Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Aug 2020

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 105-125

26-28 31-28 22-38 26-31

Position#9

Record44-24

FormWLWLL

Points / game110.0

Allowed / game107.3

Denver Nuggets

Miami Heat 🏆

Position#7

Record42-26

FormWLWLL

Points / game111.8

Allowed / game108.9

NBA· HP Field House

NBA2019-20

Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Miami Heat winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver Nuggets USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNuggets

Date

Competition

Los Angeles Clippers

103-132

103

132

-29

87avg 103

A29/02

NBA

Toronto Raptors

133-118

133

118

+15

137avg 103

H01/03

NBA

Golden State Warriors

#30

100-116

100

116

-16

94avg 103

H04/03

NBA

Charlotte Hornets

#22

114-112

114

112

112avg 103

A06/03

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

#29

102-104

102

104

-2

94avg 103

A08/03

NBA

Milwaukee Bucks

109-95

109

+14

103avg 103

H10/03

NBA

Dallas Mavericks

#12

97-113

113

-16

89avg 103

A12/03

NBA

Washington Wizards

#24

89-82

90avg 103

H22/07

NBA

New Orleans Pelicans

#19

104-119

104

119

-15

89avg 103

A26/07

NBA

Orlando Magic

#20

110-114

110

114

-4

111avg 103

H27/07

NBA

27-37

29-29

23-32

24-34

40-32

33-37

27-27

33-22

25-26

33-23

23-33

19-34

31-34

29-17

20-31

34-30

33-23

28-35

22-27

19-19

39-24

23-30

14-17

33-24

29-33

21-24

35-27

12-29

24-19

18-17

24-27

23-19

20-33

32-30

23-22

29-34

19-29

30-31

32-29

29-25

216.6Avg total

106.1Scored

110.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (68)	110.0	107.3	217.3	+2.6	65%
Season at home (35)	110.6	104.9	215.5	+5.7	74%
Season away (33)	109.3	109.9	219.2	-0.6	55%
Last 10 (10)	106.1	110.5	216.6	-4.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	101.8	104.6	206.4	-2.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	117.0	114.0	231.0	+3.0	67%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	108.9	109.8	218.7	-0.9	50%
vs Weaker (10)	111.2	107.3	218.5	+3.9	70%

This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Miami Heat USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormHeat

Date

Competition

Dallas Mavericks

#12

126-118

126

118

124avg 107

H29/02

NBA

Brooklyn Nets

#15

116-113

116

113

108avg 107

H01/03

NBA

Milwaukee Bucks

105-89

105

+16

100avg 107

H03/03

NBA

Orlando Magic

#20

116-113

116

113

116avg 107

H05/03

NBA

New Orleans Pelicans

#19

104-110

104

110

-6

96avg 107

A07/03

NBA

Washington Wizards

#24

100-89

100

+11

102avg 107

A08/03

NBA

Charlotte Hornets

#22

98-109

109

-11

95avg 107

H11/03

NBA

Sacramento Kings

#21

104-98

104

100avg 107

H23/07

NBA

Utah Jazz

99-101

101

-2

92avg 107

A25/07

NBA

Memphis Grizzlies

#16

110-128

110

128

-18

107avg 107

H28/07

NBA

31-31

32-24

25-38

38-25

24-27

33-22

34-31

25-33

31-26

22-26

28-18

24-19

30-26

30-29

28-29

26-32

25-33

23-24

30-21

29-23

28-31

15-18

28-17

40-22

11-37

26-28

21-22

27-21

29-23

17-27

31-27

25-28

22-19

26-28

26-26

33-41

19-28

32-37

26-22

214.6Avg total

107.8Scored

106.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (68)	111.8	108.9	220.7	+2.9	62%
Season at home (34)	115.9	107.4	223.3	+8.4	82%
Season away (34)	107.7	110.4	218.1	-2.7	41%
Last 10 (10)	107.8	106.8	214.6	+1.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	102.2	105.0	207.2	-2.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	105.0	89.0	194.0	+16.0	100%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	110.8	112.8	223.5	-2.0	33%
vs Weaker (17)	113.8	110.5	224.2	+3.3	59%

