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Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 113-85
28-24 33-19 25-21 27-21
Position#4
Record51-26
FormWLWLL
Points / game110.8
Allowed / game106.9
vs
Position#11
Record45-33
FormWLWLW
Points / game111.9
Allowed / game110.4
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v San Antonio Spurs
03 Mar 2027
DEN v SAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
DEN136
SAS134
28 Nov 2025
DEN136
SAS139
02 Apr 2025
DEN106
SAS113
03 Jan 2025
DEN110
SAS113
02 Apr 2024
DEN110
SAS105
26 Nov 2023
DEN132
SAS120
05 Nov 2022
DEN126
SAS101
05 Apr 2022
DEN97
SAS116
22 Oct 2021
DEN102
SAS96
09 Apr 2021
DEN121
SAS119
07 Apr 2021
DEN106
SAS96
27 Mar 2020
DEN v SAS
upcoming
10 Feb 2020
DEN127
SAS120
27 Apr 2019
DEN90
SAS86
23 Apr 2019
DEN108
SAS90
16 Apr 2019
DEN114
SAS105
13 Apr 2019
DEN96
SAS101
03 Apr 2019
DEN113
SAS85
28 Dec 2018
DEN102
SAS99
23 Feb 2018
DEN122
SAS119
13 Feb 2018
DEN117
SAS109
05 Jan 2017
DEN99
SAS127
08 Apr 2016
DEN102
SAS98
27 Nov 2015
DEN80
SAS91
20 Jan 2015
DEN99
SAS109
14 Dec 2014
DEN91
SAS99
28 Mar 2014
DEN102
SAS133
05 Nov 2013
DEN94
SAS102
10 Apr 2013
DEN96
SAS86
18 Dec 2012
DEN112
SAS106
23 Feb 2012
DEN99
SAS114
23 Mar 2011
DEN115
SAS112
16 Dec 2010
DEN112
SAS113
10 Apr 2010
DEN85
SAS104
11 Feb 2010
DEN92
SAS111
03 Feb 2009
DEN104
SAS96
04 Dec 2008
DEN91
SAS108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
102-100
102
100
+2
96avg 105
H17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
114-105
114
105
+9
no box
A18/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
113-108
113
108
+5
no box
A21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
111-93
111
93
+18
106avg 105
A22/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
88-124
88
124
-36
71avg 105
A24/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
95-92
95
92
+3
no box
H27/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
85-112
85
112
-27
73avg 105
A29/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
115-105
115
105
+10
115avg 105
A30/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
90-95
90
95
-5
no box
H01/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
102-116
102
116
-14
83avg 105
A03/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-36
32-24
22-15
23-25
24-22
31-30
25-28
34-25
33-30
28-23
24-32
28-23
37-18
19-24
26-20
29-31
23-27
23-35
21-30
21-32
27-9
39-30
15-23
14-30
25-22
19-40
21-25
20-25
33-29
23-23
30-23
29-30
34-23
28-30
10-22
18-20
24-30
19-29
21-27
38-30
206.5Avg total
101.5Scored
105.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)110.8106.9217.6+3.966%
Season at home (38)114.4104.2218.6+10.382%
Season away (39)107.2109.5216.7-2.351%
Last 10 (10)101.5105.0206.5-3.560%
Last 5 (5)97.4104.0201.4-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)109.1109.5218.7-0.453%
vs Weaker (15)109.5106.4215.9+3.173%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#30
W
109-83
109
83
+26
110avg 103
H16/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
108-103
108
103
+5
100avg 103
H17/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
111-105
111
105
+6
no box
H19/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
105-110
105
110
-5
no box
H21/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
105-111
105
111
-6
101avg 103
A23/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
115-96
115
96
+19
114avg 103
A24/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
L
116-125 OT
116
125
-9
no box
A26/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
116-110
116
110
+6
108avg 103
H29/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
106-113
106
113
-7
no box
H31/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
117-111
117
111
+6
115avg 103
H03/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-20
25-21
26-28
27-14
23-21
25-29
24-26
36-27
25-25
33-22
24-31
29-27
22-24
25-38
31-28
27-20
24-36
23-26
34-19
24-30
31-24
23-23
30-25
31-24
23-29
36-26
21-27
26-24
27-28
17-25
40-28
32-29
30-28
27-30
30-31
19-24
33-31
25-25
28-34
31-21
217.5Avg total
110.8Scored
106.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)111.9110.4222.2+1.558%
Season at home (40)113.0106.2219.2+6.878%
Season away (38)110.7114.7225.4-4.137%
Last 10 (10)110.8106.7217.5+4.160%
Last 5 (5)114.0111.0225.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)112.8120.0232.8-7.250%
vs Similar ◀ (18)110.4111.1221.5-0.650%
vs Weaker (8)117.1111.0228.1+6.188%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +4.2+4.2
Denver NuggetsSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A18/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
61-53
61
53
+8
A21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A22/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
46-62
46
62
-16
A24/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
66-39
66
39
+27
H27/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A29/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A30/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H01/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
43-59
43
59
-16
A03/04
NBA
108.0Avg total
54.6Scored
53.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.857.4114.3-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)61.756.9118.6+4.869%-
Last 30 away (17)53.157.8110.9-4.735%-
Last 10 (10)54.653.4108.0+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)54.253.0107.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)55.658.3113.9-2.747%-
