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San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 118-104
28-23 31-35 33-23 26-23
Position#2
Record32-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game107.1
Allowed / game98.4
vs
Position#17
Record17-23
FormLLWWW
Points / game109.7
Allowed / game111.5
USANBA· AT&T Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Denver Nuggets
28 Feb 2027
SAS v DEN
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
SAS118
DEN128
12 Mar 2026
SAS131
DEN136
04 Jan 2025
SAS111
DEN122
12 Apr 2024
SAS121
DEN120
15 Mar 2024
SAS106
DEN117
10 Mar 2023
SAS128
DEN120
07 Nov 2022
SAS109
DEN115
11 Dec 2021
SAS112
DEN127
09 Dec 2021
SAS123
DEN111
29 Jan 2021
SAS119
DEN109
05 Aug 2020
SAS126
DEN132
25 Apr 2019
SAS120
DEN103
20 Apr 2019
SAS103
DEN117
18 Apr 2019
SAS118
DEN108
04 Mar 2019
SAS104
DEN103
26 Dec 2018
SAS111
DEN103
30 Jan 2018
SAS106
DEN104
13 Jan 2018
SAS112
DEN80
04 Feb 2017
SAS121
DEN97
19 Jan 2017
SAS118
DEN104
26 Dec 2015
SAS101
DEN86
18 Nov 2015
SAS109
DEN98
03 Apr 2015
SAS123
DEN93
06 Mar 2015
SAS120
DEN111
26 Mar 2014
SAS108
DEN103
27 Mar 2013
SAS100
DEN99
17 Nov 2012
SAS126
DEN100
04 Mar 2012
SAS94
DEN99
07 Jan 2012
SAS121
DEN117
16 Jan 2011
SAS110
DEN97
22 Dec 2010
SAS109
DEN103
31 Jan 2010
SAS89
DEN103
05 Dec 2009
SAS99
DEN106
19 Nov 2008
SAS81
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
119-98
119
98
+21
112avg 98
H29/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
110-94
110
94
+16
109avg 98
H31/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
112-114 OT
112
114
-2
107avg 98
A01/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
110-82
110
82
+28
115avg 98
H04/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
127-99
127
99
+28
127avg 98
A06/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
102-85
102
85
+17
95avg 98
H08/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
107-109
107
109
-2
97avg 98
H11/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
134-94
134
94
+40
141avg 98
H13/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
105-108
105
108
-3
93avg 98
A14/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
122-114
122
114
+8
114avg 98
H18/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-27
28-37
31-18
30-16
22-32
25-20
33-21
30-21
27-25
19-19
28-25
26-31
29-18
31-23
28-17
22-24
29-33
29-20
32-24
37-22
24-24
23-26
26-14
29-21
23-23
36-30
30-30
18-26
36-24
36-30
34-21
28-19
25-25
33-26
27-29
20-28
30-30
37-41
25-19
30-24
214.5Avg total
114.8Scored
99.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)107.198.4205.4+8.778%
Season at home (20)106.597.3203.8+9.275%
Season away (21)107.699.3207.0+8.381%
Last 10 (10)114.899.7214.5+15.170%
Last 5 (5)114.0102.0216.0+12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)104.396.0200.3+8.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)109.899.6209.3+10.281%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
106-102
106
102
+4
102avg 99
A27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
105-103
105
103
+2
103avg 99
H29/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
122-124
122
124
-2
118avg 99
H31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
119-127
119
127
-8
113avg 99
A03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
113-120
113
120
-7
108avg 99
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
99-127
99
127
-28
90avg 99
H06/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
106-121
106
121
-15
89avg 99
A08/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
140-112
140
112
+28
146avg 99
H12/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
125-112
125
112
+13
125avg 99
H16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
127-121
127
121
+6
124avg 99
A18/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
40-23
16-31
27-25
22-31
27-18
32-24
24-30
28-30
32-30
27-31
35-33
33-35
31-33
21-26
34-33
28-29
23-31
37-34
25-26
33-29
20-29
24-32
22-37
22-24
38-36
20-28
26-33
30-29
37-27
39-20
34-36
39-36
30-25
31-22
25-29
40-26
26-28
35-30
26-37
233.1Avg total
116.2Scored
116.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)109.7111.5221.2-1.842%
Season at home (20)114.0113.8227.8+0.245%
Season away (20)105.4109.2214.6-3.840%
Last 10 (10)116.2116.9233.1-0.750%
Last 5 (5)119.4118.6238.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)109.3127.3236.7-18.00%
vs Similar (17)107.5109.4216.8-1.941%
vs Weaker (10)119.2113.6232.8+5.670%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +7.6+7.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -4.1-4.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +7.6+7.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -4.1-4.1
San Antonio SpursDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H29/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H31/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A01/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
60-41
60
41
+19
H04/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A06/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H08/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H11/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H13/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A14/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H18/01
