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Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 31 Dec 2013
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 94-97
30-29 25-17 22-26 17-25
Position#20
Record14-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game100.0
Allowed / game101.0
vs
Position#4
Record23-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game104.7
Allowed / game97.7
USANBA
NBA2013-14
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat
14 Mar 2027
DEN v MIA
upcoming
05 Nov 2025
DEN122
MIA112
08 Nov 2024
DEN135
MIA122
29 Feb 2024
DEN103
MIA97
12 Jun 2023
DEN94
MIA89
04 Jun 2023
DEN108
MIA111
01 Jun 2023
DEN104
MIA93
30 Dec 2022
DEN124
MIA119
08 Nov 2021
DEN113
MIA96
14 Apr 2021
DEN123
MIA106
01 Aug 2020
DEN105
MIA125
05 Nov 2019
DEN109
MIA89
11 Feb 2019
DEN103
MIA87
03 Nov 2017
DEN95
MIA94
30 Nov 2016
DEN98
MIA106
15 Jan 2016
DEN95
MIA98
10 Dec 2014
DEN102
MIA82
30 Dec 2013
DEN94
MIA97
15 Nov 2012
DEN93
MIA98
13 Jan 2012
DEN117
MIA104
13 Jan 2011
DEN130
MIA102
03 Dec 2009
DEN114
MIA96
07 Jan 2009
DEN108
MIA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#29
W
103-92
103
92
+11
A08/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#14
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A10/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#27
L
93-103
93
103
-10
H14/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
102-93
102
93
+9
H16/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
93-105
93
105
-12
H18/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#10
L
99-103
99
103
-4
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#3
L
91-112
91
112
-21
A22/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#8
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
89-105
89
105
-16
A28/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#9
L
99-120
99
120
-21
A29/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
24-26
28-24
26-15
18-22
22-23
18-15
17-14
28-33
16-20
31-20
18-30
24-27
28-25
23-16
27-25
24-29
20-23
21-23
28-30
28-20
34-28
20-24
17-31
18-28
25-28
17-23
31-33
22-30
21-17
23-17
15-25
25-34
20-24
21-23
23-24
29-27
27-28
16-30
27-35
192.1Avg total
92.5Scored
99.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)100.0101.0201.0-1.048%
Season at home (13)99.5100.7200.2-1.254%
Season away (16)100.5101.2201.8-0.844%
Last 10 (10)92.599.6192.1-7.130%
Last 5 (5)91.8105.8197.6-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)102.9106.6209.5-3.636%
vs Similar (12)95.196.2191.2-1.150%
vs Weaker (4)101.893.8195.5+8.075%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#23
W
110-95
110
95
+15
A08/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A11/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#22
W
114-107
114
107
+7
H15/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#27
W
117-94
117
94
+23
H17/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
97-94
97
94
+3
H19/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
122-103
122
103
+19
H21/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
121-119 OT
121
119
+2
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#25
W
101-95
101
95
+6
A25/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
103-108 OT
103
108
-5
A28/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
108-107
108
107
+1
A29/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
30-32
32-17
19-25
30-19
17-21
17-28
20-22
35-29
33-23
16-28
30-27
26-20
21-30
36-21
34-23
22-26
19-26
30-24
26-18
33-36
34-25
31-21
24-21
33-23
17-31
27-30
34-27
21-27
30-19
25-28
25-21
32-19
23-26
18-29
16-15
30-34
28-28
25-26
25-19
208.9Avg total
107.7Scored
101.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)104.797.7202.4+7.077%
Season at home (16)108.199.8207.8+8.388%
Season away (14)100.995.3196.1+5.664%
Last 10 (10)107.7101.2208.9+6.580%
Last 5 (5)111.0106.4217.4+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)100.294.9195.1+5.283%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)107.799.5207.2+8.272%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +3.5+3.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +3.5+3.5
Denver NuggetsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#29
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A08/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#14
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A10/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#27
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H14/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H16/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H18/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#10
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#3
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A22/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#8
