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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 10 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 95-99
23-36 26-25 29-19 17-19
Position#27
Record13-25
FormLWLLL
Points / game99.7
Allowed / game107.5
vs
Position#11
Record19-18
FormWWLLW
Points / game106.3
Allowed / game106.4
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets
30 Jan 2027
OKC v DEN
upcoming
22 Oct 2026
OKC96
DEN84
09 Mar 2026
OKC129
DEN126
27 Feb 2026
OKC127
DEN121
18 May 2025
OKC125
DEN93
13 May 2025
OKC112
DEN105
07 May 2025
OKC149
DEN106
05 May 2025
OKC119
DEN121
10 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN140
09 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN103
31 Jan 2024
OKC105
DEN100
29 Oct 2023
OKC95
DEN128
23 Nov 2022
OKC126
DEN131
03 Nov 2022
OKC110
DEN122
09 Jan 2022
OKC95
DEN99
22 Dec 2021
OKC108
DEN94
27 Feb 2021
OKC96
DEN126
03 Aug 2020
OKC113
DEN121
21 Feb 2020
OKC113
DEN101
29 Mar 2019
OKC105
DEN115
24 Nov 2018
OKC98
DEN105
30 Mar 2018
OKC125
DEN126
18 Dec 2017
OKC95
DEN94
12 Apr 2017
OKC105
DEN111
07 Jan 2017
OKC121
DEN106
27 Dec 2015
OKC122
DEN112
01 Nov 2015
OKC117
DEN93
22 Feb 2015
OKC119
DEN94
01 Nov 2014
OKC102
DEN91
24 Mar 2014
OKC117
DEN96
18 Nov 2013
OKC115
DEN113
19 Mar 2013
OKC104
DEN114
16 Jan 2013
OKC117
DEN97
25 Apr 2012
OKC101
DEN106
19 Feb 2012
OKC124
DEN118
27 Apr 2011
OKC100
DEN97
20 Apr 2011
OKC106
DEN89
17 Apr 2011
OKC107
DEN103
08 Apr 2011
OKC104
DEN89
25 Dec 2010
OKC114
DEN106
07 Apr 2010
OKC94
DEN98
29 Jan 2010
OKC101
DEN84
04 Feb 2009
OKC113
DEN114
02 Jan 2009
OKC120
DEN122
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
102-99
102
99
+3
94avg 92
A21/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
108-94
108
94
+14
103avg 92
H23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
101-113
101
113
-12
80avg 92
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
117-112
117
112
+5
110avg 92
H27/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
111-117
111
117
-6
93avg 92
A29/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
97-115
97
115
-18
80avg 92
A30/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
95-80
95
80
+15
87avg 92
H01/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
74avg 92
H03/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
90-98
90
98
-8
80avg 92
A06/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
105-135
105
135
-30
96avg 92
H08/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
31-22
27-22
28-27
28-18
32-34
28-14
20-28
17-29
31-16
21-37
32-31
32-18
25-31
32-32
28-31
34-32
23-29
24-26
30-30
23-33
29-27
29-25
16-30
23-20
28-29
23-16
21-15
22-26
17-25
25-22
22-22
10-30
26-19
27-20
27-29
28-32
29-41
23-30
25-32
207.0Avg total
101.2Scored
105.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)99.7107.5207.2-7.834%
Season at home (20)101.6106.0207.6-4.540%
Season away (18)97.6109.2206.7-11.628%
Last 10 (10)101.2105.8207.0-4.640%
Last 5 (5)94.6104.6199.2-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)98.9107.7206.6-8.833%
vs Similar (6)105.0104.7209.7+0.350%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
107-124
107
124
-17
105avg 105
H16/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
133-115
133
115
+18
136avg 105
A18/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
94-108
94
108
-14
78avg 105
A23/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
107-115
107
115
-8
97avg 105
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
103-100
103
100
+3
96avg 105
A27/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
89-86
89
86
+3
80avg 105
A29/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
124-111
124
111
+13
126avg 105
A02/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
89-103
89
103
-14
90avg 105
A04/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
109-115
109
115
-6
104avg 105
H06/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
121-111
121
111
+10
120avg 105
H08/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-40
29-35
27-33
19-16
29-26
43-28
34-33
27-28
18-28
34-32
14-28
28-20
26-27
39-25
29-25
13-38
32-30
32-25
15-28
24-17
31-16
29-20
14-25
15-25
30-31
47-24
22-19
25-37
20-24
17-22
26-23
26-34
26-26
30-31
22-31
31-27
35-23
31-31
30-31
25-26
216.4Avg total
107.6Scored
108.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)106.3106.4212.7-0.151%
Season at home (16)106.0103.6209.6+2.456%
Season away (21)106.5108.6215.1-2.048%
Last 10 (10)107.6108.8216.4-1.250%
Last 5 (5)106.4105.2211.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)97.0126.0223.0-29.00%
vs Similar (20)107.8108.7216.5-0.945%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)108.3105.7214.0+2.767%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -3.5-3.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -3.5-3.5
Oklahoma City ThunderDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A21/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H27/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A29/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A30/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H01/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H03/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A06/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H08/01
NBA
104.3Avg total
50.4Scored
53.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.755.0104.7-5.333%-
