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Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 124-128
44-47 27-28 15-28 38-25
Position#18
Record3-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game114.3
Allowed / game117.6
vs
Position#15
Record4-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game105.4
Allowed / game108.0
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Miami Heat
17 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
WAS117
MIA140
08 Feb 2026
WAS101
MIA132
31 Mar 2025
WAS94
MIA120
02 Nov 2024
WAS98
MIA118
31 Mar 2024
WAS107
MIA119
02 Feb 2024
WAS102
MIA110
07 Apr 2023
WAS114
MIA108
18 Nov 2022
WAS107
MIA106
07 Feb 2022
WAS100
MIA121
20 Nov 2021
WAS103
MIA100
09 Jan 2021
WAS124
MIA128
08 Mar 2020
WAS89
MIA100
30 Dec 2019
WAS123
MIA105
23 Mar 2019
WAS108
MIA113
18 Oct 2018
WAS112
MIA113
05 Oct 2018
WAS121
MIA114
06 Mar 2018
WAS117
MIA113
17 Nov 2017
WAS88
MIA91
10 Jul 2017
WAS87
MIA91
08 Apr 2017
WAS103
MIA106
19 Nov 2016
WAS111
MIA114
04 Oct 2016
WAS95
MIA106
20 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIA87
03 Jan 2016
WAS75
MIA97
06 Mar 2015
WAS99
MIA97
01 Dec 2014
WAS107
MIA86
17 Jul 2014
WAS78
MIA67
15 Jul 2014
WAS85
MIA83
14 Apr 2014
WAS114
MIA93
15 Jan 2014
WAS114
MIA97
15 Oct 2013
WAS100
MIA82
10 Apr 2013
WAS98
MIA103
04 Dec 2012
WAS105
MIA101
26 Apr 2012
WAS104
MIA70
10 Feb 2012
WAS89
MIA106
30 Mar 2011
WAS107
MIA123
18 Dec 2010
WAS94
MIA95
22 Jan 2010
WAS88
MIA112
04 Nov 2009
WAS89
MIA93
04 Apr 2009
WAS104
MIA118
18 Nov 2008
WAS87
MIA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
99-96
99
96
+3
H20/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
107-113
107
113
-6
A24/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
L
120-130
120
130
-10
H27/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
L
113-120
113
120
-7
H28/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
107-115
107
115
-8
H30/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
130-133
130
133
-3
H31/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
130-109
130
109
+21
A02/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
123-122
123
122
+1
A03/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
136-141
136
141
-5
A07/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
107-116
107
116
-9
A09/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-27
32-22
20-27
16-20
26-30
33-28
24-15
24-40
32-32
27-31
32-29
29-38
35-29
25-33
34-15
19-43
26-31
20-21
27-31
34-32
41-35
27-36
32-36
30-26
37-25
23-32
40-14
30-38
29-28
41-43
24-22
29-29
24-33
43-49
39-34
30-25
28-33
19-33
34-30
26-20
236.7Avg total
117.2Scored
119.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)114.3117.6231.9-3.225%
Season at home (6)109.2115.2224.3-6.017%
Season away (6)119.5120.0239.5-0.533%
Last 10 (10)117.2119.5236.7-2.330%
Last 5 (5)125.2124.2249.4+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)107.2114.9222.1-7.812%
vs Similar ◀ (10)112.1115.7227.8-3.630%
vs Weaker (4)118.8118.0236.8+0.850%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
93-106
93
106
-13
H11/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
92-114
92
114
-22
H15/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
117-105
117
105
+12
A19/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
L
107-113
107
113
-6
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
111-98
111
98
+13
H25/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
97-144
97
144
-47
H30/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
119-108
119
108
+11
H31/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
83-93
83
93
-10
A02/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
118-90
118
90
+28
H05/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
105-107
105
107
-2
H07/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
16-36
22-23
35-19
30-32
23-28
19-25
20-29
23-24
35-32
33-27
26-22
29-27
24-29
30-23
24-34
29-26
37-27
22-26
23-19
26-46
25-37
24-32
22-29
25-19
26-37
37-35
31-17
16-20
15-26
22-27
30-20
26-26
37-23
28-17
27-24
26-34
19-19
35-27
25-27
212.0Avg total
104.2Scored
107.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)105.4108.0213.4-2.644%
Season at home (6)107.0110.2217.2-3.250%
Season away (3)102.3103.7206.0-1.333%
Last 10 (10)104.2107.8212.0-3.640%
Last 5 (5)104.4108.4212.8-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)111.4111.7223.1-0.371%
vs Similar ◀ (21)107.3107.4214.7-0.057%
vs Weaker (2)112.5101.5214.0+11.050%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
Washington WizardsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H20/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A24/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H27/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H28/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H30/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H31/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A02/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A03/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A07/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
47-66
47
66
-19
A09/01
NBA
123.0Avg total
59.9Scored
63.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.661.3116.9-5.730%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.760.0114.7-5.321%-
