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Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 98-118
21-31 27-25 22-33 28-29
Position#29
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game118.0
Allowed / game124.0
vs
Position#20
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game106.0
Allowed / game109.0
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Miami Heat
17 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
WAS117
MIA140
08 Feb 2026
WAS101
MIA132
31 Mar 2025
WAS94
MIA120
02 Nov 2024
WAS98
MIA118
31 Mar 2024
WAS107
MIA119
02 Feb 2024
WAS102
MIA110
07 Apr 2023
WAS114
MIA108
18 Nov 2022
WAS107
MIA106
07 Feb 2022
WAS100
MIA121
20 Nov 2021
WAS103
MIA100
09 Jan 2021
WAS124
MIA128
08 Mar 2020
WAS89
MIA100
30 Dec 2019
WAS123
MIA105
23 Mar 2019
WAS108
MIA113
18 Oct 2018
WAS112
MIA113
06 Mar 2018
WAS117
MIA113
17 Nov 2017
WAS88
MIA91
08 Apr 2017
WAS103
MIA106
19 Nov 2016
WAS111
MIA114
20 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIA87
03 Jan 2016
WAS75
MIA97
06 Mar 2015
WAS99
MIA97
01 Dec 2014
WAS107
MIA86
14 Apr 2014
WAS114
MIA93
15 Jan 2014
WAS114
MIA97
10 Apr 2013
WAS98
MIA103
04 Dec 2012
WAS105
MIA101
26 Apr 2012
WAS104
MIA70
10 Feb 2012
WAS89
MIA106
30 Mar 2011
WAS107
MIA123
18 Dec 2010
WAS94
MIA95
22 Jan 2010
WAS88
MIA112
04 Nov 2009
WAS89
MIA93
04 Apr 2009
WAS104
MIA118
18 Nov 2008
WAS87
MIA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
120-125
120
125
-5
112avg 104
H03/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
102-108
102
108
-6
91avg 104
H05/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
122-130
122
130
-8
115avg 104
A07/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
121-130
121
130
-9
113avg 104
A10/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
127-129
127
129
-2
123avg 104
H12/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
122-132
122
132
-10
111avg 104
A14/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
102-122
102
122
-20
89avg 104
H24/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
116-135
116
135
-19
102avg 104
H26/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
121-119
121
119
+2
110avg 104
A28/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
133-120
133
120
+13
130avg 104
H30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-39
31-28
26-34
34-24
27-32
24-27
30-27
21-22
17-42
33-21
37-36
35-31
44-26
26-34
24-39
27-31
40-33
22-32
33-33
32-31
30-34
29-35
30-38
33-25
32-33
22-31
19-34
29-24
25-28
28-31
28-38
35-38
25-28
29-33
30-22
37-36
33-34
24-31
36-27
40-28
243.6Avg total
118.6Scored
125.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)118.0124.0242.0-6.050%
Season at home (3)117.0125.7242.7-8.733%
Season away (1)121.0119.0240.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)118.6125.0243.6-6.420%
Last 5 (5)118.8125.6244.4-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)114.7123.6238.3-8.925%
vs Similar (6)105.3108.7214.0-3.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#1
L
84-104
84
104
-20
74avg 104
H27/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
88-102
88
102
-14
74avg 104
H29/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
84-118
84
118
-34
66avg 104
A01/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
66-105
66
105
-39
no box
A06/07
California Classic
Sacramento Kings
#4
W
102-86
102
86
+16
no box
A07/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
W
80-76
80
76
+4
98avg 104
A10/07
California Classic
Orlando Magic
#15
L
97-116
97
116
-19
87avg 104
H23/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
114-106
114
106
+8
111avg 104
A26/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
106-98
106
98
+8
96avg 104
H28/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
107-116
107
116
-9
100avg 104
H30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
27-42
22-24
23-17
24-34
12-19
23-28
29-21
23-41
23-27
20-30
18-20
12-19
22-31
11-30
21-25
27-20
29-24
20-22
26-20
21-21
15-19
23-18
21-18
32-32
22-26
18-39
25-19
23-23
33-25
27-24
31-34
28-30
36-23
14-26
28-19
32-26
26-26
22-35
27-29
195.5Avg total
92.8Scored
102.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)106.0109.0215.0-3.050%
Season at home (3)103.3110.0213.3-6.733%
Season away (1)114.0106.0220.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.8102.7195.5-9.940%
Last 5 (5)100.8102.4203.2-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)92.0105.8197.8-13.825%
vs Similar (15)105.0104.7209.7+0.347%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)114.696.9211.4+17.7100%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -7.6-7.6Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +2.7+2.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -7.6-7.6Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +2.7+2.7
Washington WizardsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
60-67
60
67
-7
H03/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H05/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A07/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A10/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H12/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A14/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H24/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H26/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A28/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H30/10
