Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	111.8	110.9	222.7	+0.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	106.4	105.6	212.0	+0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	116.3	108.1	224.4	+8.2	70%

This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Denver Nuggets USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNuggets

Date

Competition

Los Angeles Clippers

131-115

131

115

+16

127avg 114

H30/04

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

105-111

105

111

-6

99avg 114

A02/05

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

120-101

120

101

+19

113avg 114

H03/05

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

121-119

121

119

113avg 114

A06/05

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

106-149

106

149

-43

87avg 114

A08/05

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

113-104 OT

113

104

109avg 114

H10/05

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

87-92

-5

73avg 114

H11/05

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

105-112

105

112

-7

91avg 114

A14/05

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

119-107

119

107

+12

118avg 114

H16/05

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

93-125

125

-32

83avg 114

A18/05

NBA

35-23

32-36

32-24

32-32

28-25

29-33

22-32

26-21

21-26

37-21

35-19

27-35

26-27

24-33

35-30

36-29

21-45

35-42

20-37

30-25

22-28

29-28

29-27

22-19

8-17

28-25

33-21

18-29

28-27

30-24

19-34

31-28

27-33

32-21

29-25

26-21

20-39

26-37

21-28

223.5Avg total

110.0Scored

113.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	110.0	113.5	223.5	-3.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	103.4	108.0	211.4	-4.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	106.3	115.4	221.7	-9.1	43%
vs Similar (18)	115.6	114.2	229.8	+1.3	61%
vs Weaker (5)	117.2	117.8	235.0	-0.6	20%

This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Oklahoma City ThunderDenver Nuggets

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	30.2	26.7	56.9	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	30.4	24.4	54.9	+6.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	29.9	29.3	59.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.0	24.4	52.4	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.6	26.2	55.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	30.2	26.7	56.9	+3.5	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.2	28.3	57.5	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	29.0	27.4	56.4	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	29.4	29.2	58.6	+0.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	26.7	51.3	-2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	24.2	47.2	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	23.1	27.6	50.7	-4.4	43%	-
vs Similar (18)	31.0	28.9	59.9	+2.1	61%	-
vs Weaker (5)	31.2	27.0	58.2	+4.2	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.0	28.5	57.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	31.4	26.4	57.8	+4.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	26.3	30.8	57.1	-4.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.2	28.4	55.6	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	30.0	53.4	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	29.0	28.5	57.5	+0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.1	30.4	58.5	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	29.1	29.9	58.9	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	27.0	30.9	57.9	-3.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.9	31.7	60.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	30.4	56.8	-4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	27.3	32.4	59.7	-5.1	43%	-
vs Similar (18)	27.8	29.1	56.9	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	30.2	32.0	62.2	-1.8	20%	-

Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Minnesota Timberwolves

41-72

-31

A25/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

65-57

A27/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

65-32

+33

H29/05

NBA

Indiana Pacers

57-45

+12

H06/06

NBA

Indiana Pacers

59-41

+18

H09/06

NBA

Indiana Pacers

60-64

-4

A12/06

NBA

Indiana Pacers

57-60

-3

A14/06

NBA

Indiana Pacers

59-45

+14

H17/06

NBA

Indiana Pacers

42-64

-22

A20/06

NBA

Indiana Pacers

47-48

-1

H23/06

NBA

108.0Avg total

55.2Scored

52.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	59.2	55.2	114.4	+4.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	61.8	50.9	112.7	+10.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	56.2	60.1	116.3	-3.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	55.2	52.8	108.0	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	53.0	56.2	109.2	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	59.2	55.2	114.4	+4.0	63%	-

This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Los Angeles Clippers

67-59

H30/04

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

57-58

-1

A02/05

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

58-47

+11

H03/05

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

50-60

-10

A06/05

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

56-87

-31

A08/05

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

51-56

-5

H10/05

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

36-42

-6

H11/05

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

56-54

A14/05

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

58-61

-3

H16/05

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

46-60

-14

A18/05

NBA

111.9Avg total

53.5Scored

58.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	57.3	58.6	115.9	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	58.1	57.3	115.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	56.4	60.1	116.6	-3.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	53.5	58.4	111.9	-4.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.4	54.6	104.0	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	50.4	60.0	110.4	-9.6	14%	-
vs Similar (18)	58.8	58.0	116.8	+0.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	61.4	59.0	120.4	+2.4	60%	-

