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Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Dec 2008
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 83-98
18-27 18-29 29-21 18-21
Position#14
Record12-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game97.4
Allowed / game97.3
vs
Position#20
Record10-15
FormWLLLW
Points / game96.9
Allowed / game99.5
USANBA
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Miami Heat v Milwaukee Bucks
04 Feb 2027
MIA v MIL
upcoming
18 Nov 2026
MIA v MIL
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
MIA112
MIL105
26 Nov 2025
MIA106
MIL103
05 Apr 2025
MIA115
MIL121
26 Nov 2024
MIA103
MIL106
28 Nov 2023
MIA124
MIL131
24 Apr 2023
MIA119
MIL114
22 Apr 2023
MIA121
MIL99
14 Jan 2023
MIA111
MIL95
12 Jan 2023
MIA108
MIL102
08 Dec 2021
MIA113
MIL104
21 Oct 2021
MIA137
MIL95
29 May 2021
MIA103
MIL120
27 May 2021
MIA84
MIL113
30 Dec 2020
MIA119
MIL108
29 Dec 2020
MIA97
MIL144
06 Sep 2020
MIA115
MIL118
04 Sep 2020
MIA115
MIL100
02 Mar 2020
MIA105
MIL89
15 Mar 2019
MIA98
MIL113
22 Dec 2018
MIA94
MIL87
09 Feb 2018
MIA91
MIL85
14 Jan 2018
MIA97
MIL79
21 Jan 2017
MIA109
MIL97
17 Nov 2016
MIA96
MIL73
19 Jan 2016
MIA79
MIL91
27 Jan 2015
MIA102
MIL109
16 Nov 2014
MIA84
MIL91
02 Apr 2014
MIA96
MIL77
12 Nov 2013
MIA118
MIL95
23 Apr 2013
MIA98
MIL86
21 Apr 2013
MIA110
MIL87
09 Apr 2013
MIA94
MIL83
21 Nov 2012
MIA113
MIL106
22 Jan 2012
MIA82
MIL91
06 Apr 2011
MIA85
MIL90
04 Jan 2011
MIA101
MIL89
27 Feb 2010
MIA71
MIL94
01 Feb 2010
MIA81
MIL97
28 Mar 2009
MIA102
MIL85
15 Dec 2008
MIA83
MIL98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
L
98-107
98
107
-9
H25/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
68-106
68
106
-38
A27/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
W
107-92
107
92
+15
A29/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
L
96-97
96
97
-1
A30/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#24
W
130-129 OT
130
129
+1
A02/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
W
93-89
93
89
+4
A04/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
105-99
105
99
+6
H07/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#19
W
100-96
100
96
+4
H09/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
73-87
73
87
-14
H13/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
L
86-102
86
102
-16
A14/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
27-26
27-24
23-27
17-37
23-22
17-17
11-30
32-19
25-25
24-26
26-22
28-29
28-25
17-14
23-29
30-27
30-37
31-30
24-21
19-24
28-21
27-20
19-24
36-27
23-27
26-16
20-29
22-25
29-23
15-20
34-28
25-20
15-23
15-32
18-12
22-25
24-21
20-35
20-21
196.0Avg total
95.6Scored
100.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)97.497.3194.7+0.252%
Season at home (11)98.393.2191.5+5.164%
Season away (12)96.7101.0197.7-4.342%
Last 10 (10)95.6100.4196.0-4.850%
Last 5 (5)91.494.6186.0-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.0105.0187.0-23.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)97.697.1194.6+0.550%
vs Weaker (7)101.695.4197.0+6.171%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#4
L
101-108
101
108
-7
A25/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
96-102
96
102
-6
A27/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
L
97-107
97
107
-10
A29/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
85-97
85
97
-12
H30/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
97-90
97
90
+7
H04/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#19
W
101-96
101
96
+5
H06/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
92-105
92
105
-13
A08/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
L
110-125
110
125
-15
A10/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#24
L
96-119
96
119
-23
A11/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
121-103
121
103
+18
H14/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-33
24-25
27-27
27-23
24-28
24-20
19-23
29-31
24-28
25-34
23-20
25-25
16-20
22-28
29-24
18-25
19-20
35-22
22-30
21-18
29-24
25-32
22-18
25-22
16-24
15-19
23-31
38-31
35-36
29-38
26-22
20-29
22-30
28-25
31-27
15-37
33-24
31-22
22-37
35-20
204.8Avg total
99.6Scored
105.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)96.999.5196.4-2.640%
Season at home (10)98.295.2193.4+3.060%
Season away (15)96.0102.4198.4-6.427%
Last 10 (10)99.6105.2204.8-5.630%
Last 5 (5)104.0109.6213.6-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)93.0100.5193.5-7.512%
vs Similar ◀ (14)97.699.8197.4-2.143%
vs Weaker (3)103.795.7199.3+8.0100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
Miami HeatMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H25/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A27/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A29/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A30/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#24
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A02/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A04/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H07/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#19
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H09/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H13/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A14/12
NBA
101.7Avg total
50.4Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)48.247.795.9+0.548%-
Last 30 at home (11)48.545.794.2+2.745%-
Last 30 away (12)47.949.597.4-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)50.451.3101.7-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)48.647.295.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.554.598.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)47.147.394.4-0.243%-
vs Weaker (7)51.746.698.3+5.171%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#4
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A25/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A27/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A29/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H30/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H04/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#19
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H06/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A08/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A10/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#24
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A11/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
64-46
64
46
+18
H14/12
NBA
103.1Avg total
49.9Scored
53.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)46.149.996.0-3.824%-
Last 30 at home (10)44.947.091.9-2.130%-
Last 30 away (15)46.951.998.8-4.920%-
Last 10 (10)49.953.2103.1-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)52.654.8107.4-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.551.191.6-10.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)50.250.7100.9-0.536%-
vs Weaker (3)42.043.085.0-1.033%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Miami Heat wins
0
Milwaukee Bucks wins
No previous meetings.
