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Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 107-106 (OT)
33-31 24-38 24-19 23-16 3-2
Position#23
Record8-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game108.9
Allowed / game110.1
vs
Position#10
Record7-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game110.3
Allowed / game110.1
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Miami Heat
17 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
WAS117
MIA140
08 Feb 2026
WAS101
MIA132
31 Mar 2025
WAS94
MIA120
02 Nov 2024
WAS98
MIA118
31 Mar 2024
WAS107
MIA119
02 Feb 2024
WAS102
MIA110
07 Apr 2023
WAS114
MIA108
18 Nov 2022
WAS107
MIA106
07 Feb 2022
WAS100
MIA121
20 Nov 2021
WAS103
MIA100
09 Jan 2021
WAS124
MIA128
08 Mar 2020
WAS89
MIA100
30 Dec 2019
WAS123
MIA105
23 Mar 2019
WAS108
MIA113
18 Oct 2018
WAS112
MIA113
06 Mar 2018
WAS117
MIA113
17 Nov 2017
WAS88
MIA91
08 Apr 2017
WAS103
MIA106
19 Nov 2016
WAS111
MIA114
20 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIA87
03 Jan 2016
WAS75
MIA97
06 Mar 2015
WAS99
MIA97
01 Dec 2014
WAS107
MIA86
14 Apr 2014
WAS114
MIA93
15 Jan 2014
WAS114
MIA97
10 Apr 2013
WAS98
MIA103
04 Dec 2012
WAS105
MIA101
26 Apr 2012
WAS104
MIA70
10 Feb 2012
WAS89
MIA106
30 Mar 2011
WAS107
MIA123
18 Dec 2010
WAS94
MIA95
22 Jan 2010
WAS88
MIA112
04 Nov 2009
WAS89
MIA93
04 Apr 2009
WAS104
MIA118
18 Nov 2008
WAS87
MIA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
L
94-112
94
112
-18
80avg 102
A30/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
111-118
111
118
-7
105avg 102
H31/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
121-111
121
111
+10
122avg 102
A02/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
86-128
86
128
-42
70avg 102
H04/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
97-103
97
103
-6
87avg 102
A06/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
108-100
108
100
+8
103avg 102
A08/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
113-105
113
105
+8
114avg 102
H11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
121-112
121
112
+9
118avg 102
H12/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
102-92
102
92
+10
94avg 102
H13/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
120-121
120
121
-1
120avg 102
H17/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-34
32-24
21-29
26-25
28-30
24-22
21-34
38-32
31-25
26-26
34-39
30-21
28-38
29-31
13-27
16-32
25-24
18-33
31-24
23-22
26-18
20-30
30-24
32-28
28-34
30-27
29-22
26-22
28-30
33-25
31-29
29-28
23-19
32-32
27-23
20-18
37-29
30-25
20-35
33-32
217.5Avg total
107.3Scored
110.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)108.9110.1219.0-1.353%
Season at home (9)110.2111.3221.6-1.156%
Season away (6)106.8108.3215.2-1.550%
Last 10 (10)107.3110.2217.5-2.950%
Last 5 (5)112.8106.0218.8+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)110.6114.5225.1-3.838%
vs Similar ◀ (12)107.6113.7221.2-6.142%
vs Weaker (5)110.4104.2214.6+6.280%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
110-123
110
123
-13
95avg 102
A28/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
113-119
113
119
-6
94avg 102
A29/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
116-109
116
109
+7
112avg 102
H01/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
110-107
110
107
+3
106avg 102
H02/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
99-101
99
101
-2
88avg 102
A04/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
107-110
107
110
-3
99avg 102
H08/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
117-112 OT
117
112
+5
100avg 102
H11/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
132-115
132
115
+17
131avg 102
H13/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
113-112
113
112
+1
106avg 102
H15/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
104-112
104
112
-8
96avg 102
A17/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-31
29-32
28-29
23-31
23-32
26-39
33-19
31-29
33-24
25-32
28-38
30-15
33-32
20-19
24-25
33-31
29-28
21-34
27-18
22-21
28-28
32-25
21-20
26-37
32-27
26-23
27-23
19-31
34-33
23-26
45-25
30-31
35-31
23-26
26-34
29-21
31-27
29-27
19-30
25-28
224.1Avg total
112.1Scored
112.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)110.3110.1220.4+0.147%
Season at home (10)110.9109.9220.8+1.060%
Season away (5)109.0110.6219.6-1.620%
Last 10 (10)112.1112.0224.1+0.150%
Last 5 (5)114.6112.2226.8+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.097.3175.3-19.30%
vs Similar ◀ (22)104.5106.1210.5-1.645%
vs Weaker (5)113.8101.0214.8+12.880%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
Washington WizardsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A30/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H31/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A02/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
57-69
57
69
-12
H04/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A06/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A08/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H12/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H13/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H17/11
NBA
109.9Avg total
54.3Scored
55.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.857.2113.0-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.057.9114.9-0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)54.456.5110.9-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)54.355.6109.9-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)57.453.8111.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)55.158.9114.0-3.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)56.258.6114.8-2.433%-