This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Denver NuggetsMiami Heat

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.7	29.9	58.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	29.5	27.4	56.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	27.8	32.4	60.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.7	29.0	57.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	27.6	53.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	33.5	31.5	65.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	25.5	30.5	56.0	-5.0	21%	-
vs Weaker (10)	30.2	28.1	58.3	+2.1	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.7	26.9	56.6	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	29.8	26.8	56.5	+3.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	29.6	27.1	56.7	+2.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.6	27.7	57.3	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.8	27.0	57.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	31.0	26.0	57.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	29.1	28.1	57.2	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	30.0	26.2	56.2	+3.8	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.1	25.9	53.0	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	27.9	25.3	53.1	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	26.3	26.5	52.9	-0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.6	27.3	54.9	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	26.4	51.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	28.5	30.0	58.5	-1.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	26.4	24.8	51.1	+1.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (10)	27.3	25.0	52.3	+2.3	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.1	27.2	55.3	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	28.6	27.4	56.0	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	27.6	26.9	54.5	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.1	27.2	52.3	-2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	27.6	49.4	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	26.0	48.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	25.8	27.2	53.0	-1.5	42%	-
vs Weaker (17)	30.2	27.2	57.4	+3.0	65%	-

Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Los Angeles Clippers

56-66

-10

A29/02

NBA

Toronto Raptors

73-69

H01/03

NBA

Golden State Warriors

#30

58-49

H04/03

NBA

Charlotte Hornets

#22

60-51

A06/03

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

#29

61-58

A08/03

NBA

Milwaukee Bucks

62-54

H10/03

NBA

Dallas Mavericks

#12

50-57

-7

A12/03

NBA

Washington Wizards

#24

42-36

H22/07

NBA

New Orleans Pelicans

#19

52-63

-11

A26/07

NBA

Orlando Magic

#20

49-60

-11

H27/07

NBA

112.6Avg total

56.3Scored

56.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	55.8	55.8	111.6	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	57.4	52.7	110.1	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	54.1	58.9	113.1	-4.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	56.3	56.3	112.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.0	54.0	105.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	62.0	61.5	123.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	51.9	55.3	107.1	-3.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (10)	57.5	53.1	110.6	+4.4	80%	-

This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dallas Mavericks

#12

63-55

H29/02

NBA

Brooklyn Nets

#15

57-49

H01/03

NBA

Milwaukee Bucks

53-52

H03/03

NBA

Orlando Magic

#20

60-55

H05/03

NBA

New Orleans Pelicans

#19

51-65

-14

A07/03

NBA

Washington Wizards

#24

57-54

A08/03

NBA

Charlotte Hornets

#22

51-59

-8

H11/03

NBA

Sacramento Kings

#21

56-44

+12

H23/07

NBA

Utah Jazz

47-47

A25/07

NBA

Memphis Grizzlies

#16

52-69

-17

H28/07

NBA

109.6Avg total

54.7Scored

54.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	57.8	54.1	111.9	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	58.3	54.2	112.5	+4.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	57.2	54.0	111.2	+3.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	54.7	54.9	109.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.6	54.6	107.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	53.0	52.0	105.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	54.8	55.3	110.2	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	60.2	53.4	113.5	+6.8	76%	-

