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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 114-127
30-34 35-23 29-45 20-25
Position#10
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game114.0
Allowed / game117.3
vs
Position#6
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game132.0
Allowed / game124.0
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
27 Jan 2027
MIN v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2026
MIN v DEN
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
MIN110
DEN98
25 Apr 2026
MIN112
DEN96
23 Apr 2026
MIN113
DEN96
15 Nov 2025
MIN112
DEN123
27 Oct 2025
MIN114
DEN127
25 Jan 2025
MIN133
DEN104
01 Nov 2024
MIN119
DEN116
16 May 2024
MIN115
DEN70
12 May 2024
MIN107
DEN115
10 May 2024
MIN90
DEN117
19 Mar 2024
MIN112
DEN115
01 Nov 2023
MIN110
DEN89
23 Apr 2023
MIN114
DEN108
21 Apr 2023
MIN111
DEN120
05 Feb 2023
MIN128
DEN98
02 Jan 2023
MIN124
DEN111
01 Feb 2022
MIN130
DEN115
30 Oct 2021
MIN91
DEN93
13 May 2021
MIN103
DEN114
03 Jan 2021
MIN109
DEN124
20 Jan 2020
MIN100
DEN107
10 Nov 2019
MIN98
DEN100
02 Feb 2019
MIN106
DEN107
21 Nov 2018
MIN101
DEN103
11 Apr 2018
MIN112
DEN106
27 Dec 2017
MIN128
DEN125
22 Jan 2017
MIN111
DEN108
03 Nov 2016
MIN99
DEN102
06 Jan 2016
MIN74
DEN78
15 Dec 2015
MIN100
DEN112
04 Mar 2015
MIN85
DEN100
05 Jan 2015
MIN101
DEN110
12 Feb 2014
MIN117
DEN90
27 Nov 2013
MIN110
DEN117
12 Dec 2012
MIN108
DEN105
21 Nov 2012
MIN94
DEN101
26 Apr 2012
MIN102
DEN131
25 Mar 2012
MIN117
DEN100
05 Feb 2011
MIN100
DEN113
29 Dec 2010
MIN113
DEN119
10 Mar 2010
MIN102
DEN110
25 Nov 2009
MIN111
DEN124
05 Apr 2009
MIN87
DEN110
29 Nov 2008
MIN97
DEN106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
117-110
117
110
+7
110avg 107
A13/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
121-110
121
110
+11
129avg 107
H15/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
88-114
88
114
-26
73avg 107
A21/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
103-118
103
118
-15
89avg 107
A23/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
143-101
143
101
+42
142avg 107
H25/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
126-128
126
128
-2
124avg 107
H27/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
94-124
94
124
-30
78avg 107
A29/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
118-114
118
114
+4
110avg 107
A23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
110-128
110
128
-18
99avg 107
A25/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
114-110
114
110
+4
104avg 107
H26/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-28
31-32
39-17
20-33
30-23
32-24
31-25
28-38
23-20
25-24
18-32
22-38
25-29
25-29
21-35
32-25
34-14
38-27
35-29
36-31
30-37
27-28
28-25
41-38
9-26
23-39
30-23
32-36
33-35
24-26
31-34
30-19
40-36
23-32
31-40
16-20
28-28
30-32
28-17
28-33
229.1Avg total
113.4Scored
115.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)114.0117.3231.3-3.367%
Season at home (1)114.0110.0224.0+4.0100%
Season away (2)114.0121.0235.0-7.050%
Last 10 (10)113.4115.7229.1-2.350%
Last 5 (5)112.4120.8233.2-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)110.8117.0227.8-6.220%
vs Similar ◀ (17)112.9108.8221.8+4.171%
vs Weaker (8)117.4103.2220.6+14.188%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
120-101
120
101
+19
113avg 114
H03/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
121-119
121
119
+2
113avg 114
A06/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
106-149
106
149
-43
87avg 114
A08/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
113-104 OT
113
104
+9
109avg 114
H10/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
73avg 114
H11/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
105-112
105
112
-7
91avg 114
A14/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
119-107
119
107
+12
118avg 114
H16/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
93-125
93
125
-32
83avg 114
A18/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
131-137 OT
131
137
-6
128avg 114
A24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
133-111
133
111
+22
133avg 114
H26/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
37-21
35-19
27-35
26-27
24-33
35-30
36-29
21-45
35-42
20-37
30-25
22-28
29-28
29-27
22-19
8-17
28-25
33-21
18-29
28-27
28-27
30-24
19-34
31-28
27-33
32-21
29-25
26-21
20-39
26-37
21-28
31-27
39-34
24-33
26-26
34-28
37-26
29-29
33-28
228.5Avg total
112.8Scored
115.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)132.0124.0256.0+8.050%
Season at home (1)133.0111.0244.0+22.0100%
Season away (1)131.0137.0268.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)112.8115.7228.5-2.950%
Last 5 (5)116.2118.4234.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)106.3115.4221.7-9.143%
vs Similar ◀ (18)115.7113.4229.1+2.361%
vs Weaker (5)118.8120.0238.8-1.220%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A13/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
62-47
62
47
+15
H15/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A21/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A23/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
72-41
72
41
+31
H25/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H27/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
32-65
32
65
-33
A29/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A25/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H26/10
