Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (86)	91.2	88.5	179.7	+2.6	60%
Season at home (43)	91.8	84.1	175.9	+7.7	77%
Season away (43)	90.5	93.0	183.5	-2.5	44%
Last 10 (10)	92.9	90.5	183.4	+2.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	95.6	96.0	191.6	-0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	95.9	93.3	189.1	+2.6	71%
vs Similar (20)	90.7	85.8	176.4	+4.9	65%
vs Weaker (3)	89.0	82.7	171.7	+6.3	67%

This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Miami Heat USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Indiana Pacers

75-78

-3

H15/05

NBA

Indiana Pacers

75-94

-19

A17/05

NBA

Indiana Pacers

101-93

101

A20/05

NBA

Indiana Pacers

115-83

115

+32

H23/05

NBA

Indiana Pacers

105-93

105

+12

A25/05

NBA

Boston Celtics

93-79

+14

H29/05

NBA

Boston Celtics

115-111 OT

115

111

H31/05

NBA

Boston Celtics

91-101

101

-10

A02/06

NBA

Boston Celtics

91-93 OT

-2

A04/06

NBA

Boston Celtics

90-94

-4

H06/06

NBA

21-17

17-16

14-28

23-17

26-17

17-26

12-26

20-25

18-25

28-29

30-16

25-23

26-20

23-20

27-17

39-26

21-28

30-25

28-16

26-24

21-11

25-35

26-15

21-18

18-24

28-29

35-22

18-24

28-30

14-25

21-30

28-16

23-34

24-27

21-12

21-16

24-16

18-24

18-25

30-29

187.0Avg total

95.1Scored

91.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (84)	98.2	91.8	190.0	+6.4	68%
Season at home (43)	100.6	88.9	189.5	+11.6	84%
Season away (41)	95.7	94.9	190.6	+0.9	51%
Last 10 (10)	95.1	91.9	187.0	+3.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	96.0	95.6	191.6	+0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	92.6	87.6	180.1	+5.0	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	93.5	89.1	182.6	+4.3	57%

This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Boston CelticsMiami Heat

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	22.8	46.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.9	22.3	46.1	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.2	23.2	46.4	+0.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	22.8	45.7	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	22.8	45.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	22.6	21.9	44.4	+0.7	57%	-
vs Similar (20)	23.6	23.3	46.9	+0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (3)	25.3	21.3	46.7	+4.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	22.7	45.1	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.5	21.9	44.4	+0.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	22.3	23.8	46.2	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	22.2	44.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	23.0	45.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	22.4	21.7	44.1	+0.8	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.4	23.1	45.6	-0.7	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	21.0	44.5	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.9	19.6	43.4	+4.3	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.2	22.2	45.5	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.6	19.1	44.7	+6.5	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.0	21.8	49.8	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	27.1	23.0	50.1	+4.1	86%	-
vs Similar (20)	22.8	20.3	43.1	+2.5	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	22.8	45.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	24.6	22.6	47.1	+2.0	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.5	23.2	43.7	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	25.6	48.0	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	28.0	49.8	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	22.2	22.3	44.6	-0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	23.2	23.0	46.2	+0.2	48%	-

Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Philadelphia 76ers

#12

60-49

+11

A16/05

NBA

Philadelphia 76ers

#12

46-31

+15

A19/05

NBA

Philadelphia 76ers

#12

47-50

-3

H21/05

NBA

Philadelphia 76ers

#12

36-33

A24/05

NBA

Philadelphia 76ers

#12

41-33

H27/05

NBA

Miami Heat

46-46

A29/05

NBA

Miami Heat

53-46

A31/05

NBA

Miami Heat

55-42

+13

H02/06

NBA

Miami Heat

61-47

+14

H04/06

NBA

Miami Heat

40-42

-2

A06/06

NBA

90.4Avg total

48.5Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.0	43.8	90.8	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	47.7	41.9	89.6	+5.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	46.4	45.4	91.9	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.5	41.9	90.4	+6.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.0	44.6	95.6	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	49.7	44.9	94.6	+4.9	57%	-
vs Similar (20)	46.4	43.6	90.0	+2.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	45.3	42.3	87.7	+3.0	67%	-

