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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 91-93
32-23 15-20 26-26 18-24
Position#12
Record3-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game107.8
Allowed / game102.5
vs
Position#11
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game103.0
Allowed / game98.0
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
27 Jan 2027
MIN v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2026
MIN v DEN
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
MIN110
DEN98
25 Apr 2026
MIN112
DEN96
23 Apr 2026
MIN113
DEN96
15 Nov 2025
MIN112
DEN123
27 Oct 2025
MIN114
DEN127
25 Jan 2025
MIN133
DEN104
01 Nov 2024
MIN119
DEN116
16 May 2024
MIN115
DEN70
12 May 2024
MIN107
DEN115
10 May 2024
MIN90
DEN117
19 Mar 2024
MIN112
DEN115
01 Nov 2023
MIN110
DEN89
23 Apr 2023
MIN114
DEN108
21 Apr 2023
MIN111
DEN120
05 Feb 2023
MIN128
DEN98
02 Jan 2023
MIN124
DEN111
01 Feb 2022
MIN130
DEN115
30 Oct 2021
MIN91
DEN93
13 May 2021
MIN103
DEN114
03 Jan 2021
MIN109
DEN124
20 Jan 2020
MIN100
DEN107
10 Nov 2019
MIN98
DEN100
02 Feb 2019
MIN106
DEN107
21 Nov 2018
MIN101
DEN103
11 Apr 2018
MIN112
DEN106
27 Dec 2017
MIN128
DEN125
22 Jan 2017
MIN111
DEN108
03 Nov 2016
MIN99
DEN102
06 Jan 2016
MIN74
DEN78
15 Dec 2015
MIN100
DEN112
04 Mar 2015
MIN85
DEN100
05 Jan 2015
MIN101
DEN110
12 Feb 2014
MIN117
DEN90
27 Nov 2013
MIN110
DEN117
12 Dec 2012
MIN108
DEN105
21 Nov 2012
MIN94
DEN101
26 Apr 2012
MIN102
DEN131
25 Mar 2012
MIN117
DEN100
05 Feb 2011
MIN100
DEN113
29 Dec 2010
MIN113
DEN119
10 Mar 2010
MIN102
DEN110
25 Nov 2009
MIN111
DEN124
05 Apr 2009
MIN87
DEN110
29 Nov 2008
MIN97
DEN106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#15
L
112-121
112
121
-9
104avg 102
A08/05
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
128-96
128
96
+32
126avg 102
A09/05
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
119-100
119
100
+19
109avg 102
A11/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
103-114
103
114
-11
91avg 102
H14/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
108-124
108
124
-16
94avg 102
H15/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
136-121
136
121
+15
134avg 102
H17/05
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
124-106
124
106
+18
118avg 102
H21/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
96-89
96
89
+7
82avg 102
H24/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
98-107
98
107
-9
80avg 102
H26/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
113-108
113
108
+5
110avg 102
A28/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-28
22-31
24-30
34-32
34-19
40-25
33-25
21-27
30-20
32-20
24-25
33-35
26-35
26-28
37-29
14-22
26-37
21-29
27-23
34-35
38-22
38-38
37-35
23-26
32-21
40-24
27-26
25-35
28-27
26-14
15-26
27-22
19-25
24-29
30-26
25-27
44-34
22-24
28-21
19-29
222.3Avg total
113.7Scored
108.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)107.8102.5210.2+5.275%
Season at home (3)106.0100.7206.7+5.367%
Season away (1)113.0108.0221.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)113.7108.6222.3+5.160%
Last 5 (5)113.4106.2219.6+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)115.6121.2236.8-5.635%
vs Similar ◀ (9)115.9106.8222.7+9.178%
vs Weaker (1)124.0106.0230.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
126-115
126
115
+11
no box
A04/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
105-122
105
122
-17
no box
A08/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
98-123
98
123
-25
86avg 108
A10/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
102-116
102
116
-14
86avg 108
H12/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
118-125
118
125
-7
98avg 108
H14/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
W
110-98
110
98
+12
108avg 108
A21/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
102-96
102
96
+6
97avg 108
H23/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
87-99
87
99
-12
77avg 108
H26/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
110-122
110
122
-12
96avg 108
A27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
106-75
106
75
+31
109avg 108
H30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-33
32-35
37-33
28-14
28-28
30-29
21-31
26-34
21-25
21-27
25-34
31-37
27-37
28-22
21-31
26-26
22-28
33-35
28-33
35-29
26-20
25-38
34-24
25-16
26-22
27-28
26-20
23-26
24-29
22-21
24-25
17-24
31-35
33-31
26-25
20-31
29-21
25-23
33-12
19-19
215.5Avg total
106.4Scored
109.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)103.098.0201.0+5.060%
Season at home (3)98.390.0188.3+8.367%
Season away (2)110.0110.0220.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)106.4109.1215.5-2.740%
Last 5 (5)103.098.0201.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)110.098.0208.0+12.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (23)110.6112.7223.3-2.143%
vs Weaker (6)116.5107.5224.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#15
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A08/05
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
74-44
74
44
+30
A09/05
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
62-40
62
40
+22
A11/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
52-63
52
63
-11
H14/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
47-66
47
66
-19
H15/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
76-60