NBA
112.6Avg total
55.7Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.553.1107.6+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.152.0109.1+5.157%-
Last 30 away (16)52.254.1106.3-1.838%-
Last 10 (10)55.756.9112.6-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)53.463.8117.2-10.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)51.854.6106.4-2.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)54.153.9108.0+0.235%-
vs Weaker (8)57.050.5107.5+6.575%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H03/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A06/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
56-87
56
87
-31
A08/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H10/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H11/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A14/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H16/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A18/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
71-54
71
54
+17
H26/10
NBA
113.4Avg total
55.2Scored
58.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.258.1115.4-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.156.1113.2+1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)57.360.2117.5-2.947%-
Last 10 (10)55.258.2113.4-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)60.258.0118.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.460.0110.4-9.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)58.857.3116.1+1.656%-
vs Weaker (5)61.058.6119.6+2.460%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 113.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.926.5
55.3%
54.8%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.114.3
38.5%
35.8%42.9
🏀 Free throws23.017.5
76.1%
78.1%17.5
They take 85.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.627.0
53.4%
54.8%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.712.3
32.6%
35.8%36.9
🏀 Free throws26.921.9
81.4%
78.1%21.9
They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLWLLWLLWW
Denver Nuggets
WLLWLLWLWW
#10
League position
#6
-2.3
Net rating
-2.8
112.4
Offensive rating
109.0
114.7
Defensive rating
111.8
56.4%
Effective FG%
51.5%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
16.6%
Turnover %
15.1%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.5%
3-point %
32.6%
57.8%
Assist %
59.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 109.0Defence114.7 · 111.8Shooting56.4% · 51.5%3-point %38.5% · 32.6%Ball care16.6% · 15.1%Off. rebounds27.8% · 27.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25HIndiana Pacers114-110
25/10/25ALos Angeles Lakers110-128
23/10/25APortland Trail Blazers118-114
29/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder94-124
27/05/25HOklahoma City Thunder126-128
25/05/25HOklahoma City Thunder143-101
23/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder103-118
21/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder88-114
15/05/25HGolden State Warriors121-110
13/05/25AGolden State Warriors117-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25HPhoenix Suns133-111
24/10/25AGolden State Warriors131-137 OT
18/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder93-125
16/05/25HOklahoma City Thunder119-107
14/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder105-112
11/05/25HOklahoma City Thunder87-92
10/05/25HOklahoma City Thunder113-104 OT
08/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder106-149
06/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder121-119
03/05/25HLos Angeles Clippers120-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game114.0114.0114.0
Allowed / game117.3110.0121.0
Point differential-3.3+4.0-7.0
Avg total231.3224.0235.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game132.0133.0131.0
Allowed / game124.0111.0137.0
Point differential+8.0+22.0-6.0
Avg total256.0244.0268.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs440100%121.0104.5+16.5
2 Oklahoma City Thunder440100%121.0113.2+7.8
3 Chicago Bulls330100%117.7110.7+7.0
4 Philadelphia 76ers330100%126.0120.3+5.7
5 Cleveland Cavaliers43175%119.0112.8+6.2
6 Charlotte Hornets32167%132.0118.3+13.7
7 Miami Heat32167%127.3115.3+12.0
8 Utah Jazz32167%123.7115.7+8.0
9 Los Angeles Lakers32167%121.3116.3+5.0
10 Milwaukee Bucks32167%122.7118.0+4.7
11 Los Angeles Clippers32167%117.0112.7+4.3
12 New York Knicks32167%110.3107.0+3.3
13 Memphis Grizzlies32167%123.3123.7-0.3
14 Golden State Warriors32167%125.0126.3-1.3
15 Minnesota Timberwolves32167%114.0117.3-3.3
16 Denver Nuggets21150%132.0124.0+8.0
17 Detroit Pistons42250%110.0113.8-3.8
18 Houston Rockets31233%124.0116.3+7.7
19 Portland Trail Blazers31233%120.0117.0+3.0
20 Sacramento Kings31233%113.7117.0-3.3
21 Washington Wizards31233%116.7126.3-9.7
22 Boston Celtics41325%111.5107.8+3.8
23 Toronto Raptors41325%121.5125.0-3.5
24 Orlando Magic41325%113.5119.5-6.0
25 Atlanta Hawks41325%113.0122.5-9.5
26 Dallas Mavericks41325%108.0118.0-10.0
27 Phoenix Suns41325%116.8129.0-12.2
28 Indiana Pacers3030%116.0127.7-11.7
29 New Orleans Pelicans3030%109.3123.3-14.0
30 Brooklyn Nets4040%114.2130.5-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves30352920114
Denver Nuggets34234525127
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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