This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.8	26.0	52.8	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	27.2	26.5	53.7	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	26.4	25.5	51.9	+0.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	27.2	51.5	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	24.4	50.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	26.5	24.2	50.7	+2.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	29.6	26.5	56.1	+3.1	71%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.1	26.3	49.4	-3.2	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.3	28.4	54.7	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	27.1	29.0	56.1	-1.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	25.4	27.6	53.1	-2.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.4	27.8	53.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	27.6	50.8	-4.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	28.0	18.0	46.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	27.0	30.8	57.8	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (17)	25.7	27.3	53.0	-1.6	35%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.5	26.6	54.0	+0.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	28.3	26.5	54.7	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	26.7	26.7	53.3	+0.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.5	27.0	52.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	26.2	51.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	27.7	26.8	54.5	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	27.5	28.0	55.5	-0.5	57%	-
vs Weaker (10)	27.3	24.4	51.7	+2.9	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.9	27.1	54.0	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	28.5	26.4	54.9	+2.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	25.1	27.9	53.0	-2.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.7	24.1	51.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	22.8	49.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	19.0	43.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	28.9	26.7	55.6	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	25.7	27.9	53.6	-2.2	41%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	54.3	52.5	106.8	+1.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	55.5	52.9	108.4	+2.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	53.1	52.1	105.2	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.8	54.2	104.0	-4.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.8	50.6	101.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	54.2	51.0	105.2	+3.2	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	57.1	54.5	111.6	+2.6	64%	-
vs Weaker (10)	50.4	50.7	101.1	-0.3	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	53.2	55.5	108.7	-2.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	55.6	55.4	111.0	+0.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	50.6	55.5	106.1	-4.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	53.1	51.9	105.0	+1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.6	50.4	100.0	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	52.0	37.0	89.0	+15.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	55.9	57.4	113.3	-1.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (17)	51.4	55.2	106.6	-3.8	24%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 106.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game

51%

33%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	52.5	28.4	54.1%	52.3%	56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.9	11.4	36.9%	35.7%	34.2
🏀 Free throws	20.7	15.1	72.9%	77.2%	15.1

They take 83.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 107.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀42%

🏀🏀🏀41%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game

51%

33%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.9	22.4	53.5%	52.3%	44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	39.1	14.8	37.9%	35.7%	44.4
🏀 Free throws	23.9	18.6	77.8%	77.2%	18.6

They take 81.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	49.0	26.4	53.9%	52.3%	52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	37.1	14.0	37.7%	35.7%	42.0
🏀 Free throws	20.7	15.7	75.8%	77.2%	15.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.7	22.4	50.1%	52.3%	44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	38.7	15.1	39.0%	35.7%	45.3
🏀 Free throws	21.2	16.7	78.8%	77.2%	16.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	55.8	30.1	54.0%	52.3%	60.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.9	11.6	37.5%	35.7%	34.7
🏀 Free throws	21.2	16.3	77.2%	77.2%	16.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.6	24.8	53.3%	52.3%	49.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	37.8	14.4	38.2%	35.7%	43.3
🏀 Free throws	24.4	19.3	79.1%	77.2%	19.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	52.1	27.1	52.0%	52.3%	54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.8	13.0	37.3%	35.7%	38.9
🏀 Free throws	22.2	16.7	75.3%	77.2%	16.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.4	24.7	52.1%	52.3%	49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	38.9	14.5	37.3%	35.7%	43.5
🏀 Free throws	22.2	17.8	80.0%	77.2%	17.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Aug 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Denver Nuggets

LLWLWLWLWL

Miami Heat

LLWLWLWWWW

League position

-4.4

Net rating

+1.0

106.8

Offensive rating

109.3

111.2

Defensive rating

108.2

54.6%

Effective FG%

55.1%

Opp. effective FG%

54.0%

16.8%

Turnover %

13.7%

24.2%

Off. rebound %

16.5%

0.25

Free-throw rate

0.30

36.9%

3-point %

37.9%

63.3%

Assist %

75.0%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Denver Nuggets ■ Miami Heat

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Denver Nuggets wins

Miami Heat wins

Date	Game	Score
06/11/19	Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat	109-89
12/02/19	Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat	103-87
09/01/19	Miami Heat v Denver Nuggets	99-103
19/03/18	Miami Heat v Denver Nuggets	149-141 OT
04/11/17	Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat	95-94
02/04/17	Miami Heat v Denver Nuggets	113-116
01/12/16	Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat	98-106
14/03/16	Miami Heat v Denver Nuggets	124-119
16/01/16	Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat	95-98
20/03/15	Miami Heat v Denver Nuggets	108-91

Denver Nuggetslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/07/20	H	Orlando Magic	110-114
26/07/20	A	New Orleans Pelicans	104-119
22/07/20	H	Washington Wizards	89-82
12/03/20	A	Dallas Mavericks	97-113
10/03/20	H	Milwaukee Bucks	109-95
08/03/20	A	Cleveland Cavaliers	102-104
06/03/20	A	Charlotte Hornets	114-112
04/03/20	H	Golden State Warriors	100-116
01/03/20	H	Toronto Raptors	133-118
29/02/20	A	Los Angeles Clippers	103-132

