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Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 103-100
26-25 15-18 30-32 32-25
Position#21
Record10-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game106.2
Allowed / game103.6
vs
Position#4
Record11-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game110.4
Allowed / game102.3
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Miami Heat
17 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
WAS117
MIA140
08 Feb 2026
WAS101
MIA132
31 Mar 2025
WAS94
MIA120
02 Nov 2024
WAS98
MIA118
31 Mar 2024
WAS107
MIA119
02 Feb 2024
WAS102
MIA110
07 Apr 2023
WAS114
MIA108
18 Nov 2022
WAS107
MIA106
07 Feb 2022
WAS100
MIA121
20 Nov 2021
WAS103
MIA100
09 Jan 2021
WAS124
MIA128
08 Mar 2020
WAS89
MIA100
30 Dec 2019
WAS123
MIA105
23 Mar 2019
WAS108
MIA113
18 Oct 2018
WAS112
MIA113
06 Mar 2018
WAS117
MIA113
17 Nov 2017
WAS88
MIA91
08 Apr 2017
WAS103
MIA106
19 Nov 2016
WAS111
MIA114
20 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIA87
03 Jan 2016
WAS75
MIA97
06 Mar 2015
WAS99
MIA97
01 Dec 2014
WAS107
MIA86
14 Apr 2014
WAS114
MIA93
15 Jan 2014
WAS114
MIA97
10 Apr 2013
WAS98
MIA103
04 Dec 2012
WAS105
MIA101
26 Apr 2012
WAS104
MIA70
10 Feb 2012
WAS89
MIA106
30 Mar 2011
WAS107
MIA123
18 Dec 2010
WAS94
MIA95
22 Jan 2010
WAS88
MIA112
04 Nov 2009
WAS89
MIA93
04 Apr 2009
WAS104
MIA118
18 Nov 2008
WAS87
MIA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#6
W
115-112 OT
115
112
+3
99avg 106
H30/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
111-118
111
118
-7
104avg 106
A01/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
100-109
100
109
-9
92avg 106
H03/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
115-87
115
87
+28
124avg 106
H05/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
101-94
101
94
+7
96avg 106
H07/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
97-94
97
94
+3
94avg 106
A11/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
104-92
104
92
+12
106avg 106
A14/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
105-100
105
100
+5
96avg 106
H16/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
87-97
87
97
-10
76avg 106
A18/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
97-112
97
112
-15
93avg 106
A19/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
28-27
23-26
27-30
23-34
37-29
17-21
34-34
29-29
19-30
29-27
23-23
35-31
25-16
31-21
24-19
26-24
23-28
33-19
19-23
24-22
20-27
24-25
29-20
28-18
22-19
32-22
22-33
25-25
16-33
32-22
32-20
29-24
22-21
14-30
22-22
19-21
21-26
30-36
27-29
204.7Avg total
103.2Scored
101.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)106.2103.6209.8+2.667%
Season at home (7)113.3106.7220.0+6.686%
Season away (8)100.0100.9200.9-0.950%
Last 10 (10)103.2101.5204.7+1.760%
Last 5 (5)98.099.0197.0-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)109.8111.4221.1-1.650%
vs Similar (12)119.3118.8238.1+0.658%
vs Weaker (2)112.098.5210.5+13.5100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
125-110
125
110
+15
122avg 102
A02/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
78-95
78
95
-17
65avg 102
H04/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
118-115
118
115
+3
120avg 102
H06/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
96-113
96
113
-17
86avg 102
A09/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
L
117-120 OT
117
120
-3
104avg 102
A11/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
109-112
109
112
-3
95avg 102
A12/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
111-105
111
105
+6
108avg 102
A13/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
103-90
103
90
+13
98avg 102
A16/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
113-98
113
98
+15
108avg 102
H18/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
112-97
112
97
+15
109avg 102
H19/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
46-32
29-26
26-22
24-18
9-33
24-24
21-20
27-24
28-28
32-26
31-37
25-30
24-34
21-27
26-22
25-28
32-27
29-27
26-30
40-25
18-31
20-30
31-26
27-24
31-24
37-21
16-36
23-24
20-19
31-24
29-23
21-34
26-18
34-18
32-28
21-19
26-21
36-30
29-27
213.7Avg total
108.2Scored
105.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)110.4102.3212.7+8.169%
Season at home (7)111.398.4209.7+12.986%
Season away (9)109.7105.3215.0+4.356%
Last 10 (10)108.2105.5213.7+2.760%
Last 5 (5)109.6100.4210.0+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)101.0115.0216.0-14.017%
vs Similar (14)116.4109.3225.6+7.179%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)111.1102.7213.8+8.470%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
Washington WizardsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#6
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H30/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A01/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H03/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H05/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H07/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A11/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A14/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H16/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A18/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A19/11
NBA
100.0Avg total
49.6Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.156.7113.8+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.858.0116.8+0.846%-
