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Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 121-119
36-26 25-24 35-33 25-36
Position#6
Record35-19
FormWWWWW
Points / game115.7
Allowed / game109.3
vs
Position#22
Record24-28
FormWLLLL
Points / game109.8
Allowed / game112.4
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v San Antonio Spurs
03 Mar 2027
DEN v SAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
DEN136
SAS134
28 Nov 2025
DEN136
SAS139
02 Apr 2025
DEN106
SAS113
03 Jan 2025
DEN110
SAS113
02 Apr 2024
DEN110
SAS105
26 Nov 2023
DEN132
SAS120
05 Nov 2022
DEN126
SAS101
05 Apr 2022
DEN97
SAS116
22 Oct 2021
DEN102
SAS96
09 Apr 2021
DEN121
SAS119
07 Apr 2021
DEN106
SAS96
27 Mar 2020
DEN v SAS
upcoming
10 Feb 2020
DEN127
SAS120
27 Apr 2019
DEN90
SAS86
23 Apr 2019
DEN108
SAS90
16 Apr 2019
DEN114
SAS105
13 Apr 2019
DEN96
SAS101
03 Apr 2019
DEN113
SAS85
28 Dec 2018
DEN102
SAS99
23 Feb 2018
DEN122
SAS119
13 Feb 2018
DEN117
SAS109
05 Jan 2017
DEN99
SAS127
08 Apr 2016
DEN102
SAS98
27 Nov 2015
DEN80
SAS91
20 Jan 2015
DEN99
SAS109
14 Dec 2014
DEN91
SAS99
28 Mar 2014
DEN102
SAS133
05 Nov 2013
DEN94
SAS102
10 Apr 2013
DEN96
SAS86
18 Dec 2012
DEN112
SAS106
23 Feb 2012
DEN99
SAS114
23 Mar 2011
DEN115
SAS112
16 Dec 2010
DEN112
SAS113
10 Apr 2010
DEN85
SAS104
11 Feb 2010
DEN92
SAS111
03 Feb 2009
DEN104
SAS96
04 Dec 2008
DEN91
SAS108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
108-113
108
113
-5
103avg 108
H21/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
110-99
110
99
+11
107avg 108
A23/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
111-135
111
135
-24
98avg 108
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
113-108
113
108
+5
104avg 108
A27/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
126-102
126
102
+24
126avg 108
H29/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
104-95
104
95
+9
105avg 108
H31/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
101-94
101
94
+7
97avg 108
A02/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
119-109
119
109
+10
118avg 108
H05/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
134-119
134
119
+15
137avg 108
H07/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
106-96
106
96
+10
101avg 108
H08/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-22
21-36
29-25
28-30
30-15
31-24
19-30
30-30
30-38
24-34
27-26
30-37
26-33
28-30
31-23
28-22
31-35
34-20
32-24
29-23
44-22
24-23
20-26
16-24
31-20
31-29
19-21
20-24
23-29
24-36
38-21
34-23
39-32
37-24
33-30
25-33
30-32
24-18
27-24
25-22
220.2Avg total
113.2Scored
107.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)115.7109.3225.1+6.465%
Season at home (28)117.3108.9226.2+8.468%
Season away (26)114.1109.8223.8+4.362%
Last 10 (10)113.2107.0220.2+6.280%
Last 5 (5)112.8102.6215.4+10.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)111.3107.0218.3+4.364%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)117.9109.5227.5+8.474%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
97-100
97
100
-3
86avg 102
H23/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
101-134
101
134
-33
91avg 102
H25/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
85-98
85
98
-13
71avg 102
H26/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
120-104
120
104
+16
116avg 102
H28/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
115-132
115
132
-17
105avg 102
H30/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
120-106
120
106
+14
113avg 102
H01/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
129-134 OT
129
134
-5
110avg 102
H02/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
133-139 OT
133
139
-6
no box
H04/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
L
101-125
101
125
-24
89avg 102
H05/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
96-106
96
106
-10
82avg 102
A08/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
24-24
24-19
28-26
29-41
24-26
31-35
17-32
27-30
28-19
13-23
17-26
33-20
32-19
31-34
24-31
31-27
29-41
31-29
24-35
33-27
36-26
28-29
23-24
22-32
26-22
32-30
30-26
33-32
26-35
38-31
29-28
26-28
21-29
33-43
21-25
32-30
18-24
24-27
22-25
227.5Avg total
109.7Scored
117.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)109.8112.4222.2-2.546%
Season at home (30)109.9113.5223.4-3.540%
Season away (22)109.7110.9220.5-1.255%
Last 10 (10)109.7117.8227.5-8.120%
Last 5 (5)115.8122.0237.8-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)103.8115.5219.2-11.812%
vs Similar (16)113.4114.7228.1-1.356%
vs Weaker (6)105.5104.5210.0+1.050%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -4.3-4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -4.3-4.3
Denver NuggetsSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H21/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
61-39
61
39
+22
A23/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
54-72
54
72
-18
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A27/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
65-55
65
55
+10
H29/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
68-45
68
45
+23
H31/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A02/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
L
47-65
47
65
-18
H05/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
76-56
76
56
+20
H07/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H08/04
NBA
114.4Avg total
59.2Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.755.0113.7+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.254.8112.9+3.456%-
