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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Aug 2020
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 113-121 (OT)
22-23 29-27 30-28 28-31 4-12
Position#6
Record44-24
FormWWWWW
Points / game110.7
Allowed / game107.8
vs
Position#9
Record44-25
FormLWLLL
Points / game109.9
Allowed / game107.6
USANBA· The Arena (WWOS)
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets
30 Jan 2027
OKC v DEN
upcoming
22 Oct 2026
OKC96
DEN84
09 Mar 2026
OKC129
DEN126
27 Feb 2026
OKC127
DEN121
18 May 2025
OKC125
DEN93
13 May 2025
OKC112
DEN105
07 May 2025
OKC149
DEN106
05 May 2025
OKC119
DEN121
10 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN140
09 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN103
31 Jan 2024
OKC105
DEN100
29 Oct 2023
OKC95
DEN128
23 Nov 2022
OKC126
DEN131
03 Nov 2022
OKC110
DEN122
09 Jan 2022
OKC95
DEN99
22 Dec 2021
OKC108
DEN94
27 Feb 2021
OKC96
DEN126
03 Aug 2020
OKC113
DEN121
21 Feb 2020
OKC113
DEN101
29 Mar 2019
OKC105
DEN115
24 Nov 2018
OKC98
DEN105
30 Mar 2018
OKC125
DEN126
18 Dec 2017
OKC95
DEN94
12 Apr 2017
OKC105
DEN111
07 Jan 2017
OKC121
DEN106
27 Dec 2015
OKC122
DEN112
01 Nov 2015
OKC117
DEN93
22 Feb 2015
OKC119
DEN94
01 Nov 2014
OKC102
DEN91
24 Mar 2014
OKC117
DEN96
18 Nov 2013
OKC115
DEN113
19 Mar 2013
OKC104
DEN114
16 Jan 2013
OKC117
DEN97
25 Apr 2012
OKC101
DEN106
19 Feb 2012
OKC124
DEN118
27 Apr 2011
OKC100
DEN97
20 Apr 2011
OKC106
DEN89
17 Apr 2011
OKC107
DEN103
08 Apr 2011
OKC104
DEN89
25 Dec 2010
OKC114
DEN106
07 Apr 2010
OKC94
DEN98
29 Jan 2010
OKC101
DEN84
04 Feb 2009
OKC113
DEN114
02 Jan 2009
OKC120
DEN122
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
112-108
112
108
+4
99avg 102
H28/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
86-133
86
133
-47
61avg 102
A29/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
94-109
94
109
-15
80avg 102
H04/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
114-107
114
107
+7
112avg 102
A05/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
126-103
126
103
+23
113avg 102
A07/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
105-104
105
104
+1
91avg 102
A08/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
98-84
98
84
+14
95avg 102
A24/07
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
102-97
102
97
+5
92avg 102
H26/07
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
131-120
131
120
+11
125avg 102
A28/07
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
110-94
110
94
+16
107avg 102
H01/08
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
25-34
31-21
31-26
24-31
23-39
22-37
17-26
27-38
20-21
23-30
24-20
38-32
31-32
25-18
20-25
27-20
34-28
34-30
31-25
29-26
23-37
31-21
22-20
21-17
26-25
24-19
27-23
26-31
18-24
26-26
32-16
30-26
33-24
39-28
29-42
29-15
37-27
20-20
24-32
213.7Avg total
107.8Scored
105.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)110.7107.8218.5+3.065%
Season at home (35)112.6108.3221.0+4.363%
Season away (33)108.7107.1215.8+1.667%
Last 10 (10)107.8105.9213.7+1.980%
Last 5 (5)109.299.8209.0+9.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)103.6113.9217.4-10.329%
vs Similar ◀ (15)114.3107.4221.7+6.980%
vs Weaker (8)118.9106.9225.8+12.0100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
133-118
133
118
+15
137avg 103
H01/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
L
100-116
100
116
-16
94avg 103
H04/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
114-112
114
112
+2
112avg 103
A06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
102-104
102
104
-2
94avg 103
A08/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
109-95
109
95
+14
103avg 103
H10/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
97-113
97
113
-16
89avg 103
A12/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
89-82
89
82
+7
90avg 103
H22/07
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
104-119
104
119
-15
89avg 103
A26/07
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
110-114
110
114
-4
111avg 103
H27/07
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
L
105-125
105
125
-20
95avg 103
H01/08
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-32
33-37
27-27
33-22
25-26
33-23
23-33
19-34
31-34
29-17
20-31
34-30
33-23
28-35
22-27
19-19
39-24
23-30
14-17
33-24
29-33
21-24
35-27
12-29
24-19
18-17
24-27
23-19
20-33
32-30
23-22
29-34
19-29
30-31
32-29
29-25
26-28
31-28
22-38
26-31
216.1Avg total
106.3Scored
109.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)109.9107.6217.5+2.364%
Season at home (36)110.5105.4215.9+5.072%
Season away (33)109.3109.9219.2-0.655%
Last 10 (10)106.3109.8216.1-3.540%
Last 5 (5)101.0110.6211.6-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)117.6116.0233.6+1.660%
vs Similar ◀ (15)108.7110.8219.5-2.147%
vs Weaker (10)111.2107.3218.5+3.970%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
Oklahoma City ThunderDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H28/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
47-70
47
70
-23
A29/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H04/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A05/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
61-48
61
48
+13
A07/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A08/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A24/07
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H26/07
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
63-50
63
50
+13
A28/07
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
66-42
66
42
+24
H01/08
NBA
110.0Avg total