NBA
110.5Avg total
57.2Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.850.1103.0+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.952.6109.6+4.350%-
Last 30 away (16)49.247.997.2+1.356%-
Last 10 (10)57.253.3110.5+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)60.655.8116.4+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)52.347.7100.0+4.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)52.950.4103.3+2.552%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
63-46
63
46
+17
A27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H29/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H06/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A08/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H12/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A18/01
NBA
117.4Avg total
60.2Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.755.9113.6+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.155.6114.7+3.459%-
Last 30 away (13)55.856.3112.2-0.538%-
Last 10 (10)60.257.2117.4+3.040%-
Last 5 (5)63.057.8120.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)60.066.3126.3-6.30%-
vs Similar (17)55.954.4110.3+1.553%-
vs Weaker (10)60.055.4115.4+4.660%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 114.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.932.6
54.4%
50.2%65.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.710.2
43.0%
35.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws23.619.0
80.5%
77.0%19.0
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 116.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.932.9
55.9%
50.2%65.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.0
37.5%
35.7%33.0
🏀 Free throws21.917.4
79.5%
77.0%17.4
They take 88.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
WLWLWWWLWW
Denver Nuggets
WWWLLLLLWW
#2
League position
#17
+15.6
Net rating
-0.7
118.7
Offensive rating
114.9
103.1
Defensive rating
115.6
57.3%
Effective FG%
56.0%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
12.6%
Turnover %
13.7%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
43.0%
3-point %
37.5%
60.7%
Assist %
64.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.7 · 114.9Defence103.1 · 115.6Shooting57.3% · 56.0%3-point %43.0% · 37.5%Ball care12.6% · 13.7%Off. rebounds23.7% · 27.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/17HMinnesota Timberwolves122-114
14/01/17APhoenix Suns105-108
13/01/17HLos Angeles Lakers134-94
11/01/17HMilwaukee Bucks107-109
08/01/17HCharlotte Hornets102-85
06/01/17ADenver Nuggets127-99
04/01/17HToronto Raptors110-82
01/01/17AAtlanta Hawks112-114 OT
31/12/16HPortland Trail Blazers110-94
29/12/16HPhoenix Suns119-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/17ALos Angeles Lakers127-121
16/01/17HOrlando Magic125-112
12/01/17HIndiana Pacers140-112
08/01/17AOklahoma City Thunder106-121
06/01/17HSan Antonio Spurs99-127
04/01/17HSacramento Kings113-120
03/01/17AGolden State Warriors119-127
31/12/16HPhiladelphia 76ers122-124
29/12/16HMinnesota Timberwolves105-103
27/12/16ALos Angeles Clippers106-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW78%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayLWLWL81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %78%75%81%
Points / game107.1106.5107.6
Allowed / game98.497.399.3
Point differential+8.7+9.2+8.3
Avg total205.4203.8207.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)60% (5)50% (8)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW42%
HomeLLLWW45%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %42%45%40%
Points / game109.7114.0105.4
Allowed / game111.5113.8109.2
Point differential-1.8+0.2-3.8
Avg total221.2227.8214.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%35%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)29% (7)50% (6)
Overtime %8%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4236686%117.8105.0+12.8
2 San Antonio Spurs4132978%107.198.4+8.7
3 Houston Rockets45331273%114.5107.3+7.2
4 Cleveland Cavaliers41301173%109.2104.1+5.1
5 Los Angeles Clippers43291467%108.2102.1+6.2
6 Toronto Raptors42281467%111.0104.4+6.6
7 Utah Jazz43271663%99.294.9+4.3
8 Boston Celtics42261662%106.9104.8+2.1
9 Atlanta Hawks42241857%102.8103.0-0.2
10 Oklahoma City Thunder44251957%106.3105.6+0.8
11 Memphis Grizzlies44251957%99.699.2+0.4
12 Washington Wizards42231955%106.0105.6+0.3
13 Indiana Pacers41221954%105.8106.6-0.8
14 Charlotte Hornets42212150%105.0103.6+1.5
15 Chicago Bulls43212249%101.4101.4+0.0
16 Milwaukee Bucks41202149%104.8103.8+1.0
17 Detroit Pistons44202445%100.2100.9-0.7
18 New York Knicks44192543%105.5108.3-2.8
19 Denver Nuggets40172342%109.7111.5-1.8
20 Portland Trail Blazers44182641%107.4110.6-3.2
21 New Orleans Pelicans43172640%102.6104.8-2.3
22 Sacramento Kings41162539%102.7105.5-2.8
23 Orlando Magic44172739%99.7104.9-5.2
24 Philadelphia 76ers40142635%99.3104.9-5.6
25 Minnesota Timberwolves42142833%103.1104.4-1.2
26 Dallas Mavericks42142833%95.7100.4-4.7
27 Los Angeles Lakers46153133%104.7110.5-5.8
28 Phoenix Suns42132931%105.8111.8-6.0
29 Miami Heat43133030%98.6102.6-4.0
30 Brooklyn Nets4183320%105.3115.0-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs28313326118
Denver Nuggets23352323104
← all games of the day
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