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Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 102-96
26-22 27-28 26-20 23-26
Position#11
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game110.0
Allowed / game98.0
vs
Position#22
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game123.0
Allowed / game97.0
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v San Antonio Spurs
03 Mar 2027
DEN v SAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
DEN136
SAS134
28 Nov 2025
DEN136
SAS139
02 Apr 2025
DEN106
SAS113
03 Jan 2025
DEN110
SAS113
02 Apr 2024
DEN110
SAS105
26 Nov 2023
DEN132
SAS120
05 Nov 2022
DEN126
SAS101
05 Apr 2022
DEN97
SAS116
22 Oct 2021
DEN102
SAS96
09 Apr 2021
DEN121
SAS119
07 Apr 2021
DEN106
SAS96
27 Mar 2020
DEN v SAS
upcoming
10 Feb 2020
DEN127
SAS120
27 Apr 2019
DEN90
SAS86
23 Apr 2019
DEN108
SAS90
16 Apr 2019
DEN114
SAS105
13 Apr 2019
DEN96
SAS101
03 Apr 2019
DEN113
SAS85
28 Dec 2018
DEN102
SAS99
23 Feb 2018
DEN122
SAS119
13 Feb 2018
DEN117
SAS109
05 Jan 2017
DEN99
SAS127
08 Apr 2016
DEN102
SAS98
27 Nov 2015
DEN80
SAS91
20 Jan 2015
DEN99
SAS109
14 Dec 2014
DEN91
SAS99
28 Mar 2014
DEN102
SAS133
05 Nov 2013
DEN94
SAS102
10 Apr 2013
DEN96
SAS86
18 Dec 2012
DEN112
SAS106
23 Feb 2012
DEN99
SAS114
23 Mar 2011
DEN115
SAS112
16 Dec 2010
DEN112
SAS113
10 Apr 2010
DEN85
SAS104
11 Feb 2010
DEN92
SAS111
03 Feb 2009
DEN104
SAS96
04 Dec 2008
DEN91
SAS108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
128-109
128
109
+19
122avg 108
H25/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
120-115
120
115
+5
114avg 108
A28/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
95-115
95
115
-20
78avg 108
A29/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
147-140 OT
147
140
+7
141avg 108
H02/06
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
126-115
126
115
+11
no box
A04/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
105-122
105
122
-17
no box
A08/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
98-123
98
123
-25
86avg 108
A10/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
102-116
102
116
-14
86avg 108
H12/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
118-125
118
125
-7
98avg 108
H14/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
W
110-98
110
98
+12
108avg 108
A21/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
42-36
28-26
27-22
39-30
25-29
20-20
36-36
24-32
23-25
19-36
29-22
38-25
27-37
27-32
29-27
29-33
32-35
37-33
28-14
28-28
30-29
21-31
26-34
21-25
21-27
25-34
31-37
27-37
28-22
21-31
26-26
22-28
33-35
28-33
35-29
26-20
25-38
34-24
25-16
232.7Avg total
114.9Scored
117.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)110.098.0208.0+12.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)110.098.0208.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)114.9117.8232.7-2.950%
Last 5 (5)106.6116.8223.4-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)110.098.0208.0+12.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (21)113.5116.8230.3-3.343%
vs Weaker (8)118.8106.2225.0+12.5100%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#1
L
94-126
94
126
-32
74avg 101
A06/05
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
113-104
113
104
+9
104avg 101
A08/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
102-124
102
124
-22
82avg 101
A09/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
146-125
146
125
+21
143avg 101
H11/05
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
116-128
116
128
-12
98avg 101
A13/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
98-102
98
102
-4
87avg 101
A13/05
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
103-140
103
140
-37
92avg 101
H15/05
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
121-123
121
123
-2
114avg 101
H16/05
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
96-100
96
100
-4
82avg 101
A19/05
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
123-97
123
97
+26
116avg 101
H21/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-38
16-28
21-34
31-26
25-21
27-28
26-32
35-23
26-27
21-30
28-33
27-34
45-36
42-28
26-29
33-32
20-35
31-22
30-39
35-32
18-20
25-26
34-27
21-29
17-34
30-34
23-41
33-31
23-27
38-25
24-37
36-34
19-38
30-18
16-16
31-28
32-28
29-21
33-22
29-26
228.1Avg total
111.2Scored
116.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)123.097.0220.0+26.0100%
Season at home (1)123.097.0220.0+26.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)111.2116.9228.1-5.730%
Last 5 (5)108.2112.4220.6-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)111.1116.3227.4-5.225%
vs Similar ◀ (15)114.7115.5230.2-0.940%
vs Weaker (3)114.7106.3221.0+8.367%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
Denver NuggetsSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H25/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A28/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A29/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H02/06
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A04/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A08/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A10/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H12/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H14/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A21/10
