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San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 104-103
36-17 22-31 27-21 19-34
Position#12
Record38-31
FormLLLWW
Points / game111.7
Allowed / game110.6
vs
Position#4
Record45-21
FormWWWLL
Points / game112.0
Allowed / game107.1
USANBA· AT&T Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Denver Nuggets
09 Apr 2027
SAS v DEN
upcoming
28 Feb 2027
SAS v DEN
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
SAS118
DEN128
12 Mar 2026
SAS131
DEN136
04 Jan 2025
SAS111
DEN122
12 Apr 2024
SAS121
DEN120
15 Mar 2024
SAS106
DEN117
10 Mar 2023
SAS128
DEN120
07 Nov 2022
SAS109
DEN115
11 Dec 2021
SAS112
DEN127
09 Dec 2021
SAS123
DEN111
29 Jan 2021
SAS119
DEN109
05 Aug 2020
SAS126
DEN132
25 Apr 2019
SAS120
DEN103
20 Apr 2019
SAS103
DEN117
18 Apr 2019
SAS118
DEN108
04 Mar 2019
SAS104
DEN103
26 Dec 2018
SAS111
DEN103
30 Jan 2018
SAS106
DEN104
13 Jan 2018
SAS112
DEN80
08 Oct 2017
SAS122
DEN100
04 Feb 2017
SAS121
DEN97
19 Jan 2017
SAS118
DEN104
26 Dec 2015
SAS101
DEN86
18 Nov 2015
SAS109
DEN98
03 Apr 2015
SAS123
DEN93
06 Mar 2015
SAS120
DEN111
26 Mar 2014
SAS108
DEN103
27 Mar 2013
SAS100
DEN99
17 Nov 2012
SAS126
DEN100
12 Oct 2012
SAS91
DEN97
04 Mar 2012
SAS94
DEN99
07 Jan 2012
SAS121
DEN117
16 Jan 2011
SAS110
DEN97
22 Dec 2010
SAS109
DEN103
31 Jan 2010
SAS89
DEN103
05 Dec 2009
SAS99
DEN106
19 Nov 2008
SAS81
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
112-127
112
127
-15
A05/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#3
L
102-141
102
141
-39
A07/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
118-127
118
127
-9
A08/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
105-125
105
125
-20
A09/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
W
108-107
108
107
+1
A13/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
117-120
117
120
-3
A23/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
L
118-130
118
130
-12
A25/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
L
85-101
85
101
-16
A26/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#18
W
105-93
105
93
+12
H28/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
116-102
116
102
+14
H03/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-37
34-26
27-35
26-29
31-33
21-33
31-49
19-26
34-31
23-39
33-26
28-31
24-23
24-39
27-24
30-39
20-33
37-25
37-28
14-21
23-26
33-29
35-33
26-32
26-30
27-32
30-32
35-36
20-28
18-24
21-29
26-20
32-27
19-21
27-19
27-26
38-25
34-38
20-15
24-24
225.9Avg total
108.6Scored
117.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)111.7110.6222.3+1.255%
Season at home (34)112.9105.9218.7+7.076%
Season away (35)110.7115.1225.8-4.534%
Last 10 (10)108.6117.3225.9-8.730%
Last 5 (5)108.2109.2217.4-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)114.7122.7237.3-8.033%
vs Similar ◀ (21)112.5112.4225.0+0.157%
vs Weaker (6)113.0110.7223.7+2.367%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#18
L
103-129
103
129
-26
A05/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
L
130-135
130
135
-5
A07/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
110-117
110
117
-7
A09/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
103-87
103
87
+16
H12/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
120-118
120
118
+2
H14/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
114-104
114
104
+10
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
W
123-96
123
96
+27
H24/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
121-112
121
112
+9
H27/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
104-111
104
111
-7
H01/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
112-120
112
120
-8
H03/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-34
19-34
28-29
20-32
35-30
25-42
27-36
43-27
23-33
33-23
26-27
28-34
35-27
19-22
29-21
20-17
30-41
28-28
35-22
27-27
25-30
27-21
39-23
23-30
34-27
30-29
33-21
26-19
29-26
35-25
27-27
30-34
22-19
15-33
33-29
34-30
39-27
32-40
22-29
19-24
226.9Avg total
114.0Scored
112.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)112.0107.1219.1+5.068%
Season at home (33)116.0105.0221.0+11.082%
Season away (33)108.1109.2217.2-1.155%
Last 10 (10)114.0112.9226.9+1.150%
Last 5 (5)114.8108.6223.4+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)114.1110.5224.6+3.664%
vs Weaker (16)115.4109.8225.2+5.775%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
San Antonio SpursDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A05/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#3
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A07/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A08/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
48-62
48
62
-14
A09/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A13/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A23/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A25/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A26/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#18
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H28/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H03/03
NBA
114.2Avg total
54.3Scored
59.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.956.9112.8-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.755.4115.1+4.377%-
Last 30 away (17)52.958.1111.0-5.124%-
