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San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Aug 2020
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 126-132
28-32 37-30 24-27 37-43
Position#17
Record30-39
FormLWWWL
Points / game113.4
Allowed / game115.2
vs
Position#9
Record45-25
FormWLLLW
Points / game110.1
Allowed / game107.7
USANBA· VISA Athletic Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Denver Nuggets
28 Feb 2027
SAS v DEN
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
SAS118
DEN128
12 Mar 2026
SAS131
DEN136
04 Jan 2025
SAS111
DEN122
12 Apr 2024
SAS121
DEN120
15 Mar 2024
SAS106
DEN117
10 Mar 2023
SAS128
DEN120
07 Nov 2022
SAS109
DEN115
11 Dec 2021
SAS112
DEN127
09 Dec 2021
SAS123
DEN111
29 Jan 2021
SAS119
DEN109
05 Aug 2020
SAS126
DEN132
25 Apr 2019
SAS120
DEN103
20 Apr 2019
SAS103
DEN117
18 Apr 2019
SAS118
DEN108
04 Mar 2019
SAS104
DEN103
26 Dec 2018
SAS111
DEN103
30 Jan 2018
SAS106
DEN104
13 Jan 2018
SAS112
DEN80
04 Feb 2017
SAS121
DEN97
19 Jan 2017
SAS118
DEN104
26 Dec 2015
SAS101
DEN86
18 Nov 2015
SAS109
DEN98
03 Apr 2015
SAS123
DEN93
06 Mar 2015
SAS120
DEN111
26 Mar 2014
SAS108
DEN103
27 Mar 2013
SAS100
DEN99
17 Nov 2012
SAS126
DEN100
04 Mar 2012
SAS94
DEN99
07 Jan 2012
SAS121
DEN117
16 Jan 2011
SAS110
DEN97
22 Dec 2010
SAS109
DEN103
31 Jan 2010
SAS89
DEN103
05 Dec 2009
SAS99
DEN106
19 Nov 2008
SAS81
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
104-103
104
103
+1
96avg 105
A04/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
120-139
120
139
-19
108avg 105
A07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
129-132 OT
129
132
-3
112avg 105
A08/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
119-109
119
109
+10
116avg 105
H11/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
92-113
92
113
-21
86avg 105
A23/07
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
119-124
119
124
-5
113avg 105
H25/07
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
118-111
118
111
+7
113avg 105
A28/07
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
129-120
129
120
+9
127avg 105
H01/08
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
108-106
108
106
+2
98avg 105
A02/08
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
130-132
130
132
-2
119avg 105
A04/08
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-36
30-22
28-18
27-27
22-41
32-34
41-45
25-19
18-35
32-25
41-27
27-31
27-29
27-30
29-26
36-24
20-20
21-27
26-38
25-28
28-25
29-32
31-39
31-28
25-32
34-28
31-23
28-28
43-30
21-35
32-27
33-28
31-25
28-29
26-22
23-30
32-35
30-29
25-35
43-33
235.7Avg total
116.8Scored
118.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)113.4115.2228.6-1.843%
Season at home (32)114.1113.0227.1+1.153%
Season away (37)112.8117.0229.8-4.235%
Last 10 (10)116.8118.9235.7-2.150%
Last 5 (5)120.8118.6239.4+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.5113.0217.5-8.517%
vs Similar ◀ (20)115.0117.3232.3-2.250%
vs Weaker (4)116.8111.5228.2+5.250%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#30
L
100-116
100
116
-16
94avg 103
H04/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
114-112
114
112
+2
112avg 103
A06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
102-104
102
104
-2
94avg 103
A08/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
109-95
109
95
+14
103avg 103
H10/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
97-113
97
113
-16
89avg 103
A12/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
89-82
89
82
+7
90avg 103
H22/07
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
104-119
104
119
-15
89avg 103
A26/07
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
110-114
110
114
-4
111avg 103
H27/07
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
L
105-125
105
125
-20
95avg 103
H01/08
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
121-113 OT
121
113
+8
112avg 103
A03/08
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
33-23
23-33
19-34
31-34
29-17
20-31
34-30
33-23
28-35
22-27
19-19
39-24
23-30
14-17
33-24
29-33
21-24
35-27
12-29
24-19
18-17
24-27
23-19
20-33
32-30
23-22
29-34
19-29
30-31
32-29
29-25
26-28
31-28
22-38
26-31
23-22
27-29
28-30
31-28
214.4Avg total
105.1Scored
109.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)110.1107.7217.7+2.464%
Season at home (36)110.5105.4215.9+5.072%
Season away (34)109.6110.0219.7-0.456%
Last 10 (10)105.1109.3214.4-4.240%
Last 5 (5)105.8110.6216.4-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)117.6116.0233.6+1.660%
vs Similar ◀ (16)109.4110.9220.4-1.550%
vs Weaker (9)112.4109.7222.1+2.867%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
San Antonio SpursDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A04/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
54-75
54
75
-21
A07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A08/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H11/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A23/07
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H25/07
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
L
59-60
59
60
-1
A28/07
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H01/08
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A02/08
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A04/08
NBA
114.8Avg total
54.9Scored
59.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.757.0112.8-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (12)56.260.3116.6-4.125%-
Last 30 away (18)55.454.8110.2+0.644%-
Last 10 (10)54.959.9114.8-5.010%-
