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Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 106-96
30-32 24-18 27-24 25-22
Position#6
Record34-19
FormWWWWW
Points / game115.9
Allowed / game109.6
vs
Position#22
Record24-27
FormLWLLL
Points / game110.1
Allowed / game112.5
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v San Antonio Spurs
03 Mar 2027
DEN v SAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
DEN136
SAS134
28 Nov 2025
DEN136
SAS139
02 Apr 2025
DEN106
SAS113
03 Jan 2025
DEN110
SAS113
02 Apr 2024
DEN110
SAS105
26 Nov 2023
DEN132
SAS120
05 Nov 2022
DEN126
SAS101
05 Apr 2022
DEN97
SAS116
22 Oct 2021
DEN102
SAS96
09 Apr 2021
DEN121
SAS119
07 Apr 2021
DEN106
SAS96
27 Mar 2020
DEN v SAS
upcoming
10 Feb 2020
DEN127
SAS120
27 Apr 2019
DEN90
SAS86
23 Apr 2019
DEN108
SAS90
16 Apr 2019
DEN114
SAS105
13 Apr 2019
DEN96
SAS101
03 Apr 2019
DEN113
SAS85
28 Dec 2018
DEN102
SAS99
23 Feb 2018
DEN122
SAS119
13 Feb 2018
DEN117
SAS109
05 Jan 2017
DEN99
SAS127
08 Apr 2016
DEN102
SAS98
27 Nov 2015
DEN80
SAS91
20 Jan 2015
DEN99
SAS109
14 Dec 2014
DEN91
SAS99
28 Mar 2014
DEN102
SAS133
05 Nov 2013
DEN94
SAS102
10 Apr 2013
DEN96
SAS86
18 Dec 2012
DEN112
SAS106
23 Feb 2012
DEN99
SAS114
23 Mar 2011
DEN115
SAS112
16 Dec 2010
DEN112
SAS113
10 Apr 2010
DEN85
SAS104
11 Feb 2010
DEN92
SAS111
03 Feb 2009
DEN104
SAS96
04 Dec 2008
DEN91
SAS108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
131-127 OT
131
127
+4
126avg 108
H20/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
108-113
108
113
-5
103avg 108
H21/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
110-99
110
99
+11
107avg 108
A23/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
111-135
111
135
-24
98avg 108
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
113-108
113
108
+5
104avg 108
A27/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
126-102
126
102
+24
126avg 108
H29/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
104-95
104
95
+9
105avg 108
H31/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
101-94
101
94
+7
97avg 108
A02/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
119-109
119
109
+10
118avg 108
H05/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
134-119
134
119
+15
137avg 108
H07/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
27-25
34-34
35-27
30-22
21-36
29-25
28-30
30-15
31-24
19-30
30-30
30-38
24-34
27-26
30-37
26-33
28-30
31-23
28-22
31-35
34-20
32-24
29-23
44-22
24-23
20-26
16-24
31-20
31-29
19-21
20-24
23-29
24-36
38-21
34-23
39-32
37-24
33-30
25-33
225.8Avg total
115.7Scored
110.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)115.9109.6225.5+6.464%
Season at home (27)117.7109.4227.1+8.367%
Season away (26)114.1109.8223.8+4.362%
Last 10 (10)115.7110.1225.8+5.680%
Last 5 (5)116.8103.8220.6+13.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)109.8107.6217.3+2.258%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)118.6110.3228.9+8.372%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
113-120
113
120
-7
105avg 103
A21/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
97-100
97
100
-3
86avg 103
H23/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
101-134
101
134
-33
91avg 103
H25/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
85-98
85
98
-13
71avg 103
H26/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
120-104
120
104
+16
116avg 103
H28/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
115-132
115
132
-17
105avg 103
H30/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
120-106
120
106
+14
113avg 103
H01/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
129-134 OT
129
134
-5
110avg 103
H02/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
133-139 OT
133
139
-6
no box
H04/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
L
101-125
101
125
-24
89avg 103
H05/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-26
17-31
34-31
29-32
21-31
24-24
24-19
28-26
29-41
24-26
31-35
17-32
27-30
28-19
13-23
17-26
33-20
32-19
31-34
24-31
31-27
29-41
31-29
24-35
33-27
36-26
28-29
23-24
22-32
26-22
32-30
30-26
33-32
26-35
38-31
29-28
26-28
21-29
33-43
21-25
230.6Avg total
111.4Scored
119.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)110.1112.5222.6-2.447%
Season at home (30)109.9113.5223.4-3.540%
Season away (21)110.3111.1221.4-0.857%
Last 10 (10)111.4119.2230.6-7.820%
Last 5 (5)119.6127.2246.8-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)106.6115.9222.5-9.225%
vs Similar (16)113.4114.7228.1-1.356%
vs Weaker (6)105.5104.5210.0+1.050%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -4.3-4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -4.3-4.3
Denver NuggetsSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H20/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H21/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
61-39
61
39
+22
A23/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
54-72
54
72
-18
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A27/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
65-55
65
55
+10
H29/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
68-45
68
45
+23
H31/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A02/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
L
47-65
47
65
-18
H05/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
76-56
76
56
+20
H07/04
NBA
114.2Avg total
58.5Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.954.9113.7+4.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.555.1113.5+3.453%-
Last 30 away (15)59.354.7113.9+4.653%-
