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Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 108-105
26-21 27-26 23-31 32-27
Position#3
Record7-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game117.0
Allowed / game106.1
vs
Position#15
Record6-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game116.1
Allowed / game110.4
USANBA· Ball Arena (Denver)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Golden State Warriors
12 Mar 2027
DEN v GSW
upcoming
26 Oct 2026
DEN114
GSW134
29 Mar 2026
DEN116
GSW93
07 Nov 2025
DEN129
GSW104
03 Dec 2024
DEN119
GSW115
25 Dec 2023
DEN120
GSW114
08 Nov 2023
DEN108
GSW105
02 Apr 2023
DEN112
GSW110
02 Feb 2023
DEN134
GSW117
24 Apr 2022
DEN126
GSW121
21 Apr 2022
DEN113
GSW118
10 Mar 2022
DEN102
GSW113
07 Mar 2022
DEN131
GSW124
14 Jan 2021
DEN114
GSW104
03 Mar 2020
DEN100
GSW116
15 Jan 2019
DEN111
GSW142
21 Oct 2018
DEN100
GSW98
03 Feb 2018
DEN115
GSW108
04 Nov 2017
DEN108
GSW127
13 Feb 2017
DEN132
GSW110
10 Nov 2016
DEN101
GSW125
13 Jan 2016
DEN112
GSW110
22 Nov 2015
DEN105
GSW118
13 Mar 2015
DEN114
GSW103
16 Apr 2014
DEN112
GSW116
23 Dec 2013
DEN81
GSW89
30 Apr 2013
DEN107
GSW100
23 Apr 2013
DEN117
GSW131
20 Apr 2013
DEN97
GSW95
13 Jan 2013
DEN116
GSW105
23 Nov 2012
DEN102
GSW91
09 Apr 2012
DEN123
GSW84
09 Feb 2012
DEN101
GSW109
11 Apr 2011
DEN134
GSW111
05 Jan 2010
DEN123
GSW122
01 Dec 2009
DEN135
GSW107
28 Mar 2009
DEN129
GSW116
13 Dec 2008
DEN123
GSW105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#10
W
108-95
108
95
+13
102avg 111
A10/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 111
H13/06
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
119-107
119
107
+12
115avg 111
H24/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
108-104
108
104
+4
99avg 111
A27/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
128-95
128
95
+33
135avg 111
A29/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
110-102
110
102
+8
110avg 111
H31/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
89-110
89
110
-21
73avg 111
A02/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
125-114
125
114
+11
126avg 111
H04/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
123-101
123
101
+22
126avg 111
H05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
134-116
134
116
+18
134avg 111
H07/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
35-30
31-22
22-22
22-24
22-27
26-20
24-18
34-20
29-34
24-26
32-27
25-18
36-38
28-23
19-25
34-23
35-28
28-24
31-20
31-21
27-24
22-24
30-33
21-28
23-35
28-26
17-21
40-24
30-31
32-32
23-27
23-22
28-31
35-21
37-27
25-27
34-44
40-21
35-24
217.1Avg total
113.8Scored
103.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)117.0106.1223.1+10.988%
Season at home (5)122.2108.0230.2+14.2100%
Season away (3)108.3103.0211.3+5.367%
Last 10 (10)113.8103.3217.1+10.590%
Last 5 (5)116.2108.6224.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)117.3108.3225.6+9.180%
vs Weaker (15)111.2102.7213.9+8.580%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#2
L
94-100
94
100
-6
no box
A04/07
California Classic
Charlotte Hornets
#6
W
98-83
98
83
+15
no box
A05/07
California Classic
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
104-108
104
108
-4
83avg 113
H25/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
122-114
122
114
+8
121avg 113
A28/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
106-95
106
95
+11
105avg 113
A29/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
130-102
130
102
+28
131avg 113
A31/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
102-101
102
101
+1
100avg 113
H02/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
141-139
141
139
+2
138avg 113
A04/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
104-115
104
115
-11
88avg 113
A05/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
120-109
120
109
+11
109avg 113
A07/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
22-26
23-23
31-30
23-19
25-21
29-15
21-28
28-28
18-33
40-19
18-28
24-29
36-28
39-27
23-30
26-24
31-23
24-28
25-20
29-27
30-30
39-21
32-24
28-31
28-24
18-24
28-22
38-33
31-34
37-39
35-33
30-29
15-28
32-29
27-29
31-26
25-22
27-34
37-27
218.7Avg total
112.1Scored
106.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)116.1110.4226.5+5.875%
Season at home (2)103.0104.5207.5-1.550%
Season away (6)120.5112.3232.8+8.283%
Last 10 (10)112.1106.6218.7+5.570%
Last 5 (5)119.4113.2232.6+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)117.5119.5237.0-2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (24)113.3110.4223.7+2.954%
vs Weaker (4)126.2102.0228.2+24.2100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
Denver NuggetsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#10
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A10/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H13/06
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H24/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A27/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
69-51
69
51
+18
A29/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H31/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
44-63
44
63
-19
A02/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H04/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