This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Indiana Pacers

38-33

H15/05

NBA

Indiana Pacers

43-43

A17/05

NBA

Indiana Pacers

46-54

-8

A20/05

NBA

Indiana Pacers

49-40

H23/05

NBA

Indiana Pacers

51-53

-2

A25/05

NBA

Boston Celtics

46-46

H29/05

NBA

Boston Celtics

46-53

-7

H31/05

NBA

Boston Celtics

42-55

-13

A02/06

NBA

Boston Celtics

47-61

-14

A04/06

NBA

Boston Celtics

42-40

H06/06

NBA

92.8Avg total

45.0Scored

47.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.4	45.5	90.9	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	47.1	44.5	91.6	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	42.8	47.0	89.8	-4.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.0	47.8	92.8	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	51.0	95.6	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	44.7	44.0	88.7	+0.7	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	45.7	46.1	91.8	-0.5	52%	-

This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.4	43.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	20.5	42.7	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	22.2	43.5	-0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	22.8	44.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	24.2	45.0	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	21.4	23.0	44.4	-1.6	43%	-
vs Similar (20)	22.2	21.1	43.3	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.3	19.3	38.7	+0.0	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	21.0	44.1	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	24.7	20.7	45.3	+4.0	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.8	21.6	42.3	-0.8	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	20.7	43.9	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	20.8	45.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	23.8	21.6	45.3	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.8	20.8	43.6	+2.0	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.2	43.2	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.1	22.3	45.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	24.0	45.6	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	23.6	44.2	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	22.4	22.9	45.3	-0.4	29%	-
vs Similar (20)	21.4	20.7	42.1	+0.7	55%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.3	21.0	45.3	+3.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	21.2	45.3	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	24.2	21.2	45.4	+3.1	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	23.8	21.2	45.1	+2.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.1	21.8	46.9	+3.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	20.6	44.2	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	23.9	20.7	44.6	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	24.1	21.4	45.6	+2.7	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	42.6	86.3	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.8	40.5	83.3	+2.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.4	44.5	88.9	-0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	46.8	89.6	-4.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	47.8	89.2	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	43.9	45.9	89.7	-2.0	29%	-
vs Similar (20)	43.6	41.9	85.5	+1.8	55%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.7	40.3	84.0	+3.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.2	42.2	89.4	+4.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	48.9	41.8	90.7	+7.1	83%	-
Last 30 away (12)	44.6	42.8	87.4	+1.8	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.3	42.5	90.8	+5.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	41.4	89.2	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	47.7	42.2	89.9	+5.4	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	47.0	42.2	89.2	+4.7	76%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Boston Celtics wins

Miami Heat wins

Date	Game	Score
06/06/12	Miami Heat v Boston Celtics	90-94
04/06/12	Boston Celtics v Miami Heat	93-91 OT
02/06/12	Boston Celtics v Miami Heat	101-91
31/05/12	Miami Heat v Boston Celtics	115-111 OT
29/05/12	Miami Heat v Boston Celtics	93-79
25/04/12	Boston Celtics v Miami Heat	78-66
10/04/12	Miami Heat v Boston Celtics	107-115
01/04/12	Boston Celtics v Miami Heat	91-72
28/12/11	Miami Heat v Boston Celtics	115-107
11/05/11	Miami Heat v Boston Celtics	97-87

Boston Celticslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/06/12	A	Miami Heat	94-90
04/06/12	H	Miami Heat	93-91 OT
02/06/12	H	Miami Heat	101-91
31/05/12	A	Miami Heat	111-115 OT
29/05/12	A	Miami Heat	79-93
27/05/12	H	Philadelphia 76ers	85-75
24/05/12	A	Philadelphia 76ers	75-82
21/05/12	H	Philadelphia 76ers	101-85
19/05/12	A	Philadelphia 76ers	83-92
16/05/12	A	Philadelphia 76ers	107-91