NBA
116.7Avg total
57.1Scored
59.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.256.2115.5+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (13)62.255.5117.8+6.777%-
Last 30 away (17)56.956.8113.7+0.259%-
Last 10 (10)57.159.6116.7-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)52.257.8110.0-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.058.0109.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)58.257.5115.8+0.757%-
vs Weaker (8)62.952.6115.5+10.2100%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#1
L
42-66
42
66
-24
A06/05
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A08/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A09/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H11/05
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A13/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A13/05
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
47-68
47
68
-21
H15/05
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H16/05
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A19/05
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H21/10
NBA
110.4Avg total
54.0Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.654.5110.1+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.255.9114.1+2.258%-
Last 30 away (18)53.953.5107.4+0.439%-
Last 10 (10)54.056.4110.4-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)52.254.2106.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)53.457.5110.9-4.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)57.353.4110.7+3.960%-
vs Weaker (3)56.047.7103.7+8.367%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.426.3
50.2%
53.1%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.815.3
39.4%
35.3%45.9
🏀 Free throws21.016.0
76.2%
77.4%16.0
They take 91.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 111.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.4 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.334.7
50.8%
53.1%69.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.2
31.8%
35.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.417.2
80.4%
77.4%17.2
They take 94.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLLLLWWLWW
San Antonio Spurs
WLLLLLWLWL
#11
League position
#22
-3.3
Net rating
-5.6
113.3
Offensive rating
109.1
116.6
Defensive rating
114.7
54.0%
Effective FG%
49.9%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
11.6%
Turnover %
9.5%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
21.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.4%
3-point %
31.8%
60.6%
Assist %
54.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 109.1Defence116.6 · 114.7Shooting54.0% · 49.9%3-point %39.4% · 31.8%Ball care11.6% · 9.5%Off. rebounds24.0% · 21.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/21APhoenix Suns110-98
14/06/21HPhoenix Suns118-125
12/06/21HPhoenix Suns102-116
10/06/21APhoenix Suns98-123
08/06/21APhoenix Suns105-122
04/06/21APortland Trail Blazers126-115
02/06/21HPortland Trail Blazers147-140 OT
29/05/21APortland Trail Blazers95-115
28/05/21APortland Trail Blazers120-115
25/05/21HPortland Trail Blazers128-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/21HOrlando Magic123-97
19/05/21AMemphis Grizzlies96-100
16/05/21HPhoenix Suns121-123
15/05/21HPhoenix Suns103-140
13/05/21ANew York Knicks98-102
13/05/21ABrooklyn Nets116-128
11/05/21HMilwaukee Bucks146-125
09/05/21APortland Trail Blazers102-124
08/05/21ASacramento Kings113-104
06/05/21AUtah Jazz94-126

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game110.0-110.0
Allowed / game98.0-98.0
Point differential+12.0-+12.0
Avg total208.0-208.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game123.0123.0-
Allowed / game97.097.0-
Point differential+26.0+26.0-
Avg total220.0220.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami Heat110100%137.095.0+42.0
2 Atlanta Hawks110100%113.087.0+26.0
3 San Antonio Spurs110100%123.097.0+26.0
4 Utah Jazz110100%107.086.0+21.0
5 Minnesota Timberwolves110100%124.0106.0+18.0
6 New York Knicks220100%129.5115.0+14.5
7 Denver Nuggets110100%110.098.0+12.0
8 Chicago Bulls220100%111.0100.0+11.0
9 Memphis Grizzlies110100%132.0121.0+11.0
10 Washington Wizards220100%116.5108.5+8.0
11 Charlotte Hornets220100%123.0117.0+6.0
12 Golden State Warriors220100%118.0113.5+4.5
13 Sacramento Kings110100%124.0121.0+3.0
14 Toronto Raptors21150%99.090.5+8.5
15 Houston Rockets21150%115.0107.5+7.5
16 Philadelphia 76ers21150%113.0105.5+7.5
17 Brooklyn Nets21150%109.0118.0-9.0
18 Milwaukee Bucks21150%111.0120.5-9.5
19 Indiana Pacers2020%128.0129.0-1.0
20 Los Angeles Clippers1010%113.0115.0-2.0
21 Portland Trail Blazers1010%121.0124.0-3.0
22 Detroit Pistons1010%88.094.0-6.0
23 Los Angeles Lakers1010%114.0121.0-7.0
24 Cleveland Cavaliers2020%116.5127.5-11.0
25 Phoenix Suns1010%98.0110.0-12.0
26 Boston Celtics2020%108.5126.5-18.0
27 New Orleans Pelicans2020%104.5122.5-18.0
28 Orlando Magic2020%96.5122.0-25.5
29 Dallas Mavericks1010%87.0113.0-26.0
30 Oklahoma City Thunder2020%88.5115.5-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets26272623102
San Antonio Spurs2228202696
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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