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Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 127-107
34-27 25-24 31-34 37-22
Position#6
Record52-28
FormWWWWW
Points / game121.9
Allowed / game117.0
vs
Position#1
Record63-15
FormWWWWW
Points / game119.3
Allowed / game107.5
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder
02 Feb 2027
DEN v OKC
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
DEN127
OKC107
01 Feb 2026
DEN111
OKC121
15 May 2025
DEN119
OKC107
11 May 2025
DEN87
OKC92
09 May 2025
DEN113
OKC104
06 Nov 2024
DEN124
OKC122
24 Oct 2024
DEN87
OKC102
29 Dec 2023
DEN93
OKC119
16 Dec 2023
DEN117
OKC118
22 Jan 2023
DEN99
OKC101
22 Oct 2022
DEN122
OKC117
26 Mar 2022
DEN113
OKC107
02 Mar 2022
DEN107
OKC119
12 Feb 2021
DEN97
OKC95
19 Jan 2021
DEN119
OKC101
30 Mar 2020
DEN v OKC
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
DEN110
OKC102
26 Feb 2019
DEN121
OKC112
14 Dec 2018
DEN109
OKC98
01 Feb 2018
DEN127
OKC124
09 Nov 2017
DEN102
OKC94
09 Apr 2017
DEN105
OKC106
25 Nov 2016
DEN129
OKC132
05 Apr 2016
DEN102
OKC124
19 Jan 2016
DEN104
OKC110
09 Feb 2015
DEN114
OKC124
19 Nov 2014
DEN107
OKC100
09 Jan 2014
DEN101
OKC88
17 Dec 2013
DEN93
OKC105
01 Mar 2013
DEN105
OKC103
20 Jan 2013
DEN121
OKC118
15 Mar 2012
DEN90
OKC103
25 Apr 2011
DEN104
OKC101
23 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC97
05 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC101
19 Jan 2011
DEN112
OKC107
03 Mar 2010
DEN119
OKC90
14 Dec 2009
DEN102
OKC93
08 Apr 2009
DEN122
OKC112
11 Mar 2009
DEN112
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
121-115
121
115
+6
117avg 113
H21/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
128-112
128
112
+16
131avg 113
H22/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
125-123
125
123
+2
128avg 113
A25/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
142-135
142
135
+7
145avg 113
H26/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
135-129
135
129
+6
133avg 113
H28/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
116-93
116
93
+23
114avg 113
H30/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
130-117
130
117
+13
129avg 113
A02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
136-134 OT
136
134
+2
130avg 113
H04/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
137-132 OT
137
132
+5
134avg 113
H07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
136-119
136
119
+17
140avg 113
H09/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
30-23
28-41
36-21
42-40
33-29
32-24
21-19
28-35
39-22
30-38
28-28
34-33
34-26
43-41
31-35
37-26
25-36
36-43
37-24
23-28
23-25
40-21
30-19
39-28
29-26
29-36
33-27
36-43
29-29
27-24
32-28
31-35
27-37
29-29
38-24
37-33
31-39
39-22
29-25
251.5Avg total
130.6Scored
120.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (80)121.9117.0239.0+4.965%
Season at home (40)120.7115.4236.1+5.268%
Season away (40)123.2118.7241.9+4.662%
Last 10 (10)130.6120.9251.5+9.7100%
Last 5 (5)131.0119.0250.0+12.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)123.5128.0251.5-4.50%
vs Similar (14)120.4119.4239.7+1.050%
vs Weaker (14)130.4117.9248.3+12.686%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#30
W
132-111
132
111
+21
132avg 109
A21/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
123-103
123
103
+20
126avg 109
A23/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
109-119
109
119
-10
96avg 109
A25/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
131-113
131
113
+18
126avg 109
H28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
111-100
111
100
+11
104avg 109
H29/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
114-110 OT
114
110
+4
104avg 109
H31/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
139-96
139
96
+43
136avg 109
H03/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
146-111
146
111
+35
153avg 109
H05/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
123-87
123
87
+36
121avg 109
A08/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
128-110
128
110
+18
130avg 109
A09/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-32
37-32
34-32
29-15
35-25
30-18
32-36
26-24
31-20
22-29
30-39
26-31
29-32
33-35
33-21
36-25
26-23
27-29
31-26
27-22
31-24
22-19
26-31
22-27
44-21
38-30
30-16
27-29
40-25
35-29
33-27
38-30
34-27
31-20
28-15
30-25
34-23
35-26
25-31
34-30
231.6Avg total
125.6Scored
106.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)119.3107.5226.8+11.881%
Season at home (39)119.1107.1226.2+12.085%
Season away (39)119.5107.9227.3+11.677%
Last 10 (10)125.6106.0231.6+19.690%
Last 5 (5)130.0102.8232.8+27.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)109.0110.1219.1-1.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)120.5104.9225.4+15.791%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +8.4+8.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: +3.7+3.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +8.4+8.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: +3.7+3.7
Denver NuggetsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H21/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H22/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
67-57
67
57
+10
A25/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H26/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
D
62-62
62
62
+0
H28/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H30/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
68-54
68
54
+14
A02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H04/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
58-72
58
72
-14
H07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H09/04
NBA
125.7Avg total
63.4Scored
