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Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 31 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 01:00
Postponed
Position#9
Record43-22
FormLWLWL
Points / game110.4
Allowed / game107.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#6
Record40-24
FormLLWWW
Points / game110.8
Allowed / game108.3
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder
02 Feb 2027
DEN v OKC
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
DEN127
OKC107
01 Feb 2026
DEN111
OKC121
15 May 2025
DEN119
OKC107
11 May 2025
DEN87
OKC92
09 May 2025
DEN113
OKC104
06 Nov 2024
DEN124
OKC122
24 Oct 2024
DEN87
OKC102
29 Dec 2023
DEN93
OKC119
16 Dec 2023
DEN117
OKC118
22 Jan 2023
DEN99
OKC101
22 Oct 2022
DEN122
OKC117
26 Mar 2022
DEN113
OKC107
02 Mar 2022
DEN107
OKC119
12 Feb 2021
DEN97
OKC95
19 Jan 2021
DEN119
OKC101
30 Mar 2020
DEN v OKC
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
DEN110
OKC102
26 Feb 2019
DEN121
OKC112
14 Dec 2018
DEN109
OKC98
01 Feb 2018
DEN127
OKC124
09 Nov 2017
DEN102
OKC94
09 Apr 2017
DEN105
OKC106
25 Nov 2016
DEN129
OKC132
05 Apr 2016
DEN102
OKC124
19 Jan 2016
DEN104
OKC110
09 Feb 2015
DEN114
OKC124
19 Nov 2014
DEN107
OKC100
09 Jan 2014
DEN101
OKC88
17 Dec 2013
DEN93
OKC105
01 Mar 2013
DEN105
OKC103
20 Jan 2013
DEN121
OKC118
15 Mar 2012
DEN90
OKC103
25 Apr 2011
DEN104
OKC101
23 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC97
05 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC101
19 Jan 2011
DEN112
OKC107
03 Mar 2010
DEN119
OKC90
14 Dec 2009
DEN102
OKC93
08 Apr 2009
DEN122
OKC112
11 Mar 2009
DEN112
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
101-113
101
113
-12
94avg 103
A22/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
128-116
128
116
+12
123avg 103
H23/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
115-98
115
98
+17
121avg 103
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
103-132
103
132
-29
87avg 103
A29/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
133-118
133
118
+15
137avg 103
H01/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
L
100-116
100
116
-16
94avg 103
H04/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
114-112
114
112
+2
112avg 103
A06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
102-104
102
104
-2
94avg 103
A08/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
109-95
109
95
+14
103avg 103
H10/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
97-113
97
113
-16
89avg 103
A12/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
31-21
29-30
24-35
43-38
30-27
24-22
31-29
29-23
30-23
23-26
33-26
27-37
29-29
23-32
24-34
40-32
33-37
27-27
33-22
25-26
33-23
23-33
19-34
31-34
29-17
20-31
34-30
33-23
28-35
22-27
19-19
39-24
23-30
14-17
33-24
29-33
21-24
35-27
12-29
221.9Avg total
110.2Scored
111.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)110.4107.4217.8+3.066%
Season at home (33)111.3105.3216.6+6.076%
Season away (32)109.5109.7219.1-0.256%
Last 10 (10)110.2111.7221.9-1.550%
Last 5 (5)104.4108.0212.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)117.0114.0231.0+3.067%
vs Similar ◀ (13)109.1108.5217.5+0.662%
vs Weaker (11)113.5110.6224.2+2.964%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
123-118
123
118
+5
115avg 101
A14/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
113-101
113
101
+12
102avg 101
H22/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
131-103
131
103
+28
136avg 101
H24/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
124-122
124
122
+2
120avg 101
A26/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
112-108
112
108
+4
99avg 101
H28/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
86-133
86
133
-47
61avg 101
A29/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
94-109
94
109
-15
80avg 101
H04/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
114-107
114
107
+7
112avg 101
A05/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
126-103
126
103
+23
113avg 101
A07/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
105-104
105
104
+1
91avg 101
A08/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-30
37-28
32-35
25-25
27-17
21-31
30-29
35-24
29-29
32-26
37-18
33-30
36-28
36-27
19-38
33-29
25-27
25-34
31-21
31-26
24-31
23-39
22-37
17-26
27-38
20-21
23-30
24-20
38-32
31-32
25-18
20-25
27-20
34-28
34-30
31-25
29-26
23-37
31-21
22-20
223.6Avg total
112.8Scored
110.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)110.8108.3219.1+2.562%
Season at home (33)113.0109.1222.2+3.961%
Season away (31)108.4107.5215.8+0.965%
Last 10 (10)112.8110.8223.6+2.080%
Last 5 (5)105.0111.2216.2-6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.5118.8223.3-14.317%
vs Similar ◀ (15)113.9107.7221.6+6.373%
vs Weaker (9)119.1106.8225.9+12.3100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.1+2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.1+2.1
Denver NuggetsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A22/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H23/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A29/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H01/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H04/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A08/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H10/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A12/03
NBA
116.3Avg total
60.0Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.456.0112.4+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.053.2111.2+4.864%-
Last 30 away (16)55.058.5113.5-3.538%-
