PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 97-116
30-32 14-32 35-21 18-31
Position#11
Record47-32
FormWWWLW
Points / game112.4
Allowed / game109.9
vs
Position#22
Record33-45
FormWWLWW
Points / game113.2
Allowed / game113.0
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v San Antonio Spurs
03 Mar 2027
DEN v SAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
DEN136
SAS134
28 Nov 2025
DEN136
SAS139
02 Apr 2025
DEN106
SAS113
03 Jan 2025
DEN110
SAS113
02 Apr 2024
DEN110
SAS105
26 Nov 2023
DEN132
SAS120
05 Nov 2022
DEN126
SAS101
05 Apr 2022
DEN97
SAS116
22 Oct 2021
DEN102
SAS96
09 Apr 2021
DEN121
SAS119
07 Apr 2021
DEN106
SAS96
27 Mar 2020
DEN v SAS
upcoming
10 Feb 2020
DEN127
SAS120
27 Apr 2019
DEN90
SAS86
23 Apr 2019
DEN108
SAS90
16 Apr 2019
DEN114
SAS105
13 Apr 2019
DEN96
SAS101
03 Apr 2019
DEN113
SAS85
28 Dec 2018
DEN102
SAS99
23 Feb 2018
DEN122
SAS119
13 Feb 2018
DEN117
SAS109
05 Jan 2017
DEN99
SAS127
08 Apr 2016
DEN102
SAS98
27 Nov 2015
DEN80
SAS91
20 Jan 2015
DEN99
SAS109
14 Dec 2014
DEN91
SAS99
28 Mar 2014
DEN102
SAS133
05 Nov 2013
DEN94
SAS102
10 Apr 2013
DEN96
SAS86
18 Dec 2012
DEN112
SAS106
23 Feb 2012
DEN99
SAS114
23 Mar 2011
DEN115
SAS112
16 Dec 2010
DEN112
SAS113
10 Apr 2010
DEN85
SAS104
11 Feb 2010
DEN92
SAS111
03 Feb 2009
DEN104
SAS96
04 Dec 2008
DEN91
SAS108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#21
W
127-109
127
109
+18
124avg 108
A16/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
116-119 OT
116
119
-3
118avg 108
A18/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
104-124
104
124
-20
91avg 108
H21/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
127-115
127
115
+12
128avg 108
H23/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
130-140
130
140
-10
127avg 108
H25/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
113-107
113
107
+6
116avg 108
H27/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
113-109
113
109
+4
112avg 108
A28/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
125-118
125
118
+7
133avg 108
A30/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
130-136
130
136
-6
134avg 108
H02/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
129-118
129
118
+11
130avg 108
A03/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-28
39-24
31-29
23-28
29-31
34-21
24-26
20-29
27-33
16-35
32-30
29-26
37-27
35-34
27-27
28-27
31-31
37-35
38-38
24-36
32-25
26-24
29-27
26-31
32-30
24-27
37-27
20-25
43-15
26-38
22-38
34-27
35-40
30-30
29-28
36-38
24-28
38-33
33-33
34-24
240.9Avg total
121.4Scored
119.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (79)112.4109.9222.4+2.559%
Season at home (38)114.4111.5225.9+2.958%
Season away (41)110.7108.4219.1+2.261%
Last 10 (10)121.4119.5240.9+1.960%
Last 5 (5)122.0117.6239.6+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)112.0124.0236.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)118.3117.4235.7+0.956%
vs Weaker (11)119.2108.6227.8+10.591%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
139-149
139
149
-10
131avg 105
H15/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
122-120
122
120
+2
115avg 105
H17/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
91-124
91
124
-33
75avg 105
H19/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
110-108
110
108
+2
94avg 105
A21/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
133-96
133
96
+37
135avg 105
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
107-103
107
103
+4
97avg 105
A26/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
123-120
123
120
+3
117avg 105
A29/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
111-112
111
112
-1
105avg 105
H31/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
130-111
130
111
+19
135avg 105
H02/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
113-92
113
92
+21
110avg 105
H03/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-40
41-35
33-46
33-28
37-29
31-27
30-35
24-29
10-35
23-29
24-31
34-29
36-22
27-35
20-27
27-24
45-27
36-26
33-28
19-15
22-32
36-25
26-27
23-19
39-31
28-24
29-29
27-36
27-31
25-34
34-28
25-19
34-29
43-20
24-32
29-30
26-23
22-33
34-16
31-20
231.4Avg total
117.9Scored
113.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)113.2113.0226.2+0.242%
Season at home (40)114.1114.1228.2+0.040%
Season away (38)112.2111.9224.1+0.345%
Last 10 (10)117.9113.5231.4+4.470%
Last 5 (5)116.8107.6224.4+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)110.4115.8226.2-5.322%
vs Similar ◀ (13)117.8121.7239.5-3.846%
vs Weaker (8)122.2108.2230.5+14.088%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.3+2.3
Denver NuggetsSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#21
W
73-52
73
52
+21
A16/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A18/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
43-68
43
68
-25
H21/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H23/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H25/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H27/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A28/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
69-53
69
53
+16
A30/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H02/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A03/04
NBA
121.8Avg total
62.9Scored
58.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.457.7119.1+3.770%-
Last 30 at home (16)62.158.9120.9+3.275%-
Last 30 away (14)60.656.4117.1+4.264%-
