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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 106-75
29-21 25-23 33-12 19-19
Position#11
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game102.2
Allowed / game103.8
vs
Position#7
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game102.5
Allowed / game103.2
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks
04 Feb 2027
DEN v DAL
upcoming
24 Nov 2026
DEN v DAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
DEN142
DAL135
01 Dec 2025
DEN121
DAL131
22 Nov 2024
DEN120
DAL123
10 Nov 2024
DEN122
DAL120
18 Dec 2023
DEN130
DAL104
03 Nov 2023
DEN125
DAL114
15 Feb 2023
DEN118
DAL109
06 Dec 2022
DEN115
DAL116
29 Oct 2021
DEN106
DAL75
13 Mar 2021
DEN103
DAL116
07 Jan 2021
DEN117
DAL124
13 Apr 2020
DEN v DAL
upcoming
29 Oct 2019
DEN106
DAL109
14 Mar 2019
DEN100
DAL99
18 Dec 2018
DEN126
DAL118
27 Jan 2018
DEN91
DAL89
16 Jan 2018
DEN105
DAL102
06 Feb 2017
DEN110
DAL87
19 Dec 2016
DEN117
DAL107
28 Mar 2016
DEN88
DAL97
06 Mar 2016
DEN116
DAL114
10 Apr 2015
DEN143
DAL144
14 Jan 2015
DEN114
DAL107
05 Mar 2014
DEN115
DAL110
23 Nov 2013
DEN102
DAL100
04 Apr 2013
DEN95
DAL94
19 Mar 2012
DEN95
DAL112
08 Feb 2012
DEN95
DAL105
10 Feb 2011
DEN121
DAL120
03 Nov 2010
DEN101
DAL102
09 Feb 2010
DEN127
DAL91
27 Dec 2009
DEN96
DAL104
13 May 2009
DEN124
DAL110
05 May 2009
DEN117
DAL105
03 May 2009
DEN109
DAL95
13 Jan 2009
DEN99
DAL97
07 Nov 2008
DEN108
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
147-140 OT
147
140
+7
141avg 108
H02/06
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
126-115
126
115
+11
no box
A04/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
105-122
105
122
-17
no box
A08/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
98-123
98
123
-25
86avg 108
A10/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
102-116
102
116
-14
86avg 108
H12/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
118-125
118
125
-7
98avg 108
H14/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
W
110-98
110
98
+12
108avg 108
A21/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
102-96
102
96
+6
97avg 108
H23/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
87-99
87
99
-12
77avg 108
H26/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
110-122
110
122
-12
96avg 108
A27/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-25
27-37
27-32
29-27
29-33
32-35
37-33
28-14
28-28
30-29
21-31
26-34
21-25
21-27
25-34
31-37
27-37
28-22
21-31
26-26
22-28
33-35
28-33
35-29
26-20
25-38
34-24
25-16
26-22
27-28
26-20
23-26
24-29
22-21
24-25
17-24
31-35
33-31
26-25
20-31
226.1Avg total
110.5Scored
115.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)102.2103.8206.0-1.550%
Season at home (2)94.597.5192.0-3.050%
Season away (2)110.0110.0220.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)110.5115.6226.1-5.140%
Last 5 (5)105.4108.0213.4-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)110.098.0208.0+12.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (23)112.0115.4227.4-3.443%
vs Weaker (6)116.5107.5224.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
127-121
127
121
+6
119avg 103
A26/05
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
108-118
108
118
-10
89avg 103
H29/05
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
81-106
81
106
-25
59avg 103
H31/05
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
105-100
105
100
+5
94avg 103
A03/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
97-104
97
104
-7
no box
H05/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
111-126
111
126
-15
102avg 103
A06/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
87-113
87
113
-26
70avg 103
A21/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
W
103-95
103
95
+8
94avg 103
A23/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
116-106
116
106
+10
108avg 103
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
104-99
104
99
+5
90avg 103
H29/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-33
36-40
30-19
26-29
34-31
27-32
25-26
22-29
22-31
23-30
15-21
21-24
35-28
21-26
33-21
16-25
28-26
17-22
32-25
20-31
38-35
24-35
23-30
26-26
20-22
24-29
20-35
23-27
18-25
27-26
29-21
29-23
27-31
30-29
34-28
25-18
15-25
32-24
29-27
28-23
212.7Avg total
103.9Scored
108.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)102.5103.2205.8-0.875%
Season at home (2)110.0102.5212.5+7.5100%
Season away (2)95.0104.0199.0-9.050%
Last 10 (10)103.9108.8212.7-4.950%
Last 5 (5)104.2107.8212.0-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)109.9109.7219.6+0.265%
vs Weaker (10)115.0112.0227.0+3.060%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
Denver NuggetsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H02/06
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A04/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A08/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A10/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H12/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H14/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A21/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H23/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H26/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A27/10
