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Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 111-103
30-32 33-26 19-24 29-21
Position#15
Record19-19
FormWWWLW
Points / game106.7
Allowed / game108.4
vs
Position#28
Record15-25
FormLLLLL
Points / game106.5
Allowed / game112.7
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Miami Heat v Orlando Magic
11 Apr 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
10 Mar 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
MIA117
ORL121
28 Jan 2026
MIA124
ORL133
04 Oct 2025
MIA118
ORL126
27 Jan 2025
MIA125
ORL119
23 Oct 2024
MIA97
ORL116
06 Feb 2024
MIA121
ORL95
12 Jan 2024
MIA99
ORL96
09 Apr 2023
MIA123
ORL110
27 Jan 2023
MIA110
ORL105
26 Dec 2021
MIA93
ORL83
25 Oct 2021
MIA107
ORL90
11 Mar 2021
MIA111
ORL103
04 Mar 2020
MIA116
ORL113
27 Jan 2020
MIA113
ORL92
09 Jul 2019
MIA96
ORL92
26 Mar 2019
MIA99
ORL104
04 Dec 2018
MIA90
ORL105
08 Oct 2018
MIA90
ORL89
05 Feb 2018
MIA109
ORL111
26 Dec 2017
MIA107
ORL89
13 Feb 2017
MIA107
ORL116
20 Dec 2016
MIA130
ORL136
18 Oct 2016
MIA107
ORL77
10 Apr 2016
MIA118
ORL96
25 Mar 2016
MIA108
ORL97
07 Oct 2015
MIA97
ORL100
13 Apr 2015
MIA100
ORL93
29 Dec 2014
MIA101
ORL102
07 Oct 2014
MIA101
ORL108
01 Mar 2014
MIA112
ORL98
23 Nov 2013
MIA101
ORL99
17 Apr 2013
MIA105
ORL93
06 Mar 2013
MIA97
ORL96
18 Mar 2012
MIA91
ORL81
19 Feb 2012
MIA90
ORL78
18 Dec 2011
MIA118
ORL85
03 Mar 2011
MIA96
ORL99
29 Oct 2010
MIA96
ORL70
18 Mar 2010
MIA102
ORL108
17 Dec 2009
MIA104
ORL86
30 Mar 2009
MIA95
ORL101
24 Jan 2009
MIA103
ORL97
18 Oct 2008
MIA92
ORL100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
118-125
118
125
-7
A16/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
112-120 OT
112
120
-8
A18/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
118-110
118
110
+8
A19/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
96-94
96
94
+2
A21/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
108-94
108
94
+14
A23/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
116-108
116
108
+8
H25/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
124-116
124
116
+8
H27/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
109-99
109
99
+10
H01/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
80-94
80
94
-14
H03/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
103-93
103
93
+10
A05/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-33
27-34
29-25
27-33
36-24
25-22
25-30
19-29
31-21
26-22
32-36
29-31
36-23
23-29
22-25
15-17
23-21
22-33
34-23
29-17
32-35
34-21
26-29
24-23
26-30
31-23
39-41
28-22
26-21
28-23
24-33
31-22
17-23
20-21
29-19
14-31
31-15
24-30
22-25
26-23
213.7Avg total
108.4Scored
105.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)106.7108.4215.1-1.850%
Season at home (19)106.2107.9214.1-1.753%
Season away (19)107.2109.0216.2-1.847%
Last 10 (10)108.4105.3213.7+3.170%
Last 5 (5)106.4102.0208.4+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)108.2117.7225.9-9.411%
vs Similar (19)106.7105.7212.4+0.963%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)104.594.0198.5+10.5100%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
123-112
123
112
+11
A13/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
90-109
90
109
-19
A15/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
107-89
107
89
+18
H18/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
124-120
124
120
+4
H20/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
105-96
105
96
+9
H22/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
L
93-105
93
105
-12
H24/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
92-129
92
129
-37
A26/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
109-124
109
124
-15
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
124-130
124
130
-6
H02/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
112-115
112
115
-3
H04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-33
31-26
33-28
26-25
16-28
19-24
25-32
30-25
23-32
30-24
30-14
24-19
37-34
27-17
29-43
31-26
28-26
28-22
27-28
22-20
24-34
27-19
14-26
28-26
28-24
19-41
25-27
20-37
21-22
29-32
26-33
33-37
33-29
25-32
28-34
38-35
39-27
22-15
29-36
22-37
220.8Avg total
107.9Scored
112.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)106.5112.7219.2-6.238%
Season at home (22)107.3111.8219.1-4.541%
Season away (18)105.5113.7219.2-8.233%
Last 10 (10)107.9112.9220.8-5.040%
Last 5 (5)106.0120.6226.6-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)105.2114.0219.2-8.823%
vs Similar (4)98.8101.2200.0-2.575%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
Miami HeatOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A16/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A18/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A19/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A21/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A23/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H25/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H27/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H01/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H03/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A05/03
NBA
105.7Avg total
55.3Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.854.0108.8+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.352.5106.8+1.864%-