62.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.159.3119.4+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.858.2118.0+1.550%-
Last 30 away (14)60.460.5120.9-0.136%-
Last 10 (10)63.462.3125.7+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)61.064.6125.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)59.558.0117.5+1.550%-
vs Similar (14)55.157.6112.8-2.543%-
vs Weaker (14)65.161.1126.2+3.943%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#30
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A21/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
65-43
65
43
+22
A23/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A25/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H29/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H31/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
82-51
82
51
+31
H03/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
75-54
75
54
+21
H05/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
65-47
65
47
+18
A08/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
69-49
69
49
+20
A09/04
NBA
116.5Avg total
64.6Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.251.8112.1+8.477%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.052.9112.9+7.167%-
Last 30 away (15)60.550.7111.2+9.787%-
Last 10 (10)64.651.9116.5+12.790%-
Last 5 (5)68.848.8117.6+20.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)53.653.4107.0+0.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)62.351.3113.6+10.983%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 130.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.931.1
59.9%
54.8%62.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.316.3
41.5%
35.8%48.9
🏀 Free throws23.919.5
81.6%
78.1%19.5
They take 91.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 125.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.930.6
60.1%
54.8%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.715.2
40.3%
35.8%45.6
🏀 Free throws23.418.8
80.3%
78.1%18.8
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWWWWWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWWWWWLWW
#6
League position
#1
+9.3
Net rating
+19.1
125.2
Offensive rating
122.6
115.9
Defensive rating
103.5
60.9%
Effective FG%
60.3%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
10.4%
Turnover %
12.2%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
41.5%
3-point %
40.3%
69.8%
Assist %
60.9%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence125.2 · 122.6Defence115.9 · 103.5Shooting60.9% · 60.3%3-point %41.5% · 40.3%Ball care10.4% · 12.2%Off. rebounds34.4% · 22.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)100% · 90%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/26HMemphis Grizzlies136-119
07/04/26HPortland Trail Blazers137-132 OT
04/04/26HSan Antonio Spurs136-134 OT
02/04/26AUtah Jazz130-117
30/03/26HGolden State Warriors116-93
28/03/26HUtah Jazz135-129
26/03/26HDallas Mavericks142-135
25/03/26APhoenix Suns125-123
22/03/26HPortland Trail Blazers128-112
21/03/26HToronto Raptors121-115
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/26ALos Angeles Clippers128-110
08/04/26ALos Angeles Lakers123-87
05/04/26HUtah Jazz146-111
03/04/26HLos Angeles Lakers139-96
31/03/26HDetroit Pistons114-110 OT
29/03/26HNew York Knicks111-100
28/03/26HChicago Bulls131-113
25/03/26ABoston Celtics109-119
23/03/26APhiladelphia 76ers123-103
21/03/26AWashington Wizards132-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeWWWWW68%
AwayWLLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games804040
Win %65%68%62%
Points / game121.9120.7123.2
Allowed / game117.0115.4118.7
Point differential+4.9+5.2+4.6
Avg total239.0236.1241.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%35%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (28)55% (11)53% (17)
Overtime %11%10%12%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWWLWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games783939
Win %81%85%77%
Points / game119.3119.1119.5
Allowed / game107.5107.1107.9
Point differential+11.8+12.0+11.6
Avg total226.8226.2227.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%54%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (15)75% (8)43% (7)
Overtime %6%10%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder78631581%119.3107.5+11.8
2 San Antonio Spurs79601976%119.8111.3+8.6
3 Detroit Pistons81592273%117.6109.5+8.1
4 Boston Celtics81552668%114.9107.1+7.7
5 Denver Nuggets80522865%121.9117.0+4.9
6 New York Knicks79512865%116.5110.1+6.4
7 Los Angeles Lakers79512865%116.3115.0+1.3
8 Houston Rockets80512964%114.8109.8+5.0
9 Cleveland Cavaliers81513063%119.4115.4+4.0
10 Minnesota Timberwolves80473359%117.6114.3+3.3
11 Atlanta Hawks81463557%118.5115.7+2.8
12 Toronto Raptors80453556%114.5111.9+2.7
13 Phoenix Suns79443556%113.1111.0+2.1
14 Orlando Magic79443556%115.8115.0+0.8
15 Philadelphia 76ers81443754%115.8116.2-0.4
16 Charlotte Hornets81433853%116.1111.4+4.7
17 Miami Heat80423852%120.8118.6+2.2
18 Los Angeles Clippers80413951%114.0112.6+1.3
19 Portland Trail Blazers80404050%115.4116.1-0.7
20 Golden State Warriors80374346%114.6115.1-0.4
21 Milwaukee Bucks81324940%110.7116.7-6.0
22 Chicago Bulls81315038%116.2121.2-5.0
23 New Orleans Pelicans81265532%115.4119.9-4.5
24 Memphis Grizzlies80255531%115.0120.2-5.2
25 Dallas Mavericks81255631%113.7119.5-5.8
26 Utah Jazz80215926%117.3126.3-8.9
27 Sacramento Kings80215926%110.8121.0-10.2
28 Brooklyn Nets81206125%106.0115.7-9.7
29 Indiana Pacers81196223%112.3120.3-7.9
30 Washington Wizards81176421%112.9124.8-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets34253137127
Oklahoma City Thunder27243422107
← all games of the day
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