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Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 30 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 116-93
23-28 23-25 40-21 30-19
Position#6
Record47-28
FormWWWWW
Points / game121.3
Allowed / game116.9
vs
Position#20
Record36-38
FormLLWWW
Points / game115.2
Allowed / game114.9
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Golden State Warriors
12 Mar 2027
DEN v GSW
upcoming
26 Oct 2026
DEN114
GSW134
29 Mar 2026
DEN116
GSW93
07 Nov 2025
DEN129
GSW104
03 Dec 2024
DEN119
GSW115
25 Dec 2023
DEN120
GSW114
08 Nov 2023
DEN108
GSW105
02 Apr 2023
DEN112
GSW110
02 Feb 2023
DEN134
GSW117
24 Apr 2022
DEN126
GSW121
21 Apr 2022
DEN113
GSW118
10 Mar 2022
DEN102
GSW113
07 Mar 2022
DEN131
GSW124
14 Jan 2021
DEN114
GSW104
03 Mar 2020
DEN100
GSW116
15 Jan 2019
DEN111
GSW142
21 Oct 2018
DEN100
GSW98
03 Feb 2018
DEN115
GSW108
04 Nov 2017
DEN108
GSW127
13 Feb 2017
DEN132
GSW110
10 Nov 2016
DEN101
GSW125
13 Jan 2016
DEN112
GSW110
22 Nov 2015
DEN105
GSW118
13 Mar 2015
DEN114
GSW103
16 Apr 2014
DEN112
GSW116
23 Dec 2013
DEN81
GSW89
30 Apr 2013
DEN107
GSW100
23 Apr 2013
DEN117
GSW131
20 Apr 2013
DEN97
GSW95
13 Jan 2013
DEN116
GSW105
23 Nov 2012
DEN102
GSW91
09 Apr 2012
DEN123
GSW84
09 Feb 2012
DEN101
GSW109
11 Apr 2011
DEN134
GSW111
05 Jan 2010
DEN123
GSW122
01 Dec 2009
DEN135
GSW107
28 Mar 2009
DEN129
GSW116
13 Dec 2008
DEN123
GSW105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
W
129-93
129
93
+36
131avg 113
H12/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
136-131
136
131
+5
134avg 113
A13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
118avg 113
A15/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
124-96
124
96
+28
128avg 113
H18/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
118-125
118
125
-7
117avg 113
A19/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
121-115
121
115
+6
117avg 113
H21/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
128-112
128
112
+16
131avg 113
H22/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
125-123
125
123
+2
128avg 113
A25/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
142-135
142
135
+7
145avg 113
H26/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
135-129
135
129
+6
133avg 113
H28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
29-27
40-22
36-24
25-37
28-32
41-37
42-25
26-34
24-27
37-26
31-31
38-22
34-18
28-31
24-25
30-31
30-29
31-39
27-26
27-30
30-23
28-41
36-21
42-40
33-29
32-24
21-19
28-35
39-22
30-38
28-28
34-33
34-26
43-41
31-35
37-26
25-36
36-43
37-24
246.9Avg total
128.3Scored
118.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)121.3116.9238.2+4.463%
Season at home (36)119.5115.0234.4+4.564%
Season away (39)123.1118.7241.7+4.462%
Last 10 (10)128.3118.6246.9+9.780%
Last 5 (5)130.2122.8253.0+7.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)119.3125.7245.0-6.30%
vs Similar (15)118.5117.0235.5+1.547%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)126.3116.0242.3+10.383%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
124-130 OT
124
130
-6
113avg 106
H11/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
117-127
117
127
-10
99avg 106
H14/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
107-110
107
110
-3
101avg 106
A16/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
125-117
125
117
+8
121avg 106
A16/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
99-120
99
120
-21
85avg 106
A18/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
101-115
101
115
-14
94avg 106
A20/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
110-126
110
126
-16
98avg 106
A22/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
137-131 OT
137
131
+6
136avg 106
A24/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
109-106
109
106
+3
109avg 106
H26/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
131-126
131
126
+5
130avg 106
H28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
21-31
32-32
35-29
28-31
20-38
39-31
30-27
35-21
19-24
26-38
27-27
34-23
30-34
34-29
27-31
23-36
27-27
23-26
26-31
26-21
24-36
23-30
28-28
36-35
25-28
20-39
29-24
34-31
29-42
35-25
28-28
25-30
25-28
27-28
32-20
38-25
34-35
20-34
39-32
236.8Avg total
116.0Scored
120.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)115.2114.9230.1+0.349%
Season at home (36)118.1115.6233.7+2.458%
Season away (38)112.5114.2226.7-1.739%
Last 10 (10)116.0120.8236.8-4.840%
Last 5 (5)117.6120.8238.4-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)110.4117.4227.9-7.022%
vs Similar (11)104.8114.7219.5-9.918%
vs Weaker (10)124.4120.1244.5+4.370%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -6.9-6.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +2.4+2.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -6.9-6.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +2.4+2.4
Denver NuggetsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H12/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A15/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
72-40
72
40
+32
H18/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A19/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H21/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H22/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
67-57
67
57
+10
A25/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H26/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
D
62-62
62
62
+0
H28/03
NBA
119.4Avg total
61.7Scored