76
60
+16
H17/05
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
72-45
72
45
+27
H21/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H24/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H26/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A28/10
NBA
113.0Avg total
60.0Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.759.3118.1-0.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.858.0114.8-1.238%-
Last 30 away (14)60.960.9121.8+0.136%-
Last 10 (10)60.053.0113.0+7.060%-
Last 5 (5)62.251.6113.8+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)57.262.5119.7-5.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)60.754.0114.7+6.756%-
vs Weaker (1)72.045.0117.0+27.0100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A04/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A08/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A10/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H12/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H14/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A21/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H23/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H26/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H30/10
NBA
110.6Avg total
53.9Scored
56.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.356.1114.4+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.454.1114.5+6.479%-
Last 30 away (16)56.457.9114.2-1.550%-
Last 10 (10)53.956.7110.6-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)53.653.6107.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.058.0109.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)57.556.6114.1+0.957%-
vs Weaker (6)62.353.8116.2+8.5100%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 113.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.027.6
56.3%
53.1%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.913.4
32.0%
35.3%40.2
🏀 Free throws25.118.3
72.9%
77.4%18.3
They take 90.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 106.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.628.6
55.4%
53.1%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.612.7
34.7%
35.3%38.1
🏀 Free throws15.610.7
68.6%
77.4%10.7
They take 88.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLWWWLLWWL
Denver Nuggets
WLLWWLLLLW
#12
League position
#11
+4.9
Net rating
-3.1
109.2
Offensive rating
105.7
104.3
Defensive rating
108.8
52.5%
Effective FG%
54.0%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
13.6%
Turnover %
14.7%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
20.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.18
32.0%
3-point %
34.7%
63.7%
Assist %
58.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 105.7Defence104.3 · 108.8Shooting52.5% · 54.0%3-point %32.0% · 34.7%Ball care13.6% · 14.7%Off. rebounds25.7% · 20.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/21AMilwaukee Bucks113-108
26/10/21HNew Orleans Pelicans98-107
24/10/21HNew Orleans Pelicans96-89
21/10/21HHouston Rockets124-106
17/05/21HDallas Mavericks136-121
15/05/21HBoston Celtics108-124
14/05/21HDenver Nuggets103-114
11/05/21ADetroit Pistons119-100
09/05/21AOrlando Magic128-96
08/05/21AMiami Heat112-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/21HDallas Mavericks106-75
27/10/21AUtah Jazz110-122
26/10/21HCleveland Cavaliers87-99
23/10/21HSan Antonio Spurs102-96
21/10/21APhoenix Suns110-98
14/06/21HPhoenix Suns118-125
12/06/21HPhoenix Suns102-116
10/06/21APhoenix Suns98-123
08/06/21APhoenix Suns105-122
04/06/21APortland Trail Blazers126-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWL67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game107.8106.0113.0
Allowed / game102.5100.7108.0
Point differential+5.2+5.3+5.0
Avg total210.2206.7221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game103.098.3110.0
Allowed / game98.090.0110.0
Point differential+5.0+8.3+0.0
Avg total201.0188.3220.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz440100%115.297.0+18.2
2 New York Knicks65183%117.0109.8+7.2
3 Washington Wizards65183%112.7108.5+4.2
4 Miami Heat54180%111.095.8+15.2
5 Chicago Bulls54180%106.698.8+7.8
6 Golden State Warriors54180%112.4107.2+5.2
7 Minnesota Timberwolves43175%107.8102.5+5.2
8 Philadelphia 76ers64267%112.0103.7+8.3
9 Charlotte Hornets64267%117.5115.7+1.8
10 Portland Trail Blazers53260%113.6106.6+7.0
11 Denver Nuggets53260%103.098.0+5.0
12 Memphis Grizzlies53260%114.0114.6-0.6
13 Milwaukee Bucks53260%114.0114.8-0.8
14 Sacramento Kings53260%111.0113.2-2.2
15 Dallas Mavericks53260%97.0103.8-6.8
16 Toronto Raptors74357%103.799.7+4.0
17 Atlanta Hawks63350%106.2105.8+0.3
18 Cleveland Cavaliers63350%104.3104.8-0.5
19 Los Angeles Lakers63350%115.5116.5-1.0
20 Brooklyn Nets63350%102.5106.8-4.3
21 Boston Celtics62433%113.8118.3-4.5
22 Phoenix Suns41325%106.2114.8-8.5
23 San Antonio Spurs51420%110.0109.8+0.2
24 Los Angeles Clippers51420%102.8104.8-2.0
25 Houston Rockets51420%104.8112.0-7.2
26 Detroit Pistons51420%97.2105.2-8.0
27 Oklahoma City Thunder51420%100.2113.4-13.2
28 Indiana Pacers71614%108.4112.6-4.1
29 New Orleans Pelicans71614%104.3111.0-6.7
30 Orlando Magic71614%102.3113.6-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves3215261891
Denver Nuggets2320262493
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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