Last 30 away (17)55.855.8111.5+0.053%-
Last 10 (10)49.650.4100.0-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)45.247.292.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)56.856.8113.6-0.138%-
vs Similar (12)58.058.3116.3-0.358%-
vs Weaker (2)54.046.5100.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A02/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H04/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H06/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
49-64
49
64
-15
A09/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
57-55
57
55
+2
A11/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A12/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A13/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A16/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H18/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H19/11
NBA
104.0Avg total
51.7Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.553.7110.1+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.149.7103.8+4.469%-
Last 30 away (17)58.356.7115.0+1.659%-
Last 10 (10)51.752.3104.0-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)50.647.898.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)52.058.0110.0-6.033%-
vs Similar (14)59.854.0113.8+5.871%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)54.550.6105.1+3.970%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 103.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.428.3
54.0%
53.1%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.810.7
32.6%
35.3%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.614.5
78.0%
77.4%14.5
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 108.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.927.3
53.6%
53.1%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.012.1
35.6%
35.3%36.3
🏀 Free throws21.317.3
81.2%
77.4%17.3
They take 84.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLWWWWWLLW
Miami Heat
WWWWLLLWLW
#21
League position
#4
+1.7
Net rating
+2.8
104.7
Offensive rating
111.2
102.9
Defensive rating
108.4
52.1%
Effective FG%
53.5%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
13.6%
Turnover %
13.6%
18.4%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.6%
3-point %
35.6%
63.6%
Assist %
60.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 111.2Defence102.9 · 108.4Shooting52.1% · 53.5%3-point %32.6% · 35.6%Ball care13.6% · 13.6%Off. rebounds18.4% · 24.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Washington Wizards wins
8
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/21AMiami Heat97-112
18/11/21ACharlotte Hornets87-97
16/11/21HNew Orleans Pelicans105-100
14/11/21AOrlando Magic104-92
11/11/21ACleveland Cavaliers97-94
07/11/21HMilwaukee Bucks101-94
05/11/21HMemphis Grizzlies115-87
03/11/21HToronto Raptors100-109
01/11/21AAtlanta Hawks111-118
30/10/21HBoston Celtics115-112 OT
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/21HWashington Wizards112-97
18/11/21HNew Orleans Pelicans113-98
16/11/21AOklahoma City Thunder103-90
13/11/21AUtah Jazz111-105
12/11/21ALos Angeles Clippers109-112
11/11/21ALos Angeles Lakers117-120 OT
09/11/21ADenver Nuggets96-113
06/11/21HUtah Jazz118-115
04/11/21HBoston Celtics78-95
02/11/21ADallas Mavericks125-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%86%50%
Points / game106.2113.3100.0
Allowed / game103.6106.7100.9
Point differential+2.6+6.6-0.9
Avg total209.8220.0200.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %13%29%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW69%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayLLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %69%86%56%
Points / game110.4111.3109.7
Allowed / game102.398.4105.3
Point differential+8.1+12.9+4.3
Avg total212.7209.7215.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%71%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %12%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors1614288%113.9100.9+13.0
2 Phoenix Suns1512380%110.7104.9+5.8
3 Brooklyn Nets1712571%108.4104.6+3.8
4 Miami Heat1611569%110.4102.3+8.1
5 Chicago Bulls1611569%108.8103.6+5.2
6 Utah Jazz1510567%111.4102.3+9.1
7 Washington Wizards1510567%106.2103.6+2.6
8 Dallas Mavericks159660%104.5106.1-1.6
9 Charlotte Hornets1710759%112.8113.6-0.8
10 Los Angeles Clippers169756%106.6103.1+3.6
11 Denver Nuggets169756%102.9100.1+2.8
12 Philadelphia 76ers169756%107.9105.6+2.3
13 New York Knicks169756%107.6106.6+0.9
14 Memphis Grizzlies158753%110.5113.1-2.6
15 Cleveland Cavaliers179853%101.7101.7+0.0
16 Boston Celtics168850%108.1106.5+1.6
17 Portland Trail Blazers168850%109.4109.1+0.2
18 Milwaukee Bucks168850%107.2108.0-0.8
19 Toronto Raptors178947%105.9105.1+0.8
20 Los Angeles Lakers178947%109.2113.3-4.1
21 Atlanta Hawks167944%109.0109.5-0.5
22 Minnesota Timberwolves156940%104.9106.3-1.4
23 Oklahoma City Thunder156940%98.1105.2-7.1
24 Sacramento Kings1661038%109.3110.3-1.0
25 Indiana Pacers1761135%107.0107.6-0.6
26 San Antonio Spurs1541127%107.1109.7-2.5
27 Detroit Pistons1541127%98.5107.4-8.9
28 Orlando Magic1641225%101.0109.7-8.7
29 New Orleans Pelicans1731418%101.3109.6-8.3
30 Houston Rockets161156%100.8111.6-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards26153032103
Miami Heat25183225100
← all games of the day
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