NBA
113.5Avg total
55.0Scored
58.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.356.6115.0+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.655.2115.8+5.471%-
Last 30 away (16)56.457.9114.2-1.550%-
Last 10 (10)55.058.5113.5-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)53.857.4111.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.058.0109.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)57.657.3114.9+0.352%-
vs Weaker (6)62.353.8116.2+8.5100%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A26/05
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H29/05
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
45-61
45
61
-16
H31/05
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A03/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H05/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A06/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A21/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A23/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H29/10
NBA
111.3Avg total
53.3Scored
58.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.956.8114.7+1.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.856.6114.4+1.144%-
Last 30 away (14)58.157.1115.1+1.043%-
Last 10 (10)53.358.0111.3-4.710%-
Last 5 (5)51.056.2107.2-5.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)57.055.8112.8+1.340%-
vs Weaker (10)59.659.0118.6+0.650%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.928.4
53.7%
53.1%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.413.6
36.4%
35.3%40.8
🏀 Free throws17.512.5
71.4%
77.4%12.5
They take 90.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 103.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.025.4
49.8%
53.1%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.213.5
35.3%
35.3%40.5
🏀 Free throws18.312.6
68.9%
77.4%12.6
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLWWLLLLWW
Dallas Mavericks
WWWLLLWLLW
#11
League position
#7
-5.4
Net rating
-4.9
108.0
Offensive rating
107.5
113.4
Defensive rating
112.4
54.0%
Effective FG%
51.2%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
13.7%
Turnover %
11.4%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.21
36.4%
3-point %
35.3%
58.3%
Assist %
53.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 107.5Defence113.4 · 112.4Shooting54.0% · 51.2%3-point %36.4% · 35.3%Ball care13.7% · 11.4%Off. rebounds21.9% · 22.7%Free throws0.19 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Denver Nuggets wins
5
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/21AUtah Jazz110-122
26/10/21HCleveland Cavaliers87-99
23/10/21HSan Antonio Spurs102-96
21/10/21APhoenix Suns110-98
14/06/21HPhoenix Suns118-125
12/06/21HPhoenix Suns102-116
10/06/21APhoenix Suns98-123
08/06/21APhoenix Suns105-122
04/06/21APortland Trail Blazers126-115
02/06/21HPortland Trail Blazers147-140 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/21HSan Antonio Spurs104-99
27/10/21HHouston Rockets116-106
23/10/21AToronto Raptors103-95
21/10/21AAtlanta Hawks87-113
06/06/21ALos Angeles Clippers111-126
05/06/21HLos Angeles Clippers97-104
03/06/21ALos Angeles Clippers105-100
31/05/21HLos Angeles Clippers81-106
29/05/21HLos Angeles Clippers108-118
26/05/21ALos Angeles Clippers127-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game102.294.5110.0
Allowed / game103.897.5110.0
Point differential-1.5-3.0+0.0
Avg total206.0192.0220.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game102.5110.095.0
Allowed / game103.2102.5104.0
Point differential-0.8+7.5-9.0
Avg total205.8212.5199.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz440100%115.297.0+18.2
2 Miami Heat54180%111.095.8+15.2
3 Chicago Bulls54180%106.698.8+7.8
4 New York Knicks54180%115.8108.4+7.4
5 Golden State Warriors54180%112.4107.2+5.2
6 Washington Wizards54180%112.2107.8+4.4
7 Minnesota Timberwolves43175%107.8102.5+5.2
8 Dallas Mavericks43175%102.5103.2-0.8
9 Charlotte Hornets64267%117.5115.7+1.8
10 Atlanta Hawks53260%108.6102.6+6.0
11 Philadelphia 76ers53260%110.0105.6+4.4
12 Cleveland Cavaliers53260%105.0103.2+1.8
13 Memphis Grizzlies53260%114.0114.6-0.6
14 Milwaukee Bucks53260%114.0114.8-0.8
15 Sacramento Kings53260%111.0113.2-2.2
16 Toronto Raptors63350%104.8100.7+4.2
17 Portland Trail Blazers42250%114.2110.2+4.0
18 Denver Nuggets42250%102.2103.8-1.5
19 Brooklyn Nets63350%102.5106.8-4.3
20 Los Angeles Lakers52340%116.0119.6-3.6
21 Boston Celtics52340%114.2119.0-4.8
22 Los Angeles Clippers41325%105.5103.2+2.2
23 Phoenix Suns41325%106.2114.8-8.5
24 San Antonio Spurs51420%110.0109.8+0.2
25 Houston Rockets51420%104.8112.0-7.2
26 Oklahoma City Thunder51420%100.2113.4-13.2
27 Indiana Pacers61517%110.8115.2-4.3
28 New Orleans Pelicans61517%102.2109.0-6.8
29 Orlando Magic61517%102.2114.2-12.0
30 Detroit Pistons4040%94.0105.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets29253319106
Dallas Mavericks2123121975
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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