vs Weaker (15)58.156.5114.6+1.553%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#30
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H16/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H17/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H19/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
47-62
47
62
-15
H21/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A23/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A24/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A26/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H29/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H31/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H03/04
NBA
105.9Avg total
52.8Scored
53.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.856.9112.8-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.254.9112.1+2.367%-
Last 30 away (15)54.559.0113.5-4.533%-
Last 10 (10)52.853.1105.9-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)54.453.8108.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)55.057.0112.0-2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)55.256.6111.8-1.350%-
vs Weaker (8)57.657.8115.4-0.150%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 101.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.328.9
50.4%
51.7%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.410.0
30.9%
35.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.113.3
77.8%
76.6%13.3
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 110.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.433.0
53.7%
51.7%66.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.8
38.0%
35.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.915.0
83.8%
76.6%15.0
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLWLWLWWWW
San Antonio Spurs
WLWLWLLWWW
#4
League position
#11
-3.5
Net rating
+6.4
102.5
Offensive rating
112.2
106.0
Defensive rating
105.8
48.9%
Effective FG%
54.7%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
12.9%
Turnover %
10.9%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
18.5%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.21
30.9%
3-point %
38.0%
63.2%
Assist %
60.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 112.2Defence106.0 · 105.8Shooting48.9% · 54.7%3-point %30.9% · 38.0%Ball care12.9% · 10.9%Off. rebounds24.0% · 18.5%Free throws0.19 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/19AGolden State Warriors102-116
01/04/19HWashington Wizards90-95
30/03/19AOklahoma City Thunder115-105
29/03/19AHouston Rockets85-112
27/03/19HDetroit Pistons95-92
24/03/19AIndiana Pacers88-124
22/03/19ANew York Knicks111-93
21/03/19AWashington Wizards113-108
18/03/19ABoston Celtics114-105
17/03/19HIndiana Pacers102-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/19HAtlanta Hawks117-111
31/03/19HSacramento Kings106-113
29/03/19HCleveland Cavaliers116-110
26/03/19ACharlotte Hornets116-125 OT
24/03/19ABoston Celtics115-96
23/03/19AHouston Rockets105-111
21/03/19HMiami Heat105-110
19/03/19HGolden State Warriors111-105
17/03/19HPortland Trail Blazers108-103
16/03/19HNew York Knicks109-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL66%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayWLLWL51%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773839
Win %66%82%51%
Points / game110.8114.4107.2
Allowed / game106.9104.2109.5
Point differential+3.9+10.3-2.3
Avg total217.6218.6216.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%45%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (23)80% (10)77% (13)
Overtime %3%0%5%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW58%
HomeWLWLW78%
AwayWWLWL37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games784038
Win %58%78%37%
Points / game111.9113.0110.7
Allowed / game110.4106.2114.7
Point differential+1.5+6.8-4.1
Avg total222.2219.2225.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (21)73% (11)50% (10)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks78582074%117.9108.6+9.3
2 Toronto Raptors79562371%114.4108.4+6.0
3 Golden State Warriors77532469%117.7111.4+6.3
4 Denver Nuggets77512666%110.8106.9+3.9
5 Houston Rockets78502864%113.2109.3+3.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers77492864%114.6110.5+4.0
7 Philadelphia 76ers78492963%115.2112.4+2.7
8 Utah Jazz77473061%111.2106.1+5.1
9 Los Angeles Clippers78473160%115.1113.4+1.6
10 Boston Celtics79473259%112.3108.0+4.4
11 Indiana Pacers79473259%108.0104.1+3.8
12 Oklahoma City Thunder78453358%114.0110.8+3.2
13 San Antonio Spurs78453358%111.9110.4+1.5
14 Detroit Pistons78393950%107.2107.6-0.3
15 Orlando Magic79394049%106.5106.4+0.1
16 Brooklyn Nets79394049%112.0112.6-0.5
17 Miami Heat78384049%105.6105.7-0.2
18 Sacramento Kings78384049%113.9114.9-1.0
19 Charlotte Hornets78364246%110.6112.2-1.6
20 Minnesota Timberwolves78354345%112.7113.9-1.2
21 Los Angeles Lakers78354345%112.0113.7-1.7
22 New Orleans Pelicans79324741%115.2116.5-1.2
23 Washington Wizards79324741%114.2116.8-2.7
24 Memphis Grizzlies77314640%102.9105.6-2.6
25 Dallas Mavericks78314740%108.6109.9-1.2
26 Atlanta Hawks79295037%113.2118.8-5.7
27 Chicago Bulls79225728%105.2113.4-8.2
28 Cleveland Cavaliers78195924%104.6113.9-9.2
29 Phoenix Suns78186023%107.2116.3-9.0
30 New York Knicks78156319%104.9114.1-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets28332527113
San Antonio Spurs2419212185
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