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Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 108-97
28-31 26-26 31-12 23-28
Position#8
Record41-30
FormWLWWL
Points / game99.4
Allowed / game98.2
vs
Position#20
Record29-42
FormLLLLL
Points / game100.8
Allowed / game103.3
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Miami Heat v Orlando Magic
10 Mar 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
MIA117
ORL121
28 Jan 2026
MIA124
ORL133
27 Jan 2025
MIA125
ORL119
23 Oct 2024
MIA97
ORL116
06 Feb 2024
MIA121
ORL95
12 Jan 2024
MIA99
ORL96
09 Apr 2023
MIA123
ORL110
27 Jan 2023
MIA110
ORL105
26 Dec 2021
MIA93
ORL83
25 Oct 2021
MIA107
ORL90
11 Mar 2021
MIA111
ORL103
04 Mar 2020
MIA116
ORL113
27 Jan 2020
MIA113
ORL92
26 Mar 2019
MIA99
ORL104
04 Dec 2018
MIA90
ORL105
05 Feb 2018
MIA109
ORL111
26 Dec 2017
MIA107
ORL89
13 Feb 2017
MIA107
ORL116
20 Dec 2016
MIA130
ORL136
10 Apr 2016
MIA118
ORL96
25 Mar 2016
MIA108
ORL97
13 Apr 2015
MIA100
ORL93
29 Dec 2014
MIA101
ORL102
01 Mar 2014
MIA112
ORL98
23 Nov 2013
MIA101
ORL99
17 Apr 2013
MIA105
ORL93
06 Mar 2013
MIA97
ORL96
18 Mar 2012
MIA91
ORL81
19 Feb 2012
MIA90
ORL78
18 Dec 2011
MIA118
ORL85
03 Mar 2011
MIA96
ORL99
29 Oct 2010
MIA96
ORL70
18 Mar 2010
MIA102
ORL108
17 Dec 2009
MIA104
ORL86
30 Mar 2009
MIA95
ORL101
24 Jan 2009
MIA103
ORL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
112-102
112
102
+10
108avg 92
A05/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
103-98
103
98
+5
95avg 92
H06/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
108-114
108
114
-6
104avg 92
A10/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
118-96
118
96
+22
113avg 92
A12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
104-112 OT
104
112
-8
85avg 92
A13/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
124-119
124
119
+5
118avg 92
H14/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
106-109
106
109
-3
102avg 92
H17/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
122-101
122
101
+21
121avg 92
H19/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
113-99
113
99
+14
108avg 92
A23/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
88-112
88
112
-24
81avg 92
A24/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-29
19-20
25-28
28-25
30-25
17-24
22-20
34-29
22-29
32-28
31-23
23-34
23-31
31-27
30-23
34-15
24-28
22-25
25-17
26-27
36-33
28-29
26-29
34-28
29-26
23-28
21-28
33-27
31-19
34-25
33-26
24-31
35-21
24-19
27-33
27-26
21-26
26-30
16-32
25-24
216.0Avg total
109.8Scored
106.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)99.498.2197.5+1.258%
Season at home (36)102.398.1200.4+4.264%
Season away (35)96.398.2194.5-1.951%
Last 10 (10)109.8106.2216.0+3.660%
Last 5 (5)110.6108.0218.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)105.8112.5218.2-6.825%
vs Similar ◀ (16)101.5100.3201.8+1.256%
vs Weaker (10)105.499.7205.1+5.780%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
113-119
113
119
-6
101avg 92
A08/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
98-107
98
107
-9
87avg 92
A09/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
107-100
107
100
+7
104avg 92
A12/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
84-121
84
121
-37
63avg 92
A13/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
116-110
116
110
+6
112avg 92
H15/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
99-107
99
107
-8
90avg 92
A16/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
103-109
103
109
-6
94avg 92
H18/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
100-105
100
105
-5
90avg 92
A20/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
96-107
96
107
-11
77avg 92
A21/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
102-118
102
118
-16
87avg 92
A23/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
28-28
31-35
36-25
26-20
25-25
26-39
21-23
27-21
23-28
30-26
27-25
24-31
18-32
23-27
19-31
32-25
29-21
24-33
31-31
30-26
13-35
28-31
28-15
29-27
25-36
32-20
17-26
25-30
30-23
27-27
18-25
17-22
32-34
29-35
18-16
21-32
36-34
30-30
15-22
212.1Avg total
101.8Scored
110.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)100.8103.3204.1-2.541%
Season at home (35)102.7102.1204.7+0.651%
Season away (36)99.0104.5203.5-5.531%
Last 10 (10)101.8110.3212.1-8.520%
Last 5 (5)100.0109.2209.2-9.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)103.6110.0213.6-6.423%
vs Similar ◀ (13)103.3109.1212.4-5.831%
vs Weaker (4)109.0110.0219.0-1.050%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
Miami HeatOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A05/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H06/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A10/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A13/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H14/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H17/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
65-44
65
44
+21
H19/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
59-40
59
40
+19
A23/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A24/03
NBA
106.9Avg total
54.7Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.150.1101.1+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.548.9101.5+3.654%-
Last 30 away (17)49.950.9100.9-1.041%-
Last 10 (10)54.752.2106.9+2.540%-
Last 5 (5)57.451.2108.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)53.551.2104.8+2.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)49.350.299.6-0.938%-