This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.9	26.8	55.7	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	29.8	26.6	56.3	+3.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	28.0	27.0	55.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.1	28.4	55.5	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	25.4	51.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	28.9	26.8	55.7	+2.2	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.9	27.2	56.1	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	30.1	26.5	56.6	+3.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	27.6	27.9	55.5	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.4	27.2	56.6	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.0	26.0	56.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	29.3	28.1	57.4	+1.1	71%	-
vs Similar (18)	29.2	26.8	56.0	+2.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	27.2	27.2	54.4	+0.0	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.1	25.8	53.9	+2.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	28.4	26.1	54.5	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	27.6	25.5	53.1	+2.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.5	29.7	59.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	24.0	51.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	28.1	25.8	53.9	+2.3	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.7	27.9	53.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	27.1	26.8	53.9	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.2	29.1	53.4	-4.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.0	27.7	53.7	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	27.0	48.8	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	25.0	27.0	52.0	-2.0	57%	-
vs Similar (18)	25.2	27.2	52.4	-2.0	39%	-
vs Weaker (5)	28.6	31.6	60.2	-3.0	20%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	57.0	52.6	109.6	+4.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	58.2	52.6	110.8	+5.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	55.6	52.5	108.1	+3.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	56.6	58.1	114.7	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	53.4	49.4	102.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	57.0	52.6	109.6	+4.4	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	54.6	55.1	109.7	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	57.1	53.3	110.4	+3.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	51.8	57.1	108.9	-5.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	55.4	54.9	110.3	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.8	53.0	104.8	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	54.3	55.1	109.4	-0.9	57%	-
vs Similar (18)	54.4	54.0	108.4	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	55.8	58.8	114.6	-3.0	40%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 111.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws22.7 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game

49%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	53.9	27.3	50.6%	54.8%	54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.2	11.5	35.7%	35.8%	34.5
🏀 Free throws	27.5	22.7	82.5%	78.1%	22.7

They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game

49%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	50.8	26.5	52.2%	54.8%	53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.6	12.6	34.4%	35.8%	37.8
🏀 Free throws	24.5	19.2	78.4%	78.1%	19.2

They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	48.1	25.2	52.4%	54.8%	50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.7	13.9	38.9%	35.8%	41.7
🏀 Free throws	24.6	18.8	76.4%	78.1%	18.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	54.2	30.3	55.9%	54.8%	60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.8	11.6	32.4%	35.8%	34.8
🏀 Free throws	24.0	18.1	75.4%	78.1%	18.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	54.9	29.7	54.1%	54.8%	59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.1	12.3	34.2%	35.8%	37.0
🏀 Free throws	24.8	19.9	80.1%	78.1%	19.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	53.9	30.0	55.6%	54.8%	60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.3	11.6	34.8%	35.8%	34.8
🏀 Free throws	24.8	18.9	76.0%	78.1%	18.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	48.3	24.5	50.8%	54.8%	49.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	38.2	13.2	34.5%	35.8%	39.6
🏀 Free throws	24.7	19.4	78.7%	78.1%	19.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	53.6	29.4	54.9%	54.8%	58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	37.5	13.4	35.6%	35.8%	40.1
🏀 Free throws	21.6	16.2	74.9%	78.1%	16.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Oklahoma City Thunder

WLWWLWLWWL

Denver Nuggets

LWLLWLWWLW

League position

+0.9

Net rating

-3.5

111.3

Offensive rating

109.2

110.4

Defensive rating

112.7

51.7%

Effective FG%

51.9%

55.0%

Opp. effective FG%

53.0%

13.0%

Turnover %

14.8%

25.5%

Off. rebound %

27.4%

0.32

Free-throw rate

0.28

35.7%

3-point %

34.4%

49.0%

Assist %

56.8%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Oklahoma City Thunder ■ Denver Nuggets

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Oklahoma City Thunder wins

Denver Nuggets wins

Date	Game	Score
18/05/25	Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets	125-93
16/05/25	Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder	119-107
14/05/25	Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets	112-105
11/05/25	Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder	87-92
10/05/25	Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder	113-104 OT
08/05/25	Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets	149-106
06/05/25	Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets	119-121
11/03/25	Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets	127-140
09/03/25	Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets	127-103
07/11/24	Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder	124-122

Oklahoma City Thunderlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/06/25	H	Indiana Pacers	103-91
20/06/25	A	Indiana Pacers	91-108
17/06/25	H	Indiana Pacers	120-109
14/06/25	A	Indiana Pacers	111-104
12/06/25	A	Indiana Pacers	107-116
09/06/25	H	Indiana Pacers	123-107
06/06/25	H	Indiana Pacers	110-111
29/05/25	H	Minnesota Timberwolves	124-94
27/05/25	A	Minnesota Timberwolves	128-126
25/05/25	A	Minnesota Timberwolves	101-143

Denver Nuggetslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/05/25	A	Oklahoma City Thunder	93-125
16/05/25	H	Oklahoma City Thunder	119-107
14/05/25	A	Oklahoma City Thunder	105-112
11/05/25	H	Oklahoma City Thunder	87-92
10/05/25	H	Oklahoma City Thunder	113-104 OT
08/05/25	A	Oklahoma City Thunder	106-149
06/05/25	A	Oklahoma City Thunder	121-119
03/05/25	H	Los Angeles Clippers	120-101
02/05/25	A	Los Angeles Clippers	105-111
30/04/25	H	Los Angeles Clippers	131-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder

NBA 2025-26

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Denver Nuggets

NBA 2025-26

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Oklahoma City Thunder	22	24	20	28	94
Denver Nuggets	21	38	16	16	91

← all games of the day

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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