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Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 114-105
21-26 28-33 26-23 39-23
Position#4
Record54-29
FormWLLWL
Points / game110.5
Allowed / game106.7
vs
Position#11
Record49-34
FormLWWWW
Points / game111.5
Allowed / game109.8
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v San Antonio Spurs
03 Mar 2027
DEN v SAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
DEN136
SAS134
28 Nov 2025
DEN136
SAS139
02 Apr 2025
DEN106
SAS113
03 Jan 2025
DEN110
SAS113
02 Apr 2024
DEN110
SAS105
26 Nov 2023
DEN132
SAS120
05 Nov 2022
DEN126
SAS101
05 Apr 2022
DEN97
SAS116
22 Oct 2021
DEN102
SAS96
09 Apr 2021
DEN121
SAS119
07 Apr 2021
DEN106
SAS96
27 Mar 2020
DEN v SAS
upcoming
10 Feb 2020
DEN127
SAS120
27 Apr 2019
DEN90
SAS86
23 Apr 2019
DEN108
SAS90
16 Apr 2019
DEN114
SAS105
13 Apr 2019
DEN96
SAS101
03 Apr 2019
DEN113
SAS85
28 Dec 2018
DEN102
SAS99
23 Feb 2018
DEN122
SAS119
13 Feb 2018
DEN117
SAS109
05 Jan 2017
DEN99
SAS127
08 Apr 2016
DEN102
SAS98
27 Nov 2015
DEN80
SAS91
20 Jan 2015
DEN99
SAS109
14 Dec 2014
DEN91
SAS99
28 Mar 2014
DEN102
SAS133
05 Nov 2013
DEN94
SAS102
10 Apr 2013
DEN96
SAS86
18 Dec 2012
DEN112
SAS106
23 Feb 2012
DEN99
SAS114
23 Mar 2011
DEN115
SAS112
16 Dec 2010
DEN112
SAS113
10 Apr 2010
DEN85
SAS104
11 Feb 2010
DEN92
SAS111
03 Feb 2009
DEN104
SAS96
04 Dec 2008
DEN91
SAS108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#5
L
85-112
85
112
-27
73avg 105
A29/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
115-105
115
105
+10
115avg 105
A30/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
90-95
90
95
-5
no box
H01/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
102-116
102
116
-14
83avg 105
A03/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
113-85
113
85
+28
121avg 105
H04/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
119-110
119
110
+9
no box
H06/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
108-115
108
115
-7
92avg 105
A08/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
108-118
108
118
-10
92avg 105
A10/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
99-95
99
95
+4
no box
H11/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
96-101
96
101
-5
no box
H14/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
19-40
21-25
20-25
33-29
23-23
30-23
29-30
34-23
28-30
10-22
18-20
24-30
19-29
21-27
38-30
28-24
33-19
25-21
27-21
22-29
34-21
28-37
35-23
25-29
24-31
32-26
27-29
21-27
38-33
27-31
22-27
22-21
29-29
22-29
26-16
20-25
31-34
17-13
28-29
208.7Avg total
103.5Scored
105.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (83)110.5106.7217.1+3.865%
Season at home (42)113.7103.5217.2+10.181%
Season away (41)107.2109.8217.0-2.649%
Last 10 (10)103.5105.2208.7-1.740%
Last 5 (5)106.0107.8213.8-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)106.6107.8214.4-1.244%
vs Weaker (12)111.0105.4216.4+5.675%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#8
W
115-96
115
96
+19
114avg 104
A24/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
L
116-125 OT
116
125
-9
no box
A26/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
116-110
116
110
+6
108avg 104
H29/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
106-113
106
113
-7
no box
H31/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
117-111
117
111
+6
115avg 104
H03/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
85-113
85
113
-28
67avg 104
A04/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
129-112
129
112
+17
no box
A05/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
112-90
112
90
+22
113avg 104
A07/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
105-94
105
94
+11
no box
H11/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
101-96
101
96
+5
no box
A14/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
23-23
30-25
31-24
23-29
36-26
21-27
26-24
27-28
17-25
40-28
32-29
30-28
27-30
30-31
19-24
33-31
25-25
28-34
31-21
24-28
19-33
21-25
21-27
37-32
40-26
28-30
24-24
24-24
38-22
17-17
33-27
30-16
27-21
23-28
25-29
25-20
34-31
13-17
29-28
216.2Avg total
110.2Scored
106.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (83)111.5109.8221.3+1.759%
Season at home (41)112.8106.0218.8+6.978%
Season away (42)110.3113.6223.9-3.340%
Last 10 (10)110.2106.0216.2+4.270%
Last 5 (5)106.4101.0207.4+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)112.8120.0232.8-7.250%
vs Similar ◀ (18)106.4108.4214.9-2.050%
vs Weaker (8)115.0105.9220.9+9.188%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
Denver NuggetsSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#5
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A29/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A30/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H01/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
43-59
43
59
-16
A03/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H04/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H06/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A08/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
59-60
59
60
-1
A10/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H11/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H14/04
NBA
108.0Avg total
53.2Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.455.3110.7+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.453.5110.9+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)53.457.0110.4-3.640%-
Last 10 (10)53.254.8108.0-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)53.255.8109.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)52.856.0108.8-3.239%-