57.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.057.0116.0+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.954.8113.7+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)59.059.6118.6-0.636%-
Last 10 (10)61.757.7119.4+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)65.860.0125.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)58.059.3117.3-1.333%-
vs Similar (15)54.155.8109.9-1.747%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)65.258.0123.2+7.258%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H11/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
48-69
48
69
-21
H14/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A16/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A16/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A18/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A20/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A22/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A24/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H26/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H28/03
NBA
116.5Avg total
56.3Scored
60.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.458.7114.1-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.263.5120.7-6.231%-
Last 30 away (17)54.155.0109.1-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)56.360.2116.5-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)59.262.2121.4-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)57.462.2119.7-4.844%-
vs Similar (11)49.355.3104.5-6.036%-
vs Weaker (10)60.459.2119.6+1.240%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 128.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.929.6
58.2%
54.8%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.016.0
42.1%
35.8%48.0
🏀 Free throws26.421.1
79.9%
78.1%21.1
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 116.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.927.2
58.0%
54.8%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.814.0
34.3%
35.8%42.0
🏀 Free throws24.419.6
80.3%
78.1%19.6
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWLWLWW
Golden State Warriors
WWWLLLWLLL
#6
League position
#20
+9.2
Net rating
-4.6
122.0
Offensive rating
110.7
112.8
Defensive rating
115.3
60.3%
Effective FG%
55.0%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
11.5%
Turnover %
16.8%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
42.1%
3-point %
34.3%
73.0%
Assist %
67.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence122.0 · 110.7Defence112.8 · 115.3Shooting60.3% · 55.0%3-point %42.1% · 34.3%Ball care11.5% · 16.8%Off. rebounds24.4% · 31.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HUtah Jazz135-129
26/03/26HDallas Mavericks142-135
25/03/26APhoenix Suns125-123
22/03/26HPortland Trail Blazers128-112
21/03/26HToronto Raptors121-115
19/03/26AMemphis Grizzlies118-125
18/03/26HPhiladelphia 76ers124-96
15/03/26ALos Angeles Lakers125-127 OT
13/03/26ASan Antonio Spurs136-131
12/03/26HHouston Rockets129-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HWashington Wizards131-126
26/03/26HBrooklyn Nets109-106
24/03/26ADallas Mavericks137-131 OT
22/03/26AAtlanta Hawks110-126
20/03/26ADetroit Pistons101-115
18/03/26ABoston Celtics99-120
16/03/26AWashington Wizards125-117
16/03/26ANew York Knicks107-110
14/03/26HMinnesota Timberwolves117-127
11/03/26HChicago Bulls124-130 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW63%
HomeWWWWW64%
AwayLWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753639
Win %63%64%62%
Points / game121.3119.5123.1
Allowed / game116.9115.0118.7
Point differential+4.4+4.5+4.4
Avg total238.2234.4241.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (26)44% (9)53% (17)
Overtime %9%6%13%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW49%
HomeLLLWW58%
AwayWLLLW39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743638
Win %49%58%39%
Points / game115.2118.1112.5
Allowed / game114.9115.6114.2
Point differential+0.3+2.4-1.7
Avg total230.1233.7226.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%36%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (20)67% (6)36% (14)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder73581579%118.5107.8+10.7
2 San Antonio Spurs72541875%119.3111.2+8.2
3 Detroit Pistons74542073%117.5109.5+8.0
4 Boston Celtics74502468%114.1106.8+7.3
5 Los Angeles Lakers73482566%116.6114.7+1.9
6 New York Knicks73462763%116.6110.5+6.1
7 Denver Nuggets75472863%121.3116.9+4.4
8 Cleveland Cavaliers74462862%119.4115.2+4.2
9 Houston Rockets74452961%114.4110.1+4.3
10 Minnesota Timberwolves74452961%117.9114.4+3.5
11 Toronto Raptors73423158%114.5111.9+2.6
12 Phoenix Suns73413256%113.0110.8+2.2
13 Atlanta Hawks75423356%118.3116.4+1.8
14 Philadelphia 76ers74413355%116.2116.5-0.3
15 Orlando Magic72383453%115.2115.0+0.2
16 Miami Heat74393553%120.4117.9+2.5
17 Charlotte Hornets75393652%116.1111.7+4.3
18 Los Angeles Clippers75393652%114.0112.5+1.5
19 Portland Trail Blazers76383850%115.3116.1-0.8
20 Golden State Warriors74363849%115.2114.9+0.3
21 Chicago Bulls74294539%116.4121.0-4.6
22 Milwaukee Bucks74294539%110.4116.9-6.4
23 Memphis Grizzlies74254934%115.1119.2-4.0
24 New Orleans Pelicans76255133%115.1119.5-4.4
25 Dallas Mavericks74245032%113.9118.9-5.1
26 Utah Jazz75215428%117.4125.4-8.0
27 Sacramento Kings76195725%110.7121.1-10.4
28 Brooklyn Nets75185724%106.3115.4-9.1
29 Washington Wizards74175723%112.6124.0-11.4
30 Indiana Pacers75175823%112.2120.6-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets23234030116
Golden State Warriors2825211993
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