Last 10 (10)54.359.9114.2-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)54.056.0110.0-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)58.357.3115.7+1.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)55.056.8111.9-1.843%-
vs Weaker (6)57.557.0114.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#18
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A05/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A07/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A09/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H12/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
58-69
58
69
-11
H14/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H24/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H27/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H01/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H03/03
NBA
116.2Avg total
57.1Scored
59.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.159.1118.2+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (17)62.757.8120.5+4.971%-
Last 30 away (13)54.460.7115.1-6.315%-
Last 10 (10)57.159.1116.2-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)57.655.4113.0+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)60.459.3119.7+1.150%-
vs Weaker (16)57.958.9116.8-0.944%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 108.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.731.6
48.8%
51.7%63.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.2
36.9%
35.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.217.8
84.0%
76.6%17.8
They take 89.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.731.9
50.9%
51.7%63.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.7
34.2%
35.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws24.218.1
74.8%
76.6%18.1
They take 94.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
WWLLLWLLLL
Denver Nuggets
LLWWWWWLLL
#12
League position
#4
-8.6
Net rating
+1.2
107.9
Offensive rating
107.0
116.5
Defensive rating
105.8
50.7%
Effective FG%
51.0%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
11.2%
Turnover %
13.7%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.9%
3-point %
34.2%
50.5%
Assist %
67.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 107.0Defence116.5 · 105.8Shooting50.7% · 51.0%3-point %36.9% · 34.2%Ball care11.2% · 13.7%Off. rebounds20.3% · 26.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/19HOklahoma City Thunder116-102
28/02/19HDetroit Pistons105-93
26/02/19ABrooklyn Nets85-101
25/02/19ANew York Knicks118-130
23/02/19AToronto Raptors117-120
13/02/19AMemphis Grizzlies108-107
09/02/19AUtah Jazz105-125
08/02/19APortland Trail Blazers118-127
07/02/19AGolden State Warriors102-141
05/02/19ASacramento Kings112-127
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/19HNew Orleans Pelicans112-120
01/03/19HUtah Jazz104-111
27/02/19HOklahoma City Thunder121-112
24/02/19HLos Angeles Clippers123-96
23/02/19ADallas Mavericks114-104
14/02/19HSacramento Kings120-118
12/02/19HMiami Heat103-87
09/02/19APhiladelphia 76ers110-117
07/02/19ABrooklyn Nets130-135
05/02/19ADetroit Pistons103-129

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW55%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayLWLLL34%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693435
Win %55%76%34%
Points / game111.7112.9110.7
Allowed / game110.6105.9115.1
Point differential+1.2+7.0-4.5
Avg total222.3218.7225.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%44%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (20)78% (9)45% (11)
Overtime %4%6%3%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL68%
HomeWWWLL82%
AwayWLLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663333
Win %68%82%55%
Points / game112.0116.0108.1
Allowed / game107.1105.0109.2
Point differential+5.0+11.0-1.1
Avg total219.1221.0217.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%48%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won84% (19)83% (6)85% (13)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks67511676%117.9108.1+9.8
2 Toronto Raptors68491972%114.3108.6+5.7
3 Denver Nuggets66452168%112.0107.1+5.0
4 Golden State Warriors68452366%118.1112.2+5.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers66422464%115.6112.4+3.3
6 Indiana Pacers68432563%108.4103.8+4.6
7 Oklahoma City Thunder67422563%114.9110.3+4.5
8 Portland Trail Blazers68422662%113.6109.8+3.8
9 Houston Rockets67412661%113.5110.7+2.8
10 Utah Jazz65392660%110.7106.3+4.3
11 Boston Celtics68392957%111.4106.8+4.6
12 Los Angeles Clippers68392957%114.1112.8+1.3
13 San Antonio Spurs69383155%111.7110.6+1.2
14 Brooklyn Nets70353550%111.5112.2-0.8
15 Detroit Pistons67333449%107.2107.7-0.5
16 Charlotte Hornets68333549%111.4111.6-0.1
17 Los Angeles Lakers69333648%112.4113.9-1.5
18 Sacramento Kings67323548%113.3115.6-2.3
19 Miami Heat69323746%106.6107.1-0.5
20 Orlando Magic69313845%105.3106.3-0.9
21 Minnesota Timberwolves68303844%112.3113.6-1.3
22 Washington Wizards67293843%114.0116.4-2.4
23 Dallas Mavericks66283842%108.3109.9-1.6
24 New Orleans Pelicans70294141%115.8115.8+0.0
25 Memphis Grizzlies70274339%101.5104.4-2.9
26 Atlanta Hawks70244634%112.3118.8-6.5
27 Chicago Bulls69204929%104.8112.1-7.3
28 Cleveland Cavaliers68185026%103.8113.1-9.3
29 New York Knicks68165224%106.1113.9-7.8
30 Phoenix Suns68145421%106.1116.0-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs36222719104
Denver Nuggets17312134103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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