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Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 121-114
26-28 25-31 38-25 32-30
Position#22
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game121.0
Allowed / game124.0
vs
Position#17
Record0-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game106.5
Allowed / game113.0
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Miami Heat
17 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
WAS117
MIA140
08 Feb 2026
WAS101
MIA132
31 Mar 2025
WAS94
MIA120
02 Nov 2024
WAS98
MIA118
31 Mar 2024
WAS107
MIA119
02 Feb 2024
WAS102
MIA110
07 Apr 2023
WAS114
MIA108
18 Nov 2022
WAS107
MIA106
07 Feb 2022
WAS100
MIA121
20 Nov 2021
WAS103
MIA100
09 Jan 2021
WAS124
MIA128
08 Mar 2020
WAS89
MIA100
30 Dec 2019
WAS123
MIA105
23 Mar 2019
WAS108
MIA113
18 Oct 2018
WAS112
MIA113
05 Oct 2018
WAS121
MIA114
06 Mar 2018
WAS117
MIA113
17 Nov 2017
WAS88
MIA91
10 Jul 2017
WAS87
MIA91
08 Apr 2017
WAS103
MIA106
19 Nov 2016
WAS111
MIA114
04 Oct 2016
WAS95
MIA106
20 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIA87
03 Jan 2016
WAS75
MIA97
06 Mar 2015
WAS99
MIA97
01 Dec 2014
WAS107
MIA86
17 Jul 2014
WAS78
MIA67
15 Jul 2014
WAS85
MIA83
14 Apr 2014
WAS114
MIA93
15 Jan 2014
WAS114
MIA97
15 Oct 2013
WAS100
MIA82
10 Apr 2013
WAS98
MIA103
04 Dec 2012
WAS105
MIA101
26 Apr 2012
WAS104
MIA70
10 Feb 2012
WAS89
MIA106
30 Mar 2011
WAS107
MIA123
18 Dec 2010
WAS94
MIA95
22 Jan 2010
WAS88
MIA112
04 Nov 2009
WAS89
MIA93
04 Apr 2009
WAS104
MIA118
18 Nov 2008
WAS87
MIA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
122-103
122
103
+19
H21/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
106-98
106
98
+8
H22/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
98-108
98
108
-10
A25/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
92-102
92
102
-10
H27/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H07/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
90-95
90
95
-5
A08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Los Angeles Clippers
#24
L
74-89
74
89
-15
H11/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
92-96
92
96
-4
A13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
New York Knicks
#30
L
121-124 OT
121
124
-3
H01/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-29
39-32
32-21
21-21
22-30
18-21
40-29
26-18
24-23
23-25
31-31
20-29
30-20
23-30
25-23
14-29
10-22
16-16
15-19
18-15
15-26
16-14
31-31
28-24
22-17
19-10
24-28
22-20
15-31
19-19
21-23
19-16
13-29
21-6
28-25
30-36
29-29
33-28
22-30
24-21
190.3Avg total
94.1Scored
96.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)121.0124.0245.0-3.00%
Season at home (1)121.0124.0245.0-3.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)94.196.2190.3-2.130%
Last 5 (5)92.895.8188.6-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)99.8104.8204.6-5.022%
vs Similar ◀ (15)104.9104.9209.8+0.153%
vs Weaker (6)98.5106.2204.7-7.70%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A03/07
NBA - Sacramento Summer League
Los Angeles Lakers
#4
W
89-74
89
74
+15
A04/07
NBA - Sacramento Summer League
Sacramento Kings
#3
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A05/07
NBA - Sacramento Summer League
New Orleans Pelicans
#18
L
84-110
84
110
-26
A07/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Charlotte Hornets
#11
L
90-94
90
94
-4
H08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Utah Jazz
#22
W
98-90
98
90
+8
H10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
New Orleans Pelicans
#18
W
110-106
110
106
+4
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Boston Celtics
#6
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
100-104
100
104
-4
A30/09
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
113-122
113
122
-9
A02/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
18-23
18-22
9-15
31-19
22-15
26-16
10-24
25-17
20-17
18-18
23-24
18-21
15-30
27-29
24-30
26-22
20-24
22-21
22-27
18-18
29-29
30-19
21-24
31-25
23-28
27-23
29-30
16-19
19-20
15-22
22-13
28-29
24-22
19-26
29-27
34-25
29-33
19-30
31-34
183.9Avg total
91.0Scored
92.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)106.5113.0219.5-6.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)106.5113.0219.5-6.50%
Last 10 (10)91.092.9183.9-1.940%
Last 5 (5)98.699.2197.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)96.7104.9201.6-8.230%
vs Similar ◀ (14)104.6107.1211.6-2.536%
vs Weaker (6)102.291.5193.7+10.783%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -2.8-2.8
Washington WizardsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H21/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H22/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A25/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H27/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H07/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Los Angeles Clippers
#24
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H11/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
New York Knicks
#30
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H01/10
NBA
89.4Avg total
43.7Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.652.1101.7-2.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.951.5102.5-0.647%-
Last 30 away (15)48.252.7100.9-4.520%-