Last 30 away (14)59.455.3114.6+4.150%-
Last 10 (10)59.255.2114.4+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)61.453.0114.4+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)60.556.0116.5+4.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)57.754.4112.2+3.353%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H23/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
53-67
53
67
-14
H25/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H26/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
65-39
65
39
+26
H28/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H30/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
69-53
69
53
+16
H01/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H02/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H04/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H05/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A08/04
NBA
111.4Avg total
55.1Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.054.6109.6+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (19)55.256.3111.5-1.237%-
Last 30 away (11)54.751.5106.3+3.264%-
Last 10 (10)55.156.3111.4-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)54.657.0111.6-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)53.055.4108.4-2.438%-
vs Similar (16)57.657.4115.0+0.138%-
vs Weaker (6)50.845.896.7+5.083%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.432.5
55.7%
52.8%65.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.9
38.0%
36.6%35.7
🏀 Free throws15.912.5
78.6%
77.7%12.5
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 107.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.732.0
51.9%
52.8%64.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.2
33.1%
36.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.216.1
75.9%
77.7%16.1
They take 89.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWWWLWL
San Antonio Spurs
LLLLWLWLLL
#6
League position
#22
+6.4
Net rating
-8.1
117.1
Offensive rating
105.9
110.7
Defensive rating
114.0
56.1%
Effective FG%
51.2%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
13.2%
Turnover %
10.5%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
16.7%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.0%
3-point %
33.1%
63.7%
Assist %
56.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence117.1 · 105.9Defence110.7 · 114.0Shooting56.1% · 51.2%3-point %38.0% · 33.1%Ball care13.2% · 10.5%Off. rebounds29.9% · 16.7%Free throws0.18 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/21HSan Antonio Spurs106-96
07/04/21HDetroit Pistons134-119
05/04/21HOrlando Magic119-109
02/04/21ALos Angeles Clippers101-94
31/03/21HPhiladelphia 76ers104-95
29/03/21HAtlanta Hawks126-102
27/03/21ANew Orleans Pelicans113-108
24/03/21AToronto Raptors111-135
23/03/21AOrlando Magic110-99
21/03/21HNew Orleans Pelicans108-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/21ADenver Nuggets96-106
05/04/21HCleveland Cavaliers101-125
04/04/21HIndiana Pacers133-139 OT
02/04/21HAtlanta Hawks129-134 OT
01/04/21HSacramento Kings120-106
30/03/21HSacramento Kings115-132
28/03/21HChicago Bulls120-104
26/03/21HLos Angeles Clippers85-98
25/03/21HLos Angeles Clippers101-134
23/03/21HCharlotte Hornets97-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeWWWWW68%
AwayWWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542826
Win %65%68%62%
Points / game115.7117.3114.1
Allowed / game109.3108.9109.8
Point differential+6.4+8.4+4.3
Avg total225.1226.2223.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)38% (8)57% (7)
Overtime %9%11%8%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL46%
HomeLWLLL40%
AwayWWWLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523022
Win %46%40%55%
Points / game109.8109.9109.7
Allowed / game112.4113.5110.9
Point differential-2.5-3.5-1.2
Avg total222.2223.4220.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%23%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)50% (10)60% (5)
Overtime %8%10%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz55421376%117.0106.9+10.0
2 Brooklyn Nets54381670%118.9113.7+5.2
3 Philadelphia 76ers54371769%113.5108.7+4.9
4 Phoenix Suns55361965%113.7108.3+5.3
5 Denver Nuggets54351965%115.7109.3+6.4
6 Los Angeles Lakers56362064%110.0105.6+4.4
7 Los Angeles Clippers56352162%113.7108.3+5.4
8 Milwaukee Bucks54322259%118.4113.6+4.7
9 Dallas Mavericks54312357%112.1109.7+2.5
10 Portland Trail Blazers55312456%114.3115.6-1.3
11 Memphis Grizzlies54292554%113.3111.3+2.0
12 Atlanta Hawks57302753%113.5111.9+1.6
13 Miami Heat54282652%106.5107.4-0.9
14 New York Knicks57292851%105.0103.5+1.5
15 Charlotte Hornets54272750%110.9111.9-1.0
16 Boston Celtics55272849%111.8110.8+1.0
17 Golden State Warriors54262848%112.0113.8-1.8
18 New Orleans Pelicans54252946%114.8114.6+0.2
19 San Antonio Spurs52242846%109.8112.4-2.5
20 Chicago Bulls55253045%112.4113.0-0.6
21 Indiana Pacers54243044%112.7113.4-0.7
22 Sacramento Kings56243243%114.1118.2-4.2
23 Toronto Raptors55223340%111.8111.6+0.2
24 Cleveland Cavaliers55213438%103.4110.6-7.2
25 Oklahoma City Thunder55213438%105.8113.7-7.9
26 Washington Wizards53193436%112.8117.8-5.1
27 Orlando Magic56193734%105.3112.1-6.8
28 Detroit Pistons56183832%106.6109.7-3.0
29 Houston Rockets55173831%108.1113.0-4.9
30 Minnesota Timberwolves56144225%110.4117.8-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets36253525121
San Antonio Spurs26243336119
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