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Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 110-105
30-23 25-31 31-31 24-20
Position#3
Record52-23
FormWWLLW
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game109.8
vs
Position#26
Record18-57
FormLWWWL
Points / game112.2
Allowed / game119.2
USANBA· Ball Arena (Denver)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v San Antonio Spurs
03 Mar 2027
DEN v SAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
DEN136
SAS134
28 Nov 2025
DEN136
SAS139
02 Apr 2025
DEN106
SAS113
03 Jan 2025
DEN110
SAS113
02 Apr 2024
DEN110
SAS105
26 Nov 2023
DEN132
SAS120
05 Nov 2022
DEN126
SAS101
05 Apr 2022
DEN97
SAS116
22 Oct 2021
DEN102
SAS96
09 Apr 2021
DEN121
SAS119
07 Apr 2021
DEN106
SAS96
27 Mar 2020
DEN v SAS
upcoming
10 Feb 2020
DEN127
SAS120
27 Apr 2019
DEN90
SAS86
23 Apr 2019
DEN108
SAS90
16 Apr 2019
DEN114
SAS105
13 Apr 2019
DEN96
SAS101
03 Apr 2019
DEN113
SAS85
28 Dec 2018
DEN102
SAS99
23 Feb 2018
DEN122
SAS119
13 Feb 2018
DEN117
SAS109
05 Jan 2017
DEN99
SAS127
08 Apr 2016
DEN102
SAS98
27 Nov 2015
DEN80
SAS91
20 Jan 2015
DEN99
SAS109
14 Dec 2014
DEN91
SAS99
28 Mar 2014
DEN102
SAS133
05 Nov 2013
DEN94
SAS102
10 Apr 2013
DEN96
SAS86
18 Dec 2012
DEN112
SAS106
23 Feb 2012
DEN99
SAS114
23 Mar 2011
DEN115
SAS112
16 Dec 2010
DEN112
SAS113
10 Apr 2010
DEN85
SAS104
11 Feb 2010
DEN92
SAS111
03 Feb 2009
DEN104
SAS96
04 Dec 2008
DEN91
SAS108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#18
W
100-88
100
88
+12
94avg 110
A13/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
117-106
117
106
+11
119avg 110
A16/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
105-107
105
107
-2
96avg 110
A17/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
115-112
115
112
+3
116avg 110
A20/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
113-100
113
100
+13
114avg 110
H22/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
114-111
114
111
+3
105avg 110
A24/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
128-103
128
103
+25
135avg 110
H26/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
97-104
97
104
-7
86avg 110
H28/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
98-111
98
111
-13
91avg 110
H30/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
130-101
130
101
+29
138avg 110
H31/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
24-25
22-27
28-17
37-18
21-31
28-30
31-27
34-30
27-28
18-26
26-23
35-28
35-27
17-29
28-28
32-30
29-26
27-20
25-24
26-22
31-25
28-36
29-28
39-24
30-20
30-32
29-27
29-29
23-30
21-24
24-21
26-33
17-29
21-25
34-24
30-26
35-30
36-21
29-24
216.0Avg total
111.7Scored
104.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)114.6109.8224.4+4.869%
Season at home (38)118.2108.8227.0+9.379%
Season away (37)110.9110.8221.7+0.159%
Last 10 (10)111.7104.3216.0+7.470%
Last 5 (5)113.4106.0219.4+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)115.0109.0224.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (18)106.2106.9213.1-0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)123.0110.3233.3+12.7100%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
L
101-103
101
103
-2
100avg 107
H13/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
106-117
106
117
-11
100avg 107
H16/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
122-115 OT
122
115
+7
116avg 107
H17/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
107-113
107
113
-6
104avg 107
H20/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
97-99
97
99
-2
87avg 107
H23/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
106-131
106
131
-25
97avg 107
H24/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
104-102
104
102
+2
91avg 107
H26/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
118-111
118
111
+7
121avg 107
A28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
130-126 OT
130
126
+4
135avg 107
H30/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
113-117
113
117
-4
110avg 107
H31/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
17-20
25-32
29-27
18-37
31-21
30-28
27-31
25-29
30-27
25-27
30-27
30-38
26-27
28-26
23-22
30-18
14-25
24-28
29-28
17-26
30-39
24-38
35-28
29-22
18-28
28-24
29-28
29-15
30-33
29-31
30-32
38-27
36-30
20-34
27-30
34-27
26-25
21-37
32-28
223.8Avg total
110.4Scored
113.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)112.2119.2231.4-7.024%
Season at home (38)113.5118.6232.1-5.126%
Season away (37)110.8119.9230.8-9.122%
Last 10 (10)110.4113.4223.8-3.040%
Last 5 (5)114.2117.4231.6-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)111.0116.3227.3-5.426%
vs Similar (7)112.0113.3225.3-1.343%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
Denver NuggetsSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#18
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A13/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A16/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A17/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
70-55
70
55
+15
A20/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H22/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A24/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
69-44
69
44
+25
H26/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
52-59
52
59
-7
H28/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
43-62
43
62
-19
H30/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H31/03
NBA
111.6Avg total