Last 10 (10)43.745.789.4-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.882.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)48.353.9102.2-5.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)50.349.799.9+0.640%-
vs Weaker (6)49.755.5105.2-5.817%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A03/07
NBA - Sacramento Summer League
Los Angeles Lakers
#4
W
53-34
53
34
+19
A04/07
NBA - Sacramento Summer League
Sacramento Kings
#3
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A05/07
NBA - Sacramento Summer League
New Orleans Pelicans
#18
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A07/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Charlotte Hornets
#11
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Utah Jazz
#22
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
New Orleans Pelicans
#18
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Boston Celtics
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A30/09
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
63-58
63
58
+5
A02/10
NBA
92.4Avg total
46.9Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.349.6100.9+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (12)54.850.7105.4+4.167%-
Last 30 away (18)49.148.997.9+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)46.945.592.4+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)50.249.699.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)49.750.199.8-0.450%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)52.650.8103.4+1.957%-
vs Weaker (6)51.046.097.0+5.067%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 106.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.529.7
48.3%
51.7%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.0
34.9%
35.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws25.320.2
79.8%
76.6%20.2
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 103.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.828.0
46.1%
51.7%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.8
35.5%
35.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws26.118.3
70.1%
76.6%18.3
They take 88.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLLWLLLLWW
Miami Heat
LLLWWLLWWL
#22
League position
#17
-1.8
Net rating
-10.2
104.6
Offensive rating
100.2
106.4
Defensive rating
110.5
49.5%
Effective FG%
48.3%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
13.8%
Turnover %
14.0%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.9%
3-point %
35.5%
59.9%
Assist %
59.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 100.2Defence106.4 · 110.5Shooting49.5% · 48.3%3-point %34.9% · 35.5%Ball care13.8% · 14.0%Off. rebounds22.8% · 22.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Washington Wizards wins
8
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/18HNew York Knicks121-124 OT
13/07/18ADallas Mavericks92-96
11/07/18HLos Angeles Clippers74-89
09/07/18APhiladelphia 76ers87-75
08/07/18ASan Antonio Spurs90-95
07/07/18HCleveland Cavaliers59-72
27/04/18HToronto Raptors92-102
25/04/18AToronto Raptors98-108
22/04/18HToronto Raptors106-98
21/04/18HToronto Raptors122-103
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/18ACharlotte Hornets113-122
30/09/18ASan Antonio Spurs100-104
14/07/18ABoston Celtics72-74
12/07/18ANew Orleans Pelicans110-106
10/07/18HUtah Jazz98-90
08/07/18HCharlotte Hornets90-94
07/07/18ANew Orleans Pelicans84-110
05/07/18ASacramento Kings86-76
04/07/18ALos Angeles Lakers89-74
03/07/18AGolden State Warriors68-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game121.0121.0-
Allowed / game124.0124.0-
Point differential-3.0-3.0-
Avg total245.0245.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %100%100%-
Miami Heat
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game106.5-106.5
Allowed / game113.0-113.0
Point differential-6.5--6.5
Avg total219.5-219.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks110100%116.082.0+34.0
2 Los Angeles Clippers110100%128.0101.0+27.0
3 Utah Jazz110100%105.090.0+15.0
4 Atlanta Hawks110100%116.0102.0+14.0
5 Indiana Pacers110100%110.0100.0+10.0
6 Denver Nuggets220100%118.5109.0+9.5
7 Cleveland Cavaliers110100%102.095.0+7.0
8 Detroit Pistons110100%97.091.0+6.0
9 Philadelphia 76ers220100%120.0114.0+6.0
10 New York Knicks220100%115.5111.5+4.0
11 San Antonio Spurs110100%104.0100.0+4.0
12 Charlotte Hornets32167%112.7108.3+4.3
13 Houston Rockets21150%115.5112.5+3.0
14 Toronto Raptors21150%106.0104.5+1.5
15 Sacramento Kings21150%114.5115.0-0.5
16 Chicago Bulls21150%105.0116.0-11.0
17 Minnesota Timberwolves21150%107.5119.0-11.5
18 Boston Celtics31233%102.3106.0-3.7
19 Los Angeles Lakers31233%115.3120.0-4.7
20 Washington Wizards1010%121.0124.0-3.0
21 Golden State Warriors1010%110.0114.0-4.0
22 Phoenix Suns1010%102.0106.0-4.0
23 Brooklyn Nets1010%102.0107.0-5.0
24 Dallas Mavericks1010%114.0120.0-6.0
25 Oklahoma City Thunder1010%91.097.0-6.0
26 Orlando Magic1010%114.0120.0-6.0
27 Miami Heat2020%106.5113.0-6.5
28 New Orleans Pelicans2020%109.0122.0-13.0
29 Memphis Grizzlies1010%115.0131.0-16.0
30 Portland Trail Blazers1010%104.0122.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards26253832121
Miami Heat28312530114
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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