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Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 May 2024
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 118-84
41-23 27-23 30-20 20-18
Position#1
Record67-18
FormWWLWW
Points / game120.0
Allowed / game108.4
vs
Position#18
Record48-40
FormWLWLL
Points / game109.4
Allowed / game108.0
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Miami Heat
02 Apr 2027
BOS v MIA
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
BOS v MIA
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
BOS98
MIA96
19 Dec 2025
BOS129
MIA116
02 Apr 2025
BOS103
MIA124
02 Dec 2024
BOS108
MIA89
01 May 2024
BOS118
MIA84
24 Apr 2024
BOS101
MIA111
21 Apr 2024
BOS114
MIA94
27 Oct 2023
BOS119
MIA111
29 May 2023
BOS84
MIA103
25 May 2023
BOS110
MIA97
19 May 2023
BOS105
MIA111
17 May 2023
BOS116
MIA123
02 Dec 2022
BOS116
MIA120
30 Nov 2022
BOS134
MIA121
27 May 2022
BOS103
MIA111
23 May 2022
BOS102
MIA82
21 May 2022
BOS103
MIA109
30 Mar 2022
BOS98
MIA106
31 Jan 2022
BOS122
MIA92
11 May 2021
BOS121
MIA129
09 May 2021
BOS124
MIA130
25 Sep 2020
BOS121
MIA108
17 Sep 2020
BOS101
MIA106
15 Sep 2020
BOS114
MIA117
04 Dec 2019
BOS112
MIA93
01 Apr 2019
BOS110
MIA105
21 Jan 2019
BOS107
MIA99
20 Dec 2017
BOS89
MIA90
26 Mar 2017
BOS112
MIA108
30 Dec 2016
BOS117
MIA114
13 Apr 2016
BOS98
MIA88
27 Feb 2016
BOS101
MIA89
25 Mar 2015
BOS86
MIA93
01 Feb 2015
BOS75
MIA83
19 Mar 2014
BOS101
MIA96
18 Mar 2013
BOS103
MIA105
27 Jan 2013
BOS100
MIA98
07 Jun 2012
BOS79
MIA98
03 Jun 2012
BOS93
MIA91
01 Jun 2012
BOS101
MIA91
24 Apr 2012
BOS78
MIA66
01 Apr 2012
BOS91
MIA72
09 May 2011
BOS90
MIA98
07 May 2011
BOS97
MIA81
13 Feb 2011
BOS85
MIA82
26 Oct 2010
BOS88
MIA80
27 Apr 2010
BOS96
MIA86
20 Apr 2010
BOS106
MIA77
17 Apr 2010
BOS85
MIA76
03 Feb 2010
BOS107
MIA102
10 Apr 2009
BOS105
MIA98
18 Mar 2009
BOS112
MIA108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
101-100
101
100
+1
95avg 112
H05/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
124-107
124
107
+17
125avg 112
H07/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
91-104
91
104
-13
79avg 112
A09/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
109-118
109
118
-9
99avg 112
H11/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
131-98
131
98
+33
128avg 112
H12/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
132-122
132
122
+10
132avg 112
H14/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
114-94
114
94
+20
112avg 112
H21/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
101-111
101
111
-10
92avg 112
H24/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
104-84
104
84
+20
97avg 112
A27/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
102-88
102
88
+14
93avg 112
A29/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
27-35
30-22
17-28
30-24
33-32
30-29
31-22
21-37
22-26
24-15
24-26
29-32
19-37
23-31
38-18
30-24
39-19
25-33
37-22
34-30
35-29
38-30
25-33
26-21
34-24
31-14
23-35
27-28
34-30
18-27
22-26
21-12
42-27
24-22
17-23
34-24
19-12
28-23
21-29
213.5Avg total
110.9Scored
102.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (85)120.0108.4228.3+11.679%
Season at home (43)122.4107.7230.1+14.788%
Season away (42)117.4109.1226.5+8.369%
Last 10 (10)110.9102.6213.5+8.370%
Last 5 (5)110.699.8210.4+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)135.0100.0235.0+35.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)117.5104.9222.3+12.676%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
113avg 101
A09/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
92-111
92
111
-19
87avg 101
H10/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
125-103
125
103
+22
125avg 101
H13/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
118-103
118
103
+15
118avg 101
H14/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
104-105
104
105
-1
94avg 101
A17/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
112-91
112
91
+21
111avg 101
H19/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
94-114
94
114
-20
86avg 101
A21/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
111-101
111
101
+10
109avg 101
A24/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
84-104
84
104
-20
74avg 101
H27/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
88-102
88
102
-14
74avg 101
H29/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-27
29-20
21-33
21-21
24-33
23-36
27-19
18-23
33-22
33-28
26-25
33-28
24-24
43-22
27-25
24-32
23-22
28-17
23-30
30-36
34-17
13-20
35-23
30-31
21-26
24-34
14-31
35-23
28-27
30-34
27-18
26-22
12-21
27-42
22-24
23-17
24-34
12-19
23-28
29-21
209.0Avg total
104.5Scored
104.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (88)109.4108.0217.4+1.455%
Season at home (44)111.0109.5220.4+1.552%
Season away (44)107.8106.6214.4+1.257%
Last 10 (10)104.5104.5209.0+0.050%
Last 5 (5)97.8102.4200.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)95.4105.6201.0-10.220%
vs Similar (16)104.1104.6208.7-0.638%
vs Weaker (9)118.7103.4222.1+15.289%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.5+1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.5+1.5
Boston CelticsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H05/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H07/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A09/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
48-69
48
69
-21
H11/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
69-43
69
43
+26
H12/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H14/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H21/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H24/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
63-39
63
39
+24
A27/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A29/04
NBA
110.1Avg total