Last 5 (5)60.260.0120.2+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.855.5105.3-5.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)58.356.5114.8+1.850%-
vs Weaker (4)51.862.0113.8-10.20%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H04/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A08/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H10/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A12/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H22/07
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A26/07
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
49-60
49
60
-11
H27/07
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H01/08
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A03/08
NBA
107.6Avg total
54.1Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.256.2111.5-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.853.7110.5+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)53.958.4112.3-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)54.153.5107.6+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)50.053.2103.2-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)61.263.4124.6-2.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)52.155.1107.1-3.031%-
vs Weaker (9)57.654.3111.9+3.278%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 116.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.231.6
51.6%
52.3%63.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.7
38.2%
35.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws25.521.5
84.3%
77.2%21.5
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 105.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.828.9
54.7%
52.3%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.2
33.1%
35.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws22.416.7
74.6%
77.2%16.7
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Aug 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
LWWWLLWLLW
Denver Nuggets
WLLLWLWLWL
#17
League position
#9
-2.0
Net rating
-4.2
109.9
Offensive rating
105.2
111.9
Defensive rating
109.4
53.4%
Effective FG%
52.9%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
13.1%
Turnover %
16.8%
19.2%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.2%
3-point %
33.1%
59.1%
Assist %
62.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 105.2Defence111.9 · 109.4Shooting53.4% · 52.9%3-point %38.2% · 33.1%Ball care13.1% · 16.8%Off. rebounds19.2% · 24.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/08/20APhiladelphia 76ers130-132
02/08/20AMemphis Grizzlies108-106
01/08/20HSacramento Kings129-120
28/07/20AIndiana Pacers118-111
25/07/20HBrooklyn Nets119-124
23/07/20AMilwaukee Bucks92-113
11/03/20HDallas Mavericks119-109
08/03/20ACleveland Cavaliers129-132 OT
07/03/20ABrooklyn Nets120-139
04/03/20ACharlotte Hornets104-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/08/20AOklahoma City Thunder121-113 OT
01/08/20HMiami Heat105-125
27/07/20HOrlando Magic110-114
26/07/20ANew Orleans Pelicans104-119
22/07/20HWashington Wizards89-82
12/03/20ADallas Mavericks97-113
10/03/20HMilwaukee Bucks109-95
08/03/20ACleveland Cavaliers102-104
06/03/20ACharlotte Hornets114-112
04/03/20HGolden State Warriors100-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL43%
HomeWLWLW53%
AwayLLWWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693237
Win %43%53%35%
Points / game113.4114.1112.8
Allowed / game115.2113.0117.0
Point differential-1.8+1.1-4.2
Avg total228.6227.1229.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%19%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (27)50% (14)46% (13)
Overtime %9%12%5%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW64%
HomeLWWLL72%
AwayWLLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703634
Win %64%72%56%
Points / game110.1110.5109.6
Allowed / game107.7105.4110.0
Point differential+2.4+5.0-0.4
Avg total217.7215.9219.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (20)50% (8)58% (12)
Overtime %10%6%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks71561579%118.5108.0+10.5
2 Los Angeles Lakers69531677%113.9107.1+6.8
3 Toronto Raptors69501972%112.4106.0+6.3
4 Los Angeles Clippers70472367%115.5109.1+6.4
5 Boston Celtics70452564%112.7107.6+5.2
6 Denver Nuggets70452564%110.1107.7+2.4
7 Oklahoma City Thunder69442564%110.8107.9+2.8
8 Utah Jazz71452663%110.4107.8+2.6
9 Houston Rockets70442663%118.2114.4+3.8
10 Miami Heat71442762%111.9108.8+3.1
11 Indiana Pacers71442762%109.6107.4+2.2
12 Dallas Mavericks73433059%116.6111.1+5.5
13 Philadelphia 76ers70412959%109.7107.7+2.0
14 Brooklyn Nets70333747%110.6111.6-1.0
15 Orlando Magic71333846%107.0107.9-0.8
16 Memphis Grizzlies72333946%112.4113.8-1.4
17 New Orleans Pelicans70323846%115.6115.6-0.0
18 Phoenix Suns71314044%112.6113.5-0.9
19 San Antonio Spurs69303943%113.4115.2-1.8
20 Portland Trail Blazers72314143%113.7115.3-1.6
21 Sacramento Kings70294141%109.3111.6-2.3
22 Charlotte Hornets65234235%102.9109.6-6.8
23 Washington Wizards70244634%114.6119.0-4.4
24 Chicago Bulls65224334%106.8109.9-3.1
25 New York Knicks66214532%105.8112.3-6.5
26 Detroit Pistons66204630%107.2110.8-3.6
27 Atlanta Hawks67204730%111.8119.7-8.0
28 Minnesota Timberwolves64194530%113.2117.5-4.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers65194629%106.9114.8-7.9
30 Golden State Warriors65155023%106.3115.0-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs28372437126
Denver Nuggets32302743132
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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