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Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Nov 2012
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 119-116
35-34 29-32 23-25 32-25
Position#1
Record1-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game105.5
vs
Position#4
Record0-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game93.0
USANBA
NBA2012-13
Meetings · Miami Heat v Denver Nuggets
21 Mar 2027
MIA v DEN
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
MIA147
DEN123
17 Jan 2025
MIA113
DEN133
13 Mar 2024
MIA88
DEN100
09 Jun 2023
MIA95
DEN108
07 Jun 2023
MIA94
DEN109
13 Feb 2023
MIA108
DEN112
29 Nov 2021
MIA111
DEN120
27 Jan 2021
MIA82
DEN109
08 Jan 2019
MIA99
DEN103
19 Mar 2018
MIA149
DEN141
02 Apr 2017
MIA113
DEN116
14 Mar 2016
MIA124
DEN119
20 Mar 2015
MIA108
DEN91
14 Mar 2014
MIA107
DEN111
03 Nov 2012
MIA119
DEN116
19 Mar 2011
MIA103
DEN98
06 Nov 2009
MIA96
DEN88
10 Feb 2009
MIA82
DEN99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#6
L
90-94
90
94
-4
H06/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
98-79
98
79
+19
A08/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
101-88
101
88
+13
H10/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
94-105
94
105
-11
A13/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
100-96
100
96
+4
A15/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
91-85
91
85
+6
H18/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
104-98
104
98
+6
H20/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
121-106
121
106
+15
H22/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
W
120-107
120
107
+13
H31/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#7
L
84-104
84
104
-20
A03/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
18-24
18-25
30-29
26-16
29-26
19-19
24-18
23-27
23-26
27-20
28-15
29-22
25-25
19-27
21-31
27-15
28-28
23-24
22-29
26-20
21-26
22-21
22-18
19-33
27-16
33-26
25-23
31-26
28-23
36-22
26-35
31-25
31-29
31-22
27-31
17-33
27-22
19-26
21-23
196.5Avg total
100.3Scored
96.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)102.0105.5207.5-3.550%
Season at home (1)120.0107.0227.0+13.0100%
Season away (1)84.0104.0188.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)100.396.2196.5+4.170%
Last 5 (5)104.0100.0204.0+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)95.691.8187.4+3.869%
vs Weaker (17)94.189.5183.6+4.659%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
131-102
131
102
+29
A27/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
88-103
88
103
-15
A29/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
100-104
100
104
-4
A02/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
99-84
99
84
+15
H05/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
88-92
88
92
-4
H07/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
102-99
102
99
+3
A09/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
113-96
113
96
+17
H11/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
87-96
87
96
-9
A13/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#20
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A31/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#30
L
89-102
89
102
-13
A02/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-25
32-17
32-27
38-33
14-27
26-23
24-27
24-26
25-32
23-23
26-26
26-23
30-14
25-25
17-26
27-19
28-26
23-19
20-25
17-22
26-23
23-20
27-22
26-34
30-20
24-25
36-23
23-28
24-25
18-23
26-21
19-27
22-25
16-21
14-19
23-19
18-29
19-29
31-20
21-24
193.4Avg total
97.2Scored
96.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.093.0175.0-11.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)82.093.0175.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)97.296.2193.4+1.040%
Last 5 (5)93.295.4188.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)108.091.0199.0+17.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (18)100.599.1199.6+1.456%
vs Weaker (11)102.8100.9203.7+1.945%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
Miami HeatDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#6
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H06/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A08/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H10/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A13/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A15/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H18/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H20/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H22/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H31/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#7
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A03/11
NBA
98.8Avg total
51.0Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.445.992.3+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.644.892.4+2.865%-
Last 30 away (13)44.847.492.2-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)51.047.898.8+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)51.650.6102.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)47.446.293.5+1.254%-
vs Weaker (17)45.645.891.4-0.153%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
61-42
61
42
+19
A27/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A29/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A02/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H05/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H07/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A09/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H11/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A13/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#20
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A31/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#30
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A02/11
NBA
94.6Avg total
47.5Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.150.7101.8+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (11)54.847.8102.6+7.064%-
Last 30 away (19)49.052.4101.4-3.442%-
Last 10 (10)47.547.194.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)44.048.092.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)54.052.0106.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)50.350.3100.7+0.044%-
vs Weaker (11)52.251.2103.4+1.055%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Miami Heat wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/12ANew York Knicks84-104
31/10/12HBoston Celtics120-107
22/06/12HOklahoma City Thunder121-106
20/06/12HOklahoma City Thunder104-98
18/06/12HOklahoma City Thunder91-85
15/06/12AOklahoma City Thunder100-96
13/06/12AOklahoma City Thunder94-105
10/06/12HBoston Celtics101-88
08/06/12ABoston Celtics98-79
06/06/12HBoston Celtics90-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/12AOrlando Magic89-102
31/10/12APhiladelphia 76ers75-84
13/05/12ALos Angeles Lakers87-96
11/05/12HLos Angeles Lakers113-96
09/05/12ALos Angeles Lakers102-99
07/05/12HLos Angeles Lakers88-92
05/05/12HLos Angeles Lakers99-84
02/05/12ALos Angeles Lakers100-104
29/04/12ALos Angeles Lakers88-103
27/04/12AMinnesota Timberwolves131-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game102.0120.084.0
Allowed / game105.5107.0104.0
Point differential-3.5+13.0-20.0
Avg total207.5227.0188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game82.0-82.0
Allowed / game93.0-93.0
Point differential-11.0--11.0
Avg total175.0-175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New York Knicks110100%104.084.0+20.0
2 Chicago Bulls220100%104.086.5+17.5
3 Orlando Magic110100%102.089.0+13.0
4 Minnesota Timberwolves110100%92.080.0+12.0
5 Milwaukee Bucks110100%99.088.0+11.0
6 Los Angeles Clippers220100%103.093.5+9.5
7 Philadelphia 76ers110100%84.075.0+9.0
8 Houston Rockets220100%107.099.0+8.0
9 San Antonio Spurs220100%92.589.5+3.0
10 Charlotte Hornets110100%90.089.0+1.0
11 Indiana Pacers32167%95.092.0+3.0
12 Utah Jazz21150%99.591.0+8.5
13 Oklahoma City Thunder21150%95.089.0+6.0
14 Memphis Grizzlies21150%98.097.5+0.5
15 Phoenix Suns21150%88.588.0+0.5
16 New Orleans Pelicans21150%91.592.5-1.0
17 Portland Trail Blazers21150%104.0106.0-2.0
18 Miami Heat21150%102.0105.5-3.5
19 Golden State Warriors21150%90.594.5-4.0
20 Dallas Mavericks21150%96.5102.0-5.5
21 Cleveland Cavaliers21150%90.099.5-9.5
22 Boston Celtics31233%94.7101.7-7.0
23 Toronto Raptors1010%88.090.0-2.0
24 Detroit Pistons2020%92.598.5-6.0
25 Washington Wizards2020%85.091.5-6.5
26 Atlanta Hawks1010%102.0109.0-7.0
27 Sacramento Kings3030%88.397.0-8.7
28 Los Angeles Lakers3030%97.3106.7-9.3
29 Denver Nuggets2020%82.093.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 29 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat35292332119
Denver Nuggets34322525116
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