vs Weaker (5)56.649.6106.2+7.080%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A28/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
49-71
49
71
-22
A29/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H01/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H02/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
50-62
50
62
-12
A04/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H08/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H11/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H13/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H15/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A17/11
NBA
113.8Avg total
56.2Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.653.1104.7-1.553%-
Last 30 at home (18)52.952.8105.7+0.156%-
Last 30 away (12)49.753.5103.2-3.850%-
Last 10 (10)56.257.6113.8-1.460%-
Last 5 (5)58.654.6113.2+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.747.785.3-10.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)52.254.3106.5-2.150%-
vs Weaker (5)57.451.2108.6+6.280%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 107.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.829.2
53.3%
54.5%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.7
34.3%
35.8%32.1
🏀 Free throws21.416.8
78.5%
78.1%16.8
They take 86.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 112.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.126.3
54.7%
54.5%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.013.1
35.4%
35.8%39.3
🏀 Free throws23.120.2
87.4%
78.1%20.2
They take 85.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LWWWWLLWLL
Miami Heat
LWWWLLWWLL
#23
League position
#10
-2.9
Net rating
+0.1
108.6
Offensive rating
111.8
111.5
Defensive rating
111.7
52.6%
Effective FG%
54.0%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
12.9%
Turnover %
13.4%
22.0%
Off. rebound %
20.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.3%
3-point %
35.4%
61.4%
Assist %
61.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 111.8Defence111.5 · 111.7Shooting52.6% · 54.0%3-point %34.3% · 35.4%Ball care12.9% · 13.4%Off. rebounds22.0% · 20.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Washington Wizards wins
7
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/22HOklahoma City Thunder120-121
13/11/22HMemphis Grizzlies102-92
12/11/22HUtah Jazz121-112
11/11/22HDallas Mavericks113-105
08/11/22ACharlotte Hornets108-100
06/11/22AMemphis Grizzlies97-103
04/11/22HBrooklyn Nets86-128
02/11/22APhiladelphia 76ers121-111
31/10/22HPhiladelphia 76ers111-118
30/10/22ABoston Celtics94-112
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/22AToronto Raptors104-112
15/11/22HPhoenix Suns113-112
13/11/22HCharlotte Hornets132-115
11/11/22HCharlotte Hornets117-112 OT
08/11/22HPortland Trail Blazers107-110
04/11/22AIndiana Pacers99-101
02/11/22HSacramento Kings110-107
01/11/22HGolden State Warriors116-109
29/10/22ASacramento Kings113-119
28/10/22AGolden State Warriors110-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL53%
HomeLWWWL56%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %53%56%50%
Points / game108.9110.2106.8
Allowed / game110.1111.3108.3
Point differential-1.3-1.1-1.5
Avg total219.0221.6215.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%22%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %7%0%17%
Miami Heat
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL47%
HomeWLWWW60%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %47%60%20%
Points / game110.3110.9109.0
Allowed / game110.1109.9110.6
Point differential+0.1+1.0-1.6
Avg total220.4220.8219.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%10%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)80% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %7%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics1512380%120.4113.3+7.1
2 Milwaukee Bucks1411379%111.6106.4+5.2
3 Portland Trail Blazers1510567%109.7107.7+2.0
4 Phoenix Suns149564%113.7107.0+6.7
5 Denver Nuggets149564%116.1114.1+1.9
6 Utah Jazz1610662%116.6113.1+3.5
7 New Orleans Pelicans159660%116.7112.1+4.7
8 Atlanta Hawks159660%114.6113.9+0.7
9 Memphis Grizzlies159660%113.9113.4+0.5
10 Cleveland Cavaliers148657%114.7109.2+5.5
11 Sacramento Kings148657%120.3116.6+3.6
12 Dallas Mavericks148657%108.6106.3+2.4
13 Toronto Raptors169756%111.9109.1+2.8
14 Los Angeles Clippers169756%104.4105.9-1.5
15 Indiana Pacers137654%117.9116.8+1.1
16 New York Knicks158753%114.3115.5-1.2
17 Washington Wizards158753%108.9110.1-1.3
18 Philadelphia 76ers147750%108.5106.5+2.0
19 Miami Heat157847%110.3110.1+0.1
20 Oklahoma City Thunder157847%116.6116.5+0.1
21 Minnesota Timberwolves157847%115.1115.7-0.6
22 Brooklyn Nets167944%110.7111.4-0.7
23 Golden State Warriors156940%117.5118.3-0.9
24 Chicago Bulls156940%110.7111.8-1.1
25 San Antonio Spurs1661038%112.0120.2-8.2
26 Orlando Magic1541127%109.9113.3-3.4
27 Charlotte Hornets1641225%109.2114.8-5.6
28 Los Angeles Lakers1331023%108.8115.4-6.5
29 Houston Rockets1531220%109.1116.4-7.3
30 Detroit Pistons1631319%107.4116.8-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Washington Wizards332424233107
Miami Heat313819162106
← all games of the day
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