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Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 106-113
21-33 33-33 31-22 21-25
Position#9
Record47-29
FormWLWWL
Points / game121.1
Allowed / game117.0
vs
Position#23
Record31-44
FormLLLLL
Points / game114.0
Allowed / game116.8
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v San Antonio Spurs
03 Mar 2027
DEN v SAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
DEN136
SAS134
28 Nov 2025
DEN136
SAS139
02 Apr 2025
DEN106
SAS113
03 Jan 2025
DEN110
SAS113
02 Apr 2024
DEN110
SAS105
26 Nov 2023
DEN132
SAS120
05 Nov 2022
DEN126
SAS101
05 Apr 2022
DEN97
SAS116
22 Oct 2021
DEN102
SAS96
09 Apr 2021
DEN121
SAS119
07 Apr 2021
DEN106
SAS96
27 Mar 2020
DEN v SAS
upcoming
10 Feb 2020
DEN127
SAS120
27 Apr 2019
DEN90
SAS86
23 Apr 2019
DEN108
SAS90
16 Apr 2019
DEN114
SAS105
13 Apr 2019
DEN96
SAS101
03 Apr 2019
DEN113
SAS85
28 Dec 2018
DEN102
SAS99
23 Feb 2018
DEN122
SAS119
13 Feb 2018
DEN117
SAS109
05 Jan 2017
DEN99
SAS127
08 Apr 2016
DEN102
SAS98
27 Nov 2015
DEN80
SAS91
20 Jan 2015
DEN99
SAS109
14 Dec 2014
DEN91
SAS99
28 Mar 2014
DEN102
SAS133
05 Nov 2013
DEN94
SAS102
10 Apr 2013
DEN96
SAS86
18 Dec 2012
DEN112
SAS106
23 Feb 2012
DEN99
SAS114
23 Mar 2011
DEN115
SAS112
16 Dec 2010
DEN112
SAS113
10 Apr 2010
DEN85
SAS104
11 Feb 2010
DEN92
SAS111
03 Feb 2009
DEN104
SAS96
04 Dec 2008
DEN91
SAS108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
131-126
131
126
+5
126avg 114
H15/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
123-126
123
126
-3
124avg 114
H16/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
114-105
114
105
+9
114avg 114
A18/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
108-120
108
120
-12
100avg 114
A20/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
109-128
109
128
-19
102avg 114
A22/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
116-111
116
111
+5
111avg 114
A23/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
119-129
119
129
-10
116avg 114
H25/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
127-117
127
117
+10
128avg 114
H27/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
129-93
129
93
+36
137avg 114
H29/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
139-140 OT
139
140
-1
139avg 114
H02/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-40
39-27
31-32
29-27
44-30
28-33
23-32
28-31
29-22
33-28
27-27
25-28
29-46
30-27
18-32
31-15
30-30
29-24
23-34
27-40
27-27
30-30
39-22
20-32
35-27
30-38
30-30
24-34
38-27
29-37
33-28
27-25
26-15
31-32
29-18
43-28
32-26
21-26
26-32
33-28
241.0Avg total
121.5Scored
119.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)121.1117.0238.1+4.162%
Season at home (38)123.4117.2240.6+6.366%
Season away (38)118.8116.8235.6+2.058%
Last 10 (10)121.5119.5241.0+2.050%
Last 5 (5)126.0118.0244.0+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)115.3121.3236.7-6.033%
vs Similar (14)117.2116.8234.0+0.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)128.5118.8247.4+9.777%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
119-115
119
115
+4
109avg 107
H16/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
109-125
109
125
-16
106avg 107
A18/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
120-105
120
105
+15
118avg 107
H20/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
128-120
128
120
+8
126avg 107
H22/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
123-89
123
89
+34
119avg 107
A23/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
96-122
96
122
-26
79avg 107
A25/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
116-124
116
124
-8
101avg 107
A27/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
111-121
111
121
-10
98avg 107
H30/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
106-148
106
148
-42
99avg 107
H30/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
105-116
105
116
-11
98avg 107
H02/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
36-35
34-25
27-32
22-32
29-33
24-29
34-31
29-20
38-23
16-29
37-33
28-26
36-26
27-43
37-25
36-16
26-24
35-23
26-26
22-30
12-30
35-28
27-34
24-30
25-24
34-32
33-38
27-36
25-28
29-30
30-27
27-44
17-24
29-43
33-37
34-29
27-32
23-18
21-37
231.8Avg total
113.3Scored
118.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)114.0116.8230.8-2.841%
Season at home (39)116.6118.2234.8-1.649%
Season away (36)111.3115.3226.6-4.033%
Last 10 (10)113.3118.5231.8-5.240%
Last 5 (5)106.8126.2233.0-19.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)113.6126.8240.4-13.217%
vs Similar (11)117.2116.1233.3+1.145%
vs Weaker (7)118.0119.1237.1-1.143%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
Denver NuggetsSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H15/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H16/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A18/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A20/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A22/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A23/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
D
65-65
65
65
+0
H25/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H27/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H29/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H02/04
NBA
121.4Avg total
62.2Scored
59.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.059.0121.0+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)63.558.5122.0+5.069%-
Last 30 away (14)60.459.6119.9+0.857%-
Last 10 (10)62.259.2121.4+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)59.857.0116.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)58.365.0123.3-6.70%-