vs Weaker (12)59.354.2113.5+5.275%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#8
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A24/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A26/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H29/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H31/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H03/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A04/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
77-58
77
58
+19
A05/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
62-46
62
46
+16
A07/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H11/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A14/04
NBA
109.2Avg total
57.0Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.255.0110.2+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.651.8107.4+3.862%-
Last 30 away (17)54.957.5112.4-2.541%-
Last 10 (10)57.052.2109.2+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)59.650.6110.2+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)55.057.0112.0-2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)54.355.1109.4-0.850%-
vs Weaker (8)57.553.8111.2+3.850%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 103.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.530.7
52.5%
51.7%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.2
30.5%
35.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.914.5
72.9%
76.6%14.5
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 108.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.2 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.133.6
54.1%
51.7%67.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.0
35.9%
35.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.314.5
79.2%
76.6%14.5
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLLWWLLWL
San Antonio Spurs
WWWWLWLWLW
#4
League position
#11
-0.9
Net rating
+4.6
105.1
Offensive rating
111.2
106.0
Defensive rating
106.6
50.2%
Effective FG%
54.0%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
11.6%
Turnover %
11.9%
21.8%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.21
30.5%
3-point %
35.9%
64.4%
Assist %
58.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 111.2Defence106.0 · 106.6Shooting50.2% · 54.0%3-point %30.5% · 35.9%Ball care11.6% · 11.9%Off. rebounds21.8% · 22.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/19HSan Antonio Spurs96-101
11/04/19HMinnesota Timberwolves99-95
10/04/19AUtah Jazz108-118
08/04/19APortland Trail Blazers108-115
06/04/19HPortland Trail Blazers119-110
04/04/19HSan Antonio Spurs113-85
03/04/19AGolden State Warriors102-116
01/04/19HWashington Wizards90-95
30/03/19AOklahoma City Thunder115-105
29/03/19AHouston Rockets85-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/19ADenver Nuggets101-96
11/04/19HDallas Mavericks105-94
07/04/19ACleveland Cavaliers112-90
05/04/19AWashington Wizards129-112
04/04/19ADenver Nuggets85-113
03/04/19HAtlanta Hawks117-111
31/03/19HSacramento Kings106-113
29/03/19HCleveland Cavaliers116-110
26/03/19ACharlotte Hornets116-125 OT
24/03/19ABoston Celtics115-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL65%
HomeLWWWL81%
AwayLWLLL49%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games834241
Win %65%81%49%
Points / game110.5113.7107.2
Allowed / game106.7103.5109.8
Point differential+3.8+10.1-2.6
Avg total217.1217.2217.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%43%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won76% (25)75% (12)77% (13)
Overtime %2%0%5%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW59%
HomeLWLWW78%
AwayLLWWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games834142
Win %59%78%40%
Points / game111.5112.8110.3
Allowed / game109.8106.0113.6
Point differential+1.7+6.9-3.3
Avg total221.3218.8223.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%39%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (22)73% (11)55% (11)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks83612273%118.2109.0+9.2
2 Toronto Raptors84592570%114.2108.0+6.2
3 Golden State Warriors84582669%117.9111.4+6.5
4 Houston Rockets83542965%114.0108.9+5.1
5 Portland Trail Blazers83542965%114.5110.3+4.2
6 Denver Nuggets83542965%110.5106.7+3.8
7 Philadelphia 76ers84523262%115.4112.6+2.8
8 Utah Jazz83503360%111.5106.7+4.8
9 Boston Celtics83503360%112.0107.5+4.5
10 Oklahoma City Thunder83493459%114.3111.0+3.3
11 San Antonio Spurs83493459%111.5109.8+1.7
12 Los Angeles Clippers84493558%115.2114.6+0.7
13 Indiana Pacers83483558%107.6104.4+3.2
14 Orlando Magic84434151%107.0106.6+0.4
15 Brooklyn Nets84434151%112.4112.6-0.2
16 Detroit Pistons83414249%106.8107.5-0.7
17 Miami Heat82394348%105.7105.9-0.2
18 Charlotte Hornets82394348%110.7111.8-1.1
19 Sacramento Kings82394348%114.2115.3-1.1
20 Los Angeles Lakers82374545%111.8113.5-1.7
21 Minnesota Timberwolves82364644%112.5114.0-1.5
22 Dallas Mavericks82334940%108.9110.1-1.3
23 New Orleans Pelicans82334940%115.4116.8-1.3
24 Memphis Grizzlies82334940%103.5106.1-2.6
25 Washington Wizards82325039%114.0116.9-2.9
26 Atlanta Hawks82295335%113.3119.4-6.0
27 Chicago Bulls82226027%104.9113.4-8.4
28 Phoenix Suns82196323%107.5116.8-9.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers82196323%104.5114.1-9.6
30 New York Knicks82176521%104.6113.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets21282639114
San Antonio Spurs26332323105
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