58.3Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.753.0115.7+9.790%-
Last 30 at home (14)62.852.6115.4+10.193%-
Last 30 away (16)62.653.3115.9+9.288%-
Last 10 (10)58.351.8110.1+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)61.247.4108.6+13.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)61.047.0108.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)62.753.2115.9+9.590%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A09/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
47-69
47
69
-22
H10/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H13/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
67-46
67
46
+21
H14/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A17/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H19/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A21/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A24/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
39-63
39
63
-24
H27/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H29/04
NBA
104.0Avg total
51.5Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.852.6107.4+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.951.4105.3+2.656%-
Last 30 away (14)55.854.1109.9+1.764%-
Last 10 (10)51.552.5104.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)45.054.899.8-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)47.056.8103.8-9.820%-
vs Similar (16)52.951.6104.6+1.356%-
vs Weaker (9)62.452.1114.6+10.389%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 110.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.427.0
57.0%
54.4%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.415.0
37.1%
36.3%45.0
🏀 Free throws15.711.9
75.8%
78.2%11.9
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 104.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.824.6
52.6%
54.4%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.513.8
37.8%
36.3%41.4
🏀 Free throws16.913.9
82.2%
78.2%13.9
They take 83.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWLWWWLLWW
Miami Heat
LLWLWLWWLW
#1
League position
#18
+8.7
Net rating
+0.0
116.7
Offensive rating
108.8
108.0
Defensive rating
108.8
56.4%
Effective FG%
54.4%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
10.6%
Turnover %
13.7%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
21.0%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.20
37.1%
3-point %
37.8%
63.1%
Assist %
65.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.7 · 108.8Defence108.0 · 108.8Shooting56.4% · 54.4%3-point %37.1% · 37.8%Ball care10.6% · 13.7%Off. rebounds23.8% · 21.0%Free throws0.18 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Boston Celtics wins
2
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/24AMiami Heat102-88
27/04/24AMiami Heat104-84
24/04/24HMiami Heat101-111
21/04/24HMiami Heat114-94
14/04/24HWashington Wizards132-122
12/04/24HCharlotte Hornets131-98
11/04/24HNew York Knicks109-118
09/04/24AMilwaukee Bucks91-104
07/04/24HPortland Trail Blazers124-107
05/04/24HSacramento Kings101-100
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/24HBoston Celtics88-102
27/04/24HBoston Celtics84-104
24/04/24ABoston Celtics111-101
21/04/24ABoston Celtics94-114
19/04/24HChicago Bulls112-91
17/04/24APhiladelphia 76ers104-105
14/04/24HToronto Raptors118-103
13/04/24HToronto Raptors125-103
10/04/24HDallas Mavericks92-111
09/04/24AAtlanta Hawks117-111 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW79%
HomeLWWWL88%
AwayWWLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games854342
Win %79%88%69%
Points / game120.0122.4117.4
Allowed / game108.4107.7109.1
Point differential+11.6+14.7+8.3
Avg total228.3230.1226.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%56%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (19)86% (7)33% (12)
Overtime %7%5%10%
Miami Heat
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL55%
HomeWWWLL52%
AwayLWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games884444
Win %55%52%57%
Points / game109.4111.0107.8
Allowed / game108.0109.5106.6
Point differential+1.4+1.5+1.2
Avg total217.4220.4214.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%25%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (20)40% (10)60% (10)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics85671879%120.0108.4+11.6
2 Oklahoma City Thunder86612571%119.4111.6+7.8
3 Denver Nuggets87612670%114.5109.4+5.1
4 Minnesota Timberwolves86602670%113.2106.4+6.8
5 New York Knicks86533362%112.3107.7+4.6
6 Los Angeles Clippers86533362%115.0111.8+3.2
7 Dallas Mavericks86523460%117.1115.0+2.1
8 Milwaukee Bucks85503559%118.3115.9+2.4
9 Cleveland Cavaliers87513659%111.6109.7+1.9
10 Phoenix Suns85493658%115.8113.5+2.3
11 New Orleans Pelicans86493757%113.8109.9+3.9
12 Philadelphia 76ers88503857%114.0111.2+2.9
13 Sacramento Kings83473657%116.3114.3+2.0
14 Indiana Pacers85483756%122.6119.9+2.7
15 Orlando Magic87493856%109.9107.6+2.3
16 Golden State Warriors83463755%117.5115.2+2.3
17 Los Angeles Lakers86473955%117.2117.3-0.1
18 Miami Heat88484055%109.4108.0+1.4
19 Houston Rockets82414150%114.3113.2+1.1
20 Chicago Bulls84404448%112.2113.7-1.5
21 Atlanta Hawks83364743%118.3120.6-2.3
22 Brooklyn Nets82325039%110.4113.3-2.9
23 Utah Jazz82315138%115.7120.5-4.9
24 Memphis Grizzlies82275533%105.8112.8-7.0
25 Toronto Raptors82255730%112.4118.8-6.4
26 San Antonio Spurs82226027%112.1118.6-6.5
27 Portland Trail Blazers82216126%106.4115.4-9.0
28 Charlotte Hornets82216126%106.6116.8-10.2
29 Washington Wizards82156718%113.7123.0-9.3
30 Detroit Pistons82146817%109.9119.0-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics41273020118
Miami Heat2323201884
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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