Last 30 at home (17)50.953.6104.5-2.647%-
Last 30 away (13)48.156.9105.0-8.815%-
Last 10 (10)50.453.9104.3-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)47.056.4103.4-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)49.455.2104.6-5.833%-
vs Similar (6)50.854.3105.2-3.533%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H16/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
72-54
72
54
+18
A18/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A23/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A27/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
60-36
60
36
+24
A29/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
77-55
77
55
+22
A02/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A04/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
56-57
56
57
-1
H06/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H08/01
NBA
115.4Avg total
61.0Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.453.6112.0+4.757%-
Last 30 at home (13)56.052.8108.8+3.246%-
Last 30 away (17)60.254.2114.4+5.965%-
Last 10 (10)61.054.4115.4+6.660%-
Last 5 (5)59.249.6108.8+9.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.073.0133.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (20)58.253.5111.7+4.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)58.451.9110.3+6.656%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 101.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.825.6
48.5%
53.1%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.911.3
30.6%
35.3%33.9
🏀 Free throws20.816.1
77.4%
77.4%16.1
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 107.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.228.0
56.9%
53.1%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.212.0
33.1%
35.3%36.0
🏀 Free throws21.015.6
74.3%
77.4%15.6
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LLLWLLWLWW
Denver Nuggets
WLLWWWLLWL
#27
League position
#11
-4.5
Net rating
-1.2
100.1
Offensive rating
107.3
104.6
Defensive rating
108.5
47.4%
Effective FG%
53.9%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
12.4%
Turnover %
14.7%
21.1%
Off. rebound %
20.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.25
30.6%
3-point %
33.1%
56.9%
Assist %
69.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 107.3Defence104.6 · 108.5Shooting47.4% · 53.9%3-point %30.6% · 33.1%Ball care12.4% · 14.7%Off. rebounds21.1% · 20.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/22HMinnesota Timberwolves105-135
06/01/22AMinnesota Timberwolves90-98
03/01/22HDallas Mavericks86-95
01/01/22HNew York Knicks95-80
30/12/21APhoenix Suns97-115
29/12/21ASacramento Kings111-117
27/12/21HNew Orleans Pelicans117-112
24/12/21APhoenix Suns101-113
23/12/21HDenver Nuggets108-94
21/12/21AMemphis Grizzlies102-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/22HSacramento Kings121-111
06/01/22HUtah Jazz109-115
04/01/22ADallas Mavericks89-103
02/01/22AHouston Rockets124-111
29/12/21AGolden State Warriors89-86
27/12/21ALos Angeles Clippers103-100
24/12/21HCharlotte Hornets107-115
23/12/21AOklahoma City Thunder94-108
18/12/21AAtlanta Hawks133-115
16/12/21HMinnesota Timberwolves107-124

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL34%
HomeWWWLL40%
AwayWLLLL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382018
Win %34%40%28%
Points / game99.7101.697.6
Allowed / game107.5106.0109.2
Point differential-7.8-4.5-11.6
Avg total207.2207.7206.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%15%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)57% (7)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW51%
HomeWLLLW56%
AwayLWWWL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371621
Win %51%56%48%
Points / game106.3106.0106.5
Allowed / game106.4103.6108.6
Point differential-0.1+2.4-2.0
Avg total212.7209.6215.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%25%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns3930977%112.1105.0+7.1
2 Golden State Warriors3829976%110.2101.4+8.7
3 Chicago Bulls36261072%111.2107.4+3.8
4 Utah Jazz40281270%115.7107.0+8.7
5 Memphis Grizzlies41271466%111.7107.6+4.1
6 Brooklyn Nets38251366%111.0108.4+2.6
7 Miami Heat40251562%108.4104.2+4.2
8 Milwaukee Bucks42261662%112.1108.2+4.0
9 Philadelphia 76ers38221658%107.4106.0+1.4
10 Cleveland Cavaliers39221756%107.8102.5+5.3
11 Toronto Raptors37201754%108.2106.6+1.5
12 Dallas Mavericks39211854%105.6103.4+2.2
13 Los Angeles Lakers40211952%111.8112.2-0.3
14 Charlotte Hornets40211952%115.5116.3-0.8
15 Denver Nuggets37191851%106.3106.4-0.1
16 Washington Wizards40202050%107.3109.6-2.2
17 Los Angeles Clippers41202149%105.1105.8-0.6
18 Minnesota Timberwolves39192049%108.8108.3+0.5
19 Boston Celtics40192148%107.7106.1+1.5
20 New York Knicks40192148%104.0105.2-1.2
21 Atlanta Hawks39172244%110.8111.5-0.6
22 Sacramento Kings41162539%109.5113.9-4.5
23 San Antonio Spurs39152438%110.9110.9-0.0
24 Indiana Pacers40152538%108.1108.0+0.1
25 Portland Trail Blazers38142437%108.8113.3-4.5
26 New Orleans Pelicans40142635%105.2110.2-5.0
27 Oklahoma City Thunder38132534%99.7107.5-7.8
28 Houston Rockets40112928%107.5115.9-8.4
29 Detroit Pistons3883021%100.9110.6-9.7
30 Orlando Magic4173417%101.7110.9-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder2326291795
Denver Nuggets3625191999
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