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San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 131-136
37-25 32-28 37-41 25-42
Position#2
Record46-17
FormWWWWW
Points / game118.6
Allowed / game111.5
vs
Position#6
Record40-26
FormWWLLW
Points / game120.4
Allowed / game116.3
USANBA· Frost Bank Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Denver Nuggets
28 Feb 2027
SAS v DEN
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
SAS118
DEN128
12 Mar 2026
SAS131
DEN136
04 Jan 2025
SAS111
DEN122
12 Apr 2024
SAS121
DEN120
15 Mar 2024
SAS106
DEN117
10 Mar 2023
SAS128
DEN120
07 Nov 2022
SAS109
DEN115
11 Dec 2021
SAS112
DEN127
09 Dec 2021
SAS123
DEN111
29 Jan 2021
SAS119
DEN109
05 Aug 2020
SAS126
DEN132
25 Apr 2019
SAS120
DEN103
20 Apr 2019
SAS103
DEN117
18 Apr 2019
SAS118
DEN108
04 Mar 2019
SAS104
DEN103
26 Dec 2018
SAS111
DEN103
30 Jan 2018
SAS106
DEN104
13 Jan 2018
SAS112
DEN80
04 Feb 2017
SAS121
DEN97
19 Jan 2017
SAS118
DEN104
26 Dec 2015
SAS101
DEN86
18 Nov 2015
SAS109
DEN98
03 Apr 2015
SAS123
DEN93
06 Mar 2015
SAS120
DEN111
26 Mar 2014
SAS108
DEN103
27 Mar 2013
SAS100
DEN99
17 Nov 2012
SAS126
DEN100
04 Mar 2012
SAS94
DEN99
07 Jan 2012
SAS121
DEN117
16 Jan 2011
SAS110
DEN97
22 Dec 2010
SAS109
DEN103
31 Jan 2010
SAS89
DEN103
05 Dec 2009
SAS99
DEN106
19 Nov 2008
SAS81
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
139-122
139
122
+17
138avg 110
H22/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
114-103
114
103
+11
105avg 110
A24/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
110-107
110
107
+3
101avg 110
A26/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
126-110
126
110
+16
125avg 110
A27/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
89-114
89
114
-25
84avg 110
A01/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
131-91
131
91
+40
140avg 110
A04/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
121-106
121
106
+15
116avg 110
H06/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
116-112
116
112
+4
111avg 110
H07/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
145-120
145
120
+25
144avg 110
H09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
125-116
125
116
+9
121avg 110
H11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-31
38-34
32-29
34-28
24-27
33-28
26-20
31-28
30-29
27-30
21-31
32-17
36-22
35-34
33-28
22-26
21-22
20-29
28-29
20-34
32-25
46-28
35-11
18-27
38-23
33-32
22-30
28-21
25-32
21-34
35-26
35-20
32-33
37-24
41-37
35-26
29-31
29-27
39-32
28-26
231.7Avg total
121.6Scored
110.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)118.6111.5230.1+7.173%
Season at home (31)120.2111.4231.6+8.881%
Season away (32)117.1111.6228.6+5.566%
Last 10 (10)121.6110.1231.7+11.590%
Last 5 (5)127.6109.0236.6+18.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)111.9109.1221.0+2.864%
vs Weaker (19)120.7108.2228.9+12.584%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
157-103
157
103
+54
168avg 112
A21/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
117-128
117
128
-11
108avg 112
A22/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
103-84
103
84
+19
97avg 112
H26/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
121-127 OT
121
127
-6
108avg 112
A28/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
108-117
108
117
-9
99avg 112
H01/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
128-125
128
125
+3
128avg 112
A03/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
120-113
120
113
+7
121avg 112
H06/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
103-142
103
142
-39
93avg 112
H07/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
126-129
126
129
-3
120avg 112
A09/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
129-93
129
93
+36
131avg 112
H12/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
41-27
41-26
43-32
32-18
27-39
40-37
34-19
16-33
21-24
26-24
30-19
26-17
33-19
26-31
24-27
24-30
31-22
19-36
32-32
26-27
33-34
33-33
34-26
28-32
32-22
32-32
29-32
27-27
29-27
23-38
28-40
23-37
40-37
20-29
33-30
33-33
24-20
29-27
40-22
36-24
237.3Avg total
121.2Scored
116.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)120.4116.3236.7+4.161%
Season at home (31)117.8114.6232.4+3.258%
Season away (35)122.7117.8240.5+4.963%
Last 10 (10)121.2116.1237.3+5.150%
Last 5 (5)121.2120.4241.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)119.3125.7245.0-6.30%
vs Similar ◀ (15)111.1113.6224.7-2.533%
vs Weaker (12)120.4111.3231.8+9.192%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
San Antonio SpursDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H22/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
57-55
57
55
+2
A24/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A26/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
71-56
71
56
+15
A27/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A01/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
78-53
78
53
+25
A04/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H06/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
46-66
46
66
-20
H07/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
D
58-58
58
58
+0
H11/03
NBA
119.6Avg total
62.1Scored
57.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.856.1117.9+5.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)63.156.4119.4+6.771%-
Last 30 away (16)60.855.8116.6+4.956%-
Last 10 (10)62.157.5119.6+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)64.457.8122.2+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)58.457.0115.4+1.445%-