58.6Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.255.1113.3+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.855.3115.1+4.565%-
Last 30 away (13)56.254.8111.0+1.362%-
Last 10 (10)58.653.0111.6+5.680%-
Last 5 (5)57.253.6110.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.054.0116.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (18)55.656.5112.1-0.956%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)62.252.9115.1+9.373%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H13/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H16/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H17/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
56-65
56
65
-9
H20/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H23/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
47-65
47
65
-18
H24/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H26/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H30/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H31/03
NBA
107.6Avg total
53.8Scored
53.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.156.7110.8-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.856.5111.2-1.753%-
Last 30 away (13)53.257.0110.2-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)53.853.8107.6+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)57.454.4111.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)54.557.7112.2-3.239%-
vs Similar (7)52.953.4106.3-0.657%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.431.0
54.0%
54.4%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.011.5
39.7%
36.3%34.5
🏀 Free throws19.215.2
79.2%
78.2%15.2
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 110.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.028.8
55.4%
54.4%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.911.8
32.9%
36.3%35.4
🏀 Free throws21.917.4
79.5%
78.2%17.4
They take 87.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLLWWWWLWW
San Antonio Spurs
LWWWLLLWLL
#3
League position
#26
+7.7
Net rating
-2.9
116.4
Offensive rating
107.7
108.7
Defensive rating
110.6
55.8%
Effective FG%
52.9%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
12.3%
Turnover %
15.0%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.7%
3-point %
32.9%
69.6%
Assist %
72.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.4 · 107.7Defence108.7 · 110.6Shooting55.8% · 52.9%3-point %39.7% · 32.9%Ball care12.3% · 15.0%Off. rebounds25.8% · 23.5%Free throws0.22 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/24HCleveland Cavaliers130-101
30/03/24HMinnesota Timberwolves98-111
28/03/24HPhoenix Suns97-104
26/03/24HMemphis Grizzlies128-103
24/03/24APortland Trail Blazers114-111
22/03/24HNew York Knicks113-100
20/03/24AMinnesota Timberwolves115-112
17/03/24ADallas Mavericks105-107
16/03/24ASan Antonio Spurs117-106
13/03/24AMiami Heat100-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/24HGolden State Warriors113-117
30/03/24HNew York Knicks130-126 OT
28/03/24AUtah Jazz118-111
26/03/24HPhoenix Suns104-102
24/03/24HPhoenix Suns106-131
23/03/24HMemphis Grizzlies97-99
20/03/24HDallas Mavericks107-113
17/03/24HBrooklyn Nets122-115 OT
16/03/24HDenver Nuggets106-117
13/03/24HHouston Rockets101-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW69%
HomeWWLLW79%
AwayWWLWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753837
Win %69%79%59%
Points / game114.6118.2110.9
Allowed / game109.8108.8110.8
Point differential+4.8+9.3+0.1
Avg total224.4227.0221.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (19)40% (5)57% (14)
Overtime %1%3%0%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL24%
HomeLLWWL26%
AwayLLLWW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753837
Win %24%26%22%
Points / game112.2113.5110.8
Allowed / game119.2118.6119.9
Point differential-7.0-5.1-9.1
Avg total231.4232.1230.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%13%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (20)31% (13)29% (7)
Overtime %5%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics74591580%121.0109.3+11.7
2 Oklahoma City Thunder75522369%120.2113.0+7.2
3 Minnesota Timberwolves75522369%112.9106.2+6.6
4 Denver Nuggets75522369%114.6109.8+4.8
5 Los Angeles Clippers74472764%116.3112.7+3.6
6 Milwaukee Bucks73462763%119.9116.6+3.3
7 Dallas Mavericks74452961%118.7116.3+2.4
8 New Orleans Pelicans73442960%115.4110.1+5.3
9 Cleveland Cavaliers75453060%112.6109.7+2.8
10 New York Knicks74443059%112.3107.4+4.9
11 Phoenix Suns74443059%117.0114.2+2.8
12 Sacramento Kings73433059%117.3115.9+1.4
13 Orlando Magic75443159%110.4108.2+2.2
14 Miami Heat75423356%109.9108.4+1.5
15 Indiana Pacers74413355%122.8120.5+2.3
16 Los Angeles Lakers74413355%117.8118.0-0.2
17 Golden State Warriors74403454%118.0115.9+2.1
18 Philadelphia 76ers76413554%114.3112.1+2.2
19 Houston Rockets75383751%114.1112.6+1.5
20 Chicago Bulls76364047%111.9113.6-1.6
21 Atlanta Hawks75354047%119.1120.3-1.2
22 Utah Jazz75294639%116.2120.6-4.4
23 Brooklyn Nets76294738%111.1113.8-2.6
24 Memphis Grizzlies75255033%105.9113.1-7.2
25 Toronto Raptors75235231%112.7118.5-5.8
26 Portland Trail Blazers75195625%107.2116.0-8.9
27 San Antonio Spurs75185724%112.2119.2-7.0
28 Charlotte Hornets75185724%106.3116.9-10.6
29 Washington Wizards76156120%113.3122.8-9.5
30 Detroit Pistons75136217%110.6119.4-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets30253124110
San Antonio Spurs23313120105
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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