Miami Heatlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/07/20	H	Memphis Grizzlies	110-128
25/07/20	A	Utah Jazz	99-101
23/07/20	H	Sacramento Kings	104-98
11/03/20	H	Charlotte Hornets	98-109
08/03/20	A	Washington Wizards	100-89
07/03/20	A	New Orleans Pelicans	104-110
05/03/20	H	Orlando Magic	116-113
03/03/20	H	Milwaukee Bucks	105-89
01/03/20	H	Brooklyn Nets	116-113
29/02/20	H	Dallas Mavericks	126-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets

NBA 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	65%
Home	WLWWL	74%
Away	LWLLL	55%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	68	35	33
Win %	65%	74%	55%
Points / game	110.0	110.6	109.3
Allowed / game	107.3	104.9	109.9
Point differential	+2.6	+5.7	-0.6
Avg total	217.3	215.5	219.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	34%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	55% (20)	50% (8)	58% (12)
Overtime %	9%	6%	12%

Miami Heat

NBA 2019-20

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	62%
Home	WWLWL	82%
Away	LLLWL	41%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	68	34	34
Win %	62%	82%	41%
Points / game	111.8	115.9	107.7
Allowed / game	108.9	107.4	110.4
Point differential	+2.9	+8.4	-2.7
Avg total	220.7	223.3	218.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	41%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (20)	73% (11)	44% (9)
Overtime %	13%	15%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Milwaukee Bucks	69	56	13	81%	118.5	107.7	+10.9
2	Los Angeles Lakers	67	52	15	78%	114.2	107.1	+7.1
3	Toronto Raptors	67	48	19	72%	112.6	106.3	+6.3
4	Los Angeles Clippers	68	46	22	68%	115.3	109.1	+6.2
5	Boston Celtics	68	44	24	65%	112.6	107.3	+5.3
6	Utah Jazz	68	44	24	65%	110.5	107.6	+2.9
7	Denver Nuggets	68	44	24	65%	110.0	107.3	+2.6
8	Oklahoma City Thunder	67	43	24	64%	110.7	108.0	+2.8
9	Houston Rockets	68	43	25	63%	118.4	114.4	+4.0
10	Miami Heat	68	42	26	62%	111.8	108.9	+2.9
11	Indiana Pacers	68	41	27	60%	109.2	107.3	+1.9
12	Dallas Mavericks	71	42	29	59%	116.6	111.0	+5.6
13	Philadelphia 76ers	68	40	28	59%	109.2	107.1	+2.1
14	Memphis Grizzlies	69	33	36	48%	112.6	113.8	-1.1
15	Orlando Magic	69	32	37	46%	106.6	107.6	-0.9
16	New Orleans Pelicans	68	31	37	46%	115.9	115.7	+0.2
17	Brooklyn Nets	68	31	37	46%	110.4	111.6	-1.2
18	San Antonio Spurs	67	29	38	43%	113.2	115.0	-1.8
19	Portland Trail Blazers	70	30	40	43%	113.6	115.3	-1.7
20	Sacramento Kings	68	29	39	43%	109.1	111.2	-2.1
21	Phoenix Suns	69	29	40	42%	112.5	113.4	-1.0
22	Charlotte Hornets	65	23	42	35%	102.9	109.6	-6.8
23	Washington Wizards	68	24	44	35%	114.8	119.1	-4.3
24	Chicago Bulls	65	22	43	34%	106.8	109.9	-3.1
25	New York Knicks	66	21	45	32%	105.8	112.3	-6.5
26	Detroit Pistons	66	20	46	30%	107.2	110.8	-3.6
27	Atlanta Hawks	67	20	47	30%	111.8	119.7	-8.0
28	Minnesota Timberwolves	64	19	45	30%	113.2	117.5	-4.3
29	Cleveland Cavaliers	65	19	46	29%	106.9	114.8	-7.9
30	Golden State Warriors	65	15	50	23%	106.3	115.0	-8.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Denver Nuggets	26	31	22	26	105
Miami Heat	28	28	38	31	125

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Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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