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Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 92-85
21-22 22-23 26-18 23-22
Position-
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Milwaukee Bucks 🏆
USA
vs
Denver Nuggets
USA
Position-
Record-
FormWLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA - Las Vegas Summer League· Thomas & Mack Center (Las Vegas)
Other2023
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Denver Nuggets
12 Jan 2027
MIL v DEN
upcoming
23 Jan 2026
MIL100
DEN102
27 Feb 2025
MIL121
DEN112
12 Feb 2024
MIL112
DEN95
07 Jul 2023
MIL92
DEN85
25 Jan 2023
MIL107
DEN99
30 Jan 2022
MIL100
DEN136
02 Mar 2021
MIL97
DEN128
31 Jan 2020
MIL115
DEN127
19 Nov 2018
MIL104
DEN98
15 Feb 2018
MIL123
DEN134
01 Mar 2017
MIL98
DEN110
30 Nov 2015
MIL92
DEN74
20 Feb 2015
MIL89
DEN81
20 Feb 2014
MIL90
DEN101
15 Apr 2013
MIL111
DEN112
17 Jan 2012
MIL95
DEN105
16 Feb 2011
MIL87
DEN94
11 Nov 2009
MIL108
DEN102
22 Feb 2009
MIL120
DEN117
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
117-104
117
104
+13
118avg 110
H03/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
140-128
140
128
+12
142avg 110
A04/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
105-92
105
92
+13
100avg 110
H05/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
114-137
114
137
-23
106avg 110
H08/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
105-121
105
121
-16
100avg 110
A09/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
117-130
117
130
-13
108avg 110
H16/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
138-122
138
122
+16
136avg 110
H20/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
99-121
99
121
-22
87avg 110
A22/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
114-119
114
119
-5
104avg 110
A24/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
126-128 OT
126
128
-2
114avg 110
H27/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
41-26
28-27
27-29
21-22
32-29
43-33
39-35
26-31
28-21
21-30
30-25
26-16
31-36
41-35
15-37
27-29
26-35
29-32
24-28
26-26
24-33
31-35
33-34
29-28
35-28
46-27
37-30
20-37
21-29
32-37
26-28
20-27
33-28
24-22
32-28
25-41
33-36
36-27
33-23
16-32
237.7Avg total
117.5Scored
120.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)117.5120.2237.7-2.740%
Last 5 (5)118.8124.0242.8-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (21)115.9117.0232.9-1.152%
vs Weaker (9)133.6120.1253.7+13.489%
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
125-100
125
100
+25
122avg 111
A12/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
132-126
132
126
+6
130avg 111
H17/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
108-103
108
103
+5
104avg 111
H19/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
119-108
119
108
+11
114avg 111
A21/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
113-111
113
111
+2
106avg 111
A23/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
104-93
104
93
+11
106avg 111
H02/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
108-111
108
111
-3
105avg 111
H05/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
109-94
109
94
+15
116avg 111
A08/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
108-95
108
95
+13
102avg 111
A10/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 111
H13/06
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
44-26
37-25
22-25
22-24
37-25
35-29
34-38
26-34
27-27
21-26
28-26
32-24
32-20
26-35
26-27
35-26
28-34
30-39
36-16
19-22
29-20
30-22
25-21
20-30
23-26
34-25
26-24
25-36
24-24
29-24
29-20
27-26
20-21
35-30
31-22
22-22
22-24
22-27
26-20
24-18
215.0Avg total
112.0Scored
103.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)112.0103.0215.0+9.090%
Last 5 (5)104.696.4201.0+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)113.9108.4222.3+5.671%
vs Weaker (13)109.9104.2214.2+5.769%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
Milwaukee BucksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
69-53
69
53
+16
H03/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A04/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H05/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H08/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A09/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
55-68
55
68
-13
H16/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
81-55
81
55
+26
H20/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
53-66
53
66
-13
A22/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A24/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H27/04
NBA
124.1Avg total
63.5Scored
60.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.157.7119.8+4.473%-
Last 30 at home (15)63.757.7121.4+5.980%-
Last 30 away (15)60.657.7118.3+2.967%-
Last 10 (10)63.560.6124.1+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)63.060.4123.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (21)59.657.7117.3+2.062%-
vs Weaker (9)68.057.8125.8+10.2100%-
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
81-51
81
51
+30
A12/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H17/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H19/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A21/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A23/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H02/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H05/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A08/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A10/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H13/06
NBA
111.4Avg total
58.5Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.154.4110.5+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.552.1107.6+3.456%-
Last 30 away (14)56.857.0113.8-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)58.552.9111.4+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)53.648.6102.2+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)56.857.4114.2-0.535%-
vs Weaker (13)55.250.5105.7+4.677%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 117.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.7 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.627.3
55.0%
50.6%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.516.2
40.0%
32.2%48.6
🏀 Free throws20.014.3
71.5%
72.6%14.3
They take 90.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.7 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.730.6
57.0%
50.6%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.9
36.9%
32.2%32.7
🏀 Free throws22.518.1
80.4%
72.6%18.1
They take 83.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jul 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LLLWLLLWWW
Denver Nuggets
WWWLWWWWWW
-2.6
Net rating
+9.4
114.0
Offensive rating
117.5
116.7
Defensive rating
108.1
57.3%
Effective FG%
56.4%
58.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
13.7%
Turnover %
11.1%
23.0%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.27
40.0%
3-point %
36.9%
64.1%
Assist %
63.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 117.5Defence116.7 · 108.1Shooting57.3% · 56.4%3-point %40.0% · 36.9%Ball care13.7% · 11.1%Off. rebounds23.0% · 24.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
DateGameScore
26/03/23Denver Nuggets v Milwaukee Bucks129-106
26/01/23Milwaukee Bucks v Denver Nuggets107-99
31/01/22Milwaukee Bucks v Denver Nuggets100-136
27/11/21Denver Nuggets v Milwaukee Bucks109-120
03/03/21Milwaukee Bucks v Denver Nuggets97-128
09/02/21Denver Nuggets v Milwaukee Bucks112-125
10/03/20Denver Nuggets v Milwaukee Bucks109-95
01/02/20Milwaukee Bucks v Denver Nuggets115-127
20/11/18Milwaukee Bucks v Denver Nuggets104-98
12/11/18Denver Nuggets v Milwaukee Bucks114-121
Milwaukee Buckslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/23HMiami Heat126-128 OT
24/04/23AMiami Heat114-119
22/04/23AMiami Heat99-121
20/04/23HMiami Heat138-122
16/04/23HMiami Heat117-130
09/04/23AToronto Raptors105-121
08/04/23HMemphis Grizzlies114-137
05/04/23HChicago Bulls105-92
04/04/23AWashington Wizards140-128
03/04/23HPhiladelphia 76ers117-104
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/06/23HMiami Heat94-89
10/06/23AMiami Heat108-95
08/06/23AMiami Heat109-94
05/06/23HMiami Heat108-111
02/06/23HMiami Heat104-93
23/05/23ALos Angeles Lakers113-111
21/05/23ALos Angeles Lakers119-108
19/05/23HLos Angeles Lakers108-103
17/05/23HLos Angeles Lakers132-126
12/05/23APhoenix Suns125-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Denver Nuggets
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks2122262392
Denver Nuggets2223182285
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