vs Weaker (10)52.949.3102.2+3.660%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A08/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A09/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A12/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A13/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
61-46
61
46
+15
H15/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A16/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H18/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A20/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A21/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A23/03
NBA
106.9Avg total
50.8Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.555.7109.2-2.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.352.3107.6+3.062%-
Last 30 away (17)52.158.4110.5-6.235%-
Last 10 (10)50.856.1106.9-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)51.659.8111.4-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)50.555.4105.9-4.831%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)54.156.6110.7-2.554%-
vs Weaker (4)61.254.0115.2+7.275%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 109.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.2 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.734.1
51.1%
49.0%68.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.47.4
42.5%
35.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws24.519.4
79.2%
75.5%19.4
They take 84.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 21% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 101.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.8 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.731.4
49.3%
49.0%62.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.2
32.9%
35.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws23.717.4
73.4%
75.5%17.4
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWWLWLWLWW
Orlando Magic
LLLLLWLWLL
#8
League position
#20
+3.7
Net rating
-8.5
112.8
Offensive rating
102.3
109.1
Defensive rating
110.8
53.7%
Effective FG%
49.3%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
13.4%
Turnover %
12.3%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
20.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
42.5%
3-point %
32.9%
55.7%
Assist %
56.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 102.3Defence109.1 · 110.8Shooting53.7% · 49.3%3-point %42.5% · 32.9%Ball care13.4% · 12.3%Off. rebounds27.3% · 20.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Miami Heat wins
1
Orlando Magic wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/16ASan Antonio Spurs88-112
23/03/16ANew Orleans Pelicans113-99
19/03/16HCleveland Cavaliers122-101
17/03/16HCharlotte Hornets106-109
14/03/16HDenver Nuggets124-119
13/03/16AToronto Raptors104-112 OT
12/03/16AChicago Bulls118-96
10/03/16AMilwaukee Bucks108-114
06/03/16HPhiladelphia 76ers103-98
05/03/16APhiladelphia 76ers112-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/16ADetroit Pistons102-118
21/03/16ABoston Celtics96-107
20/03/16AToronto Raptors100-105
18/03/16HCleveland Cavaliers103-109
16/03/16ACharlotte Hornets99-107
15/03/16HDenver Nuggets116-110
13/03/16APortland Trail Blazers84-121
12/03/16ASacramento Kings107-100
09/03/16ALos Angeles Lakers98-107
08/03/16AGolden State Warriors113-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL58%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayLWLWL51%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713635
Win %58%64%51%
Points / game99.4102.396.3
Allowed / game98.298.198.2
Point differential+1.2+4.2-1.9
Avg total197.5200.4194.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (17)78% (9)88% (8)
Overtime %7%8%6%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL41%
HomeWWLWL51%
AwayLLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713536
Win %41%51%31%
Points / game100.8102.799.0
Allowed / game103.3102.1104.5
Point differential-2.5+0.6-5.5
Avg total204.1204.7203.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%17%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won35% (20)46% (13)14% (7)
Overtime %11%14%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors7164790%115.3104.1+11.2
2 San Antonio Spurs71601185%104.492.2+12.2
3 Cleveland Cavaliers72512171%103.997.9+5.9
4 Oklahoma City Thunder72502269%110.2102.9+7.3
5 Toronto Raptors70482269%102.798.2+4.5
6 Los Angeles Clippers71442762%104.4101.1+3.2
7 Boston Celtics72423058%105.8102.0+3.8
8 Atlanta Hawks72423058%102.899.1+3.8
9 Miami Heat71413058%99.498.2+1.2
10 Charlotte Hornets72413157%103.0101.0+2.1
11 Memphis Grizzlies72413157%99.2100.6-1.4
12 Indiana Pacers71383354%101.6100.1+1.5
13 Detroit Pistons73393453%102.5101.5+1.0
14 Chicago Bulls71363551%101.7103.1-1.4
15 Portland Trail Blazers73373651%104.5104.0+0.5
16 Dallas Mavericks71353649%102.9103.4-0.5
17 Utah Jazz72353749%97.696.6+1.0
18 Houston Rockets72353749%105.9106.8-0.9
19 Washington Wizards72353749%103.5104.6-1.1
20 Denver Nuggets72304242%102.3104.9-2.6
21 Milwaukee Bucks72304242%99.1102.8-3.6
22 New York Knicks73304341%98.8101.4-2.5
23 Orlando Magic71294241%100.8103.3-2.5
24 Sacramento Kings71274438%106.4109.2-2.8
25 New Orleans Pelicans71264537%102.9106.3-3.4
26 Minnesota Timberwolves72244833%102.3106.1-3.8
27 Brooklyn Nets71205128%98.4104.6-6.2
28 Phoenix Suns71205128%100.5107.6-7.1
29 Los Angeles Lakers71155621%98.0106.7-8.7
30 Philadelphia 76ers7296312%96.9107.5-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat28263123108
Orlando Magic3126122897
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