Last 30 away (16)55.255.4110.6-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)55.350.4105.7+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)53.848.4102.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)51.856.4108.2-4.744%-
vs Similar (19)57.152.9110.1+4.268%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)46.053.599.5-7.50%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A13/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A15/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H18/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H20/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H22/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H24/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
47-65
47
65
-18
A26/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H02/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H04/03
NBA
108.0Avg total
53.9Scored
54.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.055.2106.2-4.133%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.654.9109.6-0.347%-
Last 30 away (13)46.355.5101.8-9.215%-
Last 10 (10)53.954.1108.0-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)53.455.0108.4-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)52.355.7108.0-3.331%-
vs Similar (4)42.551.894.2-9.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 108.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.727.8
54.8%
52.8%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.211.7
34.2%
36.6%35.1
🏀 Free throws21.517.7
82.3%
77.7%17.7
They take 84.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 107.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.726.3
49.0%
52.8%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.013.4
37.2%
36.6%40.2
🏀 Free throws18.415.1
82.1%
77.7%15.1
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLWWWWWWLL
Orlando Magic
LLLLLWWWLW
#15
League position
#28
+3.2
Net rating
-5.0
110.9
Offensive rating
106.9
107.7
Defensive rating
111.8
53.4%
Effective FG%
51.7%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
12.4%
Turnover %
10.6%
21.4%
Off. rebound %
16.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.21
34.2%
3-point %
37.2%
68.1%
Assist %
60.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 106.9Defence107.7 · 111.8Shooting53.4% · 51.7%3-point %34.2% · 37.2%Ball care12.4% · 10.6%Off. rebounds21.4% · 16.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Orlando Magic wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/21ANew Orleans Pelicans103-93
03/03/21HAtlanta Hawks80-94
01/03/21HAtlanta Hawks109-99
27/02/21HUtah Jazz124-116
25/02/21HToronto Raptors116-108
23/02/21AOklahoma City Thunder108-94
21/02/21ALos Angeles Lakers96-94
19/02/21ASacramento Kings118-110
18/02/21AGolden State Warriors112-120 OT
16/02/21ALos Angeles Clippers118-125
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/21HAtlanta Hawks112-115
02/03/21HDallas Mavericks124-130
28/02/21HUtah Jazz109-124
26/02/21ABrooklyn Nets92-129
24/02/21HDetroit Pistons93-105
22/02/21HDetroit Pistons105-96
20/02/21HGolden State Warriors124-120
18/02/21HNew York Knicks107-89
15/02/21APhoenix Suns90-109
13/02/21ASacramento Kings123-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW50%
HomeWWWWL53%
AwayLWWWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %50%53%47%
Points / game106.7106.2107.2
Allowed / game108.4107.9109.0
Point differential-1.8-1.7-1.8
Avg total215.1214.1216.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%26%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %8%5%11%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL38%
HomeWLLLL41%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402218
Win %38%41%33%
Points / game106.5107.3105.5
Allowed / game112.7111.8113.7
Point differential-6.2-4.5-8.2
Avg total219.2219.1219.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %2%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz3930977%116.7107.3+9.5
2 Philadelphia 76ers38261268%114.4110.7+3.7
3 Los Angeles Lakers41281368%111.3105.9+5.5
4 Brooklyn Nets40271368%120.8115.2+5.7
5 Phoenix Suns39241562%112.6107.8+4.8
6 Denver Nuggets39231659%116.2109.7+6.5
7 Los Angeles Clippers41241759%113.6109.8+3.8
8 Milwaukee Bucks39221756%118.1113.3+4.8
9 Portland Trail Blazers39221756%113.6115.4-1.8
10 Dallas Mavericks38211755%112.7112.3+0.4
11 Memphis Grizzlies37201754%112.8110.5+2.2
12 New York Knicks41221954%104.4103.0+1.4
13 Golden State Warriors40211952%113.2112.5+0.7
14 Chicago Bulls38191950%114.4114.2+0.2
15 San Antonio Spurs36181850%110.2111.8-1.6
16 Miami Heat38191950%106.7108.4-1.8
17 Boston Celtics39192049%110.7111.1-0.3
18 Toronto Raptors40192148%112.9111.6+1.3
19 Charlotte Hornets40192148%112.5113.0-0.6
20 Atlanta Hawks41192246%112.8112.8+0.0
21 New Orleans Pelicans38172145%115.7115.2+0.6
22 Indiana Pacers38162242%112.2112.5-0.3
23 Oklahoma City Thunder39162341%106.1111.5-5.4
24 Sacramento Kings40162440%114.3119.8-5.5
25 Cleveland Cavaliers40162440%104.1111.6-7.5
26 Washington Wizards38152339%113.5118.2-4.7
27 Orlando Magic40152538%106.5112.7-6.2
28 Houston Rockets38142437%108.2111.8-3.6
29 Detroit Pistons41122929%106.5109.7-3.3
30 Minnesota Timberwolves3983121%108.3117.2-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat30331929111
Orlando Magic32262421103
← all games of the day
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