Last 30 away (16)56.362.4118.8-6.138%-
Last 10 (10)59.963.1123.0-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)62.469.4131.8-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)55.260.9116.2-5.731%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)53.762.5116.2-8.820%-
vs Weaker (4)61.559.8121.2+1.850%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
36-64
36
64
-28
H11/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H15/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A19/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
66-53
66
53
+13
H25/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
51-83
51
83
-32
H30/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H31/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A02/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H05/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H07/01
NBA
108.3Avg total
50.7Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.455.8109.1-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.255.8109.1-2.644%-
Last 30 away (14)53.555.7109.2-2.250%-
Last 10 (10)50.757.6108.3-6.930%-
Last 5 (5)48.257.4105.6-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)54.059.3113.3-5.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)52.754.9107.6-2.252%-
vs Weaker (2)58.052.5110.5+5.550%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 117.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.130.3
53.1%
52.8%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.812.6
37.3%
36.6%37.8
🏀 Free throws25.318.8
74.3%
77.7%18.8
They take 90.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 104.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.624.9
55.8%
52.8%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.712.7
36.6%
36.6%38.1
🏀 Free throws21.816.3
74.8%
77.7%16.3
They take 79.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLWWLLLLLW
Miami Heat
LWLWLWLWLL
#18
League position
#15
-2.1
Net rating
-3.6
108.5
Offensive rating
103.6
110.6
Defensive rating
107.2
54.1%
Effective FG%
55.4%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
13.7%
Turnover %
17.0%
18.2%
Off. rebound %
14.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.3%
3-point %
36.6%
62.9%
Assist %
69.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 103.6Defence110.6 · 107.2Shooting54.1% · 55.4%3-point %37.3% · 36.6%Ball care13.7% · 17.0%Off. rebounds18.2% · 14.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Washington Wizards wins
7
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/21ABoston Celtics107-116
07/01/21APhiladelphia 76ers136-141
03/01/21ABrooklyn Nets123-122
02/01/21AMinnesota Timberwolves130-109
31/12/20HChicago Bulls130-133
30/12/20HChicago Bulls107-115
28/12/20HOrlando Magic113-120
27/12/20HOrlando Magic120-130
24/12/20APhiladelphia 76ers107-113
20/12/20HDetroit Pistons99-96
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/21HBoston Celtics105-107
05/01/21HOklahoma City Thunder118-90
02/01/21ADallas Mavericks83-93
31/12/20HMilwaukee Bucks119-108
30/12/20HMilwaukee Bucks97-144
25/12/20HNew Orleans Pelicans111-98
24/12/20AOrlando Magic107-113
19/12/20AToronto Raptors117-105
15/12/20HNew Orleans Pelicans92-114
11/10/20HLos Angeles Lakers93-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL25%
HomeWLLLL17%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %25%17%33%
Points / game114.3109.2119.5
Allowed / game117.6115.2120.0
Point differential-3.2-6.0-0.5
Avg total231.9224.3239.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL44%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %44%50%33%
Points / game105.4107.0102.3
Allowed / game108.0110.2103.7
Point differential-2.6-3.2-1.3
Avg total213.4217.2206.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1411379%113.1105.2+7.9
2 Philadelphia 76ers129375%112.6107.6+5.0
3 Utah Jazz128467%112.8108.5+4.3
4 New York Knicks138562%101.899.7+2.2
5 Orlando Magic138562%109.8111.4-1.5
6 Brooklyn Nets127558%118.3109.8+8.6
7 Boston Celtics127558%109.8111.1-1.2
8 Golden State Warriors127558%113.7115.4-1.8
9 Houston Rockets116555%114.2108.5+5.6
10 Dallas Mavericks116555%113.2108.7+4.5
11 New Orleans Pelicans116555%109.5105.8+3.7
12 Indiana Pacers116555%112.3109.1+3.2
13 Cleveland Cavaliers137654%101.4104.5-3.2
14 Denver Nuggets126650%117.6111.4+6.2
15 Atlanta Hawks126650%114.4112.9+1.5
16 Chicago Bulls147750%113.4116.0-2.6
17 Phoenix Suns136746%107.7106.5+1.2
18 Memphis Grizzlies136746%109.8109.3+0.5
19 Los Angeles Clippers136746%107.1110.4-3.3
20 Sacramento Kings136746%112.8118.8-5.9
21 Oklahoma City Thunder115645%103.8109.2-5.4
22 Miami Heat94544%105.4108.0-2.6
23 Milwaukee Bucks125742%120.6115.9+4.7
24 Portland Trail Blazers125742%113.3118.5-5.2
25 Charlotte Hornets135838%109.2111.4-2.2
26 Toronto Raptors114736%111.2112.1-0.9
27 San Antonio Spurs114736%110.0115.8-5.8
28 Detroit Pistons134931%106.0109.5-3.5
29 Minnesota Timberwolves113827%109.8121.1-11.3
30 Washington Wizards123925%114.3117.6-3.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards44271538124
Miami Heat47282825128
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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