Last 10 (10)58.555.7114.2+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)63.654.0117.6+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)60.255.2115.4+5.158%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)57.954.7112.6+3.350%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A21/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H23/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
53-67
53
67
-14
H25/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H26/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
65-39
65
39
+26
H28/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H30/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
69-53
69
53
+16
H01/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H02/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H04/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H05/04
NBA
111.7Avg total
55.1Scored
56.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.454.6110.0+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (20)55.556.2111.7-0.840%-
Last 30 away (10)55.251.3106.5+3.970%-
Last 10 (10)55.156.6111.7-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)56.659.8116.4-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)54.455.5109.9-1.150%-
vs Similar (16)57.657.4115.0+0.138%-
vs Weaker (6)50.845.896.7+5.083%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.632.7
56.8%
52.8%65.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.112.5
38.9%
36.6%37.5
🏀 Free throws16.212.8
79.0%
77.7%12.8
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 109.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.032.2
51.9%
52.8%64.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.3
34.2%
36.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.417.4
77.7%
77.7%17.4
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWWLWLW
San Antonio Spurs
LLLWLWLLLL
#6
League position
#22
+5.8
Net rating
-6.5
119.4
Offensive rating
108.6
113.6
Defensive rating
115.1
57.4%
Effective FG%
51.7%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
12.8%
Turnover %
10.5%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
18.1%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.9%
3-point %
34.2%
63.3%
Assist %
54.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence119.4 · 108.6Defence113.6 · 115.1Shooting57.4% · 51.7%3-point %38.9% · 34.2%Ball care12.8% · 10.5%Off. rebounds29.2% · 18.1%Free throws0.18 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/21HDetroit Pistons134-119
05/04/21HOrlando Magic119-109
02/04/21ALos Angeles Clippers101-94
31/03/21HPhiladelphia 76ers104-95
29/03/21HAtlanta Hawks126-102
27/03/21ANew Orleans Pelicans113-108
24/03/21AToronto Raptors111-135
23/03/21AOrlando Magic110-99
21/03/21HNew Orleans Pelicans108-113
20/03/21HChicago Bulls131-127 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/21HCleveland Cavaliers101-125
04/04/21HIndiana Pacers133-139 OT
02/04/21HAtlanta Hawks129-134 OT
01/04/21HSacramento Kings120-106
30/03/21HSacramento Kings115-132
28/03/21HChicago Bulls120-104
26/03/21HLos Angeles Clippers85-98
25/03/21HLos Angeles Clippers101-134
23/03/21HCharlotte Hornets97-100
21/03/21AMilwaukee Bucks113-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532726
Win %64%67%62%
Points / game115.9117.7114.1
Allowed / game109.6109.4109.8
Point differential+6.4+8.3+4.3
Avg total225.5227.1223.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%48%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)38% (8)57% (7)
Overtime %9%11%8%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL47%
HomeLWLLL40%
AwayLWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games513021
Win %47%40%57%
Points / game110.1109.9110.3
Allowed / game112.5113.5111.1
Point differential-2.4-3.5-0.8
Avg total222.6223.4221.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%23%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)50% (10)60% (5)
Overtime %8%10%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz53411277%117.0106.8+10.1
2 Brooklyn Nets54381670%118.9113.7+5.2
3 Philadelphia 76ers53371670%113.9108.8+5.1
4 Phoenix Suns53351866%113.8108.2+5.7
5 Los Angeles Lakers55361965%110.1105.5+4.6
6 Denver Nuggets53341964%115.9109.6+6.4
7 Los Angeles Clippers55342162%113.7108.4+5.3
8 Milwaukee Bucks53322160%118.7113.6+5.1
9 Portland Trail Blazers54312357%114.5115.5-0.9
10 Dallas Mavericks53302357%112.1109.8+2.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies53292455%113.0110.9+2.1
12 Atlanta Hawks56292752%113.4111.9+1.4
13 Miami Heat53272651%106.5107.5-1.1
14 New York Knicks56282850%104.5103.0+1.5
15 Charlotte Hornets54272750%110.9111.9-1.0
16 Boston Celtics54262848%111.2110.3+0.9
17 Golden State Warriors54262848%112.0113.8-1.8
18 San Antonio Spurs51242747%110.1112.5-2.4
19 New Orleans Pelicans53242945%115.1115.0+0.1
20 Chicago Bulls53242945%112.3112.9-0.6
21 Sacramento Kings55243144%114.3118.3-4.0
22 Indiana Pacers53233043%112.8113.5-0.8
23 Toronto Raptors54223241%111.8111.4+0.4
24 Oklahoma City Thunder54213339%105.9113.4-7.5
25 Cleveland Cavaliers54203437%102.9110.7-7.9
26 Washington Wizards53193436%112.8117.8-5.1
27 Orlando Magic55193635%105.3112.1-6.8
28 Detroit Pistons55173831%106.5109.8-3.3
29 Houston Rockets55173831%108.1113.0-4.9
30 Minnesota Timberwolves55144125%109.9117.3-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets30242725106
San Antonio Spurs3218242296
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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