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/08AMemphis Grizzlies86-102
13/12/08HAtlanta Hawks73-87
09/12/08HCharlotte Hornets100-96
07/12/08HOklahoma City Thunder105-99
04/12/08AUtah Jazz93-89
02/12/08AGolden State Warriors130-129 OT
30/11/08ALos Angeles Clippers96-97
29/11/08APhoenix Suns107-92
27/11/08APortland Trail Blazers68-106
25/11/08HHouston Rockets98-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/08HIndiana Pacers121-103
11/12/08AGolden State Warriors96-119
10/12/08APhoenix Suns110-125
08/12/08ALos Angeles Lakers92-105
06/12/08HCharlotte Hornets101-96
04/12/08HChicago Bulls97-90
30/11/08HCleveland Cavaliers85-97
29/11/08ADetroit Pistons97-107
27/11/08AAtlanta Hawks96-102
25/11/08AOrlando Magic101-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL52%
HomeWLWWL64%
AwayWLWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %52%64%42%
Points / game97.498.396.7
Allowed / game97.393.2101.0
Point differential+0.2+5.1-4.3
Avg total194.7191.5197.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%27%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeWLWWW60%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251015
Win %40%60%27%
Points / game96.998.296.0
Allowed / game99.595.2102.4
Point differential-2.6+3.0-6.4
Avg total196.4193.4198.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %12%20%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2422292%100.890.5+10.4
2 Los Angeles Lakers2320387%108.097.3+10.7
3 Cleveland Cavaliers2420483%102.790.0+12.7
4 Orlando Magic2418675%100.595.4+5.1
5 Denver Nuggets2316770%103.998.2+5.7
6 San Antonio Spurs2315865%97.494.0+3.5
7 New Orleans Pelicans2013765%97.092.3+4.6
8 Houston Rockets2415962%96.893.4+3.4
9 Atlanta Hawks2415962%96.494.8+1.6
10 Utah Jazz25151060%99.896.0+3.8
11 Portland Trail Blazers25151060%98.395.2+3.1
12 Dallas Mavericks2213959%101.298.5+2.7
13 Detroit Pistons2213959%96.296.6-0.4
14 Phoenix Suns24141058%102.2102.1+0.0
15 Miami Heat23121152%97.497.3+0.2
16 Brooklyn Nets23121152%100.5102.9-2.4
17 New York Knicks23111248%105.0106.8-1.8
18 Chicago Bulls23111248%99.3101.2-1.9
19 Philadelphia 76ers24101442%93.894.8-1.1
20 Toronto Raptors24101442%96.6100.5-3.9
21 Milwaukee Bucks25101540%96.999.5-2.6
22 Memphis Grizzlies2491538%95.299.0-3.8
23 Indiana Pacers2481633%100.8103.3-2.5
24 Golden State Warriors2471729%106.3111.6-5.3
25 Charlotte Hornets2571828%89.293.3-4.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers2361726%93.899.1-5.3
27 Sacramento Kings2461825%97.7106.1-8.4
28 Washington Wizards2241818%97.7104.2-6.5
29 Minnesota Timberwolves2341917%94.9101.7-6.8
30 Oklahoma City Thunder252238%93.6103.5-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat1818291883
Milwaukee Bucks2729212198
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