Last 10 (10)62.958.9121.8+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)62.058.0120.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)57.061.7118.7-4.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)62.460.9123.3+1.456%-
vs Weaker (11)61.252.0113.2+9.291%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H15/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H17/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
33-64
33
64
-31
H19/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A21/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
81-53
81
53
+28
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A26/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
67-55
67
55
+12
A29/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
52-65
52
65
-13
H31/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
77-49
77
49
+28
H02/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H03/04
NBA
120.7Avg total
62.0Scored
58.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.659.7120.3+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.360.9119.2-2.638%-
Last 30 away (14)63.258.4121.6+4.964%-
Last 10 (10)62.058.7120.7+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)60.456.4116.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)56.759.9116.6-3.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)60.562.1122.5-1.646%-
vs Weaker (8)65.255.6120.9+9.675%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 121.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.131.8
61.0%
53.1%63.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.112.6
38.1%
35.3%37.8
🏀 Free throws23.820.0
84.0%
77.4%20.0
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 117.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.328.8
53.0%
53.1%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.313.5
36.2%
35.3%40.5
🏀 Free throws24.219.8
81.8%
77.4%19.8
They take 91.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWWWLWLLW
San Antonio Spurs
WWLWWWWLWL
#11
League position
#22
+1.9
Net rating
+4.3
121.2
Offensive rating
115.8
119.3
Defensive rating
111.5
59.5%
Effective FG%
53.5%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
14.2%
Turnover %
12.4%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.1%
3-point %
36.2%
69.6%
Assist %
66.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence121.2 · 115.8Defence119.3 · 111.5Shooting59.5% · 53.5%3-point %38.1% · 36.2%Ball care14.2% · 12.4%Off. rebounds25.4% · 26.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/22ALos Angeles Lakers129-118
02/04/22HMinnesota Timberwolves130-136
30/03/22AIndiana Pacers125-118
28/03/22ACharlotte Hornets113-109
27/03/22HOklahoma City Thunder113-107
25/03/22HPhoenix Suns130-140
23/03/22HLos Angeles Clippers127-115
21/03/22HBoston Celtics104-124
18/03/22ACleveland Cavaliers116-119 OT
16/03/22AWashington Wizards127-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/22HPortland Trail Blazers113-92
02/04/22HPortland Trail Blazers130-111
31/03/22HMemphis Grizzlies111-112
29/03/22AHouston Rockets123-120
26/03/22ANew Orleans Pelicans107-103
24/03/22APortland Trail Blazers133-96
21/03/22AGolden State Warriors110-108
19/03/22HNew Orleans Pelicans91-124
17/03/22HOklahoma City Thunder122-120
15/03/22HMinnesota Timberwolves139-149

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW59%
HomeLWLWL58%
AwayWLWWW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games793841
Win %59%58%61%
Points / game112.4114.4110.7
Allowed / game109.9111.5108.4
Point differential+2.5+2.9+2.2
Avg total222.4225.9219.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%29%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won68% (19)80% (5)64% (14)
Overtime %5%5%5%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW42%
HomeWLLWW40%
AwayLWWWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games784038
Win %42%40%45%
Points / game113.2114.1112.2
Allowed / game113.0114.1111.9
Point differential+0.2+0.0+0.3
Avg total226.2228.2224.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%25%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (24)20% (10)50% (14)
Overtime %5%2%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns78621679%114.9107.1+7.8
2 Memphis Grizzlies78552371%115.4109.2+6.2
3 Miami Heat80522865%110.0105.3+4.7
4 Golden State Warriors79502963%110.7105.5+5.2
5 Boston Celtics79493062%111.2104.3+7.0
6 Milwaukee Bucks79493062%115.2111.9+3.3
7 Philadelphia 76ers79493062%109.5107.0+2.5
8 Dallas Mavericks79493062%107.2104.8+2.4
9 Denver Nuggets79473259%112.4109.9+2.5
10 Utah Jazz78463259%113.4107.9+5.5
11 Toronto Raptors79463358%109.4106.9+2.4
12 Chicago Bulls79453457%111.6111.6+0.0
13 Minnesota Timberwolves80453556%115.8113.1+2.7
14 Cleveland Cavaliers80433754%107.5105.4+2.1
15 Atlanta Hawks79413852%113.7112.5+1.3
16 Brooklyn Nets79413852%112.6112.2+0.4
17 Charlotte Hornets79403951%114.8115.1-0.3
18 Los Angeles Clippers79394049%107.9108.8-0.9
19 New York Knicks79354444%106.5106.9-0.4
20 Washington Wizards79354444%108.9111.7-2.8
21 New Orleans Pelicans78344444%108.9109.9-1.0
22 San Antonio Spurs78334542%113.2113.0+0.2
23 Los Angeles Lakers78314740%111.6114.8-3.2
24 Sacramento Kings79295037%110.4115.7-5.3
25 Portland Trail Blazers79275234%107.1114.8-7.8
26 Indiana Pacers80255531%111.2114.5-3.3
27 Oklahoma City Thunder79245530%104.0111.1-7.1
28 Detroit Pistons79235629%104.8112.0-7.3
29 Orlando Magic80215926%104.0112.0-8.0
30 Houston Rockets80206025%109.6118.1-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets3014351897
San Antonio Spurs32322131116
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.