vs Weaker (19)63.855.5119.4+8.374%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
82-53
82
53
+29
A21/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A22/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H26/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A28/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H01/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A03/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H06/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
52-65
52
65
-13
H07/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A09/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H12/03
NBA
118.4Avg total
60.0Scored
58.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.156.2113.3+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.555.2110.7+0.350%-
Last 30 away (14)58.957.4116.3+1.643%-
Last 10 (10)60.058.4118.4+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)59.059.8118.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)58.059.3117.3-1.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)53.255.3108.5-2.140%-
vs Weaker (12)61.856.5118.2+5.258%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 121.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.627.8
57.2%
54.8%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.016.3
40.8%
35.8%48.9
🏀 Free throws23.317.1
73.4%
78.1%17.1
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 121.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.129.1
55.9%
54.8%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.413.8
37.9%
35.8%41.4
🏀 Free throws27.521.6
78.5%
78.1%21.6
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
WWWWWLWWWW
Denver Nuggets
WLLWWLLWLW
#2
League position
#6
+11.3
Net rating
+5.0
119.4
Offensive rating
118.0
108.1
Defensive rating
113.1
59.0%
Effective FG%
56.3%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
12.3%
Turnover %
13.0%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
40.8%
3-point %
37.9%
69.6%
Assist %
67.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence119.4 · 118.0Defence108.1 · 113.1Shooting59.0% · 56.3%3-point %40.8% · 37.9%Ball care12.3% · 13.0%Off. rebounds23.3% · 24.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
San Antonio Spurs wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HBoston Celtics125-116
09/03/26HHouston Rockets145-120
07/03/26HLos Angeles Clippers116-112
06/03/26HDetroit Pistons121-106
04/03/26APhiladelphia 76ers131-91
01/03/26ANew York Knicks89-114
27/02/26ABrooklyn Nets126-110
26/02/26AToronto Raptors110-107
24/02/26ADetroit Pistons114-103
22/02/26HSacramento Kings139-122
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26HHouston Rockets129-93
09/03/26AOklahoma City Thunder126-129
07/03/26HNew York Knicks103-142
06/03/26HLos Angeles Lakers120-113
03/03/26AUtah Jazz128-125
01/03/26HMinnesota Timberwolves108-117
28/02/26AOklahoma City Thunder121-127 OT
26/02/26HBoston Celtics103-84
22/02/26AGolden State Warriors117-128
21/02/26APortland Trail Blazers157-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayWWWLW66%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633132
Win %73%81%66%
Points / game118.6120.2117.1
Allowed / game111.5111.4111.6
Point differential+7.1+8.8+5.5
Avg total230.1231.6228.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%52%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (18)50% (6)58% (12)
Overtime %2%0%3%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW61%
HomeWLWLW58%
AwayWLLWL63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663135
Win %61%58%63%
Points / game120.4117.8122.7
Allowed / game116.3114.6117.8
Point differential+4.1+3.2+4.9
Avg total236.7232.4240.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%32%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (23)44% (9)50% (14)
Overtime %9%6%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder64501478%118.6108.1+10.5
2 San Antonio Spurs63461773%118.6111.5+7.1
3 Detroit Pistons65471872%117.2109.6+7.6
4 Boston Celtics65432266%114.5107.2+7.3
5 Los Angeles Lakers64402462%115.9114.6+1.3
6 New York Knicks65402562%117.0111.0+6.0
7 Houston Rockets65402562%114.2110.0+4.3
8 Denver Nuggets66402661%120.4116.3+4.1
9 Cleveland Cavaliers66402661%118.8114.8+4.0
10 Minnesota Timberwolves66402661%118.6115.1+3.4
11 Phoenix Suns65392660%112.9110.6+2.3
12 Miami Heat66382858%120.7116.5+4.1
13 Orlando Magic63362757%115.5113.8+1.7
14 Toronto Raptors64362856%113.6111.8+1.8
15 Atlanta Hawks66353153%117.7116.9+0.8
16 Philadelphia 76ers66353153%115.8116.5-0.7
17 Los Angeles Clippers65333251%113.4112.6+0.8
18 Charlotte Hornets67343351%115.7112.3+3.4
19 Golden State Warriors65323349%115.2114.2+1.0
20 Portland Trail Blazers66313547%115.1117.8-2.6
21 Chicago Bulls65273842%115.6119.9-4.2
22 Milwaukee Bucks65273842%111.0115.9-4.9
23 Memphis Grizzlies65234235%115.8118.3-2.5
24 Dallas Mavericks66224433%113.1117.7-4.7
25 New Orleans Pelicans67224533%115.6120.0-4.4
26 Utah Jazz66204630%117.4125.0-7.6
27 Brooklyn Nets66174926%106.9115.8-8.9
28 Washington Wizards65164925%112.8123.9-11.0
29 Sacramento Kings67165124%110.6120.9-10.2
30 Indiana Pacers66155123%111.3120.0-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs37323725131
Denver Nuggets25284142136
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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