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Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Mar 2014
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 107-111
30-20 23-38 18-27 36-26
Position#4
Record49-21
FormLLLWL
Points / game102.7
Allowed / game97.9
vs
Position#21
Record30-41
FormWWLLW
Points / game102.4
Allowed / game105.0
USANBA
NBA2013-14
Meetings · Miami Heat v Denver Nuggets
21 Mar 2027
MIA v DEN
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
MIA147
DEN123
17 Jan 2025
MIA113
DEN133
13 Mar 2024
MIA88
DEN100
09 Jun 2023
MIA95
DEN108
07 Jun 2023
MIA94
DEN109
13 Feb 2023
MIA108
DEN112
29 Nov 2021
MIA111
DEN120
08 Aug 2021
MIA97
DEN77
27 Jan 2021
MIA82
DEN109
08 Jan 2019
MIA99
DEN103
19 Mar 2018
MIA149
DEN141
02 Apr 2017
MIA113
DEN116
14 Mar 2016
MIA124
DEN119
20 Mar 2015
MIA108
DEN91
14 Mar 2014
MIA107
DEN111
03 Nov 2012
MIA119
DEN116
19 Mar 2011
MIA103
DEN98
06 Nov 2009
MIA96
DEN88
10 Feb 2009
MIA82
DEN99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
103-81
103
81
+22
A21/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#8
W
93-79
93
79
+14
H23/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
108-82
108
82
+26
H28/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
112-98
112
98
+14
H02/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#16
W
124-107
124
107
+17
H04/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
103-106
103
106
-3
A05/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
87-111
87
111
-24
A07/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#8
L
88-95 OT
88
95
-7
A09/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
99-90
99
90
+9
H10/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
L
95-96
95
96
-1
H12/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-17
20-30
22-18
27-16
20-24
20-16
25-12
28-27
28-22
27-28
32-14
21-18
32-30
29-23
28-20
23-25
29-26
31-28
38-25
26-28
32-39
20-14
21-30
30-23
22-37
29-25
23-20
13-29
19-21
24-16
24-22
19-27
31-23
22-22
20-28
26-17
22-22
20-20
29-31
24-23
195.7Avg total
101.2Scored
94.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)102.797.9200.6+4.870%
Season at home (34)105.397.6202.9+7.782%
Season away (36)100.298.2198.5+2.058%
Last 10 (10)101.294.5195.7+6.760%
Last 5 (5)94.499.6194.0-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)103.4100.9204.3+2.669%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)102.495.7198.1+6.664%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
95-109
95
109
-14
H24/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
95-100
95
100
-5
H26/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
L
89-112
89
112
-23
H28/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
96-102
96
102
-6
A02/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
128-132
128
132
-4
H04/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
W
115-110
115
110
+5
H06/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#25
W
134-126
134
126
+8
H08/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#18
L
107-111 OT
107
111
-4
A09/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#16
L
98-105
98
105
-7
A10/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
120-112
120
112
+8
A12/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-27
25-21
18-39
25-22
21-32
24-20
24-30
26-18
8-29
28-30
20-30
33-23
24-32
24-24
25-28
23-18
25-40
24-26
34-32
45-34
41-34
27-17
11-22
36-37
42-35
35-31
33-25
24-35
29-17
25-26
19-30
21-21
22-25
23-26
23-28
30-26
23-27
29-23
33-24
35-38
219.6Avg total
107.7Scored
111.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)102.4105.0207.5-2.642%
Season at home (34)103.6103.8207.4-0.250%
Season away (37)101.4106.2207.5-4.835%
Last 10 (10)107.7111.9219.6-4.230%
Last 5 (5)114.8112.8227.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)103.1110.1213.2-6.933%
vs Similar (12)107.8112.2220.1-4.433%
vs Weaker (3)104.7102.7207.3+2.067%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.6+2.6
Miami HeatDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A21/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H23/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H28/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H02/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#16
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H04/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A05/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A07/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#8
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A09/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H10/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H12/03
NBA
99.4Avg total
51.1Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.750.4103.1+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.748.6101.3+4.169%-