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A28/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#9
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A29/12
NBA
99.7Avg total
47.8Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.952.6103.5-1.750%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.551.5104.1+1.054%-
Last 30 away (17)49.653.4103.0-3.847%-
Last 10 (10)47.851.999.7-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)49.852.8102.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)52.754.4107.1-1.650%-
vs Similar (12)49.151.0100.1-1.950%-
vs Weaker (4)49.851.2101.0-1.550%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#23
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A08/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A11/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#22
W
68-52
68
52
+16
H15/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#27
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H17/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H19/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H21/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#25
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A25/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A28/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A29/12
NBA
105.8Avg total
54.3Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.149.3101.5+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.650.7103.3+1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)51.647.899.4+3.871%-
Last 10 (10)54.351.5105.8+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)56.253.6109.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)52.648.5101.1+4.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)51.849.9101.7+1.956%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Denver Nuggets wins
4
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/13AMemphis Grizzlies99-120
28/12/13ANew Orleans Pelicans89-105
24/12/13HGolden State Warriors81-89
22/12/13ALos Angeles Clippers91-112
21/12/13HPhoenix Suns99-103
18/12/13HOklahoma City Thunder93-105
16/12/13HNew Orleans Pelicans102-93
14/12/13HUtah Jazz93-103
10/12/13AWashington Wizards75-74
08/12/13APhiladelphia 76ers103-92
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/13APortland Trail Blazers108-107
28/12/13ASacramento Kings103-108 OT
25/12/13ALos Angeles Lakers101-95
24/12/13HAtlanta Hawks121-119 OT
21/12/13HSacramento Kings122-103
19/12/13HIndiana Pacers97-94
17/12/13HUtah Jazz117-94
15/12/13HCleveland Cavaliers114-107
11/12/13AIndiana Pacers84-90
08/12/13ADetroit Pistons110-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2013-14
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL48%
HomeLWLLL54%
AwayWWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %48%54%44%
Points / game100.099.5100.5
Allowed / game101.0100.7101.2
Point differential-1.0-1.2-0.8
Avg total201.0200.2201.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%15%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)80% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2013-14
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW77%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %77%88%64%
Points / game104.7108.1100.9
Allowed / game97.799.895.3
Point differential+7.0+8.3+5.6
Avg total202.4207.8196.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%44%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)83% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %7%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3025583%106.197.6+8.5
2 Indiana Pacers2924583%98.989.4+9.4
3 San Antonio Spurs3124777%103.896.6+7.2
4 Portland Trail Blazers3124777%108.6102.9+5.7
5 Miami Heat3023777%104.797.7+7.0
6 Los Angeles Clippers32211166%105.099.5+5.5
7 Houston Rockets33211264%105.7102.3+3.4
8 Phoenix Suns29181162%103.6101.0+2.6
9 Golden State Warriors32191359%103.198.9+4.2
10 Dallas Mavericks31181358%103.8102.0+1.8
11 Atlanta Hawks31171455%103.6101.7+1.9
12 Washington Wizards28141450%99.6100.0-0.4
13 Minnesota Timberwolves31151648%106.2102.2+4.0
14 New Orleans Pelicans29141548%103.0102.5+0.4
15 Denver Nuggets29141548%100.0101.0-1.0
16 Toronto Raptors28131546%99.798.9+0.8
17 Charlotte Hornets31141745%92.994.2-1.3
18 Boston Celtics30131743%95.297.0-1.7
19 Memphis Grizzlies30131743%94.797.2-2.6
20 Detroit Pistons33141942%99.9102.2-2.3
21 Los Angeles Lakers31131842%99.6103.6-4.1
22 Chicago Bulls29121741%91.793.1-1.4
23 Orlando Magic30102033%97.4100.6-3.1
24 Brooklyn Nets30102033%97.0102.1-5.1
25 Cleveland Cavaliers30102033%96.9102.8-5.9
26 Sacramento Kings2992031%100.1103.9-3.8
27 New York Knicks3092130%94.799.2-4.5
28 Philadelphia 76ers3092130%102.7111.5-8.9
29 Utah Jazz3392427%93.0101.5-8.5
30 Milwaukee Bucks3062420%92.7100.9-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets3025221794
Miami Heat2917262597
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