Miami Heatlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/06/12	H	Boston Celtics	90-94
04/06/12	A	Boston Celtics	91-93 OT
02/06/12	A	Boston Celtics	91-101
31/05/12	H	Boston Celtics	115-111 OT
29/05/12	H	Boston Celtics	93-79
25/05/12	A	Indiana Pacers	105-93
23/05/12	H	Indiana Pacers	115-83
20/05/12	A	Indiana Pacers	101-93
17/05/12	A	Indiana Pacers	75-94
15/05/12	H	Indiana Pacers	75-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics

NBA 2011-12

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	60%
Home	LWWWW	77%
Away	LLLLW	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	86	43	43
Win %	60%	77%	44%
Points / game	91.2	91.8	90.5
Allowed / game	88.5	84.1	93.0
Point differential	+2.6	+7.7	-2.5
Avg total	179.7	175.9	183.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	44%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	58% (26)	64% (14)	50% (12)
Overtime %	8%	14%	2%

Miami Heat

NBA 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	68%
Home	LWWWL	84%
Away	LWWLL	51%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	84	43	41
Win %	68%	84%	51%
Points / game	98.2	100.6	95.7
Allowed / game	91.8	88.9	94.9
Point differential	+6.4	+11.6	+0.9
Avg total	190.0	189.5	190.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	56%	32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	53% (19)	67% (9)	40% (10)
Overtime %	10%	5%	15%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Antonio Spurs	82	61	21	74%	103.1	96.5	+6.6
2	Oklahoma City Thunder	83	61	22	73%	102.8	96.5	+6.3
3	Chicago Bulls	74	54	20	73%	95.3	87.9	+7.4
4	Miami Heat	84	57	27	68%	98.2	91.8	+6.4
5	Indiana Pacers	79	48	31	61%	96.5	93.7	+2.7
6	Boston Celtics	86	52	34	60%	91.2	88.5	+2.6
7	Memphis Grizzlies	75	44	31	59%	94.4	92.8	+1.6
8	Los Angeles Clippers	79	46	33	58%	97.0	95.1	+1.8
9	Atlanta Hawks	74	43	31	58%	95.1	92.2	+2.9
10	Los Angeles Lakers	80	46	34	57%	96.8	96.6	+0.2
11	Denver Nuggets	75	43	32	57%	103.8	100.7	+3.1
12	Philadelphia 76ers	81	44	37	54%	92.6	88.9	+3.7
13	New York Knicks	73	39	34	53%	96.6	94.5	+2.1
14	Orlando Magic	73	39	34	53%	93.5	93.9	-0.4
15	Houston Rockets	68	35	33	51%	98.1	97.7	+0.4
16	Utah Jazz	72	37	35	51%	98.7	99.2	-0.6
17	Dallas Mavericks	72	36	36	50%	95.4	95.2	+0.3
18	Phoenix Suns	68	33	35	49%	98.3	99.2	-0.9
19	Milwaukee Bucks	68	31	37	46%	98.8	98.8	-0.1
20	Portland Trail Blazers	68	29	39	43%	97.3	97.6	-0.4
21	Minnesota Timberwolves	68	28	40	41%	98.0	99.8	-1.8
22	Detroit Pistons	68	26	42	38%	90.8	95.5	-4.7
23	Golden State Warriors	68	24	44	35%	97.8	101.0	-3.2
24	New Orleans Pelicans	68	23	45	34%	89.8	93.1	-3.3
25	Toronto Raptors	68	23	45	34%	90.2	93.5	-3.3
26	Sacramento Kings	68	23	45	34%	98.7	104.3	-5.6
27	Brooklyn Nets	68	22	46	32%	92.8	98.8	-6.0
28	Cleveland Cavaliers	68	22	46	32%	92.9	99.9	-6.9
29	Washington Wizards	68	20	48	29%	93.4	98.5	-5.2
30	Charlotte Hornets	68	8	60	12%	86.7	100.4	-13.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Boston Celtics	16	26	19	18	79
Miami Heat	26	29	19	24	98

← all games of the day

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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