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Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 97-116
32-32 22-26 18-39 25-19
Position#20
Record-
FormLLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#15
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Kaseya Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Miami Heat v Orlando Magic
10 Mar 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
MIA117
ORL121
28 Jan 2026
MIA124
ORL133
27 Jan 2025
MIA125
ORL119
23 Oct 2024
MIA97
ORL116
06 Feb 2024
MIA121
ORL95
12 Jan 2024
MIA99
ORL96
09 Apr 2023
MIA123
ORL110
27 Jan 2023
MIA110
ORL105
26 Dec 2021
MIA93
ORL83
25 Oct 2021
MIA107
ORL90
11 Mar 2021
MIA111
ORL103
04 Mar 2020
MIA116
ORL113
27 Jan 2020
MIA113
ORL92
26 Mar 2019
MIA99
ORL104
04 Dec 2018
MIA90
ORL105
05 Feb 2018
MIA109
ORL111
26 Dec 2017
MIA107
ORL89
13 Feb 2017
MIA107
ORL116
20 Dec 2016
MIA130
ORL136
10 Apr 2016
MIA118
ORL96
25 Mar 2016
MIA108
ORL97
13 Apr 2015
MIA100
ORL93
29 Dec 2014
MIA101
ORL102
01 Mar 2014
MIA112
ORL98
23 Nov 2013
MIA101
ORL99
17 Apr 2013
MIA105
ORL93
06 Mar 2013
MIA97
ORL96
18 Mar 2012
MIA91
ORL81
19 Feb 2012
MIA90
ORL78
18 Dec 2011
MIA118
ORL85
03 Mar 2011
MIA96
ORL99
29 Oct 2010
MIA96
ORL70
18 Mar 2010
MIA102
ORL108
17 Dec 2009
MIA104
ORL86
30 Mar 2009
MIA95
ORL101
24 Jan 2009
MIA103
ORL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
104-105
104
105
-1
94avg 104
A17/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
112-91
112
91
+21
111avg 104
H19/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
94-114
94
114
-20
86avg 104
A21/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
111-101
111
101
+10
109avg 104
A24/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
84-104
84
104
-20
74avg 104
H27/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
88-102
88
102
-14
74avg 104
H29/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
84-118
84
118
-34
66avg 104
A01/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
66-105
66
105
-39
no box
A06/07
California Classic
Sacramento Kings
#4
W
102-86
102
86
+16
no box
A07/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
W
80-76
80
76
+4
98avg 104
A10/07
California Classic
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
28-17
23-30
30-36
34-17
13-20
35-23
30-31
21-26
24-34
14-31
35-23
28-27
30-34
27-18
26-22
12-21
27-42
22-24
23-17
24-34
12-19
23-28
29-21
23-41
23-27
20-30
18-20
12-19
22-31
11-30
21-25
27-20
29-24
20-22
26-20
21-21
15-19
23-18
21-18
192.7Avg total
92.5Scored
100.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.5100.2192.7-7.740%
Last 5 (5)84.097.4181.4-13.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)91.1104.6195.8-13.525%
vs Similar ◀ (14)104.3104.1208.4+0.243%
vs Weaker (8)113.097.1210.1+15.988%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
99-117
99
117
-18
86avg 103
A11/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
113-125
113
125
-12
101avg 103
A12/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
113-88
113
88
+25
110avg 103
H14/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
83-97
83
97
-14
61avg 103
A20/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
86-96
86
96
-10
72avg 103
A22/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
121-83
121
83
+38
117avg 103
H25/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
112-89
112
89
+23
112avg 103
H27/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
103-104
103
104
-1
93avg 103
A01/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
103-96
103
96
+7
90avg 103
H03/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
94-106
94
106
-12
80avg 103
A05/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
27-37
27-32
22-21
27-40
34-28
22-28
30-29
22-30
25-12
33-29
33-17
26-33
15-20
17-20
25-24
18-30
26-28
21-22
21-16
31-21
30-24
35-16
25-22
22-23
29-37
37-10
24-19
23-33
24-15
23-27
33-29
29-25
24-24
20-29
30-18
24-18
29-25
15-33
26-30
202.8Avg total
102.7Scored
100.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)102.7100.1202.8+2.640%
Last 5 (5)106.695.6202.2+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)102.7102.6205.4+0.137%
vs Weaker (11)112.3100.7213.0+11.591%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +4.4+4.4
Miami HeatOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A17/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H19/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A21/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A24/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
39-63
39
63
-24
H27/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H29/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
46-68
46
68
-22
A01/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A06/07
California Classic
Sacramento Kings
#4
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A07/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A10/07
California Classic
96.3Avg total
44.8Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.951.6104.6+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.150.0103.1+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)52.853.1105.8-0.356%-
Last 10 (10)44.851.596.3-6.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.651.092.6-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)46.455.8102.1-9.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)52.751.1103.9+1.657%-
vs Weaker (8)59.948.4108.2+11.588%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
50-64
50
64
-14
A11/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A12/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H14/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A20/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A22/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
61-45
61
45
+16
H25/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H27/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A01/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H03/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A05/05
NBA
103.8Avg total
50.8Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.251.1103.3+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.347.2101.5+7.182%-
Last 30 away (13)49.556.2105.7-6.631%-
Last 10 (10)50.853.0103.8-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)53.049.0102.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)50.652.3102.9-1.647%-
vs Weaker (11)55.049.0104.0+6.082%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 99.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.426.2
53.0%
54.3%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.411.5
33.4%
35.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws15.612.9
82.7%
77.8%12.9
They take 83.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 102.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.126.6
51.1%
54.3%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.510.2
31.4%
35.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws24.318.9
77.8%
77.8%18.9
They take 84.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWLLLLWLWL
Orlando Magic
LWLWWLLWLL
#20
League position
#15
-2.0
Net rating
+2.7
106.0
Offensive rating
105.5
108.1
Defensive rating
102.8
51.8%
Effective FG%
49.5%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
12.3%
Turnover %
13.7%
20.5%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.4%
3-point %
31.4%
63.1%
Assist %
56.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 105.5Defence108.1 · 102.8Shooting51.8% · 49.5%3-point %33.4% · 31.4%Ball care12.3% · 13.7%Off. rebounds20.5% · 24.5%Free throws0.19 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Miami Heat wins
3
Orlando Magic wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/07/24ALos Angeles Lakers80-76
07/07/24ASacramento Kings102-86
06/07/24AGolden State Warriors66-105
01/05/24ABoston Celtics84-118
29/04/24HBoston Celtics88-102
27/04/24HBoston Celtics84-104
24/04/24ABoston Celtics111-101
21/04/24ABoston Celtics94-114
19/04/24HChicago Bulls112-91
17/04/24APhiladelphia 76ers104-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/24ACleveland Cavaliers94-106
03/05/24HCleveland Cavaliers103-96
01/05/24ACleveland Cavaliers103-104
27/04/24HCleveland Cavaliers112-89
25/04/24HCleveland Cavaliers121-83
22/04/24ACleveland Cavaliers86-96
20/04/24ACleveland Cavaliers83-97
14/04/24HMilwaukee Bucks113-88
12/04/24APhiladelphia 76ers113-125
11/04/24AMilwaukee Bucks99-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Orlando Magic
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics110100%132.0109.0+23.0
2 Los Angeles Lakers110100%110.0103.0+7.0
3 Indiana Pacers110100%115.0109.0+6.0
4 Detroit Pistons1010%109.0115.0-6.0
5 Minnesota Timberwolves1010%103.0110.0-7.0
6 New York Knicks1010%109.0132.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat3222182597
Orlando Magic32263919116
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