Last 30 away (17)52.651.8104.5+0.853%-
Last 10 (10)51.148.399.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)48.247.896.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)52.251.5103.8+0.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)53.149.2102.4+3.964%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H24/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H26/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
L
36-59
36
59
-23
H28/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A02/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
49-66
49
66
-17
H04/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
W
68-51
68
51
+17
H06/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#25
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H08/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#18
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A09/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#16
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A10/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A12/03
NBA
106.8Avg total
52.6Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.155.8109.9-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.754.7110.4+0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)52.556.9109.3-4.440%-
Last 10 (10)52.654.2106.8-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)59.252.2111.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)53.656.9110.5-3.333%-
vs Similar (12)55.354.9110.2+0.450%-
vs Weaker (3)51.353.7105.0-2.333%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami Heat wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/14HBrooklyn Nets95-96
10/03/14HWashington Wizards99-90
09/03/14AChicago Bulls88-95 OT
07/03/14ASan Antonio Spurs87-111
05/03/14AHouston Rockets103-106
04/03/14HCharlotte Hornets124-107
02/03/14HOrlando Magic112-98
28/02/14HNew York Knicks108-82
23/02/14HChicago Bulls93-79
21/02/14AOklahoma City Thunder103-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/14AOrlando Magic120-112
10/03/14ACharlotte Hornets98-105
09/03/14ANew Orleans Pelicans107-111 OT
08/03/14HLos Angeles Lakers134-126
06/03/14HDallas Mavericks115-110
04/03/14HMinnesota Timberwolves128-132
02/03/14APortland Trail Blazers96-102
28/02/14HBrooklyn Nets89-112
26/02/14HPortland Trail Blazers95-100
24/02/14HSacramento Kings95-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2013-14
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL70%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayWWLLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703436
Win %70%82%58%
Points / game102.7105.3100.2
Allowed / game97.997.698.2
Point differential+4.8+7.7+2.0
Avg total200.6202.9198.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%44%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won63% (19)78% (9)50% (10)
Overtime %7%3%11%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2013-14
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW42%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLLLLW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713437
Win %42%50%35%
Points / game102.4103.6101.4
Allowed / game105.0103.8106.2
Point differential-2.6-0.2-4.8
Avg total207.5207.4207.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%21%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (21)57% (14)14% (7)
Overtime %4%3%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder71512072%105.298.7+6.5
2 San Antonio Spurs70502071%104.498.7+5.7
3 Miami Heat70492170%102.797.9+4.8
4 Indiana Pacers73512270%98.292.2+6.0
5 Houston Rockets72502269%106.2101.3+4.9
6 Los Angeles Clippers74512369%106.9100.1+6.7
7 Portland Trail Blazers72472565%106.1101.7+4.4
8 Toronto Raptors71432861%100.596.6+3.9
9 Golden State Warriors73442960%102.498.1+4.3
10 Chicago Bulls73442960%93.891.6+2.1
11 Dallas Mavericks74433158%102.8101.2+1.6
12 Phoenix Suns70403057%104.7102.3+2.5
13 Memphis Grizzlies72413157%94.995.0-0.1
14 Brooklyn Nets70383254%97.798.0-0.3
15 Minnesota Timberwolves70363451%105.9101.9+4.1
16 Washington Wizards72363650%100.099.2+0.8
17 Charlotte Hornets74373750%95.195.7-0.6
18 New Orleans Pelicans72333946%99.6101.1-1.5
19 Denver Nuggets71304142%102.4105.0-2.6
20 Atlanta Hawks70294141%100.2102.0-1.8
21 Cleveland Cavaliers73294440%96.6101.0-4.4
22 Sacramento Kings72284439%101.2102.7-1.5
23 Detroit Pistons72284439%100.0102.8-2.8
24 New York Knicks73284538%98.4100.4-2.0
25 Los Angeles Lakers73264736%101.4107.3-5.9
26 Boston Celtics73244933%95.298.9-3.7
27 Utah Jazz73235032%94.5100.6-6.1
28 Orlando Magic75215428%96.9102.3-5.3
29 Philadelphia 76ers71165523%99.4110.8-11.4
30 Milwaukee Bucks71145720%94.2102.1-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat30231836107
Denver Nuggets20382726111
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