Last 10 (10)60.056.3116.3+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)58.253.8112.0+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)62.061.5123.5+0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)52.454.6107.0-2.231%-
vs Weaker (11)58.154.7112.8+3.473%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A14/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H22/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H24/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
72-55
72
55
+17
A26/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H28/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
47-70
47
70
-23
A29/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H04/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A05/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
61-48
61
48
+13
A07/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A08/03
NBA
115.4Avg total
57.3Scored
58.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.256.5112.8-0.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.956.9110.8-2.947%-
Last 30 away (15)58.556.2114.7+2.373%-
Last 10 (10)57.358.1115.4-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)55.260.8116.0-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)51.865.0116.8-13.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)54.354.7108.9-0.453%-
vs Weaker (9)62.454.0116.4+8.4100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.432.1
57.9%
52.3%64.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.7
36.3%
35.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.213.9
76.4%
77.2%13.9
They take 84.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 112.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.431.2
54.4%
52.3%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.2
37.2%
35.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws25.919.8
76.4%
77.2%19.8
They take 84.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLWLWLWWL
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWLLWWWWW
#9
League position
#6
-1.5
Net rating
+2.0
111.4
Offensive rating
111.5
113.0
Defensive rating
109.5
56.7%
Effective FG%
54.8%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
15.3%
Turnover %
11.2%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
17.2%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.3%
3-point %
37.2%
62.6%
Assist %
52.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 111.5Defence113.0 · 109.5Shooting56.7% · 54.8%3-point %36.3% · 37.2%Ball care15.3% · 11.2%Off. rebounds23.2% · 17.2%Free throws0.21 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/20ADallas Mavericks97-113
10/03/20HMilwaukee Bucks109-95
08/03/20ACleveland Cavaliers102-104
06/03/20ACharlotte Hornets114-112
04/03/20HGolden State Warriors100-116
01/03/20HToronto Raptors133-118
29/02/20ALos Angeles Clippers103-132
26/02/20HDetroit Pistons115-98
23/02/20HMinnesota Timberwolves128-116
22/02/20AOklahoma City Thunder101-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/20ABoston Celtics105-104
07/03/20ANew York Knicks126-103
05/03/20ADetroit Pistons114-107
04/03/20HLos Angeles Clippers94-109
29/02/20AMilwaukee Bucks86-133
28/02/20HSacramento Kings112-108
26/02/20AChicago Bulls124-122
24/02/20HSan Antonio Spurs131-103
22/02/20HDenver Nuggets113-101
14/02/20ANew Orleans Pelicans123-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL66%
HomeWWWLW76%
AwayLLWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653332
Win %66%76%56%
Points / game110.4111.3109.5
Allowed / game107.4105.3109.7
Point differential+3.0+6.0-0.2
Avg total217.8216.6219.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%36%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (19)57% (7)58% (12)
Overtime %9%6%12%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeLWWWL61%
AwayWLWWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643331
Win %62%61%65%
Points / game110.8113.0108.4
Allowed / game108.3109.1107.5
Point differential+2.5+3.9+0.9
Avg total219.1222.2215.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%27%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won61% (23)56% (9)64% (14)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks65531282%118.6107.4+11.3
2 Los Angeles Lakers63491478%114.3106.9+7.4
3 Toronto Raptors64461872%113.0106.5+6.5
4 Los Angeles Clippers64442069%116.2109.7+6.5
5 Boston Celtics64432167%113.0106.8+6.2
6 Denver Nuggets65432266%110.4107.4+3.0
7 Utah Jazz64412364%111.0107.9+3.2
8 Miami Heat65412463%112.2108.9+3.2
9 Houston Rockets64402462%118.1114.4+3.8
10 Oklahoma City Thunder64402462%110.8108.3+2.5
11 Philadelphia 76ers65392660%109.6107.4+2.2
12 Indiana Pacers65392660%109.3107.4+1.9
13 Dallas Mavericks67402760%116.4110.3+6.0
14 Memphis Grizzlies65323349%112.6113.7-1.1
15 Brooklyn Nets64303447%110.8111.4-0.6
16 Orlando Magic65303546%106.4107.3-1.0
17 Portland Trail Blazers66293744%113.6115.2-1.6
18 New Orleans Pelicans64283644%116.2117.0-0.8
19 Sacramento Kings64283644%109.0110.9-1.9
20 San Antonio Spurs63273643%113.2114.9-1.8
21 Phoenix Suns65263940%112.6113.9-1.4
22 Washington Wizards64244038%115.6119.7-4.0
23 Charlotte Hornets65234235%102.9109.6-6.8
24 Chicago Bulls65224334%106.8109.9-3.1
25 New York Knicks66214532%105.8112.3-6.5
26 Detroit Pistons66204630%107.2110.8-3.6
27 Atlanta Hawks67204730%111.8119.7-8.0
28 Minnesota Timberwolves64194530%113.2117.5-4.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers65194629%106.9114.8-7.9
30 Golden State Warriors65155023%106.3115.0-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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