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Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 107-115
23-25 25-30 29-32 30-28
Position#9
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#3
Record-
FormWLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Footprint Center
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Denver Nuggets
02 Apr 2027
PHX v DEN
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
PHX120
DEN127
24 Mar 2026
PHX123
DEN125
29 Nov 2025
PHX112
DEN130
08 Feb 2025
PHX105
DEN122
25 Dec 2024
PHX110
DEN100
01 Dec 2023
PHX111
DEN119
10 Oct 2023
PHX107
DEN115
11 May 2023
PHX100
DEN125
07 May 2023
PHX129
DEN124
05 May 2023
PHX121
DEN114
06 Apr 2023
PHX119
DEN115
31 Mar 2023
PHX100
DEN93
21 Nov 2021
PHX126
DEN97
20 Oct 2021
PHX98
DEN110
09 Jun 2021
PHX123
DEN98
07 Jun 2021
PHX122
DEN105
23 Jan 2021
PHX112
DEN120
22 Jan 2021
PHX126
DEN130
08 Feb 2020
PHX108
DEN117
23 Dec 2019
PHX111
DEN113
12 Jan 2019
PHX102
DEN93
29 Dec 2018
PHX118
DEN122
10 Feb 2018
PHX113
DEN123
28 Jan 2017
PHX112
DEN123
27 Nov 2016
PHX114
DEN120
23 Dec 2015
PHX96
DEN104
14 Nov 2015
PHX105
DEN81
26 Nov 2014
PHX120
DEN112
19 Jan 2014
PHX117
DEN103
08 Nov 2013
PHX114
DEN103
11 Mar 2013
PHX93
DEN108
12 Nov 2012
PHX110
DEN100
21 Apr 2012
PHX107
DEN118
22 Dec 2011
PHX85
DEN110
10 Mar 2011
PHX97
DEN116
15 Nov 2010
PHX100
DEN94
13 Apr 2010
PHX123
DEN101
01 Mar 2010
PHX101
DEN85
23 Mar 2009
PHX118
DEN115
20 Dec 2008
PHX108
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
123-109
123
109
+14
122avg 106
H19/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
129-124
129
124
+5
116avg 106
A21/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
112-100
112
100
+12
109avg 106
A22/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
136-130
136
130
+6
133avg 106
H26/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
107-125
107
125
-18
97avg 106
A30/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
87-97
87
97
-10
71avg 106
A02/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
121-114
121
114
+7
110avg 106
H06/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
129-124
129
124
+5
127avg 106
H08/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
102-118
102
118
-16
89avg 106
A10/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
100-125
100
125
-25
86avg 106
H12/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
35-30
33-28
31-22
27-27
27-24
40-34
35-39
23-30
25-17
35-31
29-22
32-30
29-40
50-24
25-36
32-31
19-37
30-26
26-31
21-18
21-22
31-30
14-27
29-31
38-21
23-36
31-26
32-34
31-27
35-31
31-32
24-35
25-17
25-39
28-27
26-44
25-37
25-22
24-22
231.2Avg total
114.6Scored
116.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)114.6116.6231.2-2.060%
Last 5 (5)107.8115.6223.4-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (28)116.2115.5231.7+0.754%
vs Weaker (2)115.5103.5219.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
125-100
125
100
+25
122avg 111
A12/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
132-126
132
126
+6
130avg 111
H17/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
108-103
108
103
+5
104avg 111
H19/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
119-108
119
108
+11
114avg 111
A21/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
113-111
113
111
+2
106avg 111
A23/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
104-93
104
93
+11
106avg 111
H02/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
108-111
108
111
-3
105avg 111
H05/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
109-94
109
94
+15
116avg 111
A08/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
108-95
108
95
+13
102avg 111
A10/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 111
H13/06
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
44-26
37-25
22-25
22-24
37-25
35-29
34-38
26-34
27-27
21-26
28-26
32-24
32-20
26-35
26-27
35-26
28-34
30-39
36-16
19-22
29-20
30-22
25-21
20-30
23-26
34-25
26-24
25-36
24-24
29-24
29-20
27-26
20-21
35-30
31-22
22-22
22-24
22-27
26-20
24-18
215.0Avg total
112.0Scored
103.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)112.0103.0215.0+9.090%
Last 5 (5)104.696.4201.0+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)113.9108.4222.3+5.671%
vs Weaker (13)109.9104.2214.2+5.769%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
Phoenix SunsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H19/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A21/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A22/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H26/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
51-68
51
68
-17
A30/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A02/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H06/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H08/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A10/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
51-81
51
81
-30
H12/05
NBA
112.6Avg total
54.5Scored
58.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.557.1114.6+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.157.1115.2+0.956%-
Last 30 away (14)56.957.1114.0-0.157%-
Last 10 (10)54.558.1112.6-3.650%-
Last 5 (5)54.457.2111.6-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (28)56.957.3114.2-0.454%-
vs Weaker (2)66.054.5120.5+11.5100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
81-51
81
51
+30
A12/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H17/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H19/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A21/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A23/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H02/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H05/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A08/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A10/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H13/06
NBA
111.4Avg total
58.5Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.154.4110.5+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.552.1107.6+3.456%-
Last 30 away (14)56.857.0113.8-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)58.552.9111.4+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)53.648.6102.2+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)56.857.4114.2-0.535%-
vs Weaker (13)55.250.5105.7+4.677%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 114.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.833.8
55.6%
54.4%67.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.7
36.6%
36.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws22.417.9
79.9%
78.2%17.9
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.730.6
57.0%
54.4%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.9
36.9%
36.3%32.7
🏀 Free throws22.518.1
80.4%
78.2%18.1
They take 83.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LLWWLLWWWW
Denver Nuggets
WWWLWWWWWW
#9
League position
#3
-2.0
Net rating
+9.4
115.5
Offensive rating
117.5
117.5
Defensive rating
108.1
55.4%
Effective FG%
56.4%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
11.6%
Turnover %
11.1%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.6%
3-point %
36.9%
55.9%
Assist %
63.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 117.5Defence117.5 · 108.1Shooting55.4% · 56.4%3-point %36.6% · 36.9%Ball care11.6% · 11.1%Off. rebounds23.6% · 24.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Phoenix Suns wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/23HDenver Nuggets100-125
10/05/23ADenver Nuggets102-118
08/05/23HDenver Nuggets129-124
06/05/23HDenver Nuggets121-114
02/05/23ADenver Nuggets87-97
30/04/23ADenver Nuggets107-125
26/04/23HLos Angeles Clippers136-130
22/04/23ALos Angeles Clippers112-100
21/04/23ALos Angeles Clippers129-124
19/04/23HLos Angeles Clippers123-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/06/23HMiami Heat94-89
10/06/23AMiami Heat108-95
08/06/23AMiami Heat109-94
05/06/23HMiami Heat108-111
02/06/23HMiami Heat104-93
23/05/23ALos Angeles Lakers113-111
21/05/23ALos Angeles Lakers119-108
19/05/23HLos Angeles Lakers108-103
17/05/23HLos Angeles Lakers132-126
12/05/23APhoenix Suns125-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns23252930107
Denver Nuggets25303228115
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