54.6Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.055.8111.8+0.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.756.4110.1-2.744%-
Last 30 away (14)58.655.1113.8+3.579%-
Last 10 (10)54.655.4110.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)54.450.4104.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)51.161.7112.9-10.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)55.153.9109.0+1.153%-
vs Weaker (8)62.054.1116.1+7.9100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H01/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H04/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A08/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H10/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A12/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H22/07
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A26/07
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
49-60
49
60
-11
H27/07
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H01/08
NBA
111.7Avg total
56.4Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.555.9111.4-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.852.9109.7+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)54.158.9113.1-4.833%-
Last 10 (10)56.455.3111.7+1.170%-
Last 5 (5)50.054.4104.4-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)61.263.4124.6-2.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)52.255.3107.5-3.133%-
vs Weaker (10)57.553.1110.6+4.480%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 107.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.228.8
54.1%
52.3%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.7
35.3%
35.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws25.518.1
71.0%
77.2%18.1
They take 83.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.328.3
55.2%
52.3%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.911.3
35.4%
35.7%33.9
🏀 Free throws21.515.8
73.5%
77.2%15.8
They take 83.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Aug 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWWWWWLLW
Denver Nuggets
LLLWLWLWLW
#6
League position
#9
+1.9
Net rating
-3.5
106.7
Offensive rating
106.6
104.8
Defensive rating
110.1
53.7%
Effective FG%
54.4%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
13.7%
Turnover %
17.2%
19.1%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.3%
3-point %
35.4%
52.4%
Assist %
65.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 106.6Defence104.8 · 110.1Shooting53.7% · 54.4%3-point %35.3% · 35.4%Ball care13.7% · 17.2%Off. rebounds19.1% · 24.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/08/20HUtah Jazz110-94
28/07/20APortland Trail Blazers131-120
26/07/20HPhiladelphia 76ers102-97
24/07/20ABoston Celtics98-84
08/03/20ABoston Celtics105-104
07/03/20ANew York Knicks126-103
05/03/20ADetroit Pistons114-107
04/03/20HLos Angeles Clippers94-109
29/02/20AMilwaukee Bucks86-133
28/02/20HSacramento Kings112-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/08/20HMiami Heat105-125
27/07/20HOrlando Magic110-114
26/07/20ANew Orleans Pelicans104-119
22/07/20HWashington Wizards89-82
12/03/20ADallas Mavericks97-113
10/03/20HMilwaukee Bucks109-95
08/03/20ACleveland Cavaliers102-104
06/03/20ACharlotte Hornets114-112
04/03/20HGolden State Warriors100-116
01/03/20HToronto Raptors133-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeWWLWW63%
AwayWWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683533
Win %65%63%67%
Points / game110.7112.6108.7
Allowed / game107.8108.3107.1
Point differential+3.0+4.3+1.6
Avg total218.5221.0215.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%29%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (24)60% (10)64% (14)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL64%
HomeLWWLL72%
AwayLWLLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693633
Win %64%72%55%
Points / game109.9110.5109.3
Allowed / game107.6105.4109.9
Point differential+2.3+5.0-0.6
Avg total217.5215.9219.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (20)50% (8)58% (12)
Overtime %9%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks70561480%118.5107.8+10.6
2 Los Angeles Lakers68521676%113.9107.1+6.8
3 Toronto Raptors69501972%112.4106.0+6.3
4 Los Angeles Clippers69472268%115.5109.0+6.5
5 Boston Celtics69452465%112.8107.5+5.3
6 Oklahoma City Thunder68442465%110.7107.8+3.0
7 Houston Rockets69442564%118.4114.4+4.0
8 Utah Jazz69442564%110.2107.6+2.7
9 Denver Nuggets69442564%109.9107.6+2.3
10 Miami Heat70432761%111.9108.8+3.0
11 Indiana Pacers69422761%109.5107.5+2.0
12 Dallas Mavericks72423058%116.6111.1+5.5
13 Philadelphia 76ers69402958%109.4107.4+2.0
14 Orlando Magic70333747%107.0107.7-0.7
15 Memphis Grizzlies70333747%112.5113.7-1.2
16 Brooklyn Nets69323746%110.5111.6-1.1
17 New Orleans Pelicans69313845%115.7115.9-0.2
18 San Antonio Spurs68303844%113.2114.9-1.8
19 Phoenix Suns70304043%112.6113.5-0.9
20 Portland Trail Blazers71304142%113.7115.5-1.8
21 Sacramento Kings69294042%109.2111.5-2.3
22 Charlotte Hornets65234235%102.9109.6-6.8
23 Washington Wizards69244535%114.8119.1-4.3
24 Chicago Bulls65224334%106.8109.9-3.1
25 New York Knicks66214532%105.8112.3-6.5
26 Detroit Pistons66204630%107.2110.8-3.6
27 Atlanta Hawks67204730%111.8119.7-8.0
28 Minnesota Timberwolves64194530%113.2117.5-4.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers65194629%106.9114.8-7.9
30 Golden State Warriors65155023%106.3115.0-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Oklahoma City Thunder222930284113
Denver Nuggets2327283112121
← all games of the day
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