Washington Wizards112-97
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24AOklahoma City Thunder100-107
08/03/24ADallas Mavericks108-114
06/03/24HDetroit Pistons118-110
02/03/24HUtah Jazz126-120
01/03/24ADenver Nuggets97-103
28/02/24APortland Trail Blazers106-96
27/02/24ASacramento Kings121-110
24/02/24ANew Orleans Pelicans106-95
15/02/24APhiladelphia 76ers109-104
14/02/24AMilwaukee Bucks123-97
Washington Wizardslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HCharlotte Hornets112-100
07/03/24HOrlando Magic109-119
05/03/24AUtah Jazz115-127
02/03/24ALos Angeles Clippers115-140
01/03/24ALos Angeles Lakers131-134 OT
28/02/24HGolden State Warriors112-123
25/02/24HCleveland Cavaliers105-114
24/02/24AOklahoma City Thunder106-147
23/02/24ADenver Nuggets110-130
15/02/24ANew Orleans Pelicans126-133

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL56%
HomeWWLWW57%
AwayWWLLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633033
Win %56%57%55%
Points / game110.5113.7107.7
Allowed / game109.9113.1107.0
Point differential+0.6+0.5+0.7
Avg total220.5226.8214.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%17%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)50% (8)67% (6)
Overtime %2%0%3%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW16%
HomeLLLLW13%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633033
Win %16%13%18%
Points / game114.5113.6115.3
Allowed / game124.2123.6124.7
Point differential-9.7-10.0-9.4
Avg total238.7237.2240.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%7%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won15% (13)0% (3)20% (10)
Overtime %2%0%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics62491379%120.9109.6+11.3
2 Oklahoma City Thunder63441970%120.8113.2+7.6
3 Minnesota Timberwolves64442069%113.2106.6+6.6
4 Denver Nuggets64442069%114.9110.5+4.3
5 Cleveland Cavaliers63412265%114.0109.4+4.6
6 Los Angeles Clippers63412265%117.2112.6+4.6
7 Milwaukee Bucks63412265%120.6116.9+3.7
8 New Orleans Pelicans61372461%116.7110.8+5.9
9 New York Knicks62372560%112.8108.7+4.2
10 Sacramento Kings61362559%118.5117.9+0.6
11 Phoenix Suns63372659%117.2114.5+2.7
12 Orlando Magic64372758%110.9109.4+1.5
13 Dallas Mavericks64362856%119.0118.2+0.8
14 Philadelphia 76ers63352856%116.5113.6+2.9
15 Miami Heat63352856%110.5109.9+0.6
16 Indiana Pacers62332953%123.2122.0+1.2
17 Golden State Warriors63333052%118.7117.0+1.6
18 Los Angeles Lakers63333052%117.2118.4-1.2
19 Chicago Bulls64313348%111.8113.2-1.4
20 Atlanta Hawks63293446%119.9121.5-1.7
21 Houston Rockets63283544%113.0112.8+0.2
22 Utah Jazz64283644%117.7120.7-3.0
23 Brooklyn Nets64253939%111.8114.1-2.3
24 Toronto Raptors64234136%114.2118.2-4.0
25 Memphis Grizzlies64224234%106.0112.3-6.3
26 Portland Trail Blazers63184529%108.1116.0-7.9
27 Charlotte Hornets64164825%107.2117.3-10.1
28 San Antonio Spurs64145022%112.6120.3-7.6
29 Detroit Pistons63105316%112.3121.1-8.8
30 Washington Wizards63105316%114.5124.2-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat27272826108
Washington Wizards25233329110
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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