59-71
59
71
-12
H07/11
NBA
112.4Avg total
57.4Scored
55.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.653.9111.5+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.951.6108.5+5.265%-
Last 30 away (13)58.556.8115.3+1.662%-
Last 10 (10)57.455.0112.4+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)56.457.4113.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)59.457.7117.1+1.747%-
vs Weaker (15)55.750.1105.9+5.680%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A04/07
California Classic
Charlotte Hornets
#6
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A05/07
California Classic
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H25/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A28/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A29/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A31/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H02/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A04/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A05/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A07/11
NBA
107.2Avg total
53.6Scored
53.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.856.0112.8+0.860%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.059.2117.2-1.250%-
Last 30 away (18)55.953.9109.8+2.167%-
Last 10 (10)53.653.6107.2+0.070%-
Last 5 (5)57.056.8113.8+0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)54.557.0111.5-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)56.357.2113.6-0.954%-
vs Weaker (4)60.548.0108.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.932.9
58.9%
54.4%65.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.011.7
36.6%
36.3%35.1
🏀 Free throws18.612.9
69.4%
78.2%12.9
They take 87.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 115.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.928.4
53.7%
54.4%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.714.0
35.3%
36.3%42.0
🏀 Free throws21.016.3
77.6%
78.2%16.3
They take 92.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWLWWWWWW
Golden State Warriors
WLWWWWWLWL
#3
League position
#15
+10.6
Net rating
+3.9
115.2
Offensive rating
113.6
104.6
Defensive rating
109.7
57.4%
Effective FG%
53.3%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
12.7%
Turnover %
13.5%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.6%
3-point %
35.3%
65.7%
Assist %
66.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 113.6Defence104.6 · 109.7Shooting57.4% · 53.3%3-point %36.6% · 35.3%Ball care12.7% · 13.5%Off. rebounds24.7% · 29.1%Free throws0.21 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/23HNew Orleans Pelicans134-116
05/11/23HChicago Bulls123-101
04/11/23HDallas Mavericks125-114
02/11/23AMinnesota Timberwolves89-110
31/10/23HUtah Jazz110-102
29/10/23AOklahoma City Thunder128-95
27/10/23AMemphis Grizzlies108-104
24/10/23HLos Angeles Lakers119-107
13/06/23HMiami Heat94-89
10/06/23AMiami Heat108-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/23ADetroit Pistons120-109
05/11/23ACleveland Cavaliers104-115
04/11/23AOklahoma City Thunder141-139
02/11/23HSacramento Kings102-101
31/10/23ANew Orleans Pelicans130-102
29/10/23AHouston Rockets106-95
28/10/23ASacramento Kings122-114
25/10/23HPhoenix Suns104-108
05/07/23ACharlotte Hornets98-83
04/07/23ASacramento Kings94-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%100%67%
Points / game117.0122.2108.3
Allowed / game106.1108.0103.0
Point differential+10.9+14.2+5.3
Avg total223.1230.2211.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%80%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %75%50%83%
Points / game116.1103.0120.5
Allowed / game110.4104.5112.3
Point differential+5.8-1.5+8.2
Avg total226.5207.5232.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denver Nuggets87188%117.0106.1+10.9
2 Philadelphia 76ers76186%119.3107.6+11.7
3 Golden State Warriors86275%116.1110.4+5.8
4 Dallas Mavericks86275%120.1115.8+4.4
5 Boston Celtics75271%120.6108.6+12.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves75271%111.7101.1+10.6
7 Milwaukee Bucks75271%117.1119.4-2.3
8 Indiana Pacers85362%126.0121.2+4.8
9 Oklahoma City Thunder85362%118.8117.1+1.6
10 Houston Rockets74357%112.6106.7+5.9
11 Atlanta Hawks74357%122.0116.7+5.3
12 Orlando Magic74357%108.6105.4+3.1
13 New York Knicks84450%107.1102.8+4.4
14 Phoenix Suns84450%112.5111.0+1.5
15 Toronto Raptors84450%109.6108.5+1.1
16 Brooklyn Nets84450%115.4114.8+0.6
17 Miami Heat84450%107.5110.1-2.6
18 New Orleans Pelicans84450%108.2115.2-7.0
19 Los Angeles Clippers73443%113.9108.1+5.7
20 Portland Trail Blazers73443%104.3109.7-5.4
21 Cleveland Cavaliers83538%108.6112.1-3.5
22 Los Angeles Lakers83538%109.0116.2-7.2
23 San Antonio Spurs83538%113.4125.9-12.5
24 Chicago Bulls93633%108.9113.9-5.0
25 Sacramento Kings62433%110.5115.7-5.2
26 Charlotte Hornets72529%116.3123.1-6.9
27 Washington Wizards72529%119.3126.9-7.6
28 Detroit Pistons92722%110.3113.7-3.3
29 Utah Jazz92722%112.4121.7-9.2
30 Memphis Grizzlies81712%107.5114.1-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets26272332108
Golden State Warriors21263127105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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