vs Similar (14)59.159.5118.6-0.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)66.057.1123.1+8.985%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
D
58-58
58
58
+0
H16/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A18/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
67-43
67
43
+24
H20/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H22/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
62-40
62
40
+22
A23/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
34-60
34
60
-26
A25/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A27/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
52-64
52
64
-12
H30/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
44-68
44
68
-24
H30/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
D
61-61
61
61
+0
H02/04
NBA
110.7Avg total
54.2Scored
56.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.159.1116.2-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.461.1121.4-0.750%-
Last 30 away (16)54.357.3111.6-3.044%-
Last 10 (10)54.256.5110.7-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)48.061.4109.4-13.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)55.361.8117.1-6.425%-
vs Similar (11)59.556.5116.0+3.164%-
vs Weaker (7)56.458.6115.0-2.157%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 121.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.232.7
59.2%
54.3%65.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.612.1
37.1%
35.9%36.3
🏀 Free throws26.619.8
74.4%
77.8%19.8
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 113.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.125.6
52.1%
54.3%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.515.1
38.2%
35.9%45.3
🏀 Free throws21.816.8
77.1%
77.8%16.8
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWLWLLWLW
San Antonio Spurs
LLLLLWWWLW
#9
League position
#23
+1.9
Net rating
-5.0
118.0
Offensive rating
113.7
116.1
Defensive rating
118.7
57.9%
Effective FG%
54.5%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
14.6%
Turnover %
13.0%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.1%
3-point %
38.2%
71.4%
Assist %
67.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence118.0 · 113.7Defence116.1 · 118.7Shooting57.9% · 54.5%3-point %37.1% · 38.2%Ball care14.6% · 13.0%Off. rebounds28.1% · 25.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Denver Nuggets wins
4
San Antonio Spurs wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/25HMinnesota Timberwolves139-140 OT
29/03/25HUtah Jazz129-93
27/03/25HMilwaukee Bucks127-117
25/03/25HChicago Bulls119-129
23/03/25AHouston Rockets116-111
22/03/25APortland Trail Blazers109-128
20/03/25ALos Angeles Lakers108-120
18/03/25AGolden State Warriors114-105
16/03/25HWashington Wizards123-126
15/03/25HLos Angeles Lakers131-126
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/25HOrlando Magic105-116
30/03/25HGolden State Warriors106-148
30/03/25HBoston Celtics111-121
27/03/25ACleveland Cavaliers116-124
25/03/25ADetroit Pistons96-122
23/03/25AToronto Raptors123-89
22/03/25HPhiladelphia 76ers128-120
20/03/25HNew York Knicks120-105
18/03/25ALos Angeles Lakers109-125
16/03/25HNew Orleans Pelicans119-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeLLWWL66%
AwayWWLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763838
Win %62%66%58%
Points / game121.1123.4118.8
Allowed / game117.0117.2116.8
Point differential+4.1+6.3+2.0
Avg total238.1240.6235.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%45%34%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (20)50% (10)70% (10)
Overtime %8%5%11%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL41%
HomeWWLLL49%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753936
Win %41%49%33%
Points / game114.0116.6111.3
Allowed / game116.8118.2115.3
Point differential-2.8-1.6-4.0
Avg total230.8234.8226.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%28%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (19)38% (8)45% (11)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder73611284%120.6107.2+13.3
2 Cleveland Cavaliers76611580%122.4112.2+10.1
3 Boston Celtics76562074%116.7107.9+8.8
4 Houston Rockets75492665%114.9109.3+5.6
5 New York Knicks75482764%116.3112.0+4.3
6 Denver Nuggets76472962%121.1117.0+4.1
7 Los Angeles Lakers75462961%113.1112.2+0.8
8 Golden State Warriors74443059%114.0111.1+2.9
9 Indiana Pacers76453159%117.1115.2+1.9
10 Memphis Grizzlies76443258%122.0117.3+4.7
11 Minnesota Timberwolves76443258%114.2109.6+4.5
12 Los Angeles Clippers75433257%112.2108.4+3.8
13 Detroit Pistons75423356%115.5113.1+2.4
14 Milwaukee Bucks73393453%114.8113.1+1.7
15 Dallas Mavericks76383850%115.1115.1-0.0
16 Orlando Magic76373949%105.0105.6-0.6
17 Sacramento Kings76364047%115.7115.7-0.0
18 Atlanta Hawks74353947%118.1119.9-1.8
19 Miami Heat76354146%109.8109.8+0.0
20 Phoenix Suns76354146%114.4116.6-2.2
21 Chicago Bulls76344245%117.6120.0-2.4
22 Portland Trail Blazers76334343%110.9114.3-3.5
23 San Antonio Spurs75314441%114.0116.8-2.8
24 Toronto Raptors76284837%110.8115.3-4.5
25 Brooklyn Nets76255133%105.2111.8-6.6
26 Philadelphia 76ers76235330%109.6115.7-6.1
27 New Orleans Pelicans75215428%110.2118.8-8.6
28 Charlotte Hornets76195725%105.6113.6-8.1
29 Washington Wizards76175922%108.7120.8-12.1
30 Utah Jazz77166121%111.4120.4-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets21333121106
San Antonio Spurs33332225113
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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