NBA
120.2Avg total
57.0Scored
63.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.862.1117.9-6.327%-
Last 30 at home (18)55.059.7114.7-4.728%-
Last 30 away (12)57.165.7122.8-8.625%-
Last 10 (10)57.063.2120.2-6.210%-
Last 5 (5)55.463.6119.0-8.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)58.063.4121.5-5.425%-
vs Similar (6)47.056.8103.8-9.833%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#1
L
39-63
39
63
-24
H27/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H29/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
46-68
46
68
-22
A01/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A06/07
California Classic
Sacramento Kings
#4
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A07/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A10/07
California Classic
Orlando Magic
#15
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H23/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A26/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H28/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H30/10
NBA
100.8Avg total
47.9Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.652.0105.7+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.851.0105.8+3.860%-
Last 30 away (15)52.553.1105.5-0.653%-
Last 10 (10)47.952.9100.8-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)53.650.2103.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)46.556.4102.9-9.925%-
vs Similar (15)54.151.8105.9+2.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)60.747.6108.3+13.186%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 118.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.627.9
54.1%
54.3%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.015.0
37.5%
35.9%45.0
🏀 Free throws22.617.8
78.8%
77.8%17.8
They take 91.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 96.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.023.9
49.8%
54.3%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.011.8
33.7%
35.9%35.4
🏀 Free throws17.213.1
76.2%
77.8%13.1
They take 83.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
WWLLLLLLLL
Miami Heat
LWWLWWLLLL
#29
League position
#20
-6.0
Net rating
-9.4
111.6
Offensive rating
103.1
117.7
Defensive rating
112.5
55.0%
Effective FG%
50.1%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
13.0%
Turnover %
11.5%
19.4%
Off. rebound %
18.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.21
37.5%
3-point %
33.7%
64.8%
Assist %
64.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 103.1Defence117.7 · 112.5Shooting55.0% · 50.1%3-point %37.5% · 33.7%Ball care13.0% · 11.5%Off. rebounds19.4% · 18.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Washington Wizards wins
7
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/24HAtlanta Hawks133-120
28/10/24AAtlanta Hawks121-119
26/10/24HCleveland Cavaliers116-135
24/10/24HBoston Celtics102-122
14/04/24ABoston Celtics122-132
12/04/24HChicago Bulls127-129
10/04/24AMinnesota Timberwolves121-130
07/04/24AToronto Raptors122-130
05/04/24HPortland Trail Blazers102-108
03/04/24HLos Angeles Lakers120-125
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/24HNew York Knicks107-116
28/10/24HDetroit Pistons106-98
26/10/24ACharlotte Hornets114-106
23/10/24HOrlando Magic97-116
10/07/24ALos Angeles Lakers80-76
07/07/24ASacramento Kings102-86
06/07/24AGolden State Warriors66-105
01/05/24ABoston Celtics84-118
29/04/24HBoston Celtics88-102
27/04/24HBoston Celtics84-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%33%100%
Points / game118.0117.0121.0
Allowed / game124.0125.7119.0
Point differential-6.0-8.7+2.0
Avg total242.0242.7240.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%33%100%
Points / game106.0103.3114.0
Allowed / game109.0110.0106.0
Point differential-3.0-6.7+8.0
Avg total215.0213.3220.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder550100%117.298.6+18.6
2 Cleveland Cavaliers770100%123.1108.4+14.7
3 Boston Celtics76186%123.7112.0+11.7
4 Golden State Warriors65183%121.0103.0+18.0
5 Phoenix Suns54180%116.0112.4+3.6
6 Los Angeles Lakers64267%118.3119.0-0.7
7 New York Knicks53260%116.0109.0+7.0
8 Dallas Mavericks53260%110.8109.4+1.4
9 Memphis Grizzlies74357%119.0116.3+2.7
10 Sacramento Kings63350%119.5114.7+4.8
11 Houston Rockets63350%112.3109.5+2.8
12 Orlando Magic63350%111.7109.8+1.8
13 Brooklyn Nets63350%118.3116.7+1.7
14 San Antonio Spurs63350%105.2104.7+0.5
15 Minnesota Timberwolves63350%111.3112.5-1.2
16 Miami Heat42250%106.0109.0-3.0
17 Chicago Bulls63350%113.2116.8-3.7
18 New Orleans Pelicans63350%108.5114.2-5.7
19 Washington Wizards42250%118.0124.0-6.0
20 Los Angeles Clippers52340%111.6111.0+0.6
21 Denver Nuggets52340%115.6118.8-3.2
22 Charlotte Hornets62433%114.3119.0-4.7
23 Indiana Pacers62433%115.8121.0-5.2
24 Atlanta Hawks62433%117.2123.5-6.3
25 Portland Trail Blazers62433%108.3116.8-8.5
26 Toronto Raptors72529%119.4125.6-6.1
27 Philadelphia 76ers51420%107.2116.4-9.2
28 Milwaukee Bucks61517%111.3118.7-7.3
29 Detroit Pistons61517%104.8113.5-8.7
30 Utah Jazz5050%99.2116